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Arkle Challenge Trophy Novices Chase 2021

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View Keith's tips for the Arkle Challenge Trophy Novices Chase 2021

When is the Arkle Challenge Trophy Novices Chase 2021?

Cheltenham Tuesday 16th March 2.10pm 

Racing Post Arkle Challenge Trophy Novices Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+) 

Distance: 2 miles  

Weights – 11st 4lb, 7lb allowance for fillies and mares

Race two of the opening day of the Cheltenham Festival is the Arkle Challenge Trophy Novices Chase, run over two miles and they jump 13 fences. Recent winners include Footpad, Altior and Douvan.

Sponsored this year by the Sporting Life

Arkle Challenge Trophy Novices Chase Trends and Statistics

Here are Cheltenham Arkle Novice Chase 12 Year Trends and Statistics 

  • Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged between 6 and 7.
  • Sex – 11 of the last 12 winners were geldings.
  • Trainer – Willie Mullins, Nicky Henderson and Henry De Bromhead have all saddled more than 1 winner in the last 12 years with 4, 3 and 2 wins respectively .
  • Country – 6 of the last 12 winners were bred in Ireland, 5 in France and 1 in Great Britain.
  • Colour – 9 of the last 12 winners were bay..
  • Starting Price (SP) – 6 of the last 12 winners have been odds on and the other 6 returned a SP of between 5/1 and 33/1.
  • Starting Price Rank – 6 of the last 12 winners started as favourite and 10 were in the first 4 in the betting.
  • Headgear – 11 of the last 12 winners wore no headgear
  • Days Since Last Run – 10 of the last 12 winners had run between 23 and 80 days ago. 
  • Last Run Form –11 of the last 12 winners had won last time out.

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Arkle Chase Records

Fastest Win: Tiutchev 2000 ridden by Mick Fitzgerald and trained by Nicky Henderson in 226.4 seconds – 3 minutes 46.4 seconds

Leading jockey since 1946 (4 wins):

Barry Geraghty – Moscow Flyer (2002), Forpadydeplasterer (2009), Sprinter Sacre (2012), Simonsig (2013)
Ruby Walsh – Azertyuiop (2003), Un de Sceaux (2015), Douvan (2016), Footpad (2018)

Leading trainer since 1946 (6 wins):

Nicky Henderson – Remittance Man (1991), Travado (1993), Tiutchev (2000), Sprinter Sacre (2012), Simonsig (2013), Altior (2017)

Who are the Arkle Challenge Trophy Novices Chase Leading Contenders?

Here's what Keith said ahead of the 2021 Arkle Challenge Trophy:

SHISHKIN – Last years Supreme Novices Hurdle winner, has notched up 3 easy wins over fences which includes Grade 2's at Kempton and Doncaster.

ENERGUMENE – Lightly raced PTP, bumper and hurdle winner who has taken well to fences making all to comfortable wins on both ooccasions.

ALLMANKIND – 2020 Triumph Hurdle third who is 2/2 over fences including the Grade 1 Henry VIII novices chase at Sandown.

UNEXEPTED – Moderate hurdler who was always going to be better over fences, won very well indeed at Tipperary in October.

What’s Keith’s Arkle Challenge Trophy Novices Chase Tips

It is still 42 days before they line up for the Arkle and of the current 34 entries is is unlikely that we will see more than 12 line up in the race.

SHISHKIN heads the market but at 8/11 represents no value at this stage, however, so long has he makes it to Cheltenham he should win.

Willie Mullins likes to keep his cards close to his chest and currently is responsible for 6 of these 34 enteries, the remaining trial races are likely to determine how many are involved come raceday. It is to Mullins however that I look for a bit of each way value in the ante-post market the unexposed UNEXCEPTED has a big future ahead of him and providing he lines up has a great eachway shout.

On the day, here's is Keith's tip for the Arkle:

SHISHKIN  1/2 – Very poor turnout for this race as last years Supreme Novices Hurdle winner has scared them all off.  SHISKIN win still be unbeaten after this race and the odds reflect that.

How did he do?

SHISHKIN – first winner of the festival for Keith with Shishkin who tracked leader until settled off the pace in 3rd place at 2nd, closer at 5th, travelling strongly before challenged 3 out, soon led, clear before next, 10 lengths ahead last, impressive winner.

Here's what Keith said about his selection for the Arkle:

I will go through the contenders in reverse order – BREWIN’UPASTORM lacks a recent run and hasn’t yet raced in Graded company, so may find himself out of his depth. At five years of age, FAKIR D’OUDAIRIES doesn’t meet the age trend for the race and was in receipt of a 7lb allowance when 1½ lengths second to him.

CASHBACK ran NOTEBOOK close in the Irish Arkle but at eight years old is too old according to recent statistics. This leaves us with the current ante-post  favourite NOTEBOOK who ticks almost every box.

Our Arkle selection performed poorly weakening from 3 out and finishing sixth.

Arkle Challenge Trophy Novice Chase Results

Sporting Life Arkle Challenge Trophy Novices Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race)
Distance: 2m (3499 yards) Prize (winner): £73854 Dir: Left Handed
Runners: 5    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 1    Age Restrictions: 5yo+
Winners Time: 3 mins 53.36s   Avg OR: 156     Median OR: 156

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeWeightORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
61stShishkin (IRE)711-4164Henderson, N JBoinville, Nico4/9 (Fav)
tracked leader until settled off the pace in 3rd place at 2nd, closer at 5th, travelling strongly before challenged 3 out, soon led, clear before next, 10 lengths ahead last, impressive
32nd12Eldorado Allen (FR)711-4149Tizzard, C LCobden, Harry33/1
held up off the pace in 4th, pushed along and outpaced before 3 out, rallied and stayed on well run-in went 2nd final 50 yards, never any chance with winner
23rd1Captain Guinness (IRE)611-4153Bromhead, Henry DeBlackmore, Rachael10/1
loose briefly in parade ring, edgy, mounted in walkway, raced keenly, pressed leader from 2nd, led briefly 5th, led 7th (water), headed 10th, chased leader, tried to keep eventual 3rd in a pocket briefly before 2 out, soon outpaced, went 3rd close home, never any chance with winner
14th0.5Allmankind511-4160Skelton, DanielSkelton, Harry5/1
led, set strong pace but pressed, not fluent and headed briefly 5th, not fluent and headed 7th (water), led again 10th, joined 3 out, soon headed, held in pocket briefly before 2 out, no chance with winner, hit last, lost 2nd 50 yards out, dropped to 4th close home
45th26Franco De Port (FR)611-4156Mullins, W PTownend, P8/1
off the pace and always last, never on terms, tailed off

Non Runners  Numitor

Racing Post Arkle Challenge Trophy Novices Chase (Grade 1)
Distance: 2m (3499 yards) Prize (winner): £98472 Direction: Left Handed
Runners: 11    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 1    Age Restrictions: 5yo+
Winners Time: 4 mins 8.14s   Avg OR: 151     Median OR: 154

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
111stPut The Kettle On (IRE)6144Bromhead, Henry DeColeman, A16/119.974.50
prominent, led after 2nd, headed next, led 4th until before 5th, led again 3 out, pressed 2 out, 2 1/2 lengths ahead last, edged slightly right flat and then slightly left, stayed on gamely and holding 2nd towards finish BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 19
52nd1.5Fakir Doudairies (FR)5154OBrien, Joseph PatrickWalsh, M P3/14.701.79
prominent, led 2nd, soon headed, stayed handy, went 2nd after 3 out, shaken up and every chance when hit 2 out, 2 1/2 lengths down last, closed and threatened briefly flat, held towards finish BF IP MIN 1.6 BF IP MAX 1000
93rd18Rouge Vif (FR)6157Whittington, HSheehan, Gavin9/112.993.21
rear of mid-division, outpaced after 3 out, kept on from 2 out, went 3rd last stride but no chance with front pair BF IP MIN 6.6 BF IP MAX 1000
64thHDGlobal Citizen (IRE)8156Pauling, BenBass, David33/158.8312.89
held up in rear, not always fluent, hampered 10th, soon pushed along, switched right and closed 3 out, went 3rd final bend before 2 out, no impression on front pair, lost 3rd last stride BF IP MIN 12.5 BF IP MAX 1000
15th2.5Al Dancer (FR)7151Twiston-Davies, N ATwiston-Davies, Sam16/118.884.33
mid-division, not fluent 6th, hampered 10th, struggling after, well beaten after 3 out, hampered 2 out BF IP MIN 16.5 BF IP MAX 1000
76th5Notebook (GER)7158Bromhead, Henry DeBlackmore, Rachael5/2 (Fav)4.001.86
held up in touch, squeezed up slightly after 3 out, unable to go with leaders before 2 out, weakened approaching last BF IP MIN 2.9 BF IP MAX 1000
10FMaire Banrigh8148Skelton, DanielSkelton, Harry16/124.955.06
chased leaders on inside, close 3rd going fine when fell 10th BF IP MIN 15 BF IP MAX 1000
3FCash Back (FR)8156Mullins, W PTownend, P6/18.002.72
led until 2nd, led next, headed 4th, led approaching 5th, jumped right 9th, headed 3 out, soon dropped out, well beaten when fell 2 out BF IP MIN 6 BF IP MAX 1000
4FEsprit Du Large (FR)6155Williams, EvanWedge, Adam12/118.184.60
held up towards rear, headway when mistake 10th, chasing leaders 3 out, soon ridden and beaten, 5th and weakening when fell 2 out BF IP MIN 6 BF IP MAX 1000
8PUOur Merlin8132Walford, RobertSheppard, Stan100/11000.00136.38
held up towards rear on outside, some headway 8th, lost place 9th, hampered next, soon tailed off, pulled up before 3 out BF IP MIN 840 BF IP MAX 1000
2URBrewinupastorm (IRE)7150Murphy, OllyJohnson, Richard6/18.202.99
held up in rear, pecked slightly 6th, not fluent 7th, blundered and unseated rider 10th BF IP MIN 7.8 BF IP MAX 1000

Racing Post Arkle Challenge Trophy Novices Chase (Grade 1)
Distance: 2m (3499 yards) Prize (winner): £102772 Direction: Left Handed
Runners: 12    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 1    Age Restrictions: 5yo+
Winners Time: 3 mins 58.90s   Avg OR: 148     Median OR: 149

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
31stDuc Des Genievres (FR)6151Mullins, W PTownend, P5/17.002.58
held up in mid-division, headway 6th, went 2nd 9th, led 3 out, clear next, stayed on strongly, easily BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 7.4
122nd13Us And Them (IRE)6152OBrien, Joseph PatrickSlevin, J J14/119.504.68
held up in rear, pecked 1st, not fluent 4 out, ridden in modest 7th before 3 out, headway 2 out, went 2nd final 150 yards, no chance with winner BF IP MIN 16.5 BF IP MAX 1000
13rd3.75Articulum (IRE)9145OBrien, TerenceMullins, David25/146.009.91
in touch behind leaders, slightly hampered 6th, mistake next (water), outpaced after jumping right 4 out, went 3rd on home turn after 3 out, jumped right 2 out, stayed on same pace BF IP MIN 18 BF IP MAX 1000
24th2.75Clondaw Castle (IRE)7144George, T RGethings, Ciaran33/180.0013.45
tracked leader until before 3rd, stayed prominent, left 2nd 6th until 9th, challenging 3 out, no impression on winner next, edged right after last, lost 2nd 150 yards, no extra BF IP MIN 5.3 BF IP MAX 1000
75th5Knocknanuss (IRE)9148Moore, G LMoore, Jamie33/155.0011.00
held up towards rear on outside, jumped right and not fluent 1st, headway to chase leader before 3rd, challenging 5th, left in lead next, headed 3 out, well beaten 4th 2 out, weakened after BF IP MIN 9.4 BF IP MAX 1000
106th2.25Paloma Blue (IRE)7147Bromhead, Henry DePower, R M10/112.584.50
not always fluent, tracked leaders and raced keenly early stages, mistake 6th, slightly hampered 4 out, outpaced after, weakened 2 out BF IP MIN 8.2 BF IP MAX 1000
57th11Hardline (IRE)7153Elliott, GordonRussell, D N100/30 (Fav)4.771.88
held up towards rear, some headway 8th, shaken up before 3 out, no impression and soon well beaten BF IP MIN 2.38 BF IP MAX 1000
118th6Slate House (IRE)7137Tizzard, C LCobden, Harry66/1161.4319.96
in touch until before 3rd, hampered 6th, well behind from 9th BF IP MIN 140 BF IP MAX 1000
9FOrnua (IRE)8151Bromhead, Henry DeBlackmore, Rachael14/119.754.40
led, joined when fell 6th BF IP MIN 9.8 BF IP MAX 1000
8PULalor (GER)7151Woollacott, Mrs KayleyJohnson, Richard13/28.043.09
rear group, last and struggling 5th, well behind 9th, pulled up before 4 out BF IP MIN 7.8 BF IP MAX 1000
4URGlen Forsa (IRE)7150Channon, M RBurke, Jonathan9/26.402.26
held up in rear, mistake and unseated rider 4th BF IP MIN 6.2 BF IP MAX 1000
6URKalashnikov (IRE)6148Murphy, AmyQuinlan, Jack6/18.203.03
tracked leaders on inside, hampered and unseated rider 6th BF IP MIN 5.2 BF IP MAX 1000
Arkle Challenge Trophy Novice Chase Previous Winners
DateGoingRunnersWinnerStallionAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOddsWeightORDays
Soft574/911-416445d
Soft11616/110-11144114d
Soft1265/111-415124d
Heavy565/611-416238d
Good To Soft971/411-417031d
Good To Soft761/411-416151d
Good To Soft1174/611-416644d
Good To Soft9633/111-413562d
Soft778/1511-716075d
Good668/1111-716925d
Good1076/111-715317d
Good To Soft1286/111-715780d
Good To Soft1778/111-715223d
Good To Soft1476/111-715438d
Soft1377/211-7052d
Good To Soft14515/211-2024d
Good1977/111-714752d
Good1659/111-3042d
Good965/411-8024d
Good To Soft12811/211-8044d
Good1278/111-8066d
Good To Soft14511/111-0024d
Good16513/211-0034d

 

Who is FRT’s Cheltenham Day 1 Tipster?

Keith Bond is our resident pro tipster here at FRT Towers. Keith lives and breathes horse racing, having begun his love of horse racing over 40 years ago with a part time job at Catterick Racecourse, as one of three fourteen year-olds looking after two jumps and a hurdle.

Over the years, Keith has been a regular at the northern tracks attending countless race meetings and building up a network of contacts, and a portfolio of systems and strategies. 

He was one of the co-founders of Free Racing Tips all the way back in 2008, and his free tips are now backed by more than seventy thousand FRT members every single day.

“Thanks Keith – It’s great to be part of an amazing group of people all after the same thing, passing on tips to beat the bookies”

Colin Parkinson, Harrow.

The FRT community love Keith’s attention to detail, knowledge of past races, and ability to pick horses...

“You offer some great tips, some fantastic outsiders tipped up as well. Most tipsters just put up favourites. Well done and keep up the good work”

John Woolley, Stockport

Cheltenham Festival Tuesday

Race Schedule

START TIMESRACEDISTANCETYPE
13:30The Sky Bet Supreme Novices’ Hurdle Race2m abt ½fHurdle
14:10The Sporting Life Arkle Challenge Trophy Steeple Chaseabt 2mChase
14:50The Ultima Handicap Steeple Chase3m abt 1fChase
15:30The Unibet Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy
(feature race)
2m abt ½fHurdle
16:10The Close Brothers Mares’ Hurdle Race2m abt 4fHurdle
16:50The Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle Race (Grade 3)2m abt 4½fChase
17:30The National Hunt Steeple Chase Challenge Cup (Amateur Riders’ Novices’ Steeple Chase) (Grade 2)3m abt 6fChase

 

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