Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle Tips 2020

FREE professional horse racing tips for the Sky Bet Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle at Ascot.

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When is The Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle 2020?

Run as the Sky Bet Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle since 2014, this race is registered as Kennel Gate Novices Hurdle.

In 2020 it is scheduled to run on Friday 18th December, getting underway at 2.30 pm.

The Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle is run over a distance of about 2 miles and is open to horses aged four years and older.

Last year's winner Master Debonair received £19933 running the race in 3 mins and 50.04 seconds.

 

Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle Previous Winners

In 2004 the race was run at Windsor, in 2009 the race was abandoned due to snow, and the following year, it was abandoned because of frost.

Date Track Distance Going Runners Winner Stallion Age Jockey (Clm) Trainer Odds Weight OR NC(F) Days
Ascot 2m Soft 6 5 9/1 11-0 0 0(0) 21d
Ascot 1m7½f Heavy 4 5 3/1 11-3 136 0(0) 28d
Ascot 2m Soft 9 4 6/4 11-0 0 0(0)
Ascot 2m Soft 6 5 6/4 11-0 0 0(0) 43d
Ascot 2m Good To Soft 6 4 9/1 11-7 138 0(0) 28d
Ascot 1m7½f Soft 5 5 1/3 11-7 145 0(0) 30d
Ascot 2m Soft 3 4 Evens 11-7 146 0(0) 22d
Ascot 2m Soft 6 5 11/4 11-7 0 0(0) 28d
Ascot 2m Heavy 4 4 4/9 11-7 0 0(0) 21d
Ascot 2m Soft 7 4 2/1 11-7 143 0(0) 28d
Ascot 2m Good To Soft 8 4 14/1 11-7 125 0(0) 31d
Ascot 2m Good To Firm 6 6 4/6 11-7 134 0(0) 61d
Ascot 2m Good 10 6 8/1 11-4 125 2(0) 20d
Windsor 2m Soft 4 4 10/11 11-7 139 0(0) 13d
Ascot 2m½f Good 10 4 33/1 11-0 0 0(0)
Ascot 2m½f Soft 8 4 33/1 11-0 0 0(0) 261d
Ascot 2m½f Good 3 4 9/4 11-7 0 0(0)
Ascot 2m½f Heavy 8 6 7/1 11-0 0 0(0) 588d
Ascot 2m½f Soft 6 5 8/15 11-7 0 0(0) 28d
Ascot 2m½f Soft 7 6 100/30 11-4 0 0(0) 38d
Ascot 2m½f Good To Soft 9 4 5/4 11-0 0 0(0) 16d

 

Keith has poured over the stats for the Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle and found the following trends:

10 Year Trends and Statistics (No race 2009 & 2010 adverse weather)

  • Age – All of the last 10 winners were aged between 4 and 5.
  • Sex – All of the last 10 winners were geldings.
  • Trainer – Nicky Henderson has won the race 4 times in the last 10 years, Paul Nicholls and Alan King have recorded 2 wins.
  • Horse – Due to conditions no horse has run more than once in the race. 
  • Country – 4 of the last 10 winners were bred in France, 3 in Ireland and 3 in Great Britain.
  • Colour – 4 of the last 10 winners were bay and 4 were grey.
  • Weight Carried – 7 of the last 10 winners carried 11st 7lb.
  • Starting Price (SP) – 8 of the last 10 winners returned a SP of 3/1 or less.
  • Starting Price Rank – 5 of the last 10 winners started as favourite and 8 were in the first 2 in the betting.
  • Headgear – 9 of the last 10 winners wore no headgear.
  • Days Since Last Run – All of the last 10 winners had run between 21 and 43 days ago. 
  • Last Run Form –8 of the last 10 winners had won last time out, all of them finished in the first 2 last time.

Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle Tips

The shortlist for the Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle has to come from those at the head of the betting market, MY DROGO, DUSART and LLANDINABO LAD all won last time out and tick plenty of other boxes too.

Keith's Tip on Raceday

LLANDINABO LAD 14:30 Ascot 7/2 – Progressing well over hurdles, 2/2 this season, Listed winner last time. Has a good finishing kick which should be enough to get daylight between him and these rivals in the final furlong.

How did we do?

LLANDINABO LAD found himself in front 4 from home which was a little too soon. He was joined at the last flight by MY DROGO who proved stronger in the finish. 

Keith will have a tip for all races shown on ITV which he will send to all VIP members on the morning of the races.  If you are not yet a VIP member, you can join VIP here.

Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle Results

Sky Bet Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Kennel Gate) (GBB Race)
Distance: 2m (3452 yards +18 yards rails adjustment) Prize (winner): £14238 Direction: Right Handed
Runners: 6    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 2    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 3 mins 51.04s   Avg OR: 90     Median OR: 131.5

Full Results:

No Place Dist Bt Horse Age Weight Headgear OR Trainer Jockey (Claim) Odds BF BFP
2 1st My Drogo 5 11-0 0 Skelton, Daniel Skelton, Harry 9/1 11.89 4.74
held up in rear, rapid headway between horses after 3 out, ridden and upsides last, led flat, ran on strongly close home BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 13
1 2nd 2.75 Llandinabo Lad 5 11-5 141 Symonds, Tom Johnson, Richard 2/1 (Fav) 3.09 1.86
prominent, upsides 4th, led 4 out, ridden before 2 out, joined last, headed flat, kept on BF IP MIN 1.18 BF IP MAX 1000
6 3rd 3.25 Soaring Glory (IRE) 5 11-0 133 ONeill, Jonjo ONeill, Jonjo (Jr) 100/30 4.40 2.18
held up, headway travelling strongly on outside after 3 out, ridden before last, kept on flat BF IP MIN 2.1 BF IP MAX 1000
3 4th 4.75 No Ordinary Joe (IRE) 4 11-0 0 Henderson, N J Boinville, Nico 9/2 6.55 3.67
midfield, in rear but in touch 3rd, ridden after 3 out, one pace from 2 out BF IP MIN 5.1 BF IP MAX 1000
5 5th 7.5 Shantou Express (IRE) 5 11-0 134 Bailey, K C Bass, David 4/1 5.50 2.45
pressed leader, led 3rd, headed 4th, ridden after 3 out, weakened before last BF IP MIN 4.4 BF IP MAX 1000
4 PU Press Your Luck (IRE) 5 11-0 130 Gordon, C Cannon, Tom J 18/1 23.30 8.74
led, headed 3rd, ridden before 3 out, weakened quickly before 2 out, well beaten when pulled up before last BF IP MIN 19 BF IP MAX 1000

Sky Bet Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Kennel Gate)
Distance: 1m7½f (3452 yards) Prize (winner): £19932 Direction: Right Handed
Runners: 4    Going: Heavy    Class: Class 1 Grade 2    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 3 mins 50.04s   Avg OR: 70     Median OR: 68 

Full Results:

 

No Place Dist Bt Horse Age Weight Headgear OR Trainer Jockey (Claim) Odds BF BFP
1 1st Master Debonair 5 11-3 136 Tizzard, C L Power, R M 3/1 4.70 1.75
made all, not fluent last 2, ridden and ran on BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 7
3 2nd 8 Ribble Valley (IRE) 6 11-0 142 Richards, N G Hughes, Brian 5/6 (Fav) 1.86 1.36
keen tracked leaders, chased winner 3 out, ridden next, no impression BF IP MIN 1.34 BF IP MAX 1000
4 3rd 4.5 Time Flies By (IRE) 4 11-0 0 Henderson, N J Geraghty, B J 9/1 13.21 4.05
close up in 4th, ridden and went 3rd approaching 2 out when not fluent, kept on same pace BF IP MIN 6.6 BF IP MAX 1000
2 4th 2.5 Mcfabulous (IRE) 5 11-0 0 Nicholls, P F Cobden, Harry 4/1 5.46 2.14
tracked winner until hit 3 out, weakened next BF IP MIN 6.6 BF IP MAX 1000

Ascot December Weekend Race Cards

Christmas Racing Weekend – 18th & 19th December – Ascot Racecourse:

 

Friday 18th December

START TIMES RACE DISTANCE TYPE
12:45 Ascot Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle 2m5f Class 3
1:20 Ascot Maiden Hurdle 2m5f Class 3
1:55 Ascot Novices Limited Handicap Chase 2m Class 3
2:30 Skybet Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle 1m7f Grade 2
3:05 Swinley Noel Novices Chase 2m3f Grade 2
3:35 Ascot Championship Standard Open NH Flat Race 1m7f Listed

Saturday 19th December

START TIMES RACE DISTANCE TYPE
12:40 Ascot Novices Handicap Hurdle 2m7f Class 4
1:15 Ascot Graduation Chase 2m5f Class 2
1:50 Ascot Handicap Chase 2m2f Class 2
2:25 Long Walk Hurdle 3m Grade 1
3:00 Ascot Silver Cup 2m7f Listed
3:35 Betfair Exchange Trophy 1m7f Grade 3

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