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The Ascot Stakes Tips – Royal Ascot 2021

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Ascot Stakes Tips

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When is the The Ascot Stakes at Royal Ascot 2021?

Royal Ascot Tuesday 15th June 5.00pm
The Ascot Stakes (Handicap)
Age: 4yo+
Distance: Two miles four furlongs
Prize: £90,000

History of the The Ascot Stakes race at Royal Ascot

Run for the first time in 1840, this race is run over the same marathon trip as Thursday’s Gold Cup.

This race generally attracts a large field of runners, jumps bred horses usually do well in the race and the roll call of winning trainers includes several National Hunt giants including Martin Pipe and in recent years Willie Mullins has made this race his own having saddled 4 of the last 9 winners.

Royal Ascot The Ascot Stakes Trends and Statistics

Here are the Ascot Stakes 12 year Trends and Statistics 2009 -2020. 

  • Age – Four of the last twelve winners were aged 5, four of them were 7 and the other four were one each 4,6,8 and 9.
  • Sex – Over the last twelve years eight geldings, three mares and one colt have won. 
  • Trainer – Another mini angle here, Willie Mullins has trained four of the last twelve winners from 15 runners showing a SP profit of £16 to level £1 stakes a ROI of 106.67%.
  • Country – Seven of the last twelve winners were bred in Great Britain, four in Ireland and one in the USA. 
  • Colour – Nine of the last twelve winners were bay (b), two were brown (br) and one was chestnut (ch).
  • Starting Price – Eleven of the last twelve winners returned an SP of between 4/1 and 12/1.
  • Starting Price Rank – Nine of the last twelve winners came from the first five in the betting.
  • Headgear – Eight of the last twelve winners were wearing no headgear, one of them wore blinkers, one had a fist time visor and two of them wore hoods (one for the first time).
  • Weight – Eleven of the last 12 winners carried between 9 stones and 9 stones 10 pounds.
  • Draw – There is no significant draw bias however seven of the last twelve winners have been drawn on the flanks, four drawn high and three drawn low. 
  • Last Run Form – Six of the last twelve winners won last time out and eight of them finished in the first four. 
  • Days since last run – All of the last twelve winners ran between 10 and 94 days ago.
  • Official Rating – Ten of the last twelve runners were rated between 85 and 95.

Recent Winners of The Ascot Stakes

DateGoingRunnersWinnerAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOddsDays
Good To Firm19766/139d
Good19716/194d
Good To Soft19512/110d
Good To Firm19610/137d
Good To Firm1874/152d
Soft2096/123d
Good To Firm1985/145d
Good19712/137d
Good1959/133d
Good To Soft2058/125d
Good19511/217d
Good20717/268d
Good To Firm20413/238d
Good To Firm18520/117d
Good20820/126d
Good To Firm29433/124d
Good To Firm2049/113d
Good To Firm29425/110d
Good To Firm27512/14d
Good To Firm2647/142d
Good To Firm29412/142d
Good To Firm24610/130d
Good To Firm29410/134d
Good To Soft29416/117d
Good25620/110d

 

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What's Our Ascot Stakes Tips for Royal Ascot?

We've been studying the cards, form, stats, trends and more for the Ascot Stakes at Royal Ascot, and here's our thoughts ahead of the race:

This 2m4f contest is one of the longest flat races of the summer season and it has produced some decent priced winners in recent years.

Trainer Willie Mullins also has a good record in this contest and has won three of the last six renewals. The Irish handler also has this year’s favourite Rayapour who was last seen finishing third in a maiden hurdle at Kilbeggan in mid-May. That was his first start in Ireland having previously enjoyed a fruitful spell in France for trainer Alain de Royer-Dupre.
He won over 1m4f on the flat multiple times, however, he showed his staying qualities in that latest outing over the obstacles.

Stablemate Saldier has followed a similar path, and clocked up a recent success at Listowel at the beginning of the month. Irish Cesarewitch winner Cape Gentleman is in the line-up for this year’s contest and is versatile ground-wise. Emmet Mullins’ five-year old has won on both soft and good ground and shouldn’t be affected by the weather conditions.

Couer de Lion won this event last year, and is back to defend his crown. His mark has risen to 94 for this year’s event, although his fourth place finish in the Chester Cup handicap was a step in the right direction.
Although he will be hard to beat, Cape Gentleman could be the one to side with this time around. 

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On the day:

ELYSIAN FLAME 5.00 – Ascot (14/1 each way) – Right back on track this spring, winning handicap hurdle and 2m Newbury Flat handicap before left with a hopeless task in a messy Chester contest last month. This test today will suit him better and is a very appealing each-way shout at this price.

As no winner has returned at odds of 12/1 or more in the last 11 years it is best to concentrate on horses in that price range. The market leader is Nicky Henderson's VERDANA BLUE and other leading contenders include LAND OF OZ, MOON KING, SUMMER MOON, DIOCLECTIAN and DUBWAI FIFTY. It is going to take a fair bit of head-scratching to come up with the winner here and I don't expect to finalise mine until Tuesday morning.

 

Keith's final choice

16:40 LAND OF OZ 8/1 each way – Some of these runners may be looking for a hurdle to jump. I am going with Sir Mark Prescott's Australia colt LAND OF OZ who is a proven stayer winning six handicaps last term at up to 2m 2f. Should see out this trip and made a pleasing return at Chelmsford last week when second.

How it fared

LAND OF OZ had every chance with a furlong to go but didn’t quicked and faded to sixth

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Keith went for an each way selection of Mengli Khan at 13/2 when advised.

What our members tipped in the Ascot Stakes

Each day we ask our members to select their Pick 6, their NAP for each race of the day.  We then collate all the picks, and present the top selections to our VIP members.  Here's how it went for the Ascot Stakes in 2019 (the race did not feature in 2020):

Race Five | 5:00pm – Ascot Stakes

Impressive record for Mullins and Moore in this and that looks to have helped shape your votes here with 20.4% of you on M C MULDOON.

COUER DE LION and CAPE GENTLEMAN the next best with 9.5% apiece.

The Ascot Stakes did not feature in our Pick 6 promotion in 2020

Coeur De Lion pips Mengli Khan here with just over 20% of the votes.  Buildmeupbuttercup another contender with 10% of the votes.

The Ascot Stakes Results at Royal Ascot

1 Reshoun 66/1
2 M C Muldoon 11/2
3 Elysian Flame 16/1
4 Golden Rules 12/1
19 ran

 1 Coeur de Lion 16/1
2 Verdana Blue 4/1F
3 Summer Moon 11/2
4. Smart Champion 22/1
19 ran NR: Charlie D Distances: 1l, nk, nk
Time: 4m 27.51s (slow by 7.51s)

1 The Grand Visir 12/1
2 Buildmeupbuttercup 7/1
3. Time To Study 16/1
4 Fun Mac 11/1
19 ran NR: The Cashel Man Distances: 1¼l, 3½l, 2¼l
Time: 4m 28.34s (slow by 8.34s)

Our Verdict:

Despite being through to the front of the field, Mengli Khan couldn’t stay there for long and finishes mid division. Buildmeupbuttercup was last marker for much of the race, before engaging into the race at around a quarterof a mile out. Topweight The Grand Visir holds off Buildmeupbuttercup to give trainer Ian Williams his first Royal Ascot win under Richard Kingscote.

Ascot Stakes (Handicap)
Distance: 2m4f (4390 yards +11 yards rails adjustment) Prize (winner): £35100 Dir: Right Handed
Runners: 19    Going: Good To Firm    Class: Class 2     Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 4 mins 23.41s   Avg OR: 96     Median OR: 96     Stalls: Inside

NoPlaceDist BtStallHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
61st3Reshoun (FR)797Williams, IanBuick, William66/1108.0616.50
tracked leaders, switched left 2f out, soon every chance, led inside final furlong, all out BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 190
82ndSH10M C Muldoon (IRE)696Mullins, W PMoore, Ryan11/28.132.72
held up, headway 2f out, not clear run and switched left over 1f out, ridden and ran on, not quite reach winner BF IP MIN 1.16 BF IP MAX 1000
103rd1.754Elysian Flame596Easterby, M WCurtis, B A16/122.783.76
held up, headway on inner entering final 2f, ridden and ran on BF IP MIN 4 BF IP MAX 1000
194thNK11Golden Rules493Gosden, John and ThadyDettori, L12/113.853.46
keen close up, ridden to lead over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, kept on BF IP MIN 2.66 BF IP MAX 1000
15th1.756Cape Gentleman (IRE)5100Mullins, EmmetBlackmore, Rachael5/2 (Fav)3.951.82
towards rear, headway entering final 2f out, nearest finish BF IP MIN 3.9 BF IP MAX 1000
146th0.755Coeur de Lion894King, AHansen, Thore (3)22/147.096.45
close up, ridden over 1f out, kept on one pace BF IP MIN 13.5 BF IP MAX 1000
157th1.515Postileo (IRE)494Varian, RogerAtzeni, Andrea14/120.004.20
raced wide in touch, headway 3f out, no impression from over 1f out BF IP MIN 17.5 BF IP MAX 1000
128thNK1Untold Story495Suroor, Saeed BinMurphy, Oisin16/124.404.20
keen close up, ridden 2f out, weakened inside final furlong BF IP MIN 8.2 BF IP MAX 1000
29th0.512Island Brave (IRE)7100Main, Mrs H SHutchinson, Callum (7)125/1240.0030.00
held up, wide into straight 3f out, never nearer BF IP MIN 23 BF IP MAX 1000
2010thNK13Dalton Highway (IRE)891Weld, D KKeane, C T28/138.286.14
towards rear, ridden over 2f out, never nearer BF IP MIN 26 BF IP MAX 1000
1811thNK19Just Hubert (IRE)592Muir, W R & Grassick, CTudhope, Daniel13/28.942.52
held up, ridden over 2f out, no impression BF IP MIN 6 BF IP MAX 1000
712thNK9Rayapour (FR)597Mullins, W PKirby, Adam14/119.454.32
in touch, ridden 2f out, weakened inside final furlong BF IP MIN 11 BF IP MAX 1000
1313th1.58Royal Illusion (IRE)994Mullins, W PMarquand, Tom14/122.544.42
towards rear, ridden over 2f out, short of room over 1f out, never a factor BF IP MIN 10.5 BF IP MAX 1000
1614th1.7518Mancini793Williams, IanKingscote, Richard125/1120.0018.70
tracked leader, ridden to lead 2f out, headed over 1f out, soon weakened BF IP MIN 13.5 BF IP MAX 1000
1115th114Lostwithiel (IRE)496Boughey, GeorgeDoyle, Hollie20/129.505.01
in touch, ridden 2f out, weakened final furlong BF IP MIN 13.5 BF IP MAX 1000
316th416Lucky Deal6100Johnston, MNorton, Francis28/132.006.60
slow into stride, close up after 1f, ridden over 2f out, weakening when short of room over 1f out BF IP MIN 21 BF IP MAX 1000
1717th4.2517Rochester House (IRE)593Johnston, MSousa, Silvestre De10/111.003.17
led, ridden and headed 2f out, weakened approaching final furlong BF IP MIN 6 BF IP MAX 1000
418thNK7Lethal Steps699Foster, Mrs DeniseSpencer, Jamie100/1271.0429.35
hampered start, towards rear, pushed along 3f out, no impression BF IP MIN 210 BF IP MAX 1000
519th2320Solo Saxophone (IRE)797Haslam, B M RMulrennan, Paul66/172.1513.50
always in rear, tailed off BF IP MIN 75 BF IP MAX 1000

Ascot Stakes (Handicap)
Distance: 2m4f (4390 yards +11 yards rails adjustment) Prize (winner): £22642 Dir: Right Handed
Runners: 19    Going: Good    Class: Class 2     Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 4 mins 27.51s   Avg OR: 93     Median OR: 93     Stalls: Inside

NoPlaceDist BtStallHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
141st9Coeur de Lion791King, AHansen, Thore (5)16/127.064.34
towards rear, headway 2f out, ridden to lead inside final furlong BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 60
12nd15Verdana Blue (IRE)8100Henderson, N JMoore, Ryan4/1 (Fav)6.202.51
close up, headway and not clear run 2f out, ridden to lead approaching final furlong, headed inside final furlong BF IP MIN 2.08 BF IP MAX 1000
23rdNK14Summer Moon4100Johnston, MFanning, Joe11/27.402.39
tracked leader, led 6f out, ridden and headed approaching final furlong, stayed on BF IP MIN 2.1 BF IP MAX 1000
184thNK3Smart Champion587Simcock, D MShepherd, Callum22/134.635.68
towards rear, ridden over 2f out, headway over 1f out, ran on, not reach leaders BF IP MIN 30 BF IP MAX 1000
135th2.2520Rochester House (IRE)492Johnston, MSousa, Silvestre De18/121.905.00
in rear, ridden over 2f out, headway over 1f out, stayed on final furlong BF IP MIN 15 BF IP MAX 990
126th31Land Of Oz493Prescott, Sir MarkMorris, Luke6/18.402.65
close up, ridden to chase leader 2f out, kept on one pace final furlong BF IP MIN 4 BF IP MAX 1000
87th1.56Cliffs Of Dooneen (IRE)594Beckett, R MRyan, Rossa33/146.588.40
held up, ridden and headway 2f out, kept on same pace BF IP MIN 30 BF IP MAX 1000
108th0.7516Moon King (FR)494Beckett, R MBentley, Harry5/17.962.54
raced wide held up, pushed along and headway 3f out, no impression from over 1f out BF IP MIN 5.1 BF IP MAX 1000
99th4.2512Mancini693Williams, IanBuick, William16/123.493.94
close up, pushed along over 3f out, weakened over 1f out BF IP MIN 16 BF IP MAX 990
610th1.511Carntop795Snowden, JamieMitchell, Jack150/1318.3236.00
towards rear, headway over 2f out, ridden and weakened final furlong BF IP MIN 19 BF IP MAX 1000
511th0.7519Diocletian (IRE)596Balding, A MProbert, David25/137.146.61
held up, pushed along and headway over 2f out, weakened over 1f out BF IP MIN 25 BF IP MAX 1000
412th0.58Dubawi Fifty797McLintock, KarenKirby, Adam12/115.253.44
tracked leaders, chased leader over 3f out until ridden 2f out, weakened final furlong BF IP MIN 6.2 BF IP MAX 1000
1713th1217Quloob690Moore, G LCrowley, Jim28/137.295.80
in touch, headway 4f out, ridden and weakened over 1f out BF IP MIN 20 BF IP MAX 1000
2014th9.515San Benedeto (FR)985Nicholls, P FEaves, Tom66/174.7211.04
towards rear, never on terms BF IP MIN 36 BF IP MAX 1000
1115th813Blue Laureate592Williams, IanFallon, Cieren (3)8/110.762.53
slowly away in rear, never on terms BF IP MIN 11.5 BF IP MAX 1000
1916th818Ashutor (FR)687Nicholls, P FNicholls, Miss M (3)40/165.007.59
raced wide keen held up, weakened 2f out BF IP MIN 21 BF IP MAX 1000
717th352Yaa Salaam (IRE)694Pipe, D EMarquand, Tom100/1161.0223.00
slowly away always towards rear BF IP MIN 90 BF IP MAX 1000
1618th0.54Pianissimo491Carson, AnthonyDettori, L33/170.008.67
keen led, steadied pace 12f out, headed 6f out, weakened over 3f out BF IP MIN 20 BF IP MAX 1000
319th3310Fair Mountain (GER)897Skelton, DanielDoyle, James66/1172.9216.81
in touch, weakened quickly 5f out, eased BF IP MIN 100 BF IP MAX 1000

Non Runners  Charlie D (USA)

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