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Wolferton Stakes Tips – Royal Ascot 2021

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When is the Wolferton Stakes at Royal Ascot?

Royal Ascot Tuesday 15th June 5.35pm

The Wolferton Rated Stakes (Listed) 

Age: 4yo+ 

Distance: One mile two furlongs

Prize: £100,000

History of the Wolferton Stakes race at Royal Ascot
The race was first run in 2002 when Royal Ascot was extended to five days to celebrate the Golden Jubilee of Queen Elizabeth II. It is named after the village of Wolferton near Sandringham House.

Initially, a handicap until 2018 when the conditions were altered to comply with a recommendation that no handicap should carry Listed status. Group 1 and 2 winners since the previous August are prohibited from entering. 

John Gosden is the trainer who has the most wins for this race having 4 wins, with William Buick seeing success twice making him top jockey.

Royal Ascot Wolferton Stakes Trends and Statistics

Limited data due to conditions changing in 2018.

Here are the Windsor Castle Stakes Trends and Statistics 2018 – 2020.

  • Age – The three winners have been 4, 5 and 6.
  • Sex – All three winners to date have been geldings.
  • Country – Two of the three winners have been bred in Ireland and one in Great Britain.
  • Colour – We have seen two bays (b) and one chestnut (ch) win this race in the three years.
  • Starting Price (SP) – All three winners were between 5/1 and 8/1.
  • Starting Price Rank – No have won in the last three years. All three winners were between second and fourth in the betting market.
  • Headgear – One of the three winners wore no headgear, one wore a hood and one wore cheekpieces. 
  • Draw – The three winners came from stalls 4, 6 and 12.
  • Last Run Form – Only one of the three winners won last time out. 
  • Days since last run – All of the three winners ran at least 39 days ago and two of them were making their seasonal debut.
  • Official Rating – All three winners had an official rating of between 111 and 115.
Recent Winners of The Wolferton Stakes
DateGoingRunnersWinnerAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOddsDays
Good To Firm13414/180d
Soft1368/1341d
Soft1655/139d
Good To Firm1648/1248d
Good To Firm16525/134d
Good To Soft1547/114d
Good To Firm1347/438d
Good To Firm1349/156d
Good To Firm15812/177d
Soft1343/121d
Good To Soft14412/127d
Good To Firm15413/836d
Good To Firm1548/120d
Firm10512/137d
Good To Soft12425/128d
Good To Firm16416/135d
Good To Firm20425/136d
Firm1446/134d
Firm1745/126d
Good To Firm17710/1223d

 

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What's Our Wolferton Stakes Tips for Royal Ascot?

We've been studying the cards, form, stats, trends and more for the Wolferton Stakes at Royal Ascot, and here's our thoughts ahead of the race:

The Wolferton Stakes is held over 10f and is always a hugely competitive event. This race has thrown up some decent price winners in recent years and only three of the last 12 favourites have been victorious in this opening day race.

Patrick Sarsfield is likely to go off as the favourite this time around and the Joseph O’Brien’s five-year old went very close in the Orby Stakes at the Curragh recently. He has also proved versatile ground wise and has recently gone close on heavy ground.

Stormy Atlantic is a double-figure price and his trainer Ed Walker has said that his charge will prefer a bit of moisture underfoot. He was beaten by Solid Stone in the Royal Windsor Stakes, and both hold solid credentials in this one.

Felix has done the majority of his recent campaigning on the AW, however, he was very impressive in a Group 1 at Meydan, finishing third at a price of 33/1.

Forest of Dean could be a shrewd entry into this contest, and although he’s done the majority of his recent work on the AW, he was very impressive in a couple of decent handicaps in late 2019 and could enjoy this ground. 

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On the day:

BLUE CUP 5.35 – Ascot (7/1) – Won impressively at Epsom last time and although that was a handicap as opposed to tomorrow’s listed race, he won in an excellent time that compared well with the two-group 1’s either side, The Coronation Stakes and The Derby. The race panned out in his favour that day having been held up off the strong pace which won’t always be the case, but there looks to be plenty of forward going types in tomorrow’s line up and with a likely good pace to follow, he may well have those same conditions again. Different ground tomorrow which will be much quicker, but he won in a good time at Sandown last summer so I don’t think it will be a concern.

No stats to go off as conditions changed in 2018 when this race stopped being a handicap. So we are basically peeing in the wind on this one.

Sixteen winners are due to go to post but I think it can be narrowed down to three, the trio are FOX TAI, Chester Vase winner SIR DRAGONET and REGAL REALITY trained by Michael Stoute.

Keith's final choice

13:50 REGAL REALITY 9/1 each way – A high-quality renewal of the Wolferton. Winter Derby winner DUBAI WARRIOR is interesting despite top weight if he can transfer his All-Weather form to turf. Chester Vase winner SIR DRAGONET is likely to find the trip too sharp. FOX TAL looks to be a false favourite and may be found wanting at this level despite being Group 1 placed in France at two. REGAL REALITY, however, has performed well at the highest level over the last two years picking up a couple of Group 3s along the way. This is a drop in class.

How it fared

REGAL REALITY 3RD – Heavy rain meant the going changed and as a consequence, the race cut up DUBAI warrior was one of three that never lined up. Held up and swung wide along with SIR DRAGONET (2nd) when entering the straight, in pursuit of better going, winner MOUNTAIN ANGEL got first run and stuck to the rail.

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 Keith tipped Elarqam for the win in the Wolferton Stakes.

What our members tipped in the Wolferton Stakes

Each day we ask our members to select their Pick 6, their NAP for each race of the day.  We then collate all the picks, and present the top selections to our VIP members.  Here's they picked for the Wolferton Stakes:

Race Six | 5:35pm – Wolferton Stakes

It's Marco Botti's FELIX that is just ahead here with 20.9% of the Pick selections.  Frankie Dettori on FOREST OF DEAN gets 15.% with BLUE CUP just a smidge behind with 15.1%.
A fair few votes for EUCHEN GLEN and at 25/1 could be on to watch for a place?

The AP O’Brien/Ryan Moore combo on Sir Dragonet comes out on top here with 26.9% of the selections.
Fox Tal worth a mention with a smidge over 21%, if only to get my for fox sake joke in! Dubai Warrior trailing back in third with 16.7%

The finale of Day One and everything looks to be pointing towards Elarqam from the Pick 6 selections.  Magic Wand a close second here with Addeybb picking up just over 13% of the selections.

Royal Ascot Wolferton Stakes Results

1 Juan Elcano 14/1
2 Patrick Sarsfield 4/1J
3 Solid Stone 4/1J
13 ran

1 Addeybb 5/1
2 Magic Wand 9/2f
3 Elarqam 5/1
4 Latrobe
16 ran Distances: 2 ½l, nse, sh

Our Verdict:
Our members and our tipster Keith both agreed on Elarqam to win the Wolferton, however it wasn’t to be. Despite Elarqam and Magic Wand being in the front group throughout the race, Addeybb came through in the run up to home to win comfortably with Magic Wand and Elarqam separated by a nose for second and third respectively.

Wolferton Stakes (Listed)
Distance: 1m2f (2192 yards +11 yards rails adjustment) Prize (winner): £44400 Dir: Right Handed
Runners: 13    Going: Good To Firm    Class: Class 1 Listed Race    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 2 mins 4.36s   Avg OR: 107     Median OR: 107     Stalls: Inside

NoPlaceDist BtStallHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
111st5Juan Elcano4107Ryan, K AAtzeni, Andrea14/116.505.15
held up, pushed along and headway 2f out, ridden and ran on to lead inside final furlong BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 25
132nd0.53Patrick Sarsfield (FR)5113OBrien, Joseph PatrickMarquand, Tom4/1 (JFav)5.602.08
in touch, headway over 3f out, pushed along to lead over 1f out, ridden and headed inside final furlong BF IP MIN 1.2 BF IP MAX 1000
43rd2.54Solid Stone (IRE)5113Stoute, Sir MichaelMoore, Ryan4/1 (JFav)6.002.35
tracked leaders, ridden over 1f out, one pace final furlong BF IP MIN 4 BF IP MAX 1000
64th0.752Blue Cup (FR)5103Menuisier, DavidBuick, William17/212.503.50
dwelt in rear, ridden over 2f out, ran on final furlong, nearest finish BF IP MIN 10 BF IP MAX 1000
15thNSE10Euchen Glen8115Goldie, J SMulrennan, Paul22/125.007.00
in rear, ridden and ran on final furlong, nearest finish BF IP MIN 26 BF IP MAX 1000
96thNK8Felix5110Botti, MMurphy, Oisin13/29.592.93
slow into stride, towards rear, ridden and headway 2f out, kept on one pace BF IP MIN 8.8 BF IP MAX 1000
107th0.759Fox Tal5107Balding, A MSousa, Silvestre De8/18.853.53
in touch, ridden and headway 2f out, one pace final furlong BF IP MIN 5.4 BF IP MAX 1000
78th0.57Dawaam (USA)597Burrows, OwenCrowley, Jim28/171.0116.00
towards rear, wide into straight 3f out, ridden and headway over 1f out, no impression final furlong BF IP MIN 16 BF IP MAX 1000
89thNK12Father Of Jazz4104Varian, RogerShepherd, Callum18/122.127.20
held up, pushed along over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, no impression BF IP MIN 10 BF IP MAX 1000
1210th2.7511Palavecino (FR)5109Meehan, B JDwyer, Martin11/113.004.40
raced wide, tracked leaders, ridden and every chance over 1f out, weakened final furlong BF IP MIN 6 BF IP MAX 1000
1411th1.2513Victory Chime (IRE)6102Beckett, R MHornby, Rob25/128.129.00
led, ridden and headed over 1f out, weakened final furlong BF IP MIN 22 BF IP MAX 1000
212th1.751Forest Of Dean5107Gosden, John and ThadyDettori, L10/115.504.31
tracked leader, short of room over 1f out, weakened final furlong BF IP MIN 12 BF IP MAX 1000
313th4114Volcanic Sky6107Suroor, Saeed BinCosgrave, Pat33/150.0012.56
raced wide close up, ridden and weakened 2f out BF IP MIN 44 BF IP MAX 1000

Wolferton Stakes (Listed)
Distance: 1m2f (2192 yards) Prize (winner): £29600 Dir: Right Handed
Runners: 13    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Listed Race    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 2 mins 11.90s   Avg OR: 108     Median OR: 108     Stalls: Inside

NoPlaceDist BtStallHorseAgeTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
101st5Mountain Angel (IRE)6Varian, RogerDoyle, James8/19.402.88
settled into mid-division, switched right and headway going well over 2f out, went 2nd over 1f out, led entering final furlong, soon clear, stayed on well BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 9
132nd2.257Sir Dragonet (IRE)4OBrien, A PMoore, Ryan15/8 (Fav)3.151.53
held up towards rear, switched left over 2f out, soon nudged along, ridden and headway over 1f out, stayed on well inside final furlong, went 2nd close home, no impression on winner BF IP MIN 2.66 BF IP MAX 1000
123rd0.511Regal Reality5Stoute, Sir MichaelCrowley, Jim11/27.022.85
mid-division, headway on outside over 1f out, stayed on well inside final furlong, went 3rd close home, no impression on winner BF IP MIN 5.6 BF IP MAX 1000
114thNK16Prince Eiji4Varian, RogerAtzeni, Andrea22/127.286.51
keen early, soon pressing leader, led over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, headed entering final furlong, soon outpaced by winner, lost 2 places close home BF IP MIN 3.1 BF IP MAX 1000
65thNSE6Extra Elusive5Charlton, RWatson, Jason33/139.198.07
held up in mid-division, headway 2f out, switched left over 1f out, stayed on inside final furlong, no impression on winner BF IP MIN 4.1 BF IP MAX 1000
86th3.52Fox Tal4Balding, A MSousa, Silvestre De100/305.892.14
broke well, raced freely, tracked leaders, shaken up over 2f out, one pace entering final furlong, weakened inside final 100 yards BF IP MIN 5.4 BF IP MAX 1000
37th1.7513Mountain Hunter (USA)6Suroor, Saeed BinCosgrave, Pat33/151.4212.08
tracked leaders, effort over 2f out, lost place over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong BF IP MIN 20 BF IP MAX 1000
148th11Walkinthesand (IRE)4Hannon (Jnr), RichardDobbs, Pat40/150.009.00
slowly into stride, soon recovered to chase leaders on inside, ridden over 2f out, lost place over 1f out BF IP MIN 48 BF IP MAX 1000
99thNSE8King Ottokar (FR)4Fellowes, CharlieShoemark, Kieran14/121.004.26
held up towards rear, switched left over 2f out, some late headway, never any chance BF IP MIN 16 BF IP MAX 1000
710th3.254Forest Ranger (IRE)6Fahey, R AHamilton, Tony33/159.5711.00
led, headed 2f out, soon weakened BF IP MIN 26 BF IP MAX 1000
411thHD12Cockalorum (IRE)5Fell, RogerRodriguez, Callum150/1260.0036.17
held up in rear, driven over 2f out, edged right well over 1f out, no headway BF IP MIN 280 BF IP MAX 1000
512th3.510Dream Castle6Suroor, Saeed BinBuick, William18/122.005.70
chased leaders, pushed along 3f out, lost place 2f out, well beaten over 1f out BF IP MIN 16.5 BF IP MAX 1000
213th349Crossed Baton5Gosden, John and ThadyDettori, L11/117.004.62
held up in mid-division, headway on outside over 5f out, pushed along 3f out, soon weakened, well behind final 2f BF IP MIN 14 BF IP MAX 1000

Non Runners  Bubble And Squeak, Dubai Warrior, Aloe Vera

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