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Ultima Handicap Chase tips 2021

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View Keith's tips for the Ultima Handicap Chase

Ultima Handicap TipsWhen is the Ultima Handicap Chase 2021?

Cheltenham Tuesday 16th March 2.50pm

Ultima Handicap Steeple Chase (Grade 3) (5yo+) Distance: 3 miles 1 furlong

Weights – Handicap

Race three on day one is the Ultima Handicap Chase, which is also known as the Festival Handicap. This takes place on the old course and is for horses aged five years old and older.

The race is often a good pointer for the Grand National in April, with horses like West Tip and Seagram all winning both the handicap and the Grand National in the past. The race is normally a good one for English based trainers, with David Pipe and Jonjo O’Neill both scoring 3 times in the last 12 years.

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Ultima Handicap Chase Trends and Statistics

Here are the Cheltenham Ultima Handicap Chase Trends and Statistics for the last 12 years.

  • Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 7 and 9.
  • Sex – All of the last 12 winners were geldings.
  • Trainer – Jonjo O’Neill and David Pipe are the only trainers to saddle more than 1 winner in the last 12 years with 3 and 2 wins respectively.
  • Horse – Many have tried but only one horse has won twice in the last 12 years.
  • Country – 10 of the last 12 winners were bred in Ireland, 1 in France and 1 in Great Britain.
  • Colour – All of the last 12 winners were bay..
  • Weight CarriedEleven of the last of the last twelve winners carried 11st 8lbs or less.
  • Starting Price (SP) – 10 of the last 12 winners returned a SP of between 5/1 and 14/1.
  • Starting Price Rank – 2 of the last 12 winners started as favourite and 9 were in the first 5 in the betting.
  • Headgear – Only 4 of the last 12 winners were without headgear
  • Days Since Last Run – 10 of the last 12 winners had run between 18 and 59 days ago. 
  • Last Run Form –5 of the last 12 winners had won last time out. All 12 finished in the first 6.
  • Official Rating – 9 of the last 12 winners had an OR between 132 and 148

Ultima Handicap Chase Records

Fastest Win: Edgardo Sol 2011 ridden by Ruby Walsh trained by Paul Nicholls finished in 238.54 s – 3 minutes 58.54 seconds 

Leading jockey since 1946 (3 wins):

Robert Thornton – Fork Lightning (2004), Kelami (2005), Bensalem (2011)
Tom Scudamore – An Accordion (2008), Un Temps Pour Tout (2016, 2017)

Leading trainer since 1946 (4 wins):

Fred Rimell – Cavaliero (1948), Frere Jacques II (1949), Land Fort (1951), Holly Bank (1954)
Fulke Walwyn – Ravencroft (1961), Team Spirit (1963), Lord Jim (1971), Gay Vulgan (1977)

Who are the Ultima Handicap Chase Leading Contenders?

HAPPYGOLUCKY – Has a generally progressive profile since switching to fences. Only up 5lb for winning on the New Course In december 

LIEUTENANT ROCCO – Step up to 3 miles got him home in front over fences at the fourth time of asking. Open to further improvement.

ESCARA TEN – One win in 3 starts over fences. Should have more to come now handicapping.

COKO BEACH – Has won his last two chases including a Grade 2 last time. Tis is tougher.

What’s Keith’s Ultima Handicap Chase Tips for 2020?

At time of writing the weights have just been published and there are currently 70 entries, a maximum of 24 will line up on the day.

From the stats above we are looking for an Irish Bred gelding aged betwen 7 and 9, with an official rating between 132 and 148. Promiment in the betting market is important too, but the betting will all change when the final declarations come in at the 48 hour stage.

Currently HAPPYGOLUCKY ticks plenty of boxes and at a higher price CLOTH CAP who is enjoying a decent season.

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What was Keith’s Ultima Handicap Chase Tip for 2019?

FRT Tipster Keith’s wrote this for the 2020 Ultima Handicap Chase.

Cheltenham handicap entries are not declared until 48 hours before the race, so writing this four weeks ahead of the race, we are relying
on betting markets, stable rumours and other uncertain sources for runner information, but I would expect the likes of VINTAGE CLOUDS, THE CONDITIONAL, VINNDICATION and OK CORRAL to be involved.  While I like OK CORRAL, a horse who is often ridden by the top Irish amateur Derek O’Connor, my pin lands on VINTAGE CLOUDS, a horse that many of you know I am particularly sweet on, and he got us a nice 25/1 return when runner up in this race last year.
VINTAGE CLOUDS bounced right back to his best when winning the Peter Marsh Chase this year, making most of the running.

On the day of the race VINTAGE CLOUDS was Keith's Ultima Handicap Chase tip though it disputed the lead until the ninth then weakened away tamely.

Ultima Handicap Chase Results

Ultima Handicap Chase (Grade 3)
Distance: 3m1f (5500 yards) Prize (winner): £61897 Direction: Left Handed
Runners: 23    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 3    Age Restrictions: 5yo+
Winners Time: 6 mins 50.75s   Avg OR: 144     Median OR: 144    

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
171stThe Conditional (IRE)8139Bridgwater, D GPowell, Brendan15/29.572.78
tracked leaders, effort on inside when hit 2 out, soon ridden, stayed on to lead flat, all out towards finish, just held on BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 24
62ndNKKildisart (IRE)8150Pauling, BenJacob, Daryl10/116.663.32
tracked leaders, driven after 3 out, every chance last, ridden and stayed on to press winner towards finish, just held BF IP MIN 2.08 BF IP MAX 1000
73rd2.25Discorama (FR)7148Nolan, PaulCooper, Bryan J11/2 (JFav)6.352.54
held up behind, headway into mid-division after 9th, chased leaders before 3 out, soon ridden and one pace, rallied flat, took 3rd final strides, not quite reach front pair BF IP MIN 3.85 BF IP MAX 1000
14thNKVinndication (IRE)7159Bailey, K CBass, David11/2 (JFav)7.132.58
always prominent, challenged 3 out, led narrowly next, ridden and headed flat, no extra towards finish, lost 3rd final strides BF IP MIN 1.8 BF IP MAX 1000
165thNKBig River (IRE)10141Russell, Miss Lucinda VFox, Derek R20/135.175.36
mid-division, dropped towards rear 8th, headway under pressure 3 out, chased leaders next, ridden and rallied flat, not reach leaders BF IP MIN 2.42 BF IP MAX 1000
156th5.5Cobra De Mai (FR)8142Skelton, DanielSkelton, Harry20/127.815.79
mid-division on inside, driven after 3 out, ridden after next, kept on same pace, never threatened leaders BF IP MIN 10 BF IP MAX 1000
37th2Cepage (FR)8155Williams, Miss VenetiaDeutsch, Charlie14/117.504.40
in touch, headway to lead after 8th, headed narrowly 2 out, soon ridden, lost place after last, weakened closing stages BF IP MIN 2.54 BF IP MAX 1000
48th5Vintage Clouds (IRE)10151Smith, Mrs S JMania, Ryan28/148.007.46
prominent on outside, led 5th (water), headed after 8th, remained in touch, ridden after 3 out, outpaced and no impression before next BF IP MIN 14.5 BF IP MAX 1000
99th2Atlanta Ablaze9145Daly, H DOBrien, T J33/1100.0013.18
mid-division, ridden after 3 out, kept on same pace, never near leaders BF IP MIN 40 BF IP MAX 1000
2310th15Vivas (FR)9133Longsdon, C ESheehan, Gavin100/1562.1934.89
always behind BF IP MIN 410 BF IP MAX 1000
211th3.75Brave Eagle (IRE)8157Henderson, N JBoinville, Nico25/144.2411.00
always behind BF IP MIN 36 BF IP MAX 1000
1112th3.5Mulcahys Hill (IRE)8144Greatrex, W JHeskin, A P33/163.199.60
mid-division, pushed along 5 out, never near leaders, behind when went left and mistake 3 out BF IP MIN 38 BF IP MAX 1000
813th3.5Who Dares Wins (IRE)8147King, ACannon, Tom J10/113.003.63
mistake 1st, mid-division, chased leaders 10th, outpaced 3 out, weakened next BF IP MIN 7.6 BF IP MAX 1000
20BDQuarenta (FR)8137ONeill, JonjoCobden, Harry28/142.297.55
held up towards rear, brought down 4th BF IP MIN 44 BF IP MAX 1000
18FElwood (FR)6139Elliott, GordonDempsey, Luke18/123.005.01
mid-division, fell 4th BF IP MIN 21 BF IP MAX 1000
21FNo Comment9137Hobbs, P JColeman, A12/117.164.67
mid-division, fell heavily 8th BF IP MIN 12.5 BF IP MAX 1000
10PUActivial (FR)10145George, T RBurke, Jonathan33/1130.7910.85
led to after 1st, tracked leaders, lost place 12th, behind from next, lost touch when pulled up after 16th BF IP MIN 65 BF IP MAX 1000
12PUBurbank (IRE)8144Henderson, N JMcGrath, Jeremiah25/130.986.68
mid-division, lost place when mistake 15th, soon behind, tailed off when pulled up before 2 out BF IP MIN 25 BF IP MAX 1000
13PUCogry11143Twiston-Davies, N ATwiston-Davies, Sam25/143.206.80
led after 1st, headed 5th (water), chased leaders, lost place 9th, behind when pulled up before 11th BF IP MIN 36 BF IP MAX 1000
14PUTownshend (GER)9142Twiston-Davies, N ANeild, Jamie (7)40/1130.3919.07
towards rear on outside, headway 11th, weakened 3 out, tailed off when pulled up before last BF IP MIN 25 BF IP MAX 1000
19PUSoupy Soups (IRE)9138Mulholland, N PDunne, R T50/1182.4614.50
mid-division, chased leaders 10th, driven and outpaced 3 out, soon weakened, pulled up before next BF IP MIN 15.5 BF IP MAX 1000
5PUMister Malarky7151Tizzard, C LONeill, Jonjo (Jr)12/116.204.14
tracked leaders, driven before 3 out, soon ridden and weakened, behind when pulled up before next BF IP MIN 9.8 BF IP MAX 1000
24PUIce Cool Champs (IRE)9133Lee, Miss KerryWedge, Adam100/1177.8719.35
mid-division, in touch 8th, hit 5 out, lost place after next, behind 3 out, pulled up before 2 out BF IP MIN 25 BF IP MAX 1000

Non Runners  General Principle (IRE)

Ultima Handicap Chase (Grade 3)
Distance: 3m1f (5500 yards) Prize (winner): £61897 Direction: Left Handed
Runners: 24    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 3    Age Restrictions: 5yo+
Winners Time: 6 mins 39.40s   Avg OR: 147     Median OR: 147  

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
71stBeware The Bear (IRE)9151Henderson, N JMcGrath, Jeremiah10/114.004.21
held up towards rear, headway into mid-division on outside 4th, close up 9th, effort after 3 out, led last, clear when edged left flat, ridden out, held on towards finish BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 26
172nd1.25Vintage Clouds (IRE)9144Smith, Mrs S JCook, Danny16/121.004.72
led to 2nd, with leader, reminders before 3 out, led again next, headed last, ridden and one pace flat, rallied towards finish, not reach winner BF IP MIN 1.51 BF IP MAX 1000
13rd2Lake View Lad (IRE)9155Alexander, N WBrooke, Henry25/132.005.90
in touch, pushed along after 4 out, one pace 2 out, went 3rd and ridden after last, kept on, not reach front pair BF IP MIN 10.5 BF IP MAX 1000
244th3.25Big River (IRE)9140Russell, Miss Lucinda VFox, Derek R28/145.848.64
mistake 1st, in touch and not always fluent, dropped to mid-division 8th, behind from 16th, ridden after 2 out, stayed on under pressure from last, took 4th towards finish, never nearer BF IP MIN 42 BF IP MAX 950
205th0.5Flying Angel (IRE)8142Twiston-Davies, N ATwiston-Davies, Sam25/138.008.68
mid-division on inside, driven after 4 out, kept on under pressure from 2 out, never reached leaders BF IP MIN 10 BF IP MAX 370
56thHDActivial (FR)9151George, T RScudamore, Tom40/185.0015.00
led 2nd to 5th, remained prominent, driven after 3 out, kept on same pace from next, no impression BF IP MIN 13 BF IP MAX 1000
87th4Magic Of Light (IRE)8151Harrington, Mrs JohnPower, R M25/129.365.35
in touch, outpaced 3 out, never able to get on terms BF IP MIN 9 BF IP MAX 1000
148th3.75Up For Review (IRE)10146Mullins, W PTownend, P8/1 (CFav)12.003.67
mid-division, headway when hit 12th, every chance when mistake 3 out, outpaced next, weakened last BF IP MIN 2.08 BF IP MAX 1000
229th1.75Oldgrangewood8140Skelton, DanielAndrews, Bridget66/1170.0021.68
towards rear, struggling 16th, never a threat BF IP MIN 160 BF IP MAX 1000
1010thNSENoble Endeavor (IRE)10150Elliott, GordonRussell, D N14/116.004.50
mid-division, outpaced 3 out, never threatened leaders BF IP MIN 11 BF IP MAX 1000
1111th4.5Crucial Role7150Skelton, DanielSkelton, Harry16/121.005.17
mid-division, mistake 4th, ridden after 3 out, soon weakened BF IP MIN 18 BF IP MAX 950
312th1O O Seven (IRE)9152Henderson, N JBoinville, Nico50/184.9415.80
mid-division on outside, headway 4th, led next, driven and headed 2 out, weakened after last BF IP MIN 5 BF IP MAX 1000
1313th20Singlefarmpayment9146George, T RFehily, Noel10/114.503.88
always behind, weakened 3 out, hampered last, tailed off BF IP MIN 11 BF IP MAX 1000
15FGive Me A Copper (IRE)9145Nicholls, P FCobden, Harry9/113.434.30
mid-division, headway 16th, driven and outpaced after 3 out, never reached leaders, beaten when fell last BF IP MIN 9 BF IP MAX 1000
21PUShantou Village (IRE)9142Mulholland, N PDunne, R T40/142.3914.00
chased leaders on inside, lost place after 4 out, weakened next, behind when pulled up before next BF IP MIN 36 BF IP MAX 1000
6PUMister Whitaker (IRE)7151Channon, M RHughes, Brian8/1 (CFav)11.593.40
held up, always towards rear, weakened 3 out, pulled up before next BF IP MIN 11 BF IP MAX 1000
23PUCatamaran Du Seuil (FR)7140Newland, Dr R D PHammond, Charlie (5)50/180.0018.90
behind, headway into mid-division 12th, reminders after 16th, weakened before 3 out, behind when pulled up before next BF IP MIN 55 BF IP MAX 1000
9PURoyal Vacation (IRE)9151Tizzard, C LColeman, A33/150.008.34
towards rear of mid-division, behind from 10th, tailed off when pulled up before 4 out BF IP MIN 50 BF IP MAX 1000
12PUCalipto (FR)9148Williams, Miss VenetiaDeutsch, Charlie14/121.025.50
always behind, weakened 3 out, pulled up before next BF IP MIN 17.5 BF IP MAX 1000
16PUCoo Star Sivola (FR)7145Williams, NickKelly, Lizzie (3)8/1 (CFav)10.153.41
tracked leaders, lost place after 4 out, weakened after next, behind when pulled up before last BF IP MIN 7.2 BF IP MAX 580
18PUGeneral Principle (IRE)10144Elliott, GordonKennedy, J W14/118.004.52
in touch, blundered and lost place 15th, weakened after 3 out, behind when hampered and pulled up after last BF IP MIN 9.6 BF IP MAX 1000
2PUSizing Codelco (IRE)10154Tizzard, C LOBrien, T J66/1189.3222.49
mid-division, behind when jumped slowly 14th (water), tailed off when pulled up before 3 out BF IP MIN 190 BF IP MAX 1000
19PUWillie Boy (IRE)8144Longsdon, C EBurke, Jonathan50/1153.1416.93
in touch on outside, headway 15th, never reached leaders, weakened after 3 out, behind when pulled up before last BF IP MIN 25 BF IP MAX 1000
4PUMinella Rocco (IRE)9152ONeill, JonjoMcLernon, R P14/125.854.89
always towards rear, pulled up after 8th BF IP MIN 24 BF IP MAX 1000
Ultima Handicap Chase Previous Winners
DateGoingRunnersWinnerStallionAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOdds
Soft23815/2
Soft24910/1
Heavy1865/1
Good To Soft2389/1
Good To Soft23711/1
Good To Soft2488/1
Good To Soft23710/1
Soft24828/1
Good19914/1
Good1985/1
Good To Soft241033/1
Good To Soft2185/1
Good To Soft1477/1
Good To Soft231050/1
Good To Soft2177/1
Good2078/1
Good1187/1
Good1897/1
Good To Soft2388/1
Good12811/2
Good To Soft181025/1
Good131010/1
Good141120/1

 

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Keith Bond is our resident pro tipster here at FRT Towers. Keith lives and breathes horse racing, having begun his love of horse racing over 40 years ago with a part time job at Catterick Racecourse, as one of three fourteen year-olds looking after two jumps and a hurdle.

Over the years, Keith has been a regular at the northern tracks attending countless race meetings and building up a network of contacts, and a portfolio of systems and strategies. 

He was one of the co-founders of Free Racing Tips all the way back in 2008, and his free tips are now backed by more than seventy thousand FRT members every single day.

“Thanks Keith – It’s great to be part of an amazing group of people all after the same thing, passing on tips to beat the bookies”

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Cheltenham Festival Tuesday

Race Schedule

START TIMESRACEDISTANCETYPE
13:30The Sky Bet Supreme Novices’ Hurdle Race2m abt ½fHurdle
14:10The Sporting Life Arkle Challenge Trophy Steeple Chaseabt 2mChase
14:50The Ultima Handicap Steeple Chase3m abt 1fChase
15:30The Unibet Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy
(feature race)
2m abt ½fHurdle
16:10The Close Brothers Mares’ Hurdle Race2m abt 4fHurdle
16:50The Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle Race (Grade 3)2m abt 4½fChase
17:30The National Hunt Steeple Chase Challenge Cup (Amateur Riders’ Novices’ Steeple Chase) (Grade 2)3m abt 6fChase

 

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