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Cheltenham Gold Cup tips 2021

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View Keith's tips for the 2021 Cheltenham Gold Cup

Cheltenham Gold Cup tipsWhen is the 2021 Cheltenham Gold Cup?

Cheltenham Friday 19th March 3.30pm

Magners Cheltenham Gold Cup (Grade 1) (5yo+)

Distance: 3 miles 2 furlongs

Weights:  11st 8lbs (5yo), 11st 10lb (6yo+), 7lb allowance for mares

The main race on day four is the big one – The Cheltenham Gold Cup, or to give it it’s full title the Magners Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase,  a grade one chase over three miles and two and a half furlongs of the course, with 22 fences to be jumped.

It is the most prestigious of all national hunt racing events and is sometimes referred to as the Blue Ribbon of jump racing. It’s roll of honour features names such as Arkle, Best Mate, Golden Miller and Kauto Star – without a doubt, this race is a true test for the very best chasers.

A key attribute is the ability to jump fluently.  Any horses that are prone to making errors at the fences are sure to get found out. Tactical race speed is important, as the Gold Cup is usually run at a quicker pace than most other chases. Stamina to see out the race distance, and the uphill finish are also very very important on this undulating track at Cheltenham.

 

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Cheltenham Gold Cup Records

Fastest Win: LONG RUN 2011 ridden by S Waley-Cohen trained by Nicky Henderson finished in 389.7s – 6 minutes 29.7 seconds

Most successful horse (5 wins):

Golden Miller – 1932, 1933, 1934, 1935, 1936

Leading jockey (4 wins):

Pat Taaffe – Arkle (1964, 1965, 1966), Fort Leney (1968)

Leading trainer (5 wins):

Tom Dreaper – Prince Regent (1946), Arkle (1964, 1965, 1966), Fort Leney (1968)

Leading owner (7 wins):

Dorothy Paget – Golden Miller (1932, 1933, 1934, 1935, 1936), Roman Hackle (1940), Mont Tremblant (1952)

Source: Wikipedia

Cheltenham Gold Cup Trends and Statistics

Here are the Cheltenham Gold Cup 12 year trends and statistics:

  • Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged between 7 and 9.
  • Sex – All of the last 12 winners were geldings. The 1 mare that ran in the race in the last 12 years was unplaced..
  • Trainer – Nicky Henderson and Willie Mullins have both won this race twice in the last 12 years.
  • Horse – Only the Mullins trained AL BOUM PHOTO has won more than once in the last 12 years. 
  • Country – 5 of the last 12 winners were bred in Ireland, 4 in France, 2 in Great Britain and 1 in Germany.
  • Colour – 10 of the last 12 winners were bay.
  • Weight Carried – Geldings carry 11st 10lb and mares 11st 3lb.
  • Starting Price (SP) – 10 of the last 12 winners returned a SP of 8/1 or less. 
  • Starting Price Rank – 5 of the last 12 winners started as favourite and 10 were in the first 4 in the betting.
  • Headgear – 11 of the last 12 winners wore no headgear
  • Days Since Last Run – 11 of the last 12 winners had run between 33 and 83 days ago. 
  • Last Run Form –10 of the last 12 winners had won last time out.
  • Official Rating – 11 of the last 12 winners had an official rating between 164 and 179.

Who are the 2020 Cheltenham Gold Cup Leading Contenders?

The leading contenders for the 2021 Cheltenham Gold Cup are:

  • AL BOUM PHOTO – Winner in 2019 and 2020, won his third New Years Day Savills Chase in some style at Tramore and will next be seen in the Cheltenham feature.

  • A PLUS TARD – Won the novices handicap chase at the 2019 festival and was 3rd in the Ryanair last year. Beat a strong field in the Savills Chase at Leopardstown in December.

  • MINELLA INDO – Second behind CHAMP in the RSA Chase last year and began this season with Graded wins at Navan and Wexford. Fell when travelling well in the Savills Chase at Leopardstown.

  • SANTINI – Just a neck behind AL BOUM PHOTO in 2020 and was staying on well when fourth in the King George

  • CHAMP – Won the RSA Chase last year and at time of writing has been off since.

  • FRODON – Won the King George at Kempton on Boxing Day under a tactical ride from Bryony Frost, dictating the pace and keeping on well to the line.

 

What’s Keith’s Cheltenham Gold Cup Tips for 2021?

FRODON is unlikely to get things his own way on the front end and may just give up if headed. CHAMP is going to have an each way shout if Nicky Henderson manages to find a prep race. SANTINI I’m not sure about, despite that excellent run behind AL BOUM PHOTO last year he hasn’t been convincing since. MINELLA INDO is a nice type with a good overall profile despite that fall at Leopardstown. AL BOUM PHOTO is again worthy of the favourites tag but my ante-post selection at this stage is A PLUS TARD each-way who is stronger with every run and shaped up like this extra 2 furlongs will suit him down to the ground.

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What was Keith’s Gold Cup Tip for 2019?

Here is what Keith said about the 2020 Cheltenham Gold Cup:

This is an exciting renewal of the greatest race in the jumps calendar and you will hear plenty of pundits offering conflicting opinions about what will and won't win, and that is exactly as it should be.

I have to start somewhere with my analysis so here goes, last years talking horse KEMBOY hasn't shown enough in his races this year to be considered. CLAN DES OBEAUX was better than ever at Kempton and a repeat of that puts him bang there in this. My worry about LOSTINTRANSLATION is that whatever was bothering him in the King George rears it's ugly head again and for that reason he is out. There is a lot to like about the way DELTA WORK won the Irish Gold Cup and if it comes to a battle he won't give up. You can't ignore the claims of SANTINI and if the going turns up soft he has to have a a shout. Finally last year's hero AL BOUM PHOTO comes under the spotlight he has been put in as ante-post favourite and as such has a favourites chance but I am not convinced he can repeat the feat against this opposition.

My selection for the 2020 Cheltenham Gold Cup is: CLAN DES OBEAUX 8/1 each way (NRNB).

On the day a mistake by CLAN DES OBEAUX three fences from home cost him his chance in the Gold Cup

Cheltenham Gold Cup Results

Magners Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase (Grade 1)
Distance: 3m2½f (5790 yards) Prize (winner): £351688 Dir: Left Handed
Runners: 12    Going: Good To Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 1    Age Restrictions: 5yo+
Winners Time: 6 mins 50.38s   Avg OR: 169     Median OR: 170.5 

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
11stAl Boum Photo (FR)8175Mullins, W PTownend, P100/30 (Fav)4.702.16
mid-division, mistake 13th, not fluent 14th, headway 17th, led 4 out, hard pressed from 3 out, headed narrowly before last, led again just after last, stayed on well, held on BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 7
122ndNKSantini8171Henderson, N JBoinville, Nico5/17.162.70
chased leaders, not much room 1st, closed on inside from 18th, unable to go with leaders briefly 2 out, not much room between last 2, switched right after last, stayed on, went 2nd towards finish, just held BF IP MIN 2 BF IP MAX 500
83rd1.25Lostintranslation (IRE)8173Tizzard, C LPower, R M10/113.204.25
travelled well, in touch in mid-division on inside, closed 7th, challenged before 2 out, led narrowly before last, headed just after last, held and lost 2nd towards finish BF IP MIN 2.3 BF IP MAX 1000
94thNKMonalee (IRE)9168Bromhead, Henry DeBlackmore, Rachael20/125.005.97
raced freely, chased leaders, led 14th, not fluent 16th, headed 4 out, ridden 2 out, stayed on flat BF IP MIN 7.8 BF IP MAX 1000
55th4.5Delta Work (FR)7171Elliott, GordonWalsh, M P5/18.212.44
held up in rear, mistake 2nd and 16th, headway when not much room and switched right after 3 out, stayed on, not trouble leaders BF IP MIN 6.8 BF IP MAX 1000
116th1Real Steel (FR)7164Mullins, W PHughes, Brian50/1101.5218.68
held up in rear on outside, headway 4 out, every chance 2 out, weakened final 150 yards BF IP MIN 3.55 BF IP MAX 1000
77th4.75Kemboy (FR)8175Mullins, W PMullins, Mr P W8/19.243.43
led until jumped right 1st, soon in mid-division, mistake 15th, towards rear when mistake 18th, some headway 2 out, no impression, edged left flat BF IP MIN 8.2 BF IP MAX 1000
48th5Clan Des Obeaux (FR)8173Nicholls, P FCobden, Harry7/18.582.92
mid-division, closed when not fluent 3 out, soon pushed along, no impression, well held 2 out BF IP MIN 6.8 BF IP MAX 1000
29th1.25Bristol De Mai (FR)9170Twiston-Davies, N AJacob, Daryl18/130.006.20
prominent, led 4th, headed after 12th, led 13th until 14th, mistake 17th, soon ridden along, weakened after 3 out, well beaten when slightly hampered 2 out BF IP MIN 11 BF IP MAX 1000
310thSHChriss Dream (IRE)8165Bromhead, Henry DeColeman, A20/126.006.80
held up towards rear, headway approaching 18th, weakened before 2 out BF IP MIN 11 BF IP MAX 1000
611thNKElegant Escape (IRE)8161Tizzard, C LONeill, Jonjo (Jr)66/1117.7918.00
led 1st, not fluent 3rd, headed 4th, led after 12th, headed next, ridden from 15th, weakened after 4 out BF IP MIN 48 BF IP MAX 1000
10FPresenting Percy9166Kelly, Patrick GRussell, D N10/111.183.40
held up towards rear, mistake 18th, closed after 3 out, 7th and staying on when fell 2 out BF IP MIN 8 BF IP MAX 1000

Magners Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase (Grade 1)
Distance: 3m2½f (5790 yards +75 yards rails adjustment) Prize (winner): £351688 Dir: Left Handed
Runners: 16    Going: Good To Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 1    Age Restrictions: 5yo+
Winners Time: 6 mins 39.06s   Avg OR: 165     Median OR: 164.5

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
11stAl Boum Photo (FR)7164Mullins, W PTownend, P12/113.505.73
held up in rear, steady headway from 8th, hampered 10th, not fluent 13th, close 3rd 19th, not much room bend before 2 out, soon came through to lead, clear from last, stayed on well BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 14
22nd2.5Anibale Fly (FR)9164Martin, A JGeraghty, B J22/129.005.95
held up towards rear, headway bypassing normal 3 out, went 3rd last, stayed on well and went 2nd final 100 yards, unable to trouble winner BF IP MIN 4.1 BF IP MAX 1000
43rd3.75Bristol De Mai (FR)8173Twiston-Davies, N AJacob, Daryl18/127.848.01
held up towards rear, closed from 13th, went 2nd 2 out, no impression on winner last, lost 2nd 100 yards out BF IP MIN 2.94 BF IP MAX 1000
124th3Native River (IRE)9173Tizzard, C LJohnson, Richard6/18.052.77
slow away, headway to chase leaders 3rd, led 11th, headed 15th, led again 16th, headed before 2 out, stayed on but no impression on leaders flat BF IP MIN 5 BF IP MAX 1000
55th1.75Clan Des Obeaux (FR)7173Nicholls, P FCobden, Harry5/16.602.74
tracked leaders, ridden and unable to go with leaders last, stayed on same pace BF IP MIN 3.65 BF IP MAX 1000
86th15Elegant Escape (IRE)7162Tizzard, C LOBrien, T J20/126.005.90
tracked leaders, pushed along before 15th, beaten off last bend, weakened between last 2 BF IP MIN 8 BF IP MAX 1000
157th3.5Yala Enki (FR)9155Williams, Miss VenetiaDeutsch, Charlie100/1224.2728.17
chased leaders on outside, blundered and lost place 6th, outpaced and struggling from 15th, hampered before 2 out, passed 2 rivals flat BF IP MIN 80 BF IP MAX 1000
138th3.5Presenting Percy8165Kelly, Patrick GRussell, D N100/30 (Fav)5.102.70
held up towards rear on inside, not fluent 3rd, headway after 19th, soon niggled along, ridden and weakened before 2 out BF IP MIN 3 BF IP MAX 1000
169th2.75Shattered Love (IRE)8154Elliott, GordonKennedy, J W20/126.006.60
held up in rear, ridden and headway after 19th, weakened before 2 out BF IP MIN 11 BF IP MAX 1000
6BDDefinitly Red (IRE)10162Ellison, BCook, Danny50/1120.4313.50
prominent, brought down 10th BF IP MIN 85 BF IP MAX 1000
9FInvitation Only (IRE)8161Mullins, W PMullins, Mr P W33/135.5611.31
led until 2nd, led 3rd until 4th, with leader, mistake 5th, fell 10th BF IP MIN 20 BF IP MAX 1000
3PUBellshill (IRE)9168Mullins, W PWalsh, R9/112.114.15
mid-division, blundered badly and lost place 5th, mistake 7th and 8th, pulled up before 9th BF IP MIN 9.6 BF IP MAX 1000
7PUDouble Shuffle (IRE)9158George, T RBurke, Jonathan100/1307.2337.07
held up in mid-division on outside, hampered 10th, lost place before 13th, tailed off 17th, pulled up before next BF IP MIN 150 BF IP MAX 1000
11PUMight Bite (IRE)10169Henderson, N JBoinville, Nico14/116.616.00
prominent, led 2nd, not fluent and headed next, led 4th, headed 11th, led 15th, hit next and headed, bumped on last bend, weakened quickly and pulled up before 2 out BF IP MIN 7 BF IP MAX 1000
14PUThistlecrack11170Tizzard, C LScudamore, Tom12/116.694.77
mid-division, hampered and lost place 10th, last when stumbled 12th, behind when pulled up before 17th BF IP MIN 12 BF IP MAX 1000
10URKemboy (FR)7168Mullins, W PMullins, David8/111.463.87
landed awkwardly and unseated rider 1st BF IP MIN 10.5 BF IP MAX 1000

Timico Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase (Grade 1)
Distance: 3m2½f (5790 yards) Prize (winner): £369822 Dir: Left Handed
Runners: 15    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 1    Age Restrictions: 5yo+
Winners Time: 7 mins 2.90s   Avg OR: 163     Median OR: 164 

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
111stNative River (IRE)8166Tizzard, C LJohnson, Richard5/16.802.30
led but pressed by runner-up throughout, ridden after 3 out, headed narrowly 2 out, led again last, went 2 lengths clear 100 yards out, stayed on well, drawing further away when edged right towards finish BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 7
92nd4.5Might Bite (IRE)9169Henderson, N JBoinville, Nico4/1 (Fav)5.893.20
pressed winner throughout, took narrow lead traveling better than rival 2 out, shaken up and headed last, ridden and edged right about 150 yards out, soon 2 lengths down and held, no extra close home BF IP MIN 1.52 BF IP MAX 1000
23rd4Anibale Fly (FR)8159Martin, A JGeraghty, B J33/140.3111.00
mid-division, headway 18th, disputing 5th 4 out, effort to press for 3rd when not fluent 3 out, no impression on front pair 2 out, went 10 lengths 3rd last, stayed on to close final 100 yards but no impression BF IP MIN 7 BF IP MAX 1000
144th4Road To Respect (IRE)7168Meade, NoelFlanagan, S W9/110.684.20
mid-division on inside, headway 17th, 3rd 4 out, not fluent 3 out, beaten when not fluent 2 out, lost 3rd last, stayed on same pace BF IP MIN 3 BF IP MAX 1000
55th8Djakadam (FR)9162Mullins, W PMullins, Mr P W25/129.286.01
tracked leaders, mistake 13th, hit 18th, 4th 4 out, mistake and pressed for 3rd 3 out, 5th and beaten when mistake 2 out, weakened BF IP MIN 14 BF IP MAX 1000
46th18Definitly Red (IRE)9167Ellison, BCook, Danny8/111.503.05
tracked leaders, pushed along after 14th, struggling to hold place after, well behind 18th, plugged on past some beaten horses from 3 out but no chance BF IP MIN 10 BF IP MAX 1000
177th1.5Tea For Two9164Williams, NickKelly, Lizzie50/175.0014.64
held up in rear, hit 1st, hampered next, disputing 9th 4 out, no impression, well beaten from 3 out BF IP MIN 50 BF IP MAX 1000
78th7Edwulf9165OBrien, Joseph PatrickOConnor, Derek20/124.276.08
held up in rear, disputing 9th 4 out, slightly hampered and well beaten 3 out BF IP MIN 16.5 BF IP MAX 1000
19th18American (FR)8157Fry, HarryFehily, Noel25/129.009.00
chased leaders on outside, not fluent 3rd, mistake 5th, disputing 5th 4 out, weakened next BF IP MIN 25 BF IP MAX 1000
18FTotal Recall (IRE)9156Mullins, W PMullins, David14/117.535.45
held up towards rear, took keen hold, headway 18th, not fluent 4 out, soon pushed along, travelling better and 6 lengths 6th when fell 3 out BF IP MIN 9.2 BF IP MAX 1000
3FBachasson (FR)7159Mullins, W PMullins, D E33/149.0516.20
held up, fell 2nd BF IP MIN 36 BF IP MAX 1000
12PUOur Duke (IRE)8166Harrington, Mrs JohnPower, R M9/25.892.32
tracked leaders, hit 13th, struggling to hold place from 15th, towards rear when hit 18th, pulled up before 4 out BF IP MIN 5.5 BF IP MAX 1000
13PUOutlander (IRE)10164Elliott, GordonKennedy, J W20/129.287.56
held up in mid-division, 8th 4 out, no impression after, well beaten 3 out, pulled up before last BF IP MIN 15 BF IP MAX 1000
15PUSaphir Du Rheu (FR)9158Nicholls, P FTwiston-Davies, Sam66/1200.0034.22
in touch on outside, lost place before 6th, driven and struggling towards rear 17th, pulled up before 4 out BF IP MIN 120 BF IP MAX 1000
8PUKillultagh Vic (IRE)9165Mullins, W PTownend, P8/111.003.92
mistakes in rear, well beaten from 18th, pulled up before last BF IP MIN 10.5 BF IP MAX 1000

Non Runners  Shantou Flyer (IRE), Double Shuffle (IRE), Minella Rocco (IRE)

Cheltenham Gold Cup Previous Winners
DateGoingRunnersWinnerStallionAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOddsDays
Good To Soft128100/3072d
Good To Soft16712/173d
Soft1585/134d
Good1377/133d
Good999/464d
Soft1687/134d
Good13820/133d
Soft9811/4104d
Good1498/179d
Good1367/262d
Good1197/183d
Good To Soft1697/477d
Good To Soft1289/434d
Good To Soft1875/434d
Good22715/279d
Good1574/182d
Good1098/1181d
Good15813/877d
Good1877/178d
Good To Firm1289/247d
Good To Soft12916/147d
Good171025/140d

 

Who is FRT’s Cheltenham Day 4 Tipster?

Keith Bond is our resident pro tipster here at FRT Towers. Keith lives and breathes horse racing, having begun his love of horse racing over 40 years ago with a part time job at Catterick Racecourse, as one of three fourteen year-olds looking after two jumps and a hurdle.

Over the years, Keith has been a regular at the northern tracks attending countless race meetings and building up a network of contacts, and a portfolio of systems and strategies. 

He was one of the co-founders of Free Racing Tips all the way back in 2008, and his free tips are now backed by more than seventy thousand FRT members every single day.

“Thanks Keith – It’s great to be part of an amazing group of people all after the same thing, passing on tips to beat the bookies”

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Cheltenham Festival Friday

Race Schedule

START TIMESRACEDISTANCETYPE
13:30The JCB Triumph Hurdle2m abt 1fHurdle
14:10The County Handicap Hurdle Race2m abt 1fHurdle
14:50The Albert Bartlett  Novices’ Hurdle Raceabt 3mHurdle
15:30The Cheltenham Gold Cup Steeple Chase (Grade 1)3m abt 2½ fChase
16:10The St. James’s Foxhunter Chase3m abt 2½ fChase
16:50The Mrs Paddy Power Mares' Steeple Chase2m abt ½fChase
17:30Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle2m abt 4½ fHurdle

The Countdown to Cheltenham 2021

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