Queen Anne Stakes Tips – Royal Ascot Tips 2021
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Royal Ascot Tuesday 15th June at 2.30pm
The Queen Anne Stakes (Group 1)
Distance: One mile
Weights: 9st 0lbs (3lb allowance for fillies & mares, 1lb allowance for southern hemisphere 4yos)
There are two outstanding jockeys for this race, Sir Gordon Richards who won the race a total of 6 times between 1925 and 1952. Frankie Dettori matched this 6 win run when he finished on board Ramonti in the 2007 race.
Most notable race performance by a horse in the Queen Anne Stakes must go to Frankel when he earned flat racing’s highest rating (147) for his 11 length romp home in 2012. You can watch this brilliant performance in the video:
Here are the Queen Anne Stakes 12 year Trends and Statistics 2009 – 2020.
- Age – Eleven of the last twelve winners were aged four (8) or five (3). The other one was aged six.
- Sex – Eight of the last twelve winners were colts, two were geldings and two mares.
- Country – Six of the last twelve winners were bred in Ireland, three in Great Britain, two in the USA and one in France.
- Colour – Ten of the last twelve winners were bay (b). The other two were grey (gr) although only seven greys have competed in the last twelve years and show a £10.38 profit to level £1 stakes a ROI of 148%.
- Starting Price – Ten of the last twelve winners have returned a SP of 15/2 or less. The two most recent winners, however, returned at 33/1 and 14/1.
- Starting Price Rank – Nine of the last twelve winners were in the first two in the betting at the off. Six winners stated as favourite and a further three began the race as the second favourite.
- Headgear – Eleven of the last twelve winners didn't wear any headgear. One winner wore blinkers.
- Draw – Ten of the last twelve winners were drawn in stall 8 or lower.
- Days Since Last Run – Nine of the last twelve winners ran within the last thirty-one days.
- Last Run Form – Eleven of the last twelve runners last ran in a Group 1 race last time, the exception ran in a Grade 2 race in the USA. Six of the last twelve winners won on their previous run. Seven of the last twelve winners ran at Newbury last time.
- Course Form – Seven of the last twelve winners had at least one previous run at Ascot. All seven had a previous win at Ascot.
- Distance Form – Eleven of the last twelve winners had at least one previous win over one mile.
- Flat Form – Eleven of the last twelve winners had at least four previous flat wins.
- Official Rating – Only eleven of the last twelve winners had a BHA rating and ten of them were rated between 112 and 130. Six of the winners had the highest official rating in the race.
- Group Wins – Eleven of the last twelve winners had at least one previous win in a Group race
- Current Season Form – Ten of the last twelve winners had at least one run in the current season. Eight of them had at least one win in the current season.
|15.06.2021||Ascot||Good To Firm||11||Palace Pier||4||Dettori, L||Gosden, John and Thady||2/7||31d|
|16.06.2020||Ascot||Good To Soft||15||Circus Maximus (IRE)||4||Moore, Ryan||OBrien, A P||4/1||300d|
|18.06.2019||Ascot||Good||16||Lord Glitters (FR)||6||Tudhope, Daniel||OMeara, D||14/1||31d|
|19.06.2018||Ascot||Good To Firm||15||Accidental Agent||4||Bishop, Charles||Houghton, Eve Johnson||33/1||31d|
|20.06.2017||Ascot||Good To Firm||16||Ribchester (IRE)||4||Buick, William||Fahey, R A||11/10||31d|
|14.06.2016||Ascot||Soft||13||Tepin (USA)||5||Leparoux, Julien R||Casse, Mark||11/2|
|16.06.2015||Ascot||Good||8||Solow||5||Guyon, Maxime||Head, F||11/8|
|17.06.2014||Ascot||Good||10||Toronado (IRE)||4||Hughes, Richard||Hannon (Jnr), Richard||4/5||300d|
|18.06.2013||Ascot||Good||13||Declaration Of War (USA)||4||OBrien, J P||OBrien, A P||15/2||31d|
|19.06.2012||Ascot||Good To Soft||11||Frankel||4||Queally, T P||Cecil, H R A||1/10||31d|
|14.06.2011||Ascot||Good||7||Canford Cliffs (IRE)||4||Hughes, Richard||Hannon, R||11/8||31d|
|15.06.2010||Ascot||Good||10||Goldikova (IRE)||5||Peslier, O||Head, F||11/8||342d|
|16.06.2009||Ascot||Good To Firm||9||Paco Boy (IRE)||4||Hughes, Richard||Hannon, R||100/30||31d|
|17.06.2008||Ascot||Good To Firm||11||Haradasun (AUS)||5||Murtagh, J||OBrien, A P||5/1||31d|
|19.06.2007||Ascot||Good To Firm||8||Ramonti (FR)||5||Dettori, L||Suroor, Saeed Bin||5/1||31d|
|20.06.2006||Ascot||Good To Firm||7||Ad Valorem (USA)||4||Fallon, K||OBrien, A P||13/2||72d|
|14.06.2005||York||Good To Firm||10||Valixir (IRE)||4||Soumillon, C||Fabre, A||4/1||62d|
|15.06.2004||Ascot||Good To Firm||16||Refuse To Bend (IRE)||4||Dettori, L||Suroor, Saeed Bin||12/1||31d|
|17.06.2003||Ascot||Good To Firm||10||Dubai Destination (USA)||4||Dettori, L||Suroor, Saeed Bin||9/2||13d|
|18.06.2002||Ascot||Good||12||No Excuse Needed||4||Murtagh, J||Stoute, Sir Michael||13/2||31d|
|19.06.2001||Ascot||Good||10||Medicean||4||Fallon, K||Stoute, Sir Michael||11/2||31d|
|20.06.2000||Ascot||Good To Firm||11||Kalanisi (IRE)||4||Fallon, K||Stoute, Sir Michael||11/2||36d|
|15.06.1999||Ascot||Good To Firm||8||Cape Cross (IRE)||5||Stevens, Gary||Suroor, Saeed Bin||7/1||262d|
|16.06.1998||Ascot||Good To Soft||9||Intikhab (USA)||4||Dettori, L||Suroor, Saeed Bin||9/4||10d|
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What's Our Queen Anne Stakes Tips for Royal Ascot?
We've been studying the cards, form, stats, trends and more for the Queen Anne Stakes at Royal Ascot, and here's our thoughts ahead of the race:
The Group 1 Queen Anne Stakes kicks off the Royal Ascot festival and currently we have a short-priced favourite in Palace Pier, and with some justification after winning the Bet365 mile at Sandown. On the eye it was an impressive 8-length victory and he quickened up well from 2 furlongs out. However this result was arguably somewhat flattering due to the pace collapse and the under-performance of Happy Power and Khuzaam. It was the 28/1 shot Bless Him who finished second, while the other market rivals really disappointed, so it might be worth steering clear of the 7/4 top price.
This presents an opportunity for some each way prospects, and there appears to be much more value in backing Lope Y Fernandez at an each way price than Palace Pier at win-only odds. The performance of Lope Y Fernandez in the Heritage Stakes at Leopardstown in April appears to be the best piece of form this year on British or Irish soil. That was just his third start over a mile after having placed in his previous two starts in the Irish 2000 Guineas and the Breeders Cup Mile. In a recent interview, Aiden O’Brien admitted they didn’t work out the best trip for this horse until after the Breeders Cup and now realise they are an out-and-out mile prospect. It looks to be the trainer’s best chance in the race and he is the leading trainer in the race over the last 20 years with 4 victories. With 8 of the last 12 winners being 4-year-olds and 10 of the last 12 winners being in the top 3 in the betting this would appear to be a strong pick at the prices.
Looking further down the market for a juicy each way price, Sinawann looks overpriced currently. He finished a creditable sixth in the 2000 Guineas last season, just a couple of lengths behind Lope Y Fernandez, and was short of room in the closing stages on that occasion. That was followed up with two impressive performances at Leopardstown, firstly winning a Group 3 before finishing second by a head in a Group 2 when last seen. They were also short of room in that race so that performance can perhaps be upgraded and being a 4-year-old has the right profile to make an impact in this race.
- 1pt each way Lope y Fernandez
- 0.5pts each way Sinawann
On the Day we said:
PALACE PIER 2.30 – Ascot (2/5) – It is very hard to oppose PALACE PIER as he is a top-class racehorse and is miles clear on ratings. He won 2 Group 1s as a 3-y-o, including St James's Palace at Royal Ascot. And was an impressive winner of Group 2 at Sandown and Group 1 Lockinge at Newbury this term. He will be very difficult to beat.
How did we do?
PALACE PIER (SP 2/7) – WON the race beating our Antepost selection Lope y Fenandez by 1 and a half lengths
The Queen Anne Stakes is a bit of an enigma this year with none of the leading contenders ticking every box. Last years St James' Palace winner CIRCUS MAXIMUS is a warm favourite at around 5/2 with Dahlia winner TEREBELLUM and FOX CHAIRMAN next in the market at 7/1 and 8/1 respectively.
Keith's final choice
13:50 TEREBELLUM 7/2 – While dual Group 1 winner CIRCUS MAXIMUS merits respect the improver is TEREBELLUM who won the Group 3 Dalhia Stakes at Newmarket 10 days ago shaping up like she would be even better dropped back in trip.
How it fared
TEREBELLUM (5/1) was second just losing out in a battle with CIRCUS MAXIMUS which went right to the line.
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This is what Keith said about the 2019 Queen Anne Stakes:
MUSTASHRY 5/1 – Course and distance winner. Last month he added the Group 1 Lockinge Stakes at Newbury to his already impressive CV, winning with some authority despite drifting left.
LAURENS 8/1 – Absolute superstar last season. Second in the 1000 Guinea’s then going on to win five Group 1 races. Second in the Lockinge behind MUSTASHRY on only start this season.
LE BRIVIDO 8/1 – Course winner. Fifth in the Lockinge last time. Has never won at further than seven furlongs so stamina is a worry.
AUXERRE 12/1 – Won the Lincoln at Doncaster in March but this is a big step up from handicap company.
MUSHASHRY and LAURENS look to be the pair to concentrate on and even though the latter must make up 2½ lengths on their last meeting she is sure to strip fitter in this and can take advantage of her 3lb fillies’ allowance.
My selection LAURENS 8/1 each way.
Who is our Antepost Tipster for Royal Ascot?
Our Royal Ascot Antepost tips is brought to you by one of our panel of professional tipsters. Meet Aaron Gibbons who runs the AG Tips service on Tipsterr.
Aaron is a professional horse racing tipster specialising mainly in UK and Irish horse racing. I use my own methods to price up horse races independently and compare those prices against the market to identify the best each way value. I launched my AG Tips service on Tipstrr back in June 2019, since when I have provided over 1400 selections that have produced an overall long-term profit of 335 units, equating to a 23.5% ROI.
Each day we ask our members to select their Pick 6, their NAP for each race of the day. We then collate all the picks, and present the top selections to our VIP members. Here's what our member's tipped:
Race One | 2:30pm – Queen Anne Stakes PALACE PIER
No surprises here who the bulk of the selections are for and it's Frankie on PALACE PIER that gets just short of 70%.
You won't get rich at odds of 2/5 though and the best of the rest include LORD GLITTERS and ORDER OF AUSTRALIA both with 7% of your selections.
AP O'Brien's LOPE Y FERNANDEZ worthy of a mention on 6.5%.
Ryan Moore’s ride, Circus Maximus, gets the lion's share of selections here with 28% of your votes. Frankie breathing down his neck though with 15% of you on the next best, Terebellum.
2:30pm – Queen Anne Stakes
First up we have the Queen Anne Stakes and it’s Laurens and Mustashry who head up the selections from your Pick 6’s. Laurens the clear fave with over 30% of the selections, Mustashry having 27.7%.
1 Palace Pier 2/7F
2 Lope Y Fernandez 12/1
3 Sir Busker 22/1
11 ran Distances: 1½l, 1l, ¾l
1 Circus Maximus 4/1F
2 Terebellum 5/1
3 Marie's Diamond 40/1
15 ran NR: Bless Him Distances: hd, 3l, hd
Time: 1m 40.05s (slow by 1.45s)
1 Lord Glitters 14/1
2 Beat The Bank 20/1
3 One Master 20/1
4 Romanised 25/1
16 ran Distances: nk, ¾l, ¾l
Time: 1m 37.40s (fast by 1.20s)
The favourites never had a look in, finishing mid division, it was all to play for with the outsiders though, with Lord Glitters raising his head just at the right time when they crossed the line together with Beat the Bank, who he stole the race from by a neck.
Both Keith, our members and the betting public all fell for the favourites Laurens and Mustashry who finished 6th and 7th respectively.
Watch the thrilling finish of the Queen Anne Stakes at Royal Ascot 2019, and watch Lord Glitters win the race by a neck from Beat the Bank:
|No||Place||Dist Bt||Stall||Horse||Age||OR||Trainer||Jockey (Claim)||Odds||BF||BFP|
|6||1st||11||Palace Pier||4||125||Gosden, John and Thady||Dettori, L||2/7 (Fav)||1.33||1.12|
|dwelt close up, headway to lead over 1f out, ran on BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 1.56|
|3||2nd||1.5||8||Lope Y Fernandez (IRE)||4||117||OBrien, A P||Heffernan, J A||12/1||20.00||2.88|
|in touch, headway 2f out, ridden to chase winner inside final furlong, no threat BF IP MIN 5 BF IP MAX 1000|
|10||3rd||1||9||Sir Busker (IRE)||5||110||Knight, W J||Murphy, Oisin||22/1||38.00||3.43|
|held up, ridden and headway over 1f out, stayed on one pace BF IP MIN 9.6 BF IP MAX 960|
|4||4th||0.75||4||Lord Glitters (FR)||8||115||OMeara, D||Tudhope, Daniel||28/1||54.07||4.91|
|held up towards rear, ridden over 1f out, stayed on towards finish BF IP MIN 40 BF IP MAX 110|
|7||5th||1.75||6||Pogo (IRE)||5||112||Hills, Charles||Shoemark, Kieran||66/1||110.00||11.41|
|led, headed 5f out, led again entering final 2f, ridden and headed over 1f out, no extra inside final furlong BF IP MIN 34 BF IP MAX 1000|
|11||6th||NK||1||Top Rank (IRE)||5||113||Tate, James||McDonald, P J||18/1||20.00||3.00|
|held up, headway over 2f out, ridden and kept on same pace final furlong BF IP MIN 8 BF IP MAX 1000|
|1||7th||SH||5||Accidental Agent||7||106||Houghton, Eve Johnson||Bishop, Charles||66/1||130.66||11.00|
|dwelt, towards rear, ridden 2f out, kept on inside final furlong, never nearer BF IP MIN 90 BF IP MAX 1000|
|5||8th||0.75||7||Order Of Australia (IRE)||4||120||OBrien, A P||Moore, Ryan||17/2||17.50||3.14|
|tracked leader early, tracked leaders, pushed along 2f out, weakened final furlong BF IP MIN 14 BF IP MAX 930|
|2||9th||1.5||2||Bless Him (IRE)||7||105||Simcock, D M||Spencer, Jamie||50/1||237.61||11.50|
|slowly away in rear, never on terms BF IP MIN 65 BF IP MAX 1000|
|9||10th||2.25||3||Regal Reality||6||116||Stoute, Sir Michael||Kingscote, Richard||25/1||40.00||4.30|
|close up, ridden 2f out, weakened approaching final furlong BF IP MIN 30 BF IP MAX 900|
|8||11th||4||10||Prince Eiji||5||107||Varian, Roger||Atzeni, Andrea||50/1||72.30||6.64|
|took keen hold, tracked leader, led 5f out, ridden and headed entering final 2f, weakened quickly BF IP MIN 36 BF IP MAX 300|
|No||Place||Dist Bt||Stall||Horse||Age||OR||Trainer||Jockey (Claim)||Odds|
|3||1st||4||Circus Maximus (IRE)||4||118||OBrien, A P||Moore, Ryan||4/1 (Fav)|
|prominent, ridden and every chance over 1f out, ran on to lead post BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 15.5|
|16||2nd||HD||8||Terebellum (IRE)||4||110||Gosden, John and Thady||Dettori, L||5/1||6.71||2.61|
|close up, ridden to lead over 1f out, soon joined, ran on, headed post BF IP MIN 1.16 BF IP MAX 500|
|7||3rd||3||15||Maries Diamond (IRE)||4||113||Johnston, M||Fanning, Joe||40/1||51.07||15.32|
|led, ridden and headed over 1f out, stayed on BF IP MIN 22 BF IP MAX 1000|
|11||4th||HD||12||Roseman (IRE)||4||114||Varian, Roger||Atzeni, Andrea||11/1||13.21||4.00|
|dwelt, tracked leaders, ridden 2f out, stayed on towards finish BF IP MIN 10.5 BF IP MAX 1000|
|1||5th||1||7||Accidental Agent||6||107||Houghton, Eve Johnson||Bishop, Charles||100/1||96.90||22.00|
|towards rear, pushed along and headway inside final furlong, nearest finish BF IP MIN 60 BF IP MAX 1000|
|13||6th||NK||1||Space Traveller||4||113||Fahey, R A||Tudhope, Daniel||25/1||32.39||7.38|
|tracked leaders, pushed along over 2f out, kept on same pace BF IP MIN 20 BF IP MAX 1000|
|8||7th||NK||14||Mohaather||4||113||Tregoning, M P||Crowley, Jim||6/1||8.04||2.91|
|towards rear, not clear run over 2f out and inside final furlong, ran on, nearest finish BF IP MIN 7.6 BF IP MAX 1000|
|12||8th||0.5||6||Skardu||4||114||Haggas, W J||Doyle, James||10/1||11.20||4.04|
|held up, ridden and headway inside final furlong, never nearer BF IP MIN 13 BF IP MAX 1000|
|15||9th||NK||11||Billesdon Brook||5||116||Hannon (Jnr), Richard||Levey, S M||22/1||26.72||5.78|
|in touch, ridden 2f out, no impression final furlong BF IP MIN 23 BF IP MAX 1000|
|6||10th||0.75||13||Fox Chairman (IRE)||4||110||Balding, A M||Sousa, Silvestre De||7/1||9.40||3.39|
|tracked leaders, pushed along over 2f out, weakened final furlong BF IP MIN 7.6 BF IP MAX 1000|
|9||11th||0.5||5||Mustashry||7||121||Stoute, Sir Michael||ONeill, Dane||12/1||15.45||4.47|
|held up, ridden over 1f out, not trouble leaders BF IP MIN 15 BF IP MAX 1000|
|5||12th||0.75||16||Escobar (IRE)||6||111||OMeara, D||Kirby, Adam||80/1||168.28||22.10|
|held up, ridden 2f out, not trouble leaders BF IP MIN 95 BF IP MAX 1000|
|4||13th||1||9||Duke Of Hazzard (FR)||4||115||Cole, P F I||McDonald, P J||25/1||30.00||8.63|
|in rear, wide and effort over 2f out, weakened final furlong BF IP MIN 21 BF IP MAX 1000|
|10||14th||2||10||Plumatic||6||113||Graffard, F-H||Murphy, Oisin||12/1||16.53||5.54|
|in touch, ridden 2f out, weakened final furlong BF IP MIN 13.5 BF IP MAX 1000|
|14||15th||3||3||Turjomaan (USA)||4||109||Varian, Roger||Egan, David||33/1||41.86||10.33|
|in touch, ridden over 2f out, weakened over 1f out BF IP MIN 42 BF IP MAX 1000|
Non Runners – Bless Him (IRE)
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