Ladbrokes Novices Chase Tips 2021

FREE professional horse racing tips for the Ladbrokes John Francome Novices Chase at the Ladbrokes Winter Carnival.

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When is The Ladbrokes Novices Chase 2021?

Registered as the Worcester Novices Chase, this race was staged at Worcester until 2000 when it was transferred to Newbury.  Since 2017, this race has been known as the John Francome Novices Chase, and has taken in the sponsors name to called the Ladbrokes John Francome Novices Chase.

The Ladbrokes Novices Chase takes place on Saturday 27th November 2021 with the race starting at 12.40pm during The Ladbrokes Winter Carnival at Newbury Racecourse.

This is a Grade 2 race run over 2 miles and 7.5 furlongs.  It is open to horses aged fours years and over.

Last year's winner took home prize money of £17085.

Colin Tizzard has enjoyed some success of late, with 3 of his horse winning out of the last 5 years with Native River (2015), Thistlecrack (2016) and Elegant Escape (2017).

Ladbrokes Novices Chase Previous Winners

Date Track Distance Going Runners Winner Stallion Age Jockey (Clm) Trainer Odds Weight OR NC(F) Days
Newbury 2m7½f Good 5 8 11/8 11-2 149 0(0) 28d
Newbury 2m7½f Good To Soft 3 6 9/2 11-2 139 0(0) 270d
Newbury 2m7½f Soft 7 6 11/8 11-2 0 0(0) 232d
Newbury 2m7½f Good To Soft 5 5 5/1 11-2 137 0(0) 25d
Newbury 2m7½f Good To Soft 5 8 1/8 11-9 0 0(0) 14d
Newbury 2m7½f Good To Soft 7 5 8/1 11-9 0 1(1) 23d
Newbury 3m Soft 3 6 2/1 11-2 133 0(0) 23d
Newbury 3m Good To Soft 5 6 5/4 11-2 0 0(0) 33d
Newbury 3m Soft 6 5 3/1 11-6 140 0(0) 37d
Newbury 3m Good 4 6 2/7 11-9 0 0(0) 13d
Newbury 3m Good To Soft 5 6 13/2 11-2 0 0(0) 40d
Newbury 3m Good To Soft 4 6 6/4 11-2 0 0(0) 251d
Newbury 3m Good To Soft 6 8 5/2 11-6 143 1(1) 7d
Newbury 3m Soft 4 8 13/2 11-9 137 1(0) 22d
Newbury 3m Good To Soft 5 5 7/2 11-5 0 0(0) 20d
Newbury 3m Good 7 6 14/1 11-2 136 0(0) 19d
Newbury 3m Good 5 7 5/1 11-2 0 0(0) 29d
Newbury 3m Good To Soft 6 7 2/1 11-9 137 1(1) 35d
Newbury 3m Soft 6 6 14/1 11-2 116 2(1) 14d
Newbury 3m Good 7 6 15/8 11-9 0 0(0) 55d
Newbury 3m Good To Soft 6 6 15/8 11-6 0 0(0) 33d
Worcester 2m7½f Good To Soft 4 6 13/2 11-2 0 2(1) 21d
Worcester 2m7½f Heavy 7 6 100/30 11-1 0 0(0) 21d
Worcester 2m7½f Soft 9 7 10/1 11-1 0 0(0)

 

Ladbrokes Novices Chase Stats and Trends

Ladbrokes John Francome Novices Chase

12 Year Trends and Statistics

  • Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6.
  • Sex – All of the last 12 winners were geldings.
  • Trainer – Paul Nicholls and Colin Tizzard have dominated with 4 and 3 wins respectively in the last 12 years.
  • Horse – No horse has won this race more than once the last 12 years. 
  • Country – 7 of the last 12 winners were bred in Ireland, 3 in Great Britain and 2 in France.
  • Colour – 10 of the last 12 winners were bay.
  • Weight Carried – 8 of the last 12 winners carried 11st 2lb and all 12 carried between 11st 2lb and 11st 9lb.
  • Starting Price (SP) – All of the last 12 winners returned a SP of 1/2 or less.
  • Starting Price Rank – 4 of the last 12 winners started as favourite and 11 were in the first 3 in the betting.
  • Headgear – None of the last 12 winners wore any headgear. 
  • Days Since Last Run – 9 of the last 12 winners had run between 11 and 41 days ago and 2 had been off the track at least 241 days. 
  • Last Run Form –9 of the last 12 winners had won last time out, all 12 of them finished in the first 2 last time.

Ladbrokes Novices Chase Results

Ladbrokes John Francome Novices Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race)
Distance: 2m7½f (5146 yards +14 yards rails adjustment) Prize (winner): £17085 Dir: Left Handed
Runners: 5    Going: Good    Class: Class 1 Grade 2    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 5 mins 43.00s   Avg OR: 144     Median OR: 145 

Full Results:

No Place Dist Bt Horse Age Weight Headgear OR Trainer Jockey (Claim) Odds BF BFP
5 1st Next Destination (IRE) 8 11-2 149 Nicholls, P F Cobden, Harry 11/8 (Fav) 2.60 1.55
mostly chased leader, pushed along before 4 out, led between last 2, 1 length ahead last, pushed along and kept on strongly run-in BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 5.4
6 2nd 1.25 One For The Team 6 11-2 140 Williams, Nick Scudamore, Tom 8/1 12.00 3.45
chased leading pair, went 1 length 2nd at the last, ridden and stayed on same pace run-in BF IP MIN 2.44 BF IP MAX 1000
4 3rd 6.5 Kalooki (GER) 6 11-2 147 Hobbs, P J Johnson, Richard 7/4 2.74 1.57
jumped left at times, led, went clear before 4th, reduced lead 6th, mistake 14th, went left and pecked 3 out, headed between last 2, awkward and weakened into 3rd at the last BF IP MIN 1.7 BF IP MAX 1000
3 4th 5.5 Hold The Note (IRE) 6 11-2 CkPc 145 Channon, M R Burke, Jonathan 17/2 10.20 3.74
held up in last pair, closer in 4th at 7th, awkward 12th, pushed along before 4 out, ridden and weakened next BF IP MIN 9.2 BF IP MAX 1000
2 5th 34 Acey Milan (IRE) 6 11-2 TT 137 Honeyball, A J Dingle, Rex 14/1 17.24 5.80
last pair out wide, behind 7th, outpaced and struggling 13th, tailed off BF IP MIN 16.5 BF IP MAX 1000

Ladbrokes John Francome Novices Chase (Grade 2)
Distance: 2m7½f (5146 yards +40 yards rails adjustment) Prize (winner): £22780 Dir: Left Handed
Runners: 3    Going: Good To Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 2    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 5 mins 56.60s   Avg OR: 144     Median OR: 142

1st Danny Whizzbang (IRE) 9/2 
2nd Reserve Tank (IRE) 1/2 (fav)
3rd Ardlethen (IRE) 7/2

Full Results: 

No Place Dist Bt Horse Age Weight Headgear OR Trainer Jockey (Claim) Odds BF BFP
3 1st Danny Whizzbang (IRE) 6 11-2 TT WS 139 Nicholls, P F Cobden, Harry 9/2 6.40
jumped well, bit keen tracking leading pair, pushed along approaching 4 out, challenged next, led before 2 out, 2 lengths ahead last, stayed on strongly to go further clear run-in BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 8.6
1 2nd 4 Reserve Tank (IRE) 5 11-7 151 Tizzard, C L Power, R M 1/2 (Fav) 1.53
jumped left and never fluent, led, mistake 7th, jumped slowly 11th, headed after 13th, chased leader, ridden before 3 out where every chance, chased winner 2 out, ridden and one pace run-in, no chance with winner BF IP MIN 1.49 BF IP MAX 1000
2 3rd 4.5 Ardlethen (IRE) 6 11-2 CkPc 142 Skelton, Daniel Skelton, Harry 7/2 5.15
tracked leader, led after 13th, pecked 4 out, headed before 2 out, lost 2nd 2 out, no extra soon after BF IP MIN 1.54 BF IP MAX 1000

Ladbrokes Novices Chase Tips

Here is the Ladbrokes Novices Chase shortlist NEXT DESTINATION is favourite but doesn't fit the profile and others may be prefered depending wheter or not the rain comes before Saturday, KALOOKI is progressive and has good credentials, SOUTHFIELD STONE has to be entered into calculations too.

Keith' tip on raceday

KALOOKI 12:40 Newbury 15/8 – With Southfield Stone now out of the race this looks to be between our selection and NEXT DESTINATION. KALOOKI is progressive, proven on good ground and marginally preferred.

How did we do?

KALOOKI jumped like a pig making a number of mistakes, he stayed on for third but had no chance of getting to the winner NEXT DESTINATION who put in a clear round.

Keith will email out his final selection for this race to his VIP members on the morning of the race.

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Ladbrokes Winter Carnival Race Card:

Friday 26th November 2021
Gentlemans Day

TIME RACE DISTANCE
12.10 The Ladbrokes “Where The Nation Plays” 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race Class 3 2m ½f
12.45 The Ladbrokes Steeple Chase (A Novices' Limited Handicap) (For the Fulke Walwyn Trophy) Class 3 2m ½f
13.20 The Ladbrokes Daily Odds Boosts Novices' Hurdle Race Class 3 2m 4½f
13.55 The Get Your Ladbrokes £1 Free Bet Today Handicap Steeple Chase Class 2 (Open) 2m 4f
14.30 The Ladbrokes “Where The Nation Plays” Novices Steeple Chase (Registered as The Berkshire) Grade 2 2m 4f
15.05 The Ladbrokes Long Distance Hurdle Race Grade 2 3m ½f
15.40 The Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle Race Class 2 3m

Saturday 27th November 2021
Ladbrokes Trophy Day

TIME RACE DISTANCE
12.10 The Ladbrokes “Where The Nation Plays” Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race Listed 2m ½f
12.40 The Ladbrokes John Francome Novices' Chase (Registered as the Worcester) Grade 2 2m 7½f
13.15 The Sir Peter O'Sullevan Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase Class 2 2m 6½f
13.50 The Ladbrokes Get Your Ladbrokes £1 Free Bet Today Handicap Hurdle Race Class 2 2m 4½f
14.25 The Ladbrokes Intermediate Hurdle (Registered as The Gerry Feilden Hurdle) Listed 2m ½f
15.00 The Ladbrokes Trophy Steeple Chase Grade 3 3m 2f
15.35 The Ladbrokes Handicap Steeple Chase (For The Jim Joel) Class 2 2m ½f

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