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Ryanair Chase tips 2021

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Ryanair Chase TipsWhen is the Ryanair Chase 2021?

Cheltenham Thursday 18th March 2.50pm

Ryanair Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+)

Distance: 2 Miles 5 Furlongs

Weights: 11st 9lbs (5yo), 11st 10lbs (6yo+), 7lb allowance for mares

Race three on day three is the Ryanair Chase, a grade one chase over a distance of two miles and five furlongs on the new course, where they have to clear 17 fences.

This is a middle-distance race for the top chasers, being longer than the Queen Mother Champion Chase and not as gruelling as the Gold Cup.

 

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Ryanair Chase Records

Fastest Win: UXIZANDRE 2015 ridden by AP McCoy trained by A King finished in 301.1s – 5 minutes 1.1 seconds

Most successful horse (2 wins):

Albertas Run – 2010, 2011

Leading jockey (4 wins):

Ruby Walsh – Thisthatandtother (2005), Taranis (2007), Vautour (2016), Un De Sceaux (2017)

Leading trainer (3 wins):

Paul Nicholls – Thisthatandtother (2005), Taranis (2007), Frodon (2019)

Source: Wikipedia

Ryanair Chase Trends and Statistics

12 Year Trends and Statistics 

  • Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged between 7 and 9. 5 of them were aged 7.
  • Sex – All of the last 12 winners were geldings. Only 5 mares have run and just 2 of them were placed.
  • Trainer – Willie Mullins 3  and Jonjo O’Neill 2 are the only trainers to win more than  once in the last 12 years.
  • Horse – Alberta’s Run (2) is the only horse to win the race more than once in the last 12 years. 
  • Country – 7 of the last 12 winners were bred in France, 3 in Ireland and 2 in Great Britain.
  • Colour – 9 of the last 12 winners were bay.
  • Weight Carried – Geldings carry 11st 10lb and mares 11st 3lb.
  • Starting Price (SP) – 9 of the last 12 winners returned a SP of 6/1 or less. 
  • Starting Price Rank – 4 of the last 12 winners started as favourite and 10 were in the first 3 in the betting market. 
  • Headgear – 11 of the last 12 winners wore no headgear.
  • Days Since Last Run – 11 of the last 12 winners had run between 26 and 77 days ago. 
  • Last Run Form –4 of the last 12 winners had won last time out, 8 of them finished in the first 2 last time.
  • Official Rating – 11 of the last 12 winners had an official rating at least 162.

 


Who are the Ryanair Chase Leading Contenders?

ALLAHO – Third in the RSA last year and third in the Albert Barlett in 2019.

IMPERIAL AURA –  Won the Novices Handicap Chase at last year's festival. Has since steped up and taken a Grade 2 at Ascot.

MIN – Fifth festival appearance for MIN who won this race in 2020.

KEMBOY – Landed the Paddy Power Gold Cup at this year's Dublin Festival and this target seems more realistic than the Gold Cup.

 

What’s Keith’s Ryanair Chase Tips for 2020?

Concerns about ALLAHO and IMPERIAL AURA being good enough in Grade 1 company sway's me towards MIN and KEMBOY for the shortlist.  

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What was Keith’s Ryanair Chase Tip for 2020?

This is what Keith wrote for the 2020 Ryanair Chase:

Going through the leading contenders I will start in reverse order:

CYRNAME has that lofty reputation but has never run at Cheltenham before and may well struggle up the hill.

DEFI DU SEUIL is far more likely to run in the Queen Mother Champion Chase.

FRODON has been there, done that, got the t-shirt and is right back to his best form.

A PLUS TARD is likely to go to the very top of the chasing game but not this year and at just six misses the vital age statistic of previous winners.

MIN has twice been runner up at the Cheltenham Festival and is highly likely to make the frame again.

My selection for the Ryanair Chase 2020 is: FRODON 7/1 each way

On the day Keith stuck with FRODON who led the Ryanair Chase until the 6th fence but once headed was well held and finished fourth.

Ryanair Chase Results

Ryanair Chase (Grade 1) (Registered As The Festival Trophy)
Distance: 2m5f (4527 yards +38 yards rails adjustment) Prize (winner): £196945 Dir: Left Handed
Runners: 8    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 1    Age Restrictions: 5yo+
Winners Time: 5 mins 19.66s   Avg OR: 163     Median OR: 162

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
51stMin (FR)9170Mullins, W PTownend, P2/13.151.49
tracked leader, led narrowly 5th, made most after, joined turning in, shaken up before last, ridden 11/2 lengths clear flat, hard pressed towards finish, edged right, all out BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 3.5
72ndNKSaint Calvados (FR)7161Whittington, HSheehan, Gavin16/123.514.50
held up in touch in last trio, tracked leaders on inside 3 out, ridden to challenge between last 2, hit and lost ground last, rallied towards finish, just held BF IP MIN 1.58 BF IP MAX 65
13rd1.5A Plus Tard (FR)6166Bromhead, Henry DeBlackmore, Rachael7/4 (Fav)2.921.42
tracked leaders, not fluent 2nd, headway before 3 out, joined winner turning in, ridden after 2 out, one pace in 3rd approaching last, kept on under pressure flat, not quite able to get back on terms with front pair BF IP MIN 2.1 BF IP MAX 1000
44th13Frodon (FR)8168Nicholls, P FFrost, Bryony11/27.401.95
led to 5th, tracked leaders, driven after 3 out, one pace before next, never able to get back on terms, well held in 4th between last 2 BF IP MIN 6.4 BF IP MAX 1000
35thNKDuc Des Genievres (FR)7161Mullins, W PPower, R M18/122.214.52
held up in touch in last trio, headway 3 out, chased leaders on outside turning in, no extra before 2 out, ridden and no impression between last 2 BF IP MIN 8 BF IP MAX 1000
86th8.5Shattered Love (IRE)9151Elliott, GordonWalsh, M P20/129.524.75
prominent, pressed winner from 6th, ridden and lost place turning in, weakened 2 out BF IP MIN 13.5 BF IP MAX 1000
27th35Aso (FR)10162Williams, Miss VenetiaDeutsch, Charlie25/149.115.84
prominent on outside, led briefly 7th, pushed along and lost place 5 out, soon behind, tailed off 3 out BF IP MIN 30 BF IP MAX 1000
6FRiders Onthe Storm (IRE)7162Twiston-Davies, N ATwiston-Davies, Sam11/116.503.10
held up in touch in last trio, switched towards outside before 8th, headway and close up when fell 3 out BF IP MIN 13 BF IP MAX 1000
Ryanair Chase Previous Winners
DateGoingRunnersWinnerStallionAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOdds
Soft892/1
Good To Soft1279/2
Soft678/1
Good897/4
Good157Evens
Good14716/1
Good1183/1
Good To Soft877/2
Good1287/2
Good11106/1
Good13914/1
Good To Soft1086/1
Good To Soft9104/1
Good To Soft969/2
Good1110100/30
Good1299/2

 

Who is FRT’s Cheltenham Day 3 Tipster?

Keith Bond is our resident pro tipster here at FRT Towers. Keith lives and breathes horse racing, having begun his love of horse racing over 40 years ago with a part time job at Catterick Racecourse, as one of three fourteen year-olds looking after two jumps and a hurdle.

Over the years, Keith has been a regular at the northern tracks attending countless race meetings and building up a network of contacts, and a portfolio of systems and strategies. 

He was one of the co-founders of Free Racing Tips all the way back in 2008, and his free tips are now backed by more than seventy thousand FRT members every single day.

“Thanks Keith – It’s great to be part of an amazing group of people all after the same thing, passing on tips to beat the bookies”

Colin Parkinson, Harrow.

The FRT community love Keith’s attention to detail, knowledge of past races, and ability to pick horses...

“You offer some great tips, some fantastic outsiders tipped up as well. Most tipsters just put up favourites. Well done and keep up the good work”

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Cheltenham Festival Thursday

Race Schedule

START TIMESRACEDISTANCETYPE
13:30The Marsh Novices’ Chase (Grade 1)2m abt 4fChase
14:10The Pertemps Network Final (A Handicap Hurdle Race) (Listed)Abt 3mHurdle
14:50The Ryanair Chase (Grade 1)
(feature race)
2m abt 5fChase
15:30The Paddy Power Stayers’ Hurdle (Grade 1)abt 3mHurdle
16:10The Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate (A Handicap Steeple Chase) (Grade 3)2m abt 5fChase
16:50The Daylesford Mares Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2)2m 1fHurdle
17:30The Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Handicap Steeple Chase (0-145)3m abt 2fChase

The Countdown to Cheltenham 2021

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