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The Marsh Novices Chase tips 2020

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View Keith’s tips for the Marsh Novices Chase

When is the Marsh Novices Chase 2020?

Cheltenham Thursday 12th March 1.30pm

Marsh Novices Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+)

Distance: 2 Miles 4 furlongs

Weights – 11st 3lb (5yo), 11st 4lb (6yo+), 7lb allowance for mares

Day three kicks off with the Marsh Novices Chase (Formerly the JLT Novices Chase), a championship race for novices over a distance of two and a half miles on the new course, where they have to clear 17 fences.

This is for those horses that are not quite fast enough to run in the Arkle, but don’t have the stamina for the RSA Chase.

Willie Mullins has trained the winner of four of the eight renewals.  A lot of these horses are also entered in the RSA Chase and the Arkle which muddies the waters a little bit when you’re trying to pick a selection.  This race was first run in 2011.

 

Marsh Novices Chase Trends and Statistics

Here are Cheltenham Marsh Novices Chase 12 Year Trends and Statistics. 

  • Age – All of the nine winners were aged 6 or 7
  • Starting Price – seven of the nine winners returned a SP of 4/1 or less.
  • Last Run – Eight of the nine winners last ran within 54 days, seven of them won their last race.
  • Course Form –  All nine winners had at least one previous run at Cheltenham, five of them had at least one previous win at Cheltenham.
  • Distance Form – Eight of the nine winners had at least two previous runs over between 2m 3f and 2m 5f, seven of them had at least one previous win over between 2m 3f and 2m 5f.
  • Hurdle Form – All nine winners had at least three runs and at least two wins over hurdles.
  • Chase Form – All nine winners had at least two over fences, eight of them had won at least two chases.
  • Official Rating – All nine winners had an official rating between 144 and 154.
  • Graded Wins – Seven of the nine winners had at least one win in a Grade 1 or Grade 2 race.
  • Season Form – All nine winners had at least two runs in the current season, eight of the nine winners had at least two wins in the current season.

Who are the Marsh Novices Chase Leading Contenders?

Currently the leading contenders for the Marsh Novices Chase 2020 are:

  • FAUGHEEN – The machine who you know was a top hurdler (it is 5 years since he won the Champion Hurdle). Has been reinvented as a novice chaser at the age of 12 and he is loving the game. Three from three over fences including two Grade 1’s.
  • ITCHY FEET – Won the Grade 1 Scilly Isles Chase at Sandown last time on only his second Chase start. Is the type to continue to improve.
  • ALLAHO – Made all to win a Fairyhouse Beginners Chase by 21 lengths in January. Has place claims.
  • MISTER FISHER – Two wins from three over fences at a moderate level may be out gunned here.

What’s Keith’s Marsh Novices Chase Tips for 2020?

Here is Keith’s tip for the 2020 Marsh Novices Chase.

At the time of writing, the top four in the ante-post market were priced at either 7/1 or 8/1. However, in my opinion it is not as wide open as that market suggests.

To my mind, this is a two horse race between the rejuvenated FAUGHEEN and the progressive ITCHY FEET.

Nobody would be happier than me if FAUGHEEN can continue to roll back the years but I feel he is vulnerable to younger legs up the Cheltenham hill, and I also think that  ITCHY FEET is going to be a force to be reckoned with for years to come in all the top chases.

My selection: ITCHY FEET 7/1 each way

As this article is written in advance of the 2020 Cheltenham Festival, the likely contenders are expected to change as we get closer to St Patrick’s Day. The picture also starts to get much clearer as we approach the festival, with trainers starting to show their cards in the weeks leading up to Day 3. 

To get Keith’s very latest, up-to-date thoughts on the Day 3 card, and his final Day 3 tips, simply register as a FREE FRT member here, and Keith will email you the full Day 3 tips (including for this race) on the morning of St Paddy’s Day.

What was Keith’s JLT Novices Chase Tip for 2019?

Free Racing Tips Tipster Keith had this to say about last years JLT Novice Chase:

The two standouts in the betting are LOSTINTRANSLATION and DEFI DU SEUIL – they are one win apiece in clashes since the New Year.

DEFI DU SEUIL finished on top at Sandown when LOSTINTRANSLATION made a couple of errors, but the stronger piece of form looks to be LOSTINTRANSLATION’s win over this course and distance on New Year’s Day.

My selection LOSTINTRANSLATION 6/1 each way.

Result: 1st DEFI DU SEUIL, 2nd LOSTINTRANSLATION – I had the top two correct, but in the wrong order! Still, a winning e/w bet for us…

 

Look out for Keith's day three tips in your inbox on March the 12th*

Keith’s Inner Circle members will get priority access to the tips the night before racing – usually by 9pm.

VIP club members also get informed of Keith’s tips the night before – usually by 10pm.

Standard FRT members will receive Keith’s tips on the morning of the races – usually by 10.30am.

Novices Chase Previous Winners

  • 2011 Noble Prince 7 Tony McCoy Paul Nolan
  • 2012 Sir Des Champs 6 Davy Russell Willie Mullins
  • 2013 Benefficient 7 Bryan Cooper Tony Martin
  • 2014 Taquin du Seuil 7 Tony McCoy Jonjo O’Neill
  • 2015 Vautour 6 Ruby Walsh Willie Mullins
  • 2016 Black Hercules 7 Ruby Walsh Willie Mullins
  • 2017 Yorkhill 7 Ruby Walsh Willie Mullins
  • 2018 Shattered Love 7 Jack Kennedy Gordon Elliott
  • 2019 Defi du Seuil 6 Barry Geraghty Philip Hobbs

As these articles are written in advance of the 2020 Cheltenham Festival, the likely contenders are expected to change as we get closer to St Patricks Day. The picture also starts to get much clearer as we approach the festival, with trainers starting to show their cards in the weeks leading up to Day 3. 

To get Keith’s very latest, up-to-date thoughts on the Day 3 card, and his final Day 3 tips, simply register as a FREE FRT member here, and Keith will email you the full Day 3 tips on the morning of St Paddy’s Day.

Who is FRT’s Cheltenham Day 3 Tipster?

Keith Bond is our resident pro tipster here at FRT Towers. Keith lives and breathes horse racing, having begun his love of horse racing over 40 years ago with a part time job at Catterick Racecourse, as one of three fourteen year-olds looking after two jumps and a hurdle.

Over the years, Keith has been a regular at the northern tracks attending countless race meetings and building up a network of contacts, and a portfolio of systems and strategies. 

He was one of the co-founders of Free Racing Tips all the way back in 2008, and his free tips are now backed by more than seventy thousand FRT members every single day.

“Thanks Keith – It’s great to be part of an amazing group of people all after the same thing, passing on tips to beat the bookies” 

Colin Parkinson, Harrow.

The FRT community love Keith’s attention to detail, knowledge of past races, and ability to pick horses…

“You offer some great tips, some fantastic outsiders tipped up as well. Most tipsters just put up favourites. Well done and keep up the good work”

John Woolley, Stockport

Look out for Keith's day three tips in your inbox on March the 12th*

Keith’s Inner Circle members will get priority access to the tips the night before racing – usually by 9pm.

VIP club members also get informed of Keith’s tips the night before – usually by 10pm.

Standard FRT members will receive Keith’s tips on the morning of the races – usually by 10.30am.

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