Goodwood Thursday 2nd August 3.40pm (ITV)
1m2f (1m1f197y) Qatar Nassau Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Fillies & Mares) (Class 1) (3yo+)
Statistics since 2006
Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 3 or 4 and the other 2 aged 5
Price – 7 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 11 of them went off at 11/2 or less.
Last Run – 4 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Nassau Stakes, 6 were placed on their last run, 10 of them had their last run within the last 44 days
Previous Course Form – 3 of the 12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Goodwood, 2 had at least 1 previous win at Goodwood
Previous Distance Form – 10 of the last 12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 10 furlongs, 8 of them had at least 1 previous win over 10 furlongs
Previous Flat Form – 10 of the last 12 winners had at least 5 previous flat runs, all 12 had at least 2 previous flat wins, 7 of them had at least 3 previous flat wins
Rating – 9 of the last 12 winners had a rating of 105 or higher
Group 1 Wins – 8 of the last 12 winners had at least 1 previous Group 1 win
Group Wins – 10 of the last 12 winners had at least 1 previous Group 1-3 win
Season Form – 11 of the last 12 winners had at least 2 previous runs that season, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous win that season
Verdict
3 year olds have won the last 3 renewals but the 4 year olds look stronger this year and it should turn out to be a match between Urban Fox who won comfortably at the Curragh last time and the Lockinge winner RHODODENDRON who disappointed at Royal Ascot but is expected to bounce back over this course and distance.
Selection
RHODODENDRON 3/1
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