Noel Novices Chase Tips 2020

FREE professional horse racing tips for the Sky Bet Noel Novices Chase at Ascot.

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When is The Noel Novices Chase 2020?

The Noel Novices Chase is a Grade 2 National Hunt race.  In 2020 it is scheduled to run on Friday 18th December, getting underway at 3.05pm.  It is being run as the The Sky Bet Noel Novices' Chase.

The Noel Novices Chase is run over a distance of about 2 miles and 3 furlongs, it is open to horses aged four years and older.

Last year's winner Angels Breath received £19932 running the race in 5 mins and 38.82 seconds.

Top Jockey in this race is Richard Dunwoody who has won five times, in 1989/1990/1996/1997/1998

 

Noel Novices Chase Previous Winners

In 2004 the race was run at Windsor, in 2009 the race was abandoned due to snow, and the following year, it was abandoned because of frost.

DateTrackDistanceGoingRunnersWinnerStallionAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOddsWeightORNC(F)Days
Ascot2m3fSoft565/211-01431(1)283d
Ascot2m5fHeavy251/511-01510(0)28d
Ascot2m5fSoft458/1311-01490(0)39d
Ascot2m5½fGood To Soft357/411-01480(0)32d
Ascot2m5fGood To Soft4510/1111-61441(0)28d
Ascot2m5fSoft652/111-41420(0)32d
Ascot2m3fSoft556/411-400(0)30d
Ascot2m3fSoft465/411-01450(0)41d
Ascot2m3fHeavy562/911-000(0)251d
Ascot2m3fSoft667/211-01420(0)14d
Ascot2m3fGood To Soft579/411-000(0)22d
Ascot2m3fGood To Firm482/1111-61500(0)21d
Ascot2m3fGood567/211-500(0)21d
Windsor2m4fGood To Soft765/411-1002(1)14d
Windsor2m4fSoft5913/211-41282(2)21d
Ascot2m3½fSoft469/411-800(0)14d
Ascot2m3½fSoft68Evens11-801(0)35d
Ascot2m3½fGood46Evens11-81470(0)34d
Ascot2m3½fSoft767/211-302(0)21d
Ascot2m3½fGood To Soft555/111-700(0)14d
Ascot2m3½fGood To Soft757/211-31200(0)44d
Ascot2m3½fGood To Soft372/111-1000(0)14d

 

Keith has poured over the stats for the Jacquart Noel Novices Chase and found the following trends:

10 Year Trends and Statistics (No race 2009 & 2010 adverse weather)

  • Age – 5 of the last 10 winners were aged 5, all 10 were between 5 and 7.
  • Sex – All of the last 10 winners were geldings.
  • Trainer – Paul Nicholls has won the race 3 times from just 7 runners in the last 10 years, Nicky Henderson has had 2 wins from 4 runners.
  • Horse – Due to conditions no horse has run more than once in the race. 
  • Country – 4 of the last 10 winners were bred in Ireland, 4 in France and 2 in Great Britain.
  • Colour – 6 of the last 10 winners were bay, the other 4 were grey.
  • Weight Carried – 7 of the last 10 winners carried 11st.
  • Starting Price (SP) – All of the last 10 winners returned a SP of 7/2 or less.
  • Starting Price Rank – 6 of the last 10 winners started as favourite and all were in the first 2 in the betting.
  • Headgear – None of the last 10 winners wore any headgear.
  • Days Since Last Run – 9 of the last 10 winners had run between 14 and 41 days ago. 
  • Last Run Form –10 of the last 10 winners had won last time out, all of them finished in the first 2 last time.

Noel Novices Chase Tips

The Noel Novices Chaseis another race where those favoured in the betting market do very well, a good recent run, preferably a winning one is also omnipotent so with that in mind the short list is BOLD PLAN, FIDDLERONTHEROOF and PIC D'ORTHY.

Keith's Tip on Raceday

FIDDLERONTHEROOF 15:05 Ascot 9/4 – Grade 1 winning hurdler who has taken well to chasing with a win and 2 seconds. Runner up in the Grade 2 Berkshire at Newbury last time he should be able to see off this opposition.

How did we do?

FIDDLERONTHEROOF was perfectly positioned and ridden to lead 2 from home but he was joined by ALART at the last and had to settle for second after being out stayed in the closing stages.

Keith will have a tip for all races shown on ITV which he will send to all VIP members on the morning of the races.  If you are not yet a VIP member, you can join VIP here.

Noel Novices Chase Results

Sky Bet Noel Novices Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race)
Distance: 2m3f (4135 yards +35 yards rails adjustment) Prize (winner): £14807 Direction: Right Handed
Runners: 5    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 2    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 4 mins 55.84s   Avg OR: 144     Median OR: 143

Full Results:

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeWeightHeadgearORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
21stAllart (IRE)611-0143Henderson, N JBoinville, Nico5/23.531.84
held up towards rear, hit 6th, headway to to chase leaders 4 out, driven before last, upsides last, led flat, ran on BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 19.5
42nd2.75Fiddlerontheroof (IRE)611-0148Tizzard, C LPower, R M11/10 (Fav)2.171.40
pressed leader, ridden to lead 2 out, joined last, headed flat, stayed on close home but could not match winner BF IP MIN 1.14 BF IP MAX 1000
53rd8Kiltealy Briggs (IRE)611-0TT140Snowden, JamieONeill, Jonjo (Jr)9/113.504.15
led, ridden after 3 out, headed before 2 out, one pace from last BF IP MIN 3.25 BF IP MAX 1000
64th19Pic DOrhy (FR)511-0TT150Nicholls, P FCobden, Harry9/26.052.59
tracked leaders, close up 8th, ridden and lost place 3 out, weakened before 2 out BF IP MIN 4.2 BF IP MAX 1000
35th3.75Antunes611-0137Skelton, DanielSkelton, Harry20/128.357.76
held up behind leaders, in rear but in touch when ridden after 3 out, weakened before 2 out BF IP MIN 18.5 BF IP MAX 1000

Non Runners  Bold Plan (IRE)

Jacquart Noel Novices Chase (Grade 2)
Distance: 2m5f (4628 yards +41 yards rails adjustment) Prize (winner): £19932 Dir: Right Handed
Runners: 2    Going: Heavy    Class: Class 1 Grade 2    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 5 mins 38.82s   Avg OR: 147     Median OR: 146.5

Full Results:

 

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeWeightHeadgearORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
11stAngels Breath (IRE)511-0151Henderson, N JBoinville, Nico1/5 (Fav)1.21
made all, quickened pace 3 out, soon 5 lengths clear, eased flat, unchallenged (fence before swinley bottom not jumped 15 fences jumped) BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 1.25
22nd23Mont Des Avaloirs (FR)611-0142Nicholls, P FCobden, Harry4/15.60
tracked winner, pushed along soon after 3 out, eased flat when no chance with winner BF IP MIN 4.9 BF IP MAX 1000

Ascot December Weekend Race Cards

Christmas Racing Weekend – 18th & 19th December – Ascot Racecourse:

 

Friday 18th December

START TIMESRACEDISTANCETYPE
12:45Ascot Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle2m5fClass 3
1:20Ascot Maiden Hurdle2m5fClass 3
1:55Ascot Novices Limited Handicap Chase2mClass 3
2:30Skybet Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle1m7fGrade 2
3:05Swinley Noel Novices Chase2m3fGrade 2
3:35Ascot Championship Standard Open NH Flat Race1m7fListed

Saturday 19th December

START TIMESRACEDISTANCETYPE
12:40Ascot Novices Handicap Hurdle2m7fClass 4
1:15Ascot Graduation Chase2m5fClass 2
1:50Ascot Handicap Chase2m2fClass 2
2:25Long Walk Hurdle3mGrade 1
3:00Ascot Silver Cup2m7fListed
3:35Betfair Exchange Trophy1m7fGrade 3

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