Ascot Gold Cup Tips – Royal Ascot 2022

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When is the Ascot Gold Cup at Royal Ascot?

Royal Ascot Thursday 16th June 4.20pm
The Gold Cup (Group 1)
Age: 4yo+
Distance: Two mile four furlongs
Weights – 9st 0lb (4yo), 9st 2lbs (5yo+), (3lb allowance for fillies and mares, 1lb allowance for Southern hemisphere 4yo’s)
Prize: £500,000

Queen Mary Stakes 2019 where Raffle Prize wins

History of the Ascot Gold Cup race at Royal Ascot

First run in 1807, the Gold Cup was originally open to horses 3 years and over.

An interesting fact is that the 1844 race was attended by Nicholas I of Russia, who was making a state visit to England. Czar Nicholas offered a new trophy for the race the “Emperor's Plate” and this became the title of the event for a short period. Its original name was restored in 1853, during the Crimean War.

Lester Piggott is the Gold Cup's most successful jockey, with a phenomenal eleven wins between 1957 and 1982.

The leading trainer is Aidan O’Brien who has recorded seven wins so far, four of them with the fantastic YEATS. YEATS remains the most successful horse of the Ascot Gold Cup, with none beating it’s four wins.

Royal Ascot Gold Cup Trends and Statistics

Here are the Ascot Gold Cup 12-year Trends and Statistics:

  • Age – Ten of the last twelve winners were aged between four and six.
  • Sex – While males have dominated over the last twelve years, four horses, four geldings and three colts having won. There have only been two fillies entered in the race in the last twelve years and one of them won (ESTIMATE owned by her majesty The Queen), a 50% strike rate.
  • Country – Eight of the last twelve winners were bred in Ireland, three were bred in Great Britain and one in France
  • Colour – Eight of the last twelve winners have been bay (b), three were chestnut (ch) and the other one grey (gr).
  • Starting Price (SP) –, Ten of the last twelve winners were sent off at 6/1 or less.
  • Starting Price Rank – Eight winning favourites in the last twelve years
  • Headgear – Ten of the last twelve winners wore no headgear the other two had cheekpieces on. 
  • Draw – Winners have come from all parts of the draw but no winner in the last twelve has been drawn higher than 12. 
  • Last Run Form – Nine of the last twelve winners won on their last run before Ascot. Eleven finished in the first three last time out.
  • Days since last run – Eleven of the last twelve winners had their last run between 13 and 53 days ago.
  • Course Form – Nine of the last twelve winners had at least one previous run at Ascot, eight of them had at least one previous win at Ascot.
  • Flat Form – Eleven of the last twelve winners had at least six previous flat runs and at least three previous flat wins.
  • Official Rating – Only ten of the last twelve winners had an official rating and they were between 107 and 124.
  • Group Wins – Ten of the last twelve winners had at least one win in a Group race, seven of them had prevailed in a Group 1.
  • Current Season Form – Eleven of the last twelve winners had at least one run that season, ten of them had at least one win that season.

Recent Winners of The Ascot Gold Cup

DateGoingRunnersWinnerAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOddsDays
Good To Firm12413/2278d
Soft864/513d
Soft115Evens34d
Good To Firm947/434d
Good To Firm1465/128d
Soft17410/1113d
Good To Firm12412/121d
Good To Firm13410/1132d
Good To Firm1447/250d
Good To Soft946/150d
Good To Soft15511/818d
Good To Firm12620/192d
Good To Firm986/453d
Good To Firm10711/853d
Good To Firm1468/1322d
Good To Firm1257/1278d
Good To Firm1767/4364d
Good To Firm1345/117d
Good To Firm1243/124d
Good To Firm15616/117d
Good To Firm1258/124d
Good To Firm11611/835d
Good To Firm17420/129d
Good16411/124d
Good13511/224d

 

 

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What's Our Ascot Gold Cup Tips for Royal Ascot?

We've been studying the cards, form, stats, trends and more for the Ascot Gold Cup at Royal Ascot, and here's our thoughts ahead of the race:

The Gold Cup inevitably centres on whether Stradivarius can make it four in a row and equal the record set by Yeats, who won this race from 2006-2009. He returned at the end of April to win the Sagaro Stakes in comfortable fashion and is not scheduled for another run before the Gold Cup. The horse stays really well and has a fantastic turn of foot over a staying trip and it’s a deadly combination that nobody has been able to live with for the last 3 years. At a best price of 6/4 it does not appear to be a price worth getting stuck into, so it is worth looking for some each way value further down the market.

Mark Johnston heads the opposition, with Subjectivist and Sir Ron Priestley both offering single figure prices in the race. Subjectivist took a big step forward with a career best at Meydan in March, winning the Dubai Gold Cup really well by six lengths. He stayed on over the 2-mile trip and there could be more to come stepping up to 2m 4f here. Sir Ron Priestley has returned after coming second in the 2019 St Leger, winning two races this season so far at Nottingham and Newmarket. Both were won fairly comfortably and being a strong stayer as well, Mark Johnston has an exciting prospect here.

Of the others near the front end of the market, Trueshan did beat Stradivarius last October at Ascot, but the ground was soft to heavy on that occasion. That suited Trueshan much more than Stradivarius and it will again need a remarkable amount of rain in the build up to Royal Ascot for Trueshan to come into the reckoning. If the ground is the usual good summer ground, however, then I would not be rushing to back Trueshan at single figure odds. Also, Ocean Wind has been held on numerous occasions by the horses at the top of the market and Tiger Moth will surely need a little more progress to usurp Stradivarius.

We generally get at least 8 runners going to post for the Gold Cup, and at the prices currently available, both Subjectivist and Sir Ron Priestley hold each way value at 6/1 and 8/1 to oppose Stradivarius. The narrow price of Stradivarius is fully justified, of course, but it’s hard to get too excited at such firm odds and these two horses certainly have positive each way prospects.

Our Antepost Bet:

  • 1pt each way Subjectivist
  • 1pt each way Sir Ron Priestley

On the day:

TRUESHAN 4.15 – Ascot (7/2) – Stormed clear to win the Long Distance Cup here in October, with Stradivarius having an off-day, and returned with an encouraging run behind Japan in the Ormonde at Chester. It will all depend on whether Stradivarius can emulate the mighty Yeats and land a fourth Gold Cup.

Originally billed as a rematch between dual Gold Cup winner and peoples favourite STRADIVARIUS and KEW GARDENS who lowered his colours in the Long Distance Cup on Champions Day but KEW GARDENS has since been scratched. There are still plenty of questions that need answering though, is STRADIVARIUS as good as he was at around 4/7 the betting market confidence is high? What about the other leading contender's TECHNICIAN, CROSS COUNTER, and NAYEF ROAD. I have my eye on an each-way option to take STRADIVARIUS  but a lot will depend on race day conditions. Sun is forecast for gold cup day, lets hope they have got it right.

Keith's final choice

15:35 NAYEF ROAD 16/1 each way – Every fibre of my body screams STRADIVARIUS will win his third Gold Cup but at 4/5 the value is poor. Mark Johnston's Dee Ex Bee ran him close three times last season earning us a bit of place money in the process. NAYEF ROAD is another Johnston inmate, he galloped strongly to win the Sagaro at Newcastle 2 weeks ago and is cracking each-way value at 16/1.

How it fared

NAYEF ROAD 2ND 16/1 (ADV) – WOW!! What a fantastic race, NAYEF ROAD took the race by the scruff of the neck and attempted to make all and without the machine STRADIVARIUS in the race, he would have done, but, when Frankie Dettori pressed the accelerator on the champion it was game over as the STRADIVARIUS landed his third Gold Cup by a wide margin. NAYEF ROAD himself was 8 lengths ahead of the field but 10 lengths behind the winner. WOW!!

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This is what Keith said about the 2019 Ascot Gold Cup:

Leading Contenders
STRADIVARIOUS 13/8 – Dominated the staying division last season winning five from five and it will take something special to knock him off his perch, but the opposition look stronger this year. Won his prep race at York.
CROSS COUNTER 9/2 – Impressive CV, three wins from four at Group Level. Finished off last season with victory in the Melbourne Cup and started this season with a win in the Dubai Gold Cup.
DEE EX BEE 6/1 – Second in the Derby was definitely his best run last season. The step up to two miles brought out the best in him and he won the Sagaro here with some authority and followed up in the Henry II at Sandown has put him firmly in the picture to this race.
KEW GARDENS 12/1 – St Leger winner, seventh in the Arc only four lengths behind Enable. Won the Queen’s Vase at last year’s Royal Ascot in a faster time than STRADIVARIOUS the year before. Second on unsuitable going at Chester last time.

Readers of our Ascot Flyer will know that my original selection was KEW GARDENS each way and I still believe he will be involved but the way that DEE EX BEE 6/1 each way has been running this season is impressive and I think that is where the value lies.

Who is our Antepost Tipster for Royal Ascot?

Our Royal Ascot Antepost tips is brought to you by one of our panel of professional tipsters.  Meet Aaron Gibbons who runs the AG Tips service on Tipsterr.

Aaron is a professional horse racing tipster specialising mainly in UK and Irish horse racing. I use my own methods to price up horse races independently and compare those prices against the market to identify the best each way value. I launched my AG Tips service on Tipstrr back in June 2019, since when I have provided over 1400 selections that have produced an overall long-term profit of 335 units, equating to a 23.5% ROI.

What our members tipped in the Ascot Gold Cup

Each day we ask our members to select their Pick 6, their NAP for each race of the day.  We then collate all the picks, and present the top selections to our VIP members.  Our members picked these for the Ascot Gold Cup: 

Race Four | 4:15pm – Ascot Gold Cup

Feature race of the day and week, with all eyes on STRADIVARIUS and no surprises here that he has the lion's share with 50% of the selections.
He could become only the second horse to win four Gold Cup's but it's TRUSHAN that could get in the way of that record.  There's 20.5% of you seeing Stradivarius getting beat here.
SUBJECTIVIST the only other possible danger from your selections.

A huge 55% of you on Frankie Dettori and Stradivarius but not much value here in the betting. Nayef Road and Moonlight Spirit had some early support, but next best is Technician with 10.5% of the selections.

No guessing who gets the lion’s share of the votes, with Stradivarius way out in front with almost 60% of the votes.  Dee Ex Bee the nearest contender with 21.7% of the votes.

Royal Ascot Ascot Gold Cup Results 

1 Subjectivist 13/2
2 Princess Zoe 28/1
3 Spanish Mission 7/1
12 ran

1 Stradivarius 1/1F
2 Dee Ex Bee 7/2
3 Master Of Reality 66/1
11 ran Distances: 1l, nse, ¾l

Our Verdict:

It nearly didn’t happen for Stradivarius as he got blocked in until a furlong out, but as space opened up, and Dettori asks for effort, Stradivarius delivers, taking the Ascot Gold Cup from Dee Ex Bee who led for much of the race. Our members and our Tipster both agreed to form the forecast – Stradivarius and Dee Ex Bee leaving plenty of punters happy with that result.

Gold Cup (Group 1) (British Champions Series)
Distance: 2m4f (4390 yards) Prize (winner): £213017 Dir: Right Handed
Runners: 12    Going: Good To Firm    Class: Class 1 Group 1    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 4 mins 20.28s   Avg OR: 112     Median OR: 113.5     Stalls: Inside

NoPlaceDist BtStallHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
121st4Subjectivist4117Johnston, MFanning, Joe13/29.062.58
pressed leader, led over 3f out, soon kicked clear off final bend, stayed on strongly inside final furlong, readily BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 10
132nd55Princess Zoe (GER)6108Mullins, AnthonySheridan, J M28/132.007.50
pushed along leaving stalls, soon held up rear of mid-division, pushed along over 3f out, headway and switched right from final bend, went 2nd 2f out, edged left over 1f out, unable to make any impression on winner, stayed on BF IP MIN 3.1 BF IP MAX 1000
33rd0.56Spanish Mission (USA)5117Balding, A MBuick, William7/110.002.33
held up towards rear, raced keenly, started raced keenly on downhill run about 12f out, headway over 2f out, edged right over 1f out, 3rd final furlong, no impression on winner, stayed on BF IP MIN 8 BF IP MAX 670
44th1.758Stradivarius (IRE)7125Gosden, John and ThadyDettori, L5/6 (Fav)1.961.29
held up rear of mid-division, not clear run and hampered 3f out, soon switched left, closed and switched right over 2f out, edged right and 3rd over 1f out, 4th and held inside final 150 yards, never any impression on winner BF IP MIN 1.74 BF IP MAX 1000
95th913Emperor Of The Sun (IRE)4113Obrien, DonnachaRyan, Gavin16/119.204.02
raced wide early, held up towards rear, some headway and switched left over 2f out, 6th and no impression over 1f out, went well held 5th inside final furlong BF IP MIN 19.5 BF IP MAX 1000
16thNK9Nayef Road (IRE)5111Johnston, MCurtis, B A50/167.268.86
raced wide early, chased leaders on outside 3f, settled in touch in mid-division after, closed 5f out, ridden 3f out, driven in 2nd over 2f out, 5th and no extra over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong BF IP MIN 15 BF IP MAX 1000
107th3.7511Santiago (IRE)4114OBrien, A PHeffernan, J A11/113.503.30
held up towards rear, headway when hampered just over 2f out, no impression, well beaten over 1f out BF IP MIN 14.5 BF IP MAX 1000
118th43Serpentine (IRE)4119OBrien, A PMoore, Ryan11/114.503.37
mid-division, closed on outside over 4f out, lost place over 2f out, weakened over 1f out BF IP MIN 7.2 BF IP MAX 1000
69th3.757Twilight Payment (IRE)8116OBrien, Joseph PatrickMarquand, Tom16/127.904.93
prominent over 3f, chased leaders, ridden over 3f out, lost place over 2f out, weakened over 1f out BF IP MIN 16 BF IP MAX 1000
210th191Rip Van Lips (IRE)5107Suborics, ADoyle, James66/1134.2716.50
chased leaders on inside, pushed along over 3f out, weakened over 2f out BF IP MIN 55 BF IP MAX 1000
711th72Amhran Na Bhfiann (IRE)4109OBrien, A PLordan, W M40/191.4513.27
led, ridden and headed over 3f out, lost place over 2f out, soon weakened BF IP MIN 50 BF IP MAX 1000
812th9912Ben Lilly (IRE)492Brown, D HLee, G150/1746.7150.71
held up in rear, ridden and lost touch over 6f out, tailed off BF IP MIN 640 BF IP MAX 1000

Gold Cup (Group 1) (British Champions Series)
Distance: 2m4f (4390 yards) Prize (winner): £148000 Dir: Right Handed
Runners: 8    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Group 1    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 4 mins 32.60s   Avg OR: 114     Median OR: 113     Stalls: Inside

NoPlaceDist BtStallHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
41st2Stradivarius (IRE)6122Gosden, John and ThadyDettori, L4/5 (Fav)1.831.23
mid-division, headway going well over 3f out, went 2nd on bit over 2f out, shaken up to lead over 1f out, quickened smartly and immediately clear, impressive BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 2.2
72nd101Nayef Road (IRE)4113Johnston, MMoore, Ryan11/114.502.64
raced keenly, led, got more lit up when pressed 10f out, headed over 1f out, no chance with winner, stayed on BF IP MIN 4.2 BF IP MAX 1000
13rd86Cross Counter5118Appleby, CharlieDoyle, James7/110.002.27
got warm before race, slowly into stride, held up in rear, ridden over 3f out, stayed on from over 1f out, went 3rd inside final furlong, no chance with winner BF IP MIN 7.2 BF IP MAX 1000
54th37Withhold7110Charlton, RWatson, Jason40/148.006.56
chased leader, challenged over 5f out, ridden over 3f out, lost 2nd over 2f out, no chance with winner over 1f out, one pace and lost 3rd inside final furlong BF IP MIN 20 BF IP MAX 1000
25th2.254Mekong5112Osborne, J ACrowley, Jim33/151.605.51
started slowly, held up in rear, some headway over 3f out, no impression and well beaten final 2f BF IP MIN 22 BF IP MAX 1000
36th48Prince Of Arran7113Fellowes, CharlieAtzeni, Andrea33/152.536.39
mid-division, lost place over 3f out, well beaten over 2f out BF IP MIN 14.5 BF IP MAX 1000
87th2.55Technician (IRE)4116Meade, MMurphy, Oisin4/16.801.71
raced in 6th, pushed along over 6f out, driven over 3f out, well beaten over 2f out BF IP MIN 6.4 BF IP MAX 1000
68thNK3Moonlight Spirit (IRE)4110Appleby, CharlieBuick, William10/113.002.77
raced in 3rd, ridden over 3f out, no chance with winner over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong BF IP MIN 9.4 BF IP MAX 1000

Gold Cup (Group 1)
Distance: 2m4f (4390 yards) Prize (winner): £283550 Dir: Right Handed
Runners: 11    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Group 1    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 4 mins 30.88s   Avg OR: 113     Median OR: 113     Stalls: Inside

NoPlaceDist BtStallHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
41st2Stradivarius (IRE)5120Gosden, John and ThadyDettori, LEvens (Fav)2.251.30
tracked leaders on inside, going well when not clear run over 2f out, soon switched left, quickened to lead over 1f out, always comfortably doing enough to hold rivals after BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 2.4
82nd18Dee Ex Bee4115Johnston, MSousa, Silvestre De7/25.351.66
led, pushed along over 3f out, headed over 2f out, held by winner final furlong, stayed on, took 2nd post BF IP MIN 4 BF IP MAX 950
103rdNSE9Master Of Reality (IRE)4108OBrien, Joseph PatrickLordan, W M66/1215.1627.00
disputed lead 2f, close 2nd until led over 2f out, headed over 1f out, held by winner final furlong, stayed on, lost 2nd post BF IP MIN 7.8 BF IP MAX 950
64th0.754Cross Counter4118Appleby, CharlieDoyle, James4/16.002.20
held up towards rear, headway on outside over 2f out, went 4th and edged right over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong, never quite able to challenge BF IP MIN 4.5 BF IP MAX 1000
95th55Flag Of Honour (IRE)4117OBrien, A PMoore, Ryan11/115.003.14
mid-division, effort and switched left over 2f out, ridden and beaten over 1f out, well held 5th final 100 yards BF IP MIN 12 BF IP MAX 1000
26th1.257Capri (IRE)5113OBrien, A POBrien, Donnacha16/121.674.40
tracked leaders, ridden and close up 2f out, one pace over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong BF IP MIN 11 BF IP MAX 1000
117thNK10Raymond Tusk (IRE)4111Hannon (Jnr), RichardSpencer, Jamie40/1119.6313.29
held up in rear, ridden and switched left over 1f out, some progress but never threatened BF IP MIN 100 BF IP MAX 1000
18th0.51Called To The Bar (IRE)5113Brandt, Mme PiaMurphy, Oisin20/128.005.44
held up rear of mid-division, headway when not much room over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, no impression, weakened inside final furlong BF IP MIN 17.5 BF IP MAX 1000
39th36Magic Circle (IRE)7114Williams, IanCrowley, Jim25/156.456.56
held up in mid-division, ridden over 2f out, well held from over 1f out BF IP MIN 28 BF IP MAX 1000
510th453Thomas Hobson9112Mullins, W PAtzeni, Andrea25/165.005.09
mid-division, took keen hold, headway on inside over 4f out, driven over 2f out, soon weakened, tailed off BF IP MIN 23 BF IP MAX 1000
711th1911Cypress Creek (IRE)4107OBrien, A PHeffernan, J A66/1366.6921.26
held up in rear, ridden and well behind over 2f out, tailed off BF IP MIN 200 BF IP MAX 1000

Gold Cup (Group 1) (British Champions Series)
Distance: 2m4f (4390 yards) Prize (winner): £283550 Dir: Right Handed
Runners: 9    Going: Good To Firm    Class: Class 1 Group 1    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 4 mins 21.08s   Avg OR: 114     Median OR: 113     Stalls: Inside

NoPlaceDist BtStallHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
91st6Stradivarius (IRE)4118Gosden, John and ThadyDettori, L7/4 (JFav)3.101.47
tracked leaders on inside, switched left over 2f out, went 2nd inside final 2f, ridden to lead over 1f out, joined inside final furlong, stayed on strongly to assert final 100 yards BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 20
62nd0.755Vazirabad (FR)6117Royer-Dupre, A DeSoumillon, C9/26.001.71
held up towards rear, good headway between horses over 2f out, 2nd and every chance 1f out, pressed winner until no extra final 100 yards BF IP MIN 1.13 BF IP MAX 1000
53rdHD9Torcedor (IRE)6115Harrington, Mrs JohnODonoghue, C14/119.124.45
tracked leader, led narrowly over 3f out, ridden and headed over 1f out, 3rd and one pace inside final furlong, kept on pressing for 2nd, not pace of winner BF IP MIN 2.16 BF IP MAX 1000
24th37Order Of St George (IRE)6123OBrien, A PMoore, Ryan7/4 (JFav)2.781.30
bit reluctant going to post, tracked leaders, pushed along over 4f out, ridden and went 2nd over 2f out, every chance until winner quickened on over 1f out, hung right and weakened inside final furlong BF IP MIN 1.95 BF IP MAX 1000
35th71Scotland (GER)7103Balding, A MCrowley, Jim50/1175.1913.35
held up in 6th, pushed along on outside over 3f out, 5th and no impression when switched left inside final 2f BF IP MIN 80 BF IP MAX 1000
46th1.254Sheikhzayedroad9113Simcock, D MHarley, M33/175.8511.50
held up in 5th, some headway on outside and hung right from over 2f out, plugged on in 6th and no impression final 2f BF IP MIN 50 BF IP MAX 1000
17th3.258Max Dynamite (FR)8111Mullins, W PBuick, William20/147.106.00
steadied start, held up in rear, ridden and outpaced over 2f out, no chance when slightly hampered inside final 2f, never a factor BF IP MIN 30 BF IP MAX 1000
88th83Mount Moriah4111Beckett, R MBentley, Harry33/140.308.60
led and set steady pace until halfway, headed over 3f out, ridden and lost 2nd over 2f out, weakened inside final 2f BF IP MIN 23 BF IP MAX 1000
79th292Desert Skyline (IRE)4112Elsworth, D R CSousa, Silvestre De11/120.293.15
always behind, never a factor, tailed off BF IP MIN 19 BF IP MAX 1000

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