Newcastle Chipchase Stakes 2019 – 12 Year Statistics

Newcastle Saturday 29th June 2:25pm

Betfair Exchange Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Age: 3yo+ Distance: Six furlongs

Weights – 8st 10lbs (3yo), 9st 3lbs (4yo+), (3lbs allowance for fillies & mares)
Penalties – 7lbs for Group 1 winners, 5lbs for Group 2 winners, 3lbs for Group 3 winners (Since last August 31st)

History

First run in 1994, and it was initially classed at Listed level. It was promoted to Group 3 status in 2001. Since 2016 it has been run on a Tapeta all-weather track, having previously been contested on turf. It is one of four non-turf Group races in Britain, along with the Winter Derby, September Stakes and the Sirenia Stakes.

12 Year Statistics

Age – Nine of the last twelve winners have been aged four or older.
Starting Price – Eight of the last twelve winners returned a SP of between 9/2 and 12/1.
Weight All of the last twelve winners carried no more than 9st 3lb.
Last Run – Nine of the last twelve winners finished fourth or worse last time, only one of them had won. All of the last twelve winners had run within the last 49 days.
Course FormTen of the last twelve winners had not raced at Newcastle previously.
Distance FormEleven of the last twelve winners had run over six furlongs at least three times and eleven of them had won at the trip at least once.
Flat FormEleven of the last twelve winners had at least two previous wins.
Official RatingEleven of the last twelve winners had an official rating of between 100 and 110.
Season FormAll of the last twelve winners had at least one run in the current season.

Leading Contenders and Keith's Tip

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Leading Contenders

INVINCIBLE ARMY 5/2 – Seventh behind Blue Point at Royal Ascot. Won a Group 2 on penultimate start. Carries a Group race penalty.

MR LUPTON 4/1 – Lifetime best winning a Group 2 at the Curragh in May. This is tougher under a penalty.

GLORIOUS JOURNEY 5/1 – French Group 3 winner over a mile last year. Showed his best form since when dropped back in distance to this trip last time.

LAUGH A MINUTE 13/2 – Has been consistent over this sort of trip. Has run well in all conditions on turf so switch to the All Weather shouldn’t be a problem. Definite each way chance.

Conclusion

As the higher weighted horses have struggled in this race we can eliminate two of the market principals. My selection for the race is LAUGH A MINUTE 13/2 each way.

yours in racing

Keith


* All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change.

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