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Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle Tips 2020

FREE professional horse racing tips for the Sky Bet Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle at Ascot.

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When is The Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle 2020?

Run as the Sky Bet Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle since 2014, this race is registered as Kennel Gate Novices Hurdle.

In 2020 it is scheduled to run on Friday 18th December, getting underway at 2.30 pm.

The Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle is run over a distance of about 2 miles and is open to horses aged four years and older.

Last year's winner Master Debonair received £19933 running the race in 3 mins and 50.04 seconds.

 

Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle Previous Winners

In 2004 the race was run at Windsor, in 2009 the race was abandoned due to snow, and the following year, it was abandoned because of frost.

DateTrackDistanceGoingRunnersWinnerStallionAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOddsWeightORNC(F)Days
Ascot2mSoft659/111-000(0)21d
Ascot1m7½fHeavy453/111-31360(0)28d
Ascot2mSoft946/411-000(0)
Ascot2mSoft656/411-000(0)43d
Ascot2mGood To Soft649/111-71380(0)28d
Ascot1m7½fSoft551/311-71450(0)30d
Ascot2mSoft34Evens11-71460(0)22d
Ascot2mSoft6511/411-700(0)28d
Ascot2mHeavy444/911-700(0)21d
Ascot2mSoft742/111-71430(0)28d
Ascot2mGood To Soft8414/111-71250(0)31d
Ascot2mGood To Firm664/611-71340(0)61d
Ascot2mGood1068/111-41252(0)20d
Windsor2mSoft4410/1111-71390(0)13d
Ascot2m½fGood10433/111-000(0)
Ascot2m½fSoft8433/111-000(0)261d
Ascot2m½fGood349/411-700(0)
Ascot2m½fHeavy867/111-000(0)588d
Ascot2m½fSoft658/1511-700(0)28d
Ascot2m½fSoft76100/3011-400(0)38d
Ascot2m½fGood To Soft945/411-000(0)16d

 

Keith has poured over the stats for the Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle and found the following trends:

10 Year Trends and Statistics (No race 2009 & 2010 adverse weather)

  • Age – All of the last 10 winners were aged between 4 and 5.
  • Sex – All of the last 10 winners were geldings.
  • Trainer – Nicky Henderson has won the race 4 times in the last 10 years, Paul Nicholls and Alan King have recorded 2 wins.
  • Horse – Due to conditions no horse has run more than once in the race. 
  • Country – 4 of the last 10 winners were bred in France, 3 in Ireland and 3 in Great Britain.
  • Colour – 4 of the last 10 winners were bay and 4 were grey.
  • Weight Carried – 7 of the last 10 winners carried 11st 7lb.
  • Starting Price (SP) – 8 of the last 10 winners returned a SP of 3/1 or less.
  • Starting Price Rank – 5 of the last 10 winners started as favourite and 8 were in the first 2 in the betting.
  • Headgear – 9 of the last 10 winners wore no headgear.
  • Days Since Last Run – All of the last 10 winners had run between 21 and 43 days ago. 
  • Last Run Form –8 of the last 10 winners had won last time out, all of them finished in the first 2 last time.

Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle Tips

The shortlist for the Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle has to come from those at the head of the betting market, MY DROGO, DUSART and LLANDINABO LAD all won last time out and tick plenty of other boxes too.

Keith's Tip on Raceday

LLANDINABO LAD 14:30 Ascot 7/2 – Progressing well over hurdles, 2/2 this season, Listed winner last time. Has a good finishing kick which should be enough to get daylight between him and these rivals in the final furlong.

How did we do?

LLANDINABO LAD found himself in front 4 from home which was a little too soon. He was joined at the last flight by MY DROGO who proved stronger in the finish. 

Keith will have a tip for all races shown on ITV which he will send to all VIP members on the morning of the races.  If you are not yet a VIP member, you can join VIP here.

Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle Results

Sky Bet Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Kennel Gate) (GBB Race)
Distance: 2m (3452 yards +18 yards rails adjustment) Prize (winner): £14238 Direction: Right Handed
Runners: 6    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 2    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 3 mins 51.04s   Avg OR: 90     Median OR: 131.5

Full Results:

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeWeightHeadgearORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
21stMy Drogo511-00Skelton, DanielSkelton, Harry9/111.894.74
held up in rear, rapid headway between horses after 3 out, ridden and upsides last, led flat, ran on strongly close home BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 13
12nd2.75Llandinabo Lad511-5141Symonds, TomJohnson, Richard2/1 (Fav)3.091.86
prominent, upsides 4th, led 4 out, ridden before 2 out, joined last, headed flat, kept on BF IP MIN 1.18 BF IP MAX 1000
63rd3.25Soaring Glory (IRE)511-0133ONeill, JonjoONeill, Jonjo (Jr)100/304.402.18
held up, headway travelling strongly on outside after 3 out, ridden before last, kept on flat BF IP MIN 2.1 BF IP MAX 1000
34th4.75No Ordinary Joe (IRE)411-00Henderson, N JBoinville, Nico9/26.553.67
midfield, in rear but in touch 3rd, ridden after 3 out, one pace from 2 out BF IP MIN 5.1 BF IP MAX 1000
55th7.5Shantou Express (IRE)511-0134Bailey, K CBass, David4/15.502.45
pressed leader, led 3rd, headed 4th, ridden after 3 out, weakened before last BF IP MIN 4.4 BF IP MAX 1000
4PUPress Your Luck (IRE)511-0130Gordon, CCannon, Tom J18/123.308.74
led, headed 3rd, ridden before 3 out, weakened quickly before 2 out, well beaten when pulled up before last BF IP MIN 19 BF IP MAX 1000

Sky Bet Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Kennel Gate)
Distance: 1m7½f (3452 yards) Prize (winner): £19932 Direction: Right Handed
Runners: 4    Going: Heavy    Class: Class 1 Grade 2    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 3 mins 50.04s   Avg OR: 70     Median OR: 68 

Full Results:

 

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeWeightHeadgearORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
11stMaster Debonair511-3136Tizzard, C LPower, R M3/14.701.75
made all, not fluent last 2, ridden and ran on BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 7
32nd8Ribble Valley (IRE)611-0142Richards, N GHughes, Brian5/6 (Fav)1.861.36
keen tracked leaders, chased winner 3 out, ridden next, no impression BF IP MIN 1.34 BF IP MAX 1000
43rd4.5Time Flies By (IRE)411-00Henderson, N JGeraghty, B J9/113.214.05
close up in 4th, ridden and went 3rd approaching 2 out when not fluent, kept on same pace BF IP MIN 6.6 BF IP MAX 1000
24th2.5Mcfabulous (IRE)511-00Nicholls, P FCobden, Harry4/15.462.14
tracked winner until hit 3 out, weakened next BF IP MIN 6.6 BF IP MAX 1000

Ascot December Weekend Race Cards

Christmas Racing Weekend – 18th & 19th December – Ascot Racecourse:

 

Friday 18th December

START TIMESRACEDISTANCETYPE
12:45Ascot Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle2m5fClass 3
1:20Ascot Maiden Hurdle2m5fClass 3
1:55Ascot Novices Limited Handicap Chase2mClass 3
2:30Skybet Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle1m7fGrade 2
3:05Swinley Noel Novices Chase2m3fGrade 2
3:35Ascot Championship Standard Open NH Flat Race1m7fListed

Saturday 19th December

START TIMESRACEDISTANCETYPE
12:40Ascot Novices Handicap Hurdle2m7fClass 4
1:15Ascot Graduation Chase2m5fClass 2
1:50Ascot Handicap Chase2m2fClass 2
2:25Long Walk Hurdle3mGrade 1
3:00Ascot Silver Cup2m7fListed
3:35Betfair Exchange Trophy1m7fGrade 3

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