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Bet365 Hackwood Stakes at Newbury: How The Stats Stack Up

Newbury Saturday 21st July 3pm

6f bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+)

Statistics since 2006

Age – 7 of the last 12 winners were aged 4 which is a definite swing from earlier in the century when 3 year olds had the upper hand.
Starting Price – 5 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 8 of the last 12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting.
Last Run – 4 from 12 winners won on their last run, All 12 winners had their last run within the last 28 days.
Previous Course Form – 8 of the 12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Newbury, 3 of the 12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Newbury
Previous Distance Form – 11 of the 12 winners had at least 5 previous runs over 6 furlongs, All 12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 6 furlongs, 10 of the 12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over 6 furlongs
Previous Flat Form – 10 from 12 winners had at least 10 previous flat runs, 10 from 12 winners had at least 3 previous flat wins
Rating – 11of the 12 winners had a rating of 104 or higher
Group Wins – 5 of the 12 winners had at least 1 previous Group 1-3 win
Season Form – All winners had at least 2 previous runs that season, 9 of the 12 winners had at least 1 previous win that season

Verdict

After taking all the recent trends into consideration nothing ticks every box, the three to concentrate on though are Equilateral who I have eliminated due to age and inexperience, Projection who has never visited Newbury before and Bacchus who landed a bit of a coup when winning the Wokingham last time, preference is for the latter who has the services of Frankie Dettori in the saddle and has a previous course win under his belt.

Selection

BACCHUS 6/1

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