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Ladbrokes Novices Chase Tips 2020

FREE professional horse racing tips for the Ladbrokes John Francome Novices Chase at the Ladbrokes Winter Carnival.

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When is The Ladbrokes Novices Chase 2020?

Registered as the Worcester Novices Chase, this race was staged at Worcester until 2000 when it was transferred to Newbury.  Since 2017, this race has been known as the John Francome Novices Chase, and has taken in the sponsors name to called the Ladbrokes John Francome Novices Chase.

The Ladbrokes Novices Chase takes place on Saturday 28th November 2020 with the race starting at 12.45pm during The Ladbrokes Winter Carnival at Newbury Racecourse.

This is a Grade 2 race run over 2 miles and 7.5 furlongs.  It is open to horses aged fours years and over.

Last year's winner took home prize money of £22780.

 Colin Tizzard has enjoyed some success of late, with 3 of his horse winning out of the last 5 years with Native River (2015), Thistlecrack (2016) and Elegant Escape (2017).  

Ladbrokes Novices Chase Previous Winners

DateTrackDistanceGoingRunnersWinnerStallionAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOddsWeightORNC(F)Days
Newbury2m7½fGood5811/811-21490(0)28d
Newbury2m7½fGood To Soft369/211-21390(0)270d
Newbury2m7½fSoft7611/811-200(0)232d
Newbury2m7½fGood To Soft555/111-21370(0)25d
Newbury2m7½fGood To Soft581/811-900(0)14d
Newbury2m7½fGood To Soft758/111-901(1)23d
Newbury3mSoft362/111-21330(0)23d
Newbury3mGood To Soft565/411-200(0)33d
Newbury3mSoft653/111-61400(0)37d
Newbury3mGood462/711-900(0)13d
Newbury3mGood To Soft5613/211-200(0)40d
Newbury3mGood To Soft466/411-200(0)251d
Newbury3mGood To Soft685/211-61431(1)7d
Newbury3mSoft4813/211-91371(0)22d
Newbury3mGood To Soft557/211-500(0)20d
Newbury3mGood7614/111-21360(0)19d
Newbury3mGood575/111-200(0)29d
Newbury3mGood To Soft672/111-91371(1)35d
Newbury3mSoft6614/111-21162(1)14d
Newbury3mGood7615/811-900(0)55d
Newbury3mGood To Soft6615/811-600(0)33d
Worcester2m7½fGood To Soft4613/211-202(1)21d
Worcester2m7½fHeavy76100/3011-100(0)21d
Worcester2m7½fSoft9710/111-100(0)

 

Ladbrokes Novices Chase Stats and Trends

Ladbrokes John Francome Novices Chase

12 Year Trends and Statistics

  • Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6.
  • Sex – All of the last 12 winners were geldings.
  • Trainer – Paul Nicholls and Colin Tizzard have dominated with 4 and 3 wins respectively in the last 12 years.
  • Horse – No horse has won this race more than once the last 12 years. 
  • Country – 7 of the last 12 winners were bred in Ireland, 3 in Great Britain and 2 in France.
  • Colour – 9 of the last 12 winners were bay..
  • Weight Carried – 7 of the last 12 winners carried 11st 2lb and all 12 carried between 11st 2lb and 11st 9lb.
  • Starting Price (SP) – 9 of the last 12 winners returned a SP of 9/2 or less.
  • Starting Price Rank – 4 of the last 12 winners started as favourite and 11 were in the first 3 in the betting.
  • Headgear – None of the last 12 winners wore any headgear. 
  • Days Since Last Run – 9 of the last 12 winners had run between 7 and 40 days ago the other 3 had been off the track at least 232 days. 
  • Last Run Form –9 of the last 12 winners had won last time out, all 12 of them finished in the first 2 last time.

Ladbrokes Novices Chase Results

Ladbrokes John Francome Novices Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race)
Distance: 2m7½f (5146 yards +14 yards rails adjustment) Prize (winner): £17085 Dir: Left Handed
Runners: 5    Going: Good    Class: Class 1 Grade 2    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 5 mins 43.00s   Avg OR: 144     Median OR: 145 

Full Results:

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeWeightHeadgearORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
51stNext Destination (IRE)811-2149Nicholls, P FCobden, Harry11/8 (Fav)2.601.55
mostly chased leader, pushed along before 4 out, led between last 2, 1 length ahead last, pushed along and kept on strongly run-in BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 5.4
62nd1.25One For The Team611-2140Williams, NickScudamore, Tom8/112.003.45
chased leading pair, went 1 length 2nd at the last, ridden and stayed on same pace run-in BF IP MIN 2.44 BF IP MAX 1000
43rd6.5Kalooki (GER)611-2147Hobbs, P JJohnson, Richard7/42.741.57
jumped left at times, led, went clear before 4th, reduced lead 6th, mistake 14th, went left and pecked 3 out, headed between last 2, awkward and weakened into 3rd at the last BF IP MIN 1.7 BF IP MAX 1000
34th5.5Hold The Note (IRE)611-2CkPc145Channon, M RBurke, Jonathan17/210.203.74
held up in last pair, closer in 4th at 7th, awkward 12th, pushed along before 4 out, ridden and weakened next BF IP MIN 9.2 BF IP MAX 1000
25th34Acey Milan (IRE)611-2TT137Honeyball, A JDingle, Rex14/117.245.80
last pair out wide, behind 7th, outpaced and struggling 13th, tailed off BF IP MIN 16.5 BF IP MAX 1000

Ladbrokes John Francome Novices Chase (Grade 2)
Distance: 2m7½f (5146 yards +40 yards rails adjustment) Prize (winner): £22780 Dir: Left Handed
Runners: 3    Going: Good To Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 2    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 5 mins 56.60s   Avg OR: 144     Median OR: 142

1st Danny Whizzbang (IRE) 9/2 
2nd Reserve Tank (IRE) 1/2 (fav)
3rd Ardlethen (IRE) 7/2

Full Results: 

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeWeightHeadgearORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
31stDanny Whizzbang (IRE)611-2TT WS139Nicholls, P FCobden, Harry9/26.40
jumped well, bit keen tracking leading pair, pushed along approaching 4 out, challenged next, led before 2 out, 2 lengths ahead last, stayed on strongly to go further clear run-in BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 8.6
12nd4Reserve Tank (IRE)511-7151Tizzard, C LPower, R M1/2 (Fav)1.53
jumped left and never fluent, led, mistake 7th, jumped slowly 11th, headed after 13th, chased leader, ridden before 3 out where every chance, chased winner 2 out, ridden and one pace run-in, no chance with winner BF IP MIN 1.49 BF IP MAX 1000
23rd4.5Ardlethen (IRE)611-2CkPc142Skelton, DanielSkelton, Harry7/25.15
tracked leader, led after 13th, pecked 4 out, headed before 2 out, lost 2nd 2 out, no extra soon after BF IP MIN 1.54 BF IP MAX 1000

Ladbrokes Novices Chase Tips

Here is the Ladbrokes Novices Chase shortlist NEXT DESTINATION is favourite but doesn't fit the profile and others may be prefered depending wheter or not the rain comes before Saturday, KALOOKI is progressive and has good credentials, SOUTHFIELD STONE has to be entered into calculations too.

Keith' tip on raceday

KALOOKI 12:40 Newbury 15/8 – With Southfield Stone now out of the race this looks to be between our selection and NEXT DESTINATION. KALOOKI is progressive, proven on good ground and marginally preferred.

How did we do?

KALOOKI jumped like a pig making a number of mistakes, he stayed on for third but had no chance of getting to the winner NEXT DESTINATION who put in a clear round.

Keith will email out his final selection for this race to his VIP members on the morning of the race.

If you are not yet a VIP Club member, consider joining by visiting his VIP Club page

Ladbrokes Winter Carnival Race Card:

Friday 27th November
Gentlemans Day

TIMERACEDISTANCE
12.15The Ladbrokes “Where The Nation Plays” 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race Class 32m ½f
12.45The Ladbrokes Steeple Chase (A Novices' Limited Handicap) (For the Fulke Walwyn Trophy) Class 32m ½f
13.20The Ladbrokes Daily Odds Boosts Novices' Hurdle Race Class 32m 4½f
13.50The Get Your Ladbrokes £1 Free Bet Today Handicap Steeple Chase Class 2 (Open)2m 4f
14.25The Ladbrokes “Where The Nation Plays” Novices Steeple Chase (Registered as The Berkshire) Grade 22m 4f
15.00The Ladbrokes Long Distance Hurdle Race Grade 23m ½f
15.35The Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle Race Class 23m

Saturday 28th November
Ladbrokes Trophy Day

TIMERACEDISTANCE
12.10The Ladbrokes “Where The Nation Plays” Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race Listed2m ½f
12.45The Ladbrokes John Francome Novices' Chase (Registered as the Worcester) Grade 22m 7½f
13.20The Sir Peter O'Sullevan Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase Class 22m 6½f
13.50The Ladbrokes Get Your Ladbrokes £1 Free Bet Today Handicap Hurdle Race Class 22m 4½f
14.25The Ladbrokes Intermediate Hurdle (Registered as The Gerry Feilden Hurdle) Listed2m ½f
15.00The Ladbrokes Trophy Steeple Chase Grade 33m 2f
15.35The Ladbrokes Handicap Steeple Chase (For The Jim Joel) Class 22m ½f