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Trends for the Red Rum Chase

Trends for the Red Rum Chase

The most competitive handicap at Aintree on Thursday 4th April is the Close Brothers Red Rum Handicap Chase on the Mildmay Course, run over 2 miles they have 12 fences to negotiate.

12 YEAR STATISTICS

  • Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 6 and 9.
  • Starting Price – 9 of the last 12 went off at a SP of between 8/1 and 33/1.
  • Weight – 10 of the last 12 winners carried between 10st 2lbs and 11st 8lbs.
  • Last Run – Just 1 of the last 12 winners won on their previous run before, 10 of the last 12 winners ran within the last 33 days.
  • Course Form – 9 of the last 12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Aintree.
  • Distance Form – 10 of the last 12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs.
  • Chase Form – All 12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win.
  • Official Rating – 11 of the last 12 winners were rated 130 or higher.
  • Current Season – 11 of the last 12 winners had at least 5 runs in the current season, 9 of them had at least 1 win that season.

My Selection

After looking though the card several tick plenty of boxes but the stand out for me is LADY BUTTONS at 9/1 who I will be backing each way.

Have fun playing with the statistics, no doubt you will come to a different conclusion and that is exactly how it should be.

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Yours in racing

Keith

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