Noel Novices Chase Tips 2020

FREE professional horse racing tips for the Sky Bet Noel Novices Chase at Ascot.

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When is The Noel Novices Chase 2020?

The Noel Novices Chase is a Grade 2 National Hunt race.  In 2020 it is scheduled to run on Friday 18th December, getting underway at 3.05pm.  It is being run as the The Sky Bet Noel Novices' Chase.

The Noel Novices Chase is run over a distance of about 2 miles and 3 furlongs, it is open to horses aged four years and older.

Last year's winner Angels Breath received £19932 running the race in 5 mins and 38.82 seconds.

Top Jockey in this race is Richard Dunwoody who has won five times, in 1989/1990/1996/1997/1998

 

Noel Novices Chase Previous Winners

In 2004 the race was run at Windsor, in 2009 the race was abandoned due to snow, and the following year, it was abandoned because of frost.

Date Track Distance Going Runners Winner Stallion Age Jockey (Clm) Trainer Odds Weight OR NC(F) Days
Ascot 2m3f Soft 5 6 5/2 11-0 143 1(1) 283d
Ascot 2m5f Heavy 2 5 1/5 11-0 151 0(0) 28d
Ascot 2m5f Soft 4 5 8/13 11-0 149 0(0) 39d
Ascot 2m5½f Good To Soft 3 5 7/4 11-0 148 0(0) 32d
Ascot 2m5f Good To Soft 4 5 10/11 11-6 144 1(0) 28d
Ascot 2m5f Soft 6 5 2/1 11-4 142 0(0) 32d
Ascot 2m3f Soft 5 5 6/4 11-4 0 0(0) 30d
Ascot 2m3f Soft 4 6 5/4 11-0 145 0(0) 41d
Ascot 2m3f Heavy 5 6 2/9 11-0 0 0(0) 251d
Ascot 2m3f Soft 6 6 7/2 11-0 142 0(0) 14d
Ascot 2m3f Good To Soft 5 7 9/4 11-0 0 0(0) 22d
Ascot 2m3f Good To Firm 4 8 2/11 11-6 150 0(0) 21d
Ascot 2m3f Good 5 6 7/2 11-5 0 0(0) 21d
Windsor 2m4f Good To Soft 7 6 5/4 11-10 0 2(1) 14d
Windsor 2m4f Soft 5 9 13/2 11-4 128 2(2) 21d
Ascot 2m3½f Soft 4 6 9/4 11-8 0 0(0) 14d
Ascot 2m3½f Soft 6 8 Evens 11-8 0 1(0) 35d
Ascot 2m3½f Good 4 6 Evens 11-8 147 0(0) 34d
Ascot 2m3½f Soft 7 6 7/2 11-3 0 2(0) 21d
Ascot 2m3½f Good To Soft 5 5 5/1 11-7 0 0(0) 14d
Ascot 2m3½f Good To Soft 7 5 7/2 11-3 120 0(0) 44d
Ascot 2m3½f Good To Soft 3 7 2/1 11-10 0 0(0) 14d

 

Keith has poured over the stats for the Jacquart Noel Novices Chase and found the following trends:

10 Year Trends and Statistics (No race 2009 & 2010 adverse weather)

  • Age – 5 of the last 10 winners were aged 5, all 10 were between 5 and 7.
  • Sex – All of the last 10 winners were geldings.
  • Trainer – Paul Nicholls has won the race 3 times from just 7 runners in the last 10 years, Nicky Henderson has had 2 wins from 4 runners.
  • Horse – Due to conditions no horse has run more than once in the race. 
  • Country – 4 of the last 10 winners were bred in Ireland, 4 in France and 2 in Great Britain.
  • Colour – 6 of the last 10 winners were bay, the other 4 were grey.
  • Weight Carried – 7 of the last 10 winners carried 11st.
  • Starting Price (SP) – All of the last 10 winners returned a SP of 7/2 or less.
  • Starting Price Rank – 6 of the last 10 winners started as favourite and all were in the first 2 in the betting.
  • Headgear – None of the last 10 winners wore any headgear.
  • Days Since Last Run – 9 of the last 10 winners had run between 14 and 41 days ago. 
  • Last Run Form –10 of the last 10 winners had won last time out, all of them finished in the first 2 last time.

Noel Novices Chase Tips

The Noel Novices Chaseis another race where those favoured in the betting market do very well, a good recent run, preferably a winning one is also omnipotent so with that in mind the short list is BOLD PLAN, FIDDLERONTHEROOF and PIC D'ORTHY.

Keith's Tip on Raceday

FIDDLERONTHEROOF 15:05 Ascot 9/4 – Grade 1 winning hurdler who has taken well to chasing with a win and 2 seconds. Runner up in the Grade 2 Berkshire at Newbury last time he should be able to see off this opposition.

How did we do?

FIDDLERONTHEROOF was perfectly positioned and ridden to lead 2 from home but he was joined by ALART at the last and had to settle for second after being out stayed in the closing stages.

Keith will have a tip for all races shown on ITV which he will send to all VIP members on the morning of the races.  If you are not yet a VIP member, you can join VIP here.

Noel Novices Chase Results

Sky Bet Noel Novices Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race)
Distance: 2m3f (4135 yards +35 yards rails adjustment) Prize (winner): £14807 Direction: Right Handed
Runners: 5    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 2    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 4 mins 55.84s   Avg OR: 144     Median OR: 143

Full Results:

No Place Dist Bt Horse Age Weight Headgear OR Trainer Jockey (Claim) Odds BF BFP
2 1st Allart (IRE) 6 11-0 143 Henderson, N J Boinville, Nico 5/2 3.53 1.84
held up towards rear, hit 6th, headway to to chase leaders 4 out, driven before last, upsides last, led flat, ran on BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 19.5
4 2nd 2.75 Fiddlerontheroof (IRE) 6 11-0 148 Tizzard, C L Power, R M 11/10 (Fav) 2.17 1.40
pressed leader, ridden to lead 2 out, joined last, headed flat, stayed on close home but could not match winner BF IP MIN 1.14 BF IP MAX 1000
5 3rd 8 Kiltealy Briggs (IRE) 6 11-0 TT 140 Snowden, Jamie ONeill, Jonjo (Jr) 9/1 13.50 4.15
led, ridden after 3 out, headed before 2 out, one pace from last BF IP MIN 3.25 BF IP MAX 1000
6 4th 19 Pic DOrhy (FR) 5 11-0 TT 150 Nicholls, P F Cobden, Harry 9/2 6.05 2.59
tracked leaders, close up 8th, ridden and lost place 3 out, weakened before 2 out BF IP MIN 4.2 BF IP MAX 1000
3 5th 3.75 Antunes 6 11-0 137 Skelton, Daniel Skelton, Harry 20/1 28.35 7.76
held up behind leaders, in rear but in touch when ridden after 3 out, weakened before 2 out BF IP MIN 18.5 BF IP MAX 1000

Non Runners  Bold Plan (IRE)

Jacquart Noel Novices Chase (Grade 2)
Distance: 2m5f (4628 yards +41 yards rails adjustment) Prize (winner): £19932 Dir: Right Handed
Runners: 2    Going: Heavy    Class: Class 1 Grade 2    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 5 mins 38.82s   Avg OR: 147     Median OR: 146.5

Full Results:

 

No Place Dist Bt Horse Age Weight Headgear OR Trainer Jockey (Claim) Odds BF BFP
1 1st Angels Breath (IRE) 5 11-0 151 Henderson, N J Boinville, Nico 1/5 (Fav) 1.21
made all, quickened pace 3 out, soon 5 lengths clear, eased flat, unchallenged (fence before swinley bottom not jumped 15 fences jumped) BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 1.25
2 2nd 23 Mont Des Avaloirs (FR) 6 11-0 142 Nicholls, P F Cobden, Harry 4/1 5.60
tracked winner, pushed along soon after 3 out, eased flat when no chance with winner BF IP MIN 4.9 BF IP MAX 1000

Ascot December Weekend Race Cards

Christmas Racing Weekend – 18th & 19th December – Ascot Racecourse:

 

Friday 18th December

START TIMES RACE DISTANCE TYPE
12:45 Ascot Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle 2m5f Class 3
1:20 Ascot Maiden Hurdle 2m5f Class 3
1:55 Ascot Novices Limited Handicap Chase 2m Class 3
2:30 Skybet Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle 1m7f Grade 2
3:05 Swinley Noel Novices Chase 2m3f Grade 2
3:35 Ascot Championship Standard Open NH Flat Race 1m7f Listed

Saturday 19th December

START TIMES RACE DISTANCE TYPE
12:40 Ascot Novices Handicap Hurdle 2m7f Class 4
1:15 Ascot Graduation Chase 2m5f Class 2
1:50 Ascot Handicap Chase 2m2f Class 2
2:25 Long Walk Hurdle 3m Grade 1
3:00 Ascot Silver Cup 2m7f Listed
3:35 Betfair Exchange Trophy 1m7f Grade 3

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