St James's Palace Tips – Royal Ascot 2021
FREE professional horse racing tips for Royal Ascot 2021.
Get Professional Tipster Keith Bond's FREE Royal Ascot Tips For All 36 Races.
Get Professional Tipster Keith Bond's FREE Royal Ascot Tips For All 36 Races.
St James' Palace Stakes tips
View Keith's tips for the St James's Palace Stakes
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The St James’s Palace Stakes (Group 1)
Age: 3yo colts
Distance: 1 Mile
Weights – 9st
Prize: £538,750
The St James Palace Stakes is contested by the leading three-year-old colts and competitors have often run in the 2000 Guineas, the most notable winner in recent years was the great Frankel in 2011 under Tom Queally.
The most successful jockey has been Michael Kinane with 6 wins between 1982 and 2007.
The trainer with the most wins is Aidan O’Brien with 8 winners so far the most recent being last year’s winner Circus Maximus.
- Age – Race restricted to three-year-olds.
- Sex – Race restricted to colts.
- Country – Six of the last twelve winners were bred in Ireland, five in Great Britain and one in the USA. Nine of the last twelve winners have had an Irish sire.
- Colour – Eight of the last twelve winners have been bay (b), two were chestnut (ch) and one each grey (gr) and brown (br).
- Starting Price (SP) – Ten of the last twelve winners have returned a SP of 6/1 or less.
- Starting Price Rank – Ten of the last twelve winners have been in the top three in the betting with eight of them starting favourite. The other four were all in the first five in the betting at the off.
- Headgear – Eleven of the last twelve winners wore no headgear. The other one was in first-time blinkers.
- Draw – Nine of the last twelve winners have been drawn in stall 7 or lower. The other one came from stall 15 but there has only been one race in the last twelve years with more than twelve runners.
- Last Run Form – Seven of the last twelve winners won their most recent race.
- Days since last run – All of the last twelve winners had raced within the last 45 days.
- Course Form – Only four of the last twelve winners had a previous run at Ascot and all four had won at the course.
- Distance Form – Eleven of the last twelve winners had at least one previous run over one mile and at least one previous win over one mile.
- Flat Form – All of the last twelve winners had at least three previous flat runs and eleven of them had at least two previous flat wins.
- Official Rating – Only ten of the last twelve winners had a BHA rating all of them were rated between 109 and 130.
- Group Wins – Nine of the last twelve winners had won at least a Group 3 race and eight of them had won a Group 1.
- Current Season Form – Eleven of the last twelve winners had at least two runs and at least one win in the current season.
| Date | Track | Distance | Going | Runners | Winner | Stallion | Age | Jockey (Clm) | Trainer | Odds | Weight | OR | Stall | Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.06.2020 | Ascot | 1m | Good To Soft | 7 | Palace Pier | Kingman | 3 | Dettori, L | Gosden, J H M | 4/1 | 9-0 | 109 | 6 | 14d |
| 18.06.2019 | Ascot | 1m | Good | 11 | Circus Maximus (IRE) | Galileo (IRE) | 3 | Moore, Ryan | OBrien, A P | 10/1 | 9-0 | 110 | 1 | 17d |
| 19.06.2018 | Ascot | 1m | Good To Firm | 10 | Without Parole | Frankel | 3 | Dettori, L | Gosden, J H M | 9/4 | 9-0 | 109 | 2 | 26d |
| 20.06.2017 | Ascot | 1m | Good To Firm | 8 | Barney Roy | Excelebration (IRE) | 3 | Doyle, James | Hannon (Jnr), Richard | 5/2 | 9-0 | 118 | 4 | 45d |
| 14.06.2016 | Ascot | 1m | Soft | 7 | Galileo Gold | Paco Boy (IRE) | 3 | Dettori, L | Palmer, Hugo | 6/1 | 9-0 | 120 | 7 | 24d |
| 16.06.2015 | Ascot | 1m | Good To Firm | 5 | Gleneagles (IRE) | Galileo (IRE) | 3 | Moore, Ryan | OBrien, A P | 8/15 | 9-0 | 122 | 5 | 24d |
| 17.06.2014 | Ascot | 1m | Good | 7 | Kingman | Invincible Spirit (IRE) | 3 | Doyle, James | Gosden, J H M | 8/11 | 9-0 | 125 | 7 | 24d |
| 18.06.2013 | Ascot | 1m | Good | 9 | Dawn Approach (IRE) | New Approach (IRE) | 3 | Manning, K J | Bolger, J S | 5/4 | 9-0 | 125 | 5 | 17d |
| 19.06.2012 | Ascot | 1m | Good To Soft | 16 | Most Improved (IRE) | Lawman (FR) | 3 | Fallon, K | Meehan, B J | 9/1 | 9-0 | 115 | 15 | 255d |
| 14.06.2011 | Ascot | 1m | Good | 9 | Frankel | Galileo (IRE) | 3 | Queally, T P | Cecil, H R A | 30/100 | 9-0 | 130 | 5 | 45d |
| 15.06.2010 | Ascot | 1m | Good | 9 | Canford Cliffs (IRE) | Tagula (IRE) | 3 | Hughes, Richard | Hannon, R | 11/4 | 9-0 | 122 | 4 | 24d |
| 16.06.2009 | Ascot | 1m | Good To Firm | 10 | Mastercraftsman (IRE) | Danehill Dancer (IRE) | 3 | Murtagh, J | OBrien, A P | 5/6 | 9-0 | 0 | 3 | 24d |
| 17.06.2008 | Ascot | 1m | Good To Firm | 8 | Henrythenavigator (USA) | Kingmambo (USA) | 3 | Murtagh, J | OBrien, A P | 4/7 | 9-0 | 0 | 4 | 24d |
| 19.06.2007 | Ascot | 1m | Good To Firm | 8 | Excellent Art | Pivotal | 3 | Spencer, Jamie | OBrien, A P | 8/1 | 9-0 | 0 | 8 | 276d |
| 20.06.2006 | Ascot | 1m | Good To Firm | 11 | Araafa (IRE) | Mull Of Kintyre (USA) | 3 | Munro, Alan | Noseda, J | 2/1 | 9-0 | 116 | 10 | 24d |
| 14.06.2005 | York | 1m | Good To Firm | 8 | Shamardal (USA) | Giants Causeway (USA) | 3 | McEvoy, Kerrin | Suroor, Saeed Bin | 7/4 | 9-0 | 123 | 2 | 241d |
| 15.06.2004 | Ascot | 1m | Good To Firm | 11 | Azamour (IRE) | Night Shift (USA) | 3 | Kinane, M J | Oxx, John M | 9/2 | 9-0 | 0 | 11 | 24d |
| 17.06.2003 | Ascot | 1m | Good To Firm | 11 | Zafeen (FR) | Zafonic (USA) | 3 | Holland, Darryll | Channon, M R | 8/1 | 9-0 | 117 | 7 | 24d |
| 18.06.2002 | Ascot | 1m | Good | 9 | Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) | Danehill (USA) | 3 | Kinane, M J | OBrien, A P | 4/5 | 9-0 | 0 | 6 | 24d |
| 19.06.2001 | Ascot | 1m | Good | 11 | Black Minnaloushe (USA) | Storm Cat (USA) | 3 | Murtagh, J | OBrien, A P | 8/1 | 9-0 | 0 | 11 | 24d |
| 20.06.2000 | Ascot | 1m | Good To Firm | 11 | Giants Causeway (USA) | Storm Cat (USA) | 3 | Kinane, M J | OBrien, A P | 7/2 | 9-0 | 0 | 9 | 24d |
| 15.06.1999 | Ascot | 1m | Good To Firm | 11 | Sendawar (IRE) | Priolo (USA) | 3 | Mosse, G | Royer-Dupre, A De | 2/1 | 9-0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 16.06.1998 | Ascot | 1m | Good To Soft | 8 | Dr Fong (USA) | Kris S (USA) | 3 | Fallon, K | Cecil, H R A | 4/1 | 9-0 | 0 | 5 | 34d |
| 17.06.1997 | Ascot | 1m | Good | 8 | Starborough | Soviet Star (USA) | 3 | Dettori, L | Loder, D R | 11/2 | 9-0 | 0 | 4 | 45d |
| No. | Form | D | Horse | A/S | W/HG | Jockey | Trainer | Miles | Stall | OR | Odds | HRB | CD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1111113 | 14 | Pinatubo (IRE) | 3yo C | 9-0 | Buick, William | Appleby, Charlie | 88 | 2 | 126 | 2/1 | 316 | C |
| 7 | 12132 | 14 | Wichita (IRE) | 3yo C | 9-0 | Moore, Ryan | OBrien, A P | Abroad | 7 | 114 | 15/8 | 291 | |
| 6 | 122115 | 266 | Threat (IRE) | 3yo C | 9-0 | Murphy, Oisin | Hannon (Jnr), Richard | 52 | 4 | 114 | 8/1 | 255 | |
| 2 | 111 | 14 | Palace Pier | 3yo C | 9-0 | Dettori, L | Gosden, J H M | 88 | 6 | 109 | 5/1 | 245 | D |
| 4 | 1216 | 252 | Positive | 3yo C | 9-0 | Kirby, Adam | Cox, C G | 43 | 3 | 113 | 12/1 | 234 | |
| 1 | 211320 | 14 | Arizona (IRE) | 3yo C | 9-0 | Levey, S M | OBrien, A P | Abroad | 1 | 116 | 12/1 | 229 | C |
| 5 | 231510 | 14 | Royal Dornoch (IRE) | 3yo C | 9-0 | Marquand, Tom | OBrien, A P | Abroad | 5 | 110 | 33/1 | 227 | D |
Keith Bond is our resident pro tipster here at FRT Towers. He's been studying the cards, form, stats, trends and more for the St James' Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot, and here's his thoughts ahead of the race:
We are on for a treat here with last years top 2-year-old PINATUBO and WICHITA who were third and second in the 2000 Guineas both priced up at around 7/4 the race could turn out to be between them. The main threats to that pair are THREAT and PALACE PIER.
Keith's final choice
15:00 POSITIVE 16/1 – Below par when sixth in the Dewhurst won by PINATUBO. Was only a nose behind subsequent 2000 Guineas winner KAMEKO prior to that. Can out run these odds.
How it fared
POSITIVE 4TH – Outpaced in the closing stages and finished 5 lengths behind the first three home, PALACE PIER, PINATUBO and WICHITA.
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Leading Contenders
TOO DARN HOT 6/4 – The top two-year-old last term winning all his races including the Group 1 Dewhurst Stakes. Had a delayed start to his season missing both the Greenham and the 2000 Guineas due to heat in a splint bone. Second in the Dante at York last time when he clearly didn’t stay the trip.
MAGNA GRECIA 7/4 – Dual Group 1 winner including the 2000 Guineas. Only defeat came on fast going last season. Massive player if there is a little juice in the ground.
SKARDU 6/1 – Craven stakes winner in April but was over four lengths behind MAGNA GRECIA in the Guineas so well held on that performance
CALYX 10/1 – Has won all three races to date but unraced at further than six furlongs. May find stamina limitations over this mile trip.
Conclusion
TOO DARN HOT 6/4 found things tough in the Dante but this drop back to a mile will put his career back on track.
What our members tipped in the St James's Palace Stakes
Each day we ask our members to select their Pick 6, their NAP for each race of the day. We then collate all the picks, and present the top selections to our VIP members. Here's how it went for the St James's Palace Stakes:
The biggest vote of confidence of the day from your selections goes to Pinatubo with 48.5% of your selections here. Frankie on Palace Pier way back in second with 27.3% and Wichita the only contender here with 11.6% of the Pick6+2 selections.
Too Darn Hot looks to be too hot here with over 40% of the votes, but a fair bit of love for Phoenix of Spain too
1 Palace Pier 4/1
2 Pinatubo 11/8F
3 Wichita 9/4
7 ran
2 King Of Comedy 4/1
3 Too Darn Hot 2/1F
11 ran Distances: nk, ¾l, ½l
Time: 1m 39.90s (slow by 0.90s)
Our verdict:
What a race! Keeping us on the edge of our seats until the finish line, Circus Maximus kept with the front runners until taking the lead from Fox Champion. Then four challengers try to take the lead, however, If it was a little longer, King of Comedy might have snatched it, but Circus Maximus held on to give the Aidan O'Brien and Ryan Moore combination a second win of the opening day of Royal Ascot 2019 in the St James's Palace Stakes.
| No | Place | Dist Bt | Stall | Horse | Age | Weight | Headgear | OR | Trainer | Jockey (Claim) | Odds | BF | BFP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1st | 6 | Palace Pier | 3 | 9-0 | 109 | Gosden, J H M | Dettori, L | 4/1 | 7.78 | 3.46 | ||
| dwelt, held up in last pair, headway and 5 wide on home turn, chased leaders over 2f out, challenged 2f out, stayed on inside final furlong to lead towards finish, won going away | |||||||||||||
| 3 | 2nd | 1 | 2 | Pinatubo (IRE) | 3 | 9-0 | 126 | Appleby, Charlie | Buick, William | 11/8 (Fav) | 2.46 | 1.53 | |
| held up in rear, angled out and good headway between horses over 2f out, went 2nd over 1f out, soon ridden to challenge, led 100 yards out, headed and no extra towards finish | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 3rd | HD | 7 | Wichita (IRE) | 3 | 9-0 | 118 | OBrien, A P | Moore, Ryan | 9/4 | 3.4 | 1.76 | |
| raced wide early, tracked leader until went on 6f out, pushed along and joined 2f out, ridden and headed 100 yards out, no extra towards finish | |||||||||||||
| 4 | 4th | 5.5 | 3 | Positive | 3 | 9-0 | 113 | Cox, C G | Kirby, Adam | 14/1 | 13.5 | 4.9 | |
| raced keenly in 5th, headway chasing leaders 3f out, hung right over 2f out, ridden and outpaced inside final 2f, plugged on and went remote 4th post | |||||||||||||
| 6 | 5th | NSE | 4 | Threat (IRE) | 3 | 9-0 | 114 | Hannon (Jnr), Richard | Murphy, Oisin | 20/1 | 25.92 | 7.6 | |
| forced to race wide, tracked leaders, went 2nd over 3f out, every chance 2f out, ridden and lost 2nd over 1f out, weakened final furlong, lost remote 4th post | |||||||||||||
| 1 | 6th | 2.5 | 1 | Arizona (IRE) | 3 | 9-0 | 116 | OBrien, A P | Levey, S M | 25/1 | 23.82 | 7.52 | |
| tracked leaders on inside, weakened inside final 2f | |||||||||||||
| 5 | 7th | 8 | 5 | Royal Dornoch (IRE) | 3 | 9-0 | 110 | OBrien, A P | Marquand, Tom | 50/1 | 80.3 | 21 | |
| slight lead 2f, tracked leader, pushed along halfway, lost 2nd over 3f out, weakened and behind over 2f out |
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