St James's Palace Tips – Royal Ascot 2021
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When is the St James's Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot?
Royal Ascot Tuesday 15th June 4.20pm
The St James’s Palace Stakes (Group 1)
Age: 3yo colts
Distance: 1 Mile
Weights – 9st
Prize: £538,750
The St James Palace Stakes is contested by the leading three-year-old colts and competitors have often run in the 2000 Guineas, the most notable winner in recent years was the great Frankel in 2011 under Tom Queally.
The most successful jockey has been Michael Kinane with 6 wins between 1982 and 2007.
The trainer with the most wins is Aidan O’Brien with 8 winners so far the most recent being last year’s winner Circus Maximus.
- Age – Race restricted to three-year-olds.
- Sex – Race restricted to colts.
- Country – Six of the last twelve winners were bred in Ireland, five in Great Britain and one in the USA. Nine of the last twelve winners have had an Irish sire.
- Colour – Eight of the last twelve winners have been bay (b), two were chestnut (ch) and one each grey (gr) and brown (br).
- Starting Price (SP) – Ten of the last twelve winners have returned a SP of 6/1 or less.
- Starting Price Rank – Ten of the last twelve winners have been in the top three in the betting with eight of them starting favourite. The other four were all in the first five in the betting at the off.
- Headgear – Eleven of the last twelve winners wore no headgear. The other one was in first-time blinkers.
- Draw – Nine of the last twelve winners have been drawn in stall 7 or lower. The other one came from stall 15 but there has only been one race in the last twelve years with more than twelve runners.
- Last Run Form – Seven of the last twelve winners won their most recent race.
- Days since last run – All of the last twelve winners had raced within the last 45 days.
- Course Form – Only four of the last twelve winners had a previous run at Ascot and all four had won at the course.
- Distance Form – Eleven of the last twelve winners had at least one previous run over one mile and at least one previous win over one mile.
- Flat Form – All of the last twelve winners had at least three previous flat runs and eleven of them had at least two previous flat wins.
- Official Rating – Only ten of the last twelve winners had a BHA rating all of them were rated between 109 and 130.
- Group Wins – Nine of the last twelve winners had won at least a Group 3 race and eight of them had won a Group 1.
- Current Season Form – Eleven of the last twelve winners had at least two runs and at least one win in the current season.
| Date | Going | Runners | Winner | Age | Jockey (Clm) | Trainer | Odds | Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.06.2021 | Good To Firm | 13 | Poetic Flare (IRE) | 3 | Manning, K J | Bolger, J S | 7/2 | 24d |
| 20.06.2020 | Good To Soft | 7 | Palace Pier | 3 | Dettori, L | Gosden, John and Thady | 4/1 | 14d |
| 18.06.2019 | Good | 11 | Circus Maximus (IRE) | 3 | Moore, Ryan | OBrien, A P | 10/1 | 17d |
| 19.06.2018 | Good To Firm | 10 | Without Parole | 3 | Dettori, L | Gosden, John and Thady | 9/4 | 26d |
| 20.06.2017 | Good To Firm | 8 | Barney Roy | 3 | Doyle, James | Hannon (Jnr), Richard | 5/2 | 45d |
| 14.06.2016 | Soft | 7 | Galileo Gold | 3 | Dettori, L | Palmer, Hugo | 6/1 | 24d |
| 16.06.2015 | Good To Firm | 5 | Gleneagles (IRE) | 3 | Moore, Ryan | OBrien, A P | 8/15 | 24d |
| 17.06.2014 | Good | 7 | Kingman | 3 | Doyle, James | Gosden, John and Thady | 8/11 | 24d |
| 18.06.2013 | Good | 9 | Dawn Approach (IRE) | 3 | Manning, K J | Bolger, J S | 5/4 | 17d |
| 19.06.2012 | Good To Soft | 16 | Most Improved (IRE) | 3 | Fallon, K | Meehan, B J | 9/1 | 255d |
| 14.06.2011 | Good | 9 | Frankel | 3 | Queally, T P | Cecil, H R A | 30/100 | 45d |
| 15.06.2010 | Good | 9 | Canford Cliffs (IRE) | 3 | Hughes, Richard | Hannon, R | 11/4 | 24d |
| 16.06.2009 | Good To Firm | 10 | Mastercraftsman (IRE) | 3 | Murtagh, J | OBrien, A P | 5/6 | 24d |
| 17.06.2008 | Good To Firm | 8 | Henrythenavigator (USA) | 3 | Murtagh, J | OBrien, A P | 4/7 | 24d |
| 19.06.2007 | Good To Firm | 8 | Excellent Art | 3 | Spencer, Jamie | OBrien, A P | 8/1 | 276d |
| 20.06.2006 | Good To Firm | 11 | Araafa (IRE) | 3 | Munro, Alan | Noseda, J | 2/1 | 24d |
| 14.06.2005 | Good To Firm | 8 | Shamardal (USA) | 3 | McEvoy, Kerrin | Suroor, Saeed Bin | 7/4 | 241d |
| 15.06.2004 | Good To Firm | 11 | Azamour (IRE) | 3 | Kinane, M J | Oxx, John M | 9/2 | 24d |
| 17.06.2003 | Good To Firm | 11 | Zafeen (FR) | 3 | Holland, Darryll | Channon, M R | 8/1 | 24d |
| 18.06.2002 | Good | 9 | Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) | 3 | Kinane, M J | OBrien, A P | 4/5 | 24d |
| 19.06.2001 | Good | 11 | Black Minnaloushe (USA) | 3 | Murtagh, J | OBrien, A P | 8/1 | 24d |
| 20.06.2000 | Good To Firm | 11 | Giants Causeway (USA) | 3 | Kinane, M J | OBrien, A P | 7/2 | 24d |
| 15.06.1999 | Good To Firm | 11 | Sendawar (IRE) | 3 | Mosse, G | Royer-Dupre, A De | 2/1 | |
| 16.06.1998 | Good To Soft | 8 | Dr Fong (USA) | 3 | Fallon, K | Cecil, H R A | 4/1 | 34d |
| 17.06.1997 | Good | 8 | Starborough | 3 | Dettori, L | Loder, D R | 11/2 | 45d |
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What's Our St James's Palace Stakes Tips for Royal Ascot?
We've been studying the cards, form, stats, trends and more for the St James' Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot, and here's our thoughts ahead of the race:
The 3-year-old’s go to post for the St James’s Palace Stakes and the market is currently headed by the top three for the 2,000 Guineas. Poetic Flare was somewhat a shock 16/1 winner on the day with all Aiden O’Brien horses massively underperforming in that race. Jim Bolger has indicated this is their main target and it might be worth noting that the sire of Poetic Flare (Dawn Approach) won this race back in 2013.
Master of the Seas finished second in the 2000 Guineas for Charlie Appleby and of the front three I would upgrade the performance of this horse the most. They were held up in the Guineas and made great headway from around halfway and just failed to get past Poetic Flare. In that race the pace did hold up with most of the prominent racers finishing best, so Master of the Seas performed really well to come from behind.
Lucky Vega finished third in that race and considering that was their first run since last September it was a great training performance from Jessica Harrington. They ran a little keenly in the early stages but after settling, he travelled really well and stayed on well towards the finish, also closing in on the front two.
From a punting perspective, Poetic Flare and Master of the Seas seem a little short at 4/1 now and of the three I would have to recommend Lucky Vega at 7/1 instead. The front two had race fitness on their side in the Guineas, leaving Lucky Vega with more scope for progress, and the Jessica Harrington team are very optimistic about their chances.
Of the rest in the field one that appeals at a bigger each way price is Highland Avenue for Charlie Appleby. They won the Feilden Stakes at Newmarket, beating stablemate Secret Protector and the pair beat everything else by 7 lengths or more. That was over 1m 1f and James Doyle came out after the race saying they will probably go back in distance with them. That sets them up perfectly for a crack at this race and a 20/1 each way price looks very appealing.
Our Antepost Bet is:
- 1pt each way Lucky Vega 7/1
- 0.5pts each way Highland Avenue 20/1
On the day:
POETIC FLARE 4.20 – Ascot (4/1) – Emulated his sire with a victory in the 2000 Guineas at Newmarket. Has been kept busy since his win then and has the best form in the book so looks the one to beat.
We are on for a treat here with last years top 2-year-old PINATUBO and WICHITA who were third and second in the 2000 Guineas both priced up at around 7/4 the race could turn out to be between them. The main threats to that pair are THREAT and PALACE PIER.
Keith's final choice
15:00 POSITIVE 16/1 – Below par when sixth in the Dewhurst won by PINATUBO. Was only a nose behind subsequent 2000 Guineas winner KAMEKO prior to that. Can out run these odds.
How it fared
POSITIVE 4TH – Outpaced in the closing stages and finished 5 lengths behind the first three home, PALACE PIER, PINATUBO and WICHITA.
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Leading Contenders
TOO DARN HOT 6/4 – The top two-year-old last term winning all his races including the Group 1 Dewhurst Stakes. Had a delayed start to his season missing both the Greenham and the 2000 Guineas due to heat in a splint bone. Second in the Dante at York last time when he clearly didn’t stay the trip.
MAGNA GRECIA 7/4 – Dual Group 1 winner including the 2000 Guineas. Only defeat came on fast going last season. Massive player if there is a little juice in the ground.
SKARDU 6/1 – Craven stakes winner in April but was over four lengths behind MAGNA GRECIA in the Guineas so well held on that performance
CALYX 10/1 – Has won all three races to date but unraced at further than six furlongs. May find stamina limitations over this mile trip.
Conclusion
TOO DARN HOT 6/4 found things tough in the Dante but this drop back to a mile will put his career back on track.
Who is our Antepost Tipster for Royal Ascot?
Our Royal Ascot Antepost tips is brought to you by one of our panel of professional tipsters. Meet Aaron Gibbons who runs the AG Tips service on Tipsterr.
Aaron is a professional horse racing tipster specialising mainly in UK and Irish horse racing. I use my own methods to price up horse races independently and compare those prices against the market to identify the best each way value. I launched my AG Tips service on Tipstrr back in June 2019, since when I have provided over 1400 selections that have produced an overall long-term profit of 335 units, equating to a 23.5% ROI.
What our members tipped in the St James's Palace Stakes
Each day we ask our members to select their Pick 6, their NAP for each race of the day. We then collate all the picks, and present the top selections to our VIP members. Here's how it went for the St James's Palace Stakes:
Race Four | 4:20pm – St James's Palace Stakes
It's BATTLEGROUND that claims the most here with 20.7% of your Pick 6 selections.
One of today's Lucky 15 picks, POETIC FLARE, next best with a decent 16.7%. MOSTAHDAF another worthy mention with 16.3%.
The biggest vote of confidence of the day from your selections goes to Pinatubo with 48.5% of your selections here. Frankie on Palace Pier way back in second with 27.3% and Wichita the only contender here with 11.6% of the Pick6+2 selections.
Too Darn Hot looks to be too hot here with over 40% of the votes, but a fair bit of love for Phoenix of Spain too
Royal Ascot St James's Palace Stakes Results
1 Poetic Flare 7/2F
2 Lucky Vega 4/1
3 Battleground 11/1
13 ran
1 Palace Pier 4/1
2 Pinatubo 11/8F
3 Wichita 9/4
7 ran
2 King Of Comedy 4/1
3 Too Darn Hot 2/1F
11 ran Distances: nk, ¾l, ½l
Time: 1m 39.90s (slow by 0.90s)
Our verdict:
What a race! Keeping us on the edge of our seats until the finish line, Circus Maximus kept with the front runners until taking the lead from Fox Champion. Then four challengers try to take the lead, however, If it was a little longer, King of Comedy might have snatched it, but Circus Maximus held on to give the Aidan O'Brien and Ryan Moore combination a second win of the opening day of Royal Ascot 2019 in the St James's Palace Stakes.
St Jamess Palace Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Rnd)
Distance: 1m (1753 yards +5 yards rails adjustment) Prize (winner): £198485 Dir: Right Handed
Runners: 13 Going: Good To Firm Class: Class 1 Group 1 Age Restrictions: 3yo
Winners Time: 1 mins 37.40s Avg OR: 111 Median OR: 110 Stalls: Inside
| No | Place | Dist Bt | Stall | Horse | Age | OR | Trainer | Jockey (Claim) | Odds | BF | BFP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 1st | 7 | Poetic Flare (IRE) | 3 | 118 | Bolger, J S | Manning, K J | 7/2 (Fav) | 5.07 | 2.08 | |
| tracked leaders, led over 1f out, ridden entering final furlong, soon clear, impressive BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 5.3 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 2nd | 4.25 | 11 | Lucky Vega (IRE) | 3 | 117 | Harrington, Mrs John | Foley, Shane | 4/1 | 5.80 | 2.24 |
| raced wide close up, pushed along to chase winner over 1f out, kept on one pace BF IP MIN 5 BF IP MAX 1000 | |||||||||||
| 1 | 3rd | NK | 2 | Battleground (USA) | 3 | 111 | OBrien, A P | Moore, Ryan | 11/1 | 16.77 | 5.00 |
| in touch, headway 2f out, ridden and kept on one pace final furlong BF IP MIN 11 BF IP MAX 120 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 4th | 0.5 | 9 | Maximal | 3 | 107 | Stoute, Sir Michael | Keane, C T | 12/1 | 13.52 | 4.71 |
| held up, headway over 1f out, ridden and kept on one pace BF IP MIN 2.72 BF IP MAX 1000 | |||||||||||
| 3 | 5th | 0.75 | 8 | Chindit (IRE) | 3 | 113 | Hannon (Jnr), Richard | Dobbs, Pat | 11/2 | 6.91 | 2.49 |
| towards rear, pushed along and headway over 1f out, ridden and one pace final furlong BF IP MIN 5.5 BF IP MAX 550 | |||||||||||
| 4 | 6th | 1.25 | 12 | Highland Avenue (IRE) | 3 | 110 | Appleby, Charlie | Buick, William | 15/2 | 11.37 | 3.50 |
| in rear, wide and headway over 1f out, ridden and no impression final furlong BF IP MIN 3.7 BF IP MAX 1000 | |||||||||||
| 12 | 7th | 3 | 6 | Thunder Moon (IRE) | 3 | 116 | OBrien, Joseph Patrick | Dettori, L | 12/1 | 14.50 | 5.05 |
| towards rear, pushed along 2f out, never a factor BF IP MIN 13.5 BF IP MAX 1000 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 8th | 1.75 | 10 | Naamoos (FR) | 3 | 110 | Johnston, M | Curtis, B A | 20/1 | 25.00 | 6.33 |
| tracked clear leader, closed to lead approaching 2f out, edged right and headed over 1f out, weakened final furlong BF IP MIN 18 BF IP MAX 1000 | |||||||||||
| 13 | 9th | SH | 4 | Wembley (IRE) | 3 | 113 | OBrien, A P | Heffernan, J A | 33/1 | 49.56 | 10.00 |
| slow into stride, held up, pushed along 2f out, never a factor BF IP MIN 29 BF IP MAX 900 | |||||||||||
| 5 | 10th | HD | 5 | La Barrosa (IRE) | 3 | 108 | Appleby, Charlie | Doyle, James | 16/1 | 21.07 | 5.86 |
| in rear, never on terms BF IP MIN 19.5 BF IP MAX 1000 | |||||||||||
| 2 | 11th | 3.5 | 13 | Bullace | 3 | 106 | Beckett, R M | Crouch, Hector | 33/1 | 42.13 | 9.97 |
| raced wide towards rear, pushed along 3f out, never a factor BF IP MIN 38 BF IP MAX 1000 | |||||||||||
| 8 | 12th | 1.75 | 1 | Mostahdaf (IRE) | 3 | 108 | Gosden, John and Thady | Crowley, Jim | 10/1 | 13.50 | 4.38 |
| close up, effort when short of room and not clear run entering final 2f, weakened final furlong BF IP MIN 6.2 BF IP MAX 950 | |||||||||||
| 10 | 13th | 19 | 3 | Ontario (IRE) | 3 | 107 | OBrien, A P | Lordan, W M | 125/1 | 170.00 | 38.00 |
| led and soon clear, reduced lead 3f out, headed approaching 2f out, soon weakened BF IP MIN 46 BF IP MAX 1000 | |||||||||||
St Jamess Palace Stakes (Group 1)
Distance: 1m (1753 yards) Prize (winner): £148000 Dir: Right Handed
Runners: 7 Going: Good To Soft Class: Class 1 Group 1 Age Restrictions: 3yo
Winners Time: 1 mins 42.38s Avg OR: 115 Median OR: 114 Stalls: Inside
| No | Place | Dist Bt | Stall | Horse | Age | OR | Trainer | Jockey (Claim) | Odds | BF | BFP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1st | 6 | Palace Pier | 3 | 109 | Gosden, John and Thady | Dettori, L | 4/1 | 7.78 | 3.46 | |
| dwelt, held up in last pair, headway and 5 wide on home turn, chased leaders over 2f out, challenged 2f out, stayed on inside final furlong to lead towards finish, won going away BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 11 | |||||||||||
| 3 | 2nd | 1 | 2 | Pinatubo (IRE) | 3 | 126 | Appleby, Charlie | Buick, William | 11/8 (Fav) | 2.46 | 1.53 |
| held up in rear, angled out and good headway between horses over 2f out, went 2nd over 1f out, soon ridden to challenge, led 100 yards out, headed and no extra towards finish BF IP MIN 1.26 BF IP MAX 1000 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 3rd | HD | 7 | Wichita (IRE) | 3 | 118 | OBrien, A P | Moore, Ryan | 9/4 | 3.40 | 1.76 |
| raced wide early, tracked leader until went on 6f out, pushed along and joined 2f out, ridden and headed 100 yards out, no extra towards finish BF IP MIN 2.1 BF IP MAX 1000 | |||||||||||
| 4 | 4th | 5.5 | 3 | Positive | 3 | 113 | Cox, C G | Kirby, Adam | 14/1 | 13.50 | 4.90 |
| raced keenly in 5th, headway chasing leaders 3f out, hung right over 2f out, ridden and outpaced inside final 2f, plugged on and went remote 4th post BF IP MIN 6.6 BF IP MAX 1000 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 5th | NSE | 4 | Threat (IRE) | 3 | 114 | Hannon (Jnr), Richard | Murphy, Oisin | 20/1 | 25.92 | 7.60 |
| forced to race wide, tracked leaders, went 2nd over 3f out, every chance 2f out, ridden and lost 2nd over 1f out, weakened final furlong, lost remote 4th post BF IP MIN 7.2 BF IP MAX 1000 | |||||||||||
| 1 | 6th | 2.5 | 1 | Arizona (IRE) | 3 | 116 | OBrien, A P | Levey, S M | 25/1 | 23.82 | 7.52 |
| tracked leaders on inside, weakened inside final 2f BF IP MIN 16 BF IP MAX 1000 | |||||||||||
| 5 | 7th | 8 | 5 | Royal Dornoch (IRE) | 3 | 110 | OBrien, A P | Marquand, Tom | 50/1 | 80.30 | 21.00 |
| slight lead 2f, tracked leader, pushed along halfway, lost 2nd over 3f out, weakened and behind over 2f out BF IP MIN 42 BF IP MAX 1000 | |||||||||||
St Jamess Palace Stakes (Group 1)
Distance: 1m (1753 yards +5 yards rails adjustment) Prize (winner): £305525 Dir: Right Handed
Runners: 11 Going: Good Class: Class 1 Group 1 Age Restrictions: 3yo
Winners Time: 1 mins 39.90s Avg OR: 101 Median OR: 110 Stalls: Inside
| No | Place | Dist Bt | Stall | Horse | Age | OR | Trainer | Jockey (Claim) | Odds | BF | BFP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1st | 1 | Circus Maximus (IRE) | 3 | 110 | OBrien, A P | Moore, Ryan | 10/1 | 12.50 | 3.34 | |
| tracked leader, pushed along over 2f out, led over 1f out, ridden and hung left and headed briefly inside final furlong, ran on BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 20 | |||||||||||
| 4 | 2nd | NK | 5 | King Of Comedy (IRE) | 3 | 111 | Gosden, John and Thady | Kirby, Adam | 4/1 | 5.60 | 2.22 |
| towards rear, ridden and headway over 1f out, ran on strongly inside final furlong, not reach winner BF IP MIN 4.8 BF IP MAX 640 | |||||||||||
| 10 | 3rd | 0.75 | 2 | Too Darn Hot | 3 | 120 | Gosden, John and Thady | Dettori, L | 2/1 (Fav) | 3.45 | 1.46 |
| close up, headway over 1f out, ridden to lead briefly inside final furlong when hung left, no extra close home BF IP MIN 1.33 BF IP MAX 1000 | |||||||||||
| 8 | 4th | 0.5 | 3 | Skardu | 3 | 111 | Haggas, W J | Doyle, James | 7/1 | 9.38 | 2.85 |
| held up, headway 2f out, switched left over 1f out, stayed on towards finish BF IP MIN 7 BF IP MAX 1000 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 5th | 2 | 6 | Shaman (IRE) | 3 | 114 | Laffon-Parias, C | Guyon, Maxime | 14/1 | 17.27 | 4.00 |
| raced wide held up, pushed along 2f out, stayed on inside final furlong, nearest finish BF IP MIN 15.5 BF IP MAX 1000 | |||||||||||
| 5 | 6th | NK | 7 | Phoenix Of Spain (IRE) | 3 | 120 | Hills, Charles | Spencer, Jamie | 5/2 | 4.00 | 1.66 |
| tracked leaders, ridden over 1f out, kept on same pace BF IP MIN 1.86 BF IP MAX 1000 | |||||||||||
| 3 | 7th | 1 | 11 | Fox Champion (IRE) | 3 | 110 | Hannon (Jnr), Richard | Sousa, Silvestre De | 25/1 | 50.37 | 7.40 |
| led, ridden and headed over 1f out, weakened final furlong BF IP MIN 26 BF IP MAX 1000 | |||||||||||
| 11 | 8th | 0.5 | 10 | Van Beethoven (CAN) | 3 | 107 | OBrien, A P | OBrien, Donnacha | 66/1 | 135.86 | 19.00 |
| towards rear, ridden 2f out, never a factor BF IP MIN 80 BF IP MAX 1000 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 9th | 2.5 | 4 | Royal Marine (IRE) | 3 | 109 | Suroor, Saeed Bin | Soumillon, C | 33/1 | 74.86 | 11.00 |
| in touch, headway over 2f out, ridden and weakened final furlong BF IP MIN 21 BF IP MAX 1000 | |||||||||||
| 1 | 10th | 3.5 | 8 | Bell Rock | 3 | 0 | Balding, A M | Murphy, Oisin | 33/1 | 80.62 | 12.50 |
| raced wide close up, ridden and weakened over 2f out BF IP MIN 50 BF IP MAX 1000 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 11th | 5 | 9 | The Irish Rover (IRE) | 3 | 99 | OBrien, A P | Heffernan, J A | 100/1 | 795.13 | 74.80 |
| slow into stride always in rear BF IP MIN 500 BF IP MAX 1000 | |||||||||||
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