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Finale Juvenile Hurdle Tips 2020

FREE professional horse racing tips for the Coral Finale Juvenile Hurdle at Chepstow

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When is The Finale Juvenile Hurdle 2020?

***Update***

Rescheduled for Saturday 9th January at 1.25pm at Chepstow Racecourse.

The Coral Finale Juvenile Hurdle takes place on Sunday 27th December and gets underway at 1.35pm at Chepstow Racecourse.

This is a race for novice hurdlers aged 3 years, and is the first of only three Grade 1 races in the season.  The other two are the Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival and the Anniversary 4-Y-O Novices Hurdle at the Aintree Grand National Festival.  The race runs over a distance of about 2 miles and the winner last year won £37018.

Martin Pipe and Nicky Henderson top the leading trainers board with 4 wins apiece.  There's a number of Leading Jockeys who all share 3 previous wins in this race, including Mick Fitzpatrick, Peter Scudamore, Richard Johnson and Daryl Jacob.

Finale Juvenile Hurdle  Previous Winners

The 2010, 2012, 2015 & 2017 runnings were switched to January the following year

DateTrackDistanceGoingRunnersWinnerStallionAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOddsWeightORNC(F)Days
Chepstow2mSoft845/211-01360(0)28d
Chepstow2mHeavy836/511-01350(0)41d
Chepstow2mSoft537/411-01410(0)12d
Chepstow2mHeavy548/1111-01430(0)21d
Chepstow2mSoft534/511-01430(0)17d
Chepstow2mHeavy8411/811-01400(0)28d
Chepstow2m½fHeavy1036/111-000(0)
Chepstow2m½fHeavy5311/211-000(0)
Chepstow2m½fHeavy84100/3011-000(0)31d
Chepstow2m½fHeavy9313/811-01330(0)29d
Chepstow2m½fSoft848/111-01390(0)46d
Chepstow2m½fHeavy8310/111-000(0)31d
Chepstow2m½fSoft1037/211-01380(0)10d
Chepstow2m½fSoft1237/411-01370(0)12d
Chepstow2m½fSoft1239/411-000(0)
Chepstow2m½fGood To Soft1537/111-000(0)
Chepstow2m½fHeavy1639/111-000(0)30d
Chepstow2m½fSoft8340/111-01051(0)60d
Chepstow2m½fHeavy835/110-900(0)13d
Chepstow2m½fGood To Soft1032/111-000(0)
Chepstow2m½fSoft836/111-000(0)
Chepstow2m½fHeavy838/1111-000(0)18d
Chepstow2m½fHeavy535/111-000(0)45d
Chepstow2m½fHeavy631/211-000(0)29d

 

Keith has poured over the stats from previous Finale Juvenile Hurdle races and has found some interesting trends for you below:

12 Year Trends and Statistics (2010, 2012, 2015 and 2017 were all run in January the following year)

  • Age – All of the last 12 winners were aged either 3 or 4.
  • Sex – All of the last 12 winners were geldings, 1 colt and 2 fillies have been placed in the race.
  • Trainer – Nick Williams and Paul Nicholls have both saddled 2 winners in the last 12 years.
  • Country – 8 of the last 12 winners were bred in France and 4 in Great Britain.
  • Colour – 8 of the last 12 winners were bay.
  • Weight Carried – All of the last 12 winners carried 11st All geldings run off this weight, fillies carry 7lb less.
  • Starting Price (SP) – 8 of the last 12 winners returned a SP of 100/30 or less, the other 4 were between 11/2 and 10/1.
  • Starting Price Rank – 5 of the last 12 winners started as favourite and all were in the first 4 in the betting.
  • Headgear – 11 of the last 12 winners wore no headgear.
  • Days Since Last Run – 10 of the last 12 winners had run between 10 and 31 days ago. 
  • Last Run Form – 9 of the last 12 winners had won last time out, all of them finished in the first 2 last time.

Finale Juvenile Hurdle Tips

The Coral Finale Juvenile Hurdle is another race robbed of quality Irish raider due to the travel ban, the best of the English contingent are NASSALAM, HOUX GRIS and ADAGIO and they are the trio I expect to be fighting out the finish.

Keith's Final Selection

ADAGIO 13:25 Chepstow 5/1 – Progressive type who was placed in a Grade 2 in November and followed that up with a very easy win at Cheltenham where he was never extended. NASSALEM is the obvious danger after trouncing his opposition in a pair of Juvenile hurdles at Fontwell  and the French recruit HOUX GRIS could be anything.

How did we do?

ADAGIO was well backed in to 5/2 and ran accordingly wining readily from the favourite NASSALEM in second and HOUX GRIS a distant third.

Keith will have a tip for all races shown on ITV which he will send to all VIP members on the morning of the races.  If you are not yet a VIP member, you can join VIP here.

Finale Juvenile Hurdle Results

Coral Finale Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race)
Distance: 2m (3531 yards) Prize (winner): £28475 Direction: Left Handed
Runners: 8    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 1    Age Restrictions: 4yo
Winners Time: 3 mins 56.60s   Avg OR: 79     Median OR: 110.5

Full Results:

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeWeightHeadgearORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
11stAdagio (GER)411-0136Pipe, D EScudamore, Tom5/23.491.39
held up towards rear, headway after 5th, went 2nd after 2 out, led before last, clear flat, ridden out, readily BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 5.2
62nd2.5Nassalam (FR)411-0140Moore, G LMoore, JamieEvens (Fav)2.281.26
jumped left at times, chased leaders, went 2nd behind clear leader 2nd, closed 5th, led before 3 out, headed approaching last, held flat, stayed on BF IP MIN 1.29 BF IP MAX 1000
43rd20Houx Gris (FR)411-00Nicholls, P FBowen, Sean P13/29.452.39
chased leaders, led before 3 out, soon headed, every chance when mistake 2 out, soon lost 2nd, no extra before last BF IP MIN 3 BF IP MAX 1000
34th4.75Elham Valley (FR)411-00OBrien, FergalBrennan, P J17/211.662.23
held up towards rear, mistake 4th, headway after 5th, disputing 3rd when pecked and went left 3 out, 4th and no extra next BF IP MIN 4 BF IP MAX 1000
85th2Yggdrasil (FR)411-00Williams, NickSheehan, Gavin14/117.042.92
chased clear leader until 2nd, outpaced before 3 out, well held after, not fluent 2 out, kept on flat BF IP MIN 12 BF IP MAX 1000
56th2.5Mr Shady (IRE)411-0CkPc117Moore, J SMania, Ryan100/1214.2513.50
towards rear, not fluent 2nd, modest 5th when pecked 2 out, no chance BF IP MIN 80 BF IP MAX 1000
77th0.75Pyramid Place (IRE)411-0Hood104Harris, M FBastyan, Mitchell S100/1234.6112.86
always in rear BF IP MIN 200 BF IP MAX 1000
2PUBannister (FR)411-0132George, T RWedge, Adam40/160.007.20
led, went strong gallop and soon well clear, not fluent 2nd, not fluent and reduced lead 5th, headed before 3 out, soon weakened, pulled up before last BF IP MIN 22 BF IP MAX 1000

Coral Finale Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1)
Distance: 2m (3531 yards) Prize (winner): £37018 Direction: Left Handed
Runners: 8    Going: Heavy    Class: Class 1 Grade 1    Age Restrictions: 3yo
Winners Time: 4 mins 1.00s   Avg OR: 32     Median OR: 0

Full Results:

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeWeightHeadgearORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
11stAllmankind311-0Hood TT135Skelton, DanielSkelton, Harry6/5 (Fav)2.361.34
raced keenly, made all, not fluent 5th, clear after 5th until 2 out, clear again last, stayed on strongly, impressive BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 2.5
32nd9Cerberus311-0TT0OBrien, Joseph PatrickPower, R M5/23.571.60
mid-division, headway approaching 3 out, chased winner before next, driven and no impression last BF IP MIN 2.1 BF IP MAX 1000
73rd9Nordano (GER)311-0CkPc123King, N BFrost, Bryony20/129.194.50
2nd until after 1st, chased leaders, not fluent 2nd, ridden before 3 out, went 3rd last but no impression BF IP MIN 28 BF IP MAX 1000
94th2Maskada (FR)310-70Edmunds, StuartPowell, Brendan14/117.843.56
chased winner after 1st, lost 2nd before mistake 2 out, no impression in 4th last BF IP MIN 12.5 BF IP MAX 1000
45th6Elysian Flame311-0CkPc0Easterby, M WBrennan, P J6/18.181.83
held up in mid-division, effort approaching 3 out, no impression, weakened flat BF IP MIN 7.2 BF IP MAX 1000
86th8Tavus (IRE)311-00OKeeffe, JeddColliver, J11/211.151.96
not that fluent, held up towards rear, ridden and no impression when jumped left 3 out BF IP MIN 10 BF IP MAX 1000
67th14Jean Genie (FR)311-00Vaughan, TimJohns, Alan40/1174.6512.50
held up towards rear, ridden and weakened before 3 out BF IP MIN 130 BF IP MAX 1000
28th53Art Of Diplomacy311-00Easterby, M WBannister, Harry A A100/1620.0040.65
in rear, jumped right 2nd, slow next, behind from 4th BF IP MIN 590 BF IP MAX 1000

Non Runners  I Like Him (FR)

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