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Supreme Novices Hurdle tips 2021

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View Keith's tips for the Supreme Novices Hurdle

When is the Supreme Novices Hurdle 2021?

Supreme Novices Hurdle TipsCheltenham Tuesday 16th March 1.30pm

Sky Bet Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 1) (4yo+)

Distance: 2 miles ½ Furlong

Weights: 10st 13lb (4yo), 11st 7lb (5yo+), 7lb allowance for fillies and mares.

The first event of the Festival is the Supreme Novices Hurdle – a Grade 1 hurdle race which is open to horses aged four years and older. 

It is run over a distance of two miles and 87 yards on the old course and there are eight hurdles to be jumped. The winner of this race will hopefully be seen at the Cheltenham Festival for many years to come. 

Past winners include Douvan, Vautour and Altior who all won this race before going on to win at the following years festivals.

Last year’s race was won by Nico Boinville on SHISHKIN by a head for Nicky Henderson.

Supreme Novices Hurdle Trends and Statistics

Here are Cheltenham Supreme Novices Hurdle 12 Year Trends and Statistics.

  • Age – All of the last 12 winners were aged between 5 and 6.
  • Sex – All of the last 12 winners were geldings.
  • Trainer – Nicky Henderson and Willie Mullins are the only trainers to saddle more than 1 winner in the last 12 years with 2 and 4 wins respectively .
  • Country – 6 of the last 12 winners were bred in Ireland, 5 in France and 1 in Great Britain.
  • Colour – 8 of the last 12 winners were bay..
  • Weight Carried – Geldings carry 11st 7lb and mares 11st 0lb.
  • Starting Price (SP) – 9 of the last 12 winners returned a SP of between 4/1 and 12/1.
  • Starting Price Rank – 2 of the last 12 winners started as favourite and 9 were in the first 4 in the betting.
  • Headgear – None of the last 12 winners wore any headgear
  • Days Since Last Run – 10 of the last 12 winners had run between 24 and 66 days ago. 
  • Last Run Form –10 of the last 12 winners had won last time out.

Supreme Novices Hurdle Records

Leading jockey since 1972 (6 wins):

Ruby Walsh – Noland (2006), Al Ferof (2011), Champagne Fever (2013), Vautour (2014), Douvan (2015), Klassical Dream (2019)

Leading trainer since 1972 (6 wins):

Willie Mullins – Tourist Attraction (1995), Ebaziyan (2007), Champagne Fever (2013), Vautour (2014), Douvan (2015), Klassical Dream (2019)

Source: Wikipedia

Who are the Supreme Novices Hurdle Leading Contenders?

Here's what Keith said ahead of the 2021 Supreme Novices Chase

APRECIATE IT – Ante post favourite from 6 times winning trainer Willie Mullins, runner up in last year's Champion Bumper and Grade 1 winner over hurdles.

METIER – Harry Fry trained ex-flat horse who is 3/3 over hurdles cumilating in the Tolworth Hurdle in January.

ZANAHIYR –  Unbeaten over hurdles since joining the powerful Gordon Elliott yard enjoying easy wins in Graded races last twice. 

BALLYADAM – Another Gordon Elliot inmate Grade 1 winner at Fairyhouse in December before having his colours lowered by appreciate last time.

What’s Keith’s Supreme Novices Hurdle Tips for 2021?

Early days yet with still 6 weeks to go before the big day. APPRECIATE IT is sure to be popular but at 7 years old is older than ideal, BALLYADAM is held by APPRECIATE IT on their Leopardstown race. ZANAHIYA is too young at just 4 and the Triumph Hurdle is a more likely target. That leaves us with the leading English fancy METIER who ticks almost every box and is getting better with every race.

Keith's early tip for the Supreme Novices Hurdle is METIER 7/1

Here's what Keith tipped for our members on the day:

METIER 13:20 Cheltenham 6/1 – Unbeaten over hurdles, APRECIATE will be a very popular favourite, but, in my opinion and the stats back it up, he is too old at 7 for this race. METIER, who landed the Tolworth hurdle in some style back in January is still progressing and also unbeaten.

How did it do?

METIER– not the strongest of starts for our tips, Metier chased leaders, outpaced after 3 out, well beaten from next, eased before last to finish in 7th place.

Supreme Novices Hurdle Results 

Sky Bet Supreme Novices Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race)
Distance: 2m½f (3607 yards) Prize (winner): £52753 Dir: Left Handed
Runners: 8    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 1    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 3 mins 56.32s   Avg OR: 146     Median OR: 144.5

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeWeightORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
11stAppreciate It (IRE)711-7153Mullins, W PTownend, P8/11 (Fav)
chased leader, challenged going well 3 out, led 2 out, drawing clear when left 15 lengths ahead last, stayed on strongly, impressive
22nd24Ballyadam (IRE)611-7148Bromhead, Henry DeKennedy, J W6/1
held up, raced keenly, not fluent 4th, closed from 4 out, tracking leaders 3 out, bad mistake 2 out and lost ground on leaders, stayed on from final bend, left 2nd and hampered last, switched left and kept on, no chance with winner
43rd2.25For Pleasure (IRE)611-7144Hales, A MBannister, Harry A A40/1
led, clear after 1st until after 2nd, pressed 3 out, headed next, soon outpaced by winner and lost 2nd, left disputing 2nd briefly last, kept on
84th1.25Soaring Glory (IRE)611-7143ONeill, JonjoONeill, Jonjo (Jr)10/1
held up, hit 2nd, outpaced 3 out, left 4th last, no impression, kept on
65th5.5Irascible (FR)611-7143Bromhead, Henry DeBlackmore, Rachael25/1
towards rear on outside, ridden and struggling in last pair after 2nd, slow 3rd, well beaten before 3 out, went 5th and not much room last, no impression
56th1.5Grumpy Charley611-7143Honour, ChrisCarver, Bryan28/1
not much room on landing 2nd, last pair and outpaced after, well beaten before 3 out
77th1.25Metier (IRE)511-7148Fry, HarryBowen, Sean P11/2
chased leaders, outpaced after 3 out, well beaten from next, eased before last
3FBlue Lord (FR)611-7145Mullins, W PJacob, Daryl11/1
held up on inside, travelled strongly, tracking leaders from 4 out, went 2nd after 2 out, no chance with winner but clear 2nd when fell last

Sky Bet Supreme Novices Hurdle (Grade 1)
Distance: 2m½f (3607 yards) Prize (winner): £70338 Direction: Left Handed
Runners: 15    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 1    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 4 mins 8.20s   Avg OR: 115     Median OR: 142

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
131stShishkin (IRE)6153Henderson, N JBoinville, Nico6/110.483.66
held up mid-division, mistake 3rd, headway when badly hampered 2 out, driven to chase leaders on outside turning in, switched inside to challenge before last, soon ridden, stayed on to lead narrowly towards finish, just held on BF IP MIN 1.02 BF IP MAX 95
12ndHDAbacadabras (FR)6153Elliott, GordonRussell, D N11/43.911.79
held up towards rear of mid-division, smooth headway after 3 out, close up when hampered next, soon poised to challenge, led narrowly before last, ridden and kept on flat, headed narrowly towards finish, just held BF IP MIN 1.15 BF IP MAX 95
63rd11Chantry House (IRE)6140Henderson, N JGeraghty, B J15/29.933.84
tracked leaders, driven and one pace after 2 out, ridden and kept on under pressure before last, no extra in well held 3rd flat BF IP MIN 7.2 BF IP MAX 1000
34th2.75Asterion Forlonge (FR)6155Mullins, W PTownend, P9/4 (Fav)3.551.71
led, jumped right, jumped markedly right 3 out and again next, driven and headed before last, ridden and no impression in 4th flat BF IP MIN 2.7 BF IP MAX 1000
25th1.5Allart (IRE)6142Henderson, N JBowen, James C33/189.069.01
towards rear of mid-division on inside, headway 3 out, chased leaders after next, ridden before last, soon no impression, gradually weakened flat BF IP MIN 22 BF IP MAX 1000
76th8Edwardstone6142King, ACannon, Tom J25/150.008.75
held up behind, headway 2 out, chased leaders turning in, soon ridden, outpaced before last, weakened flat BF IP MIN 32 BF IP MAX 1000
167th8Heaven Help Us (IRE)6136Hennessy, PaulMullins, D E100/1399.3619.91
mid-division, pushed along on outside when hampered 3 out and again next, never on terms after, weakened before last BF IP MIN 44 BF IP MAX 1000
158th6.5Whatsnotoknow (IRE)5125Morris, M FEnright, P T100/1783.1050.00
in touch on outside, pushed along after 3 out, lost place when hampered next, weakened before last BF IP MIN 210 BF IP MAX 1000
149th11Soviet Pimpernel (IRE)5142Fahey, PeterSexton, K C50/1134.7610.42
prominent, pushed along after 4 out, lost place after next, weakened after 2 out BF IP MIN 70 BF IP MAX 1000
1010th9.5Hollow Sound (IRE)50Comer, LukeKelly, Mr D T150/11000.0068.82
always towards rear, weakened before 2 out BF IP MIN 1000 BF IP MAX 1000
911th2.75Fiddlerontheroof (IRE)6154Tizzard, C LPower, R M6/18.802.52
in touch on inside, driven and lost place after 2 out, weakened before last BF IP MIN 7.2 BF IP MAX 1000
412th19Berkshire Royal50Mullins, W PCrosse, Dave100/1315.9937.19
held up behind, struggling after 4 out, tailed off after next BF IP MIN 240 BF IP MAX 1000
5BDCaptain Guinness (IRE)50Bromhead, Henry DeBlackmore, Rachael14/121.004.30
mid-division, headway when hampered 3 out, close up and every chance when badly hampered and brought down next BF IP MIN 10.5 BF IP MAX 1000
8FElixir DAinay (FR)6148Mullins, W PWalsh, M P16/120.005.08
prominent, carried right by leader 3 out, upsides and every chance when hampered again and fell next BF IP MIN 9.2 BF IP MAX 1000
12PUMario De Pail (FR)5135Thomas, SamTwiston-Davies, Sam100/1490.0028.13
behind, reminders after 4 out, never involved, lost touch when pulled up before 2 out BF IP MIN 250 BF IP MAX 1000

Sky Bet Supreme Novices Hurdle (Grade 1)
Distance: 2m½f (3607 yards) Prize (winner): £70338 Direction: Left Handed
Runners: 16    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 1    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 3 mins 59.56s   Avg OR: 144     Median OR: 146 

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
101stKlassical Dream (FR)5154Mullins, W PWalsh, R6/18.722.95
raced keenly, always prominent, led going well 4 out, drew clear approaching last, ridden out flat, stayed on well BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 9.6
152nd4.5Thomas Darby (IRE)6140Murphy, OllyJohnson, Richard28/151.138.28
held up behind, mistake 4th, headway on outside 3 out, driven to chase leaders turning in, went 2nd soon after last, ridden and kept on under pressure flat, no impression with winner BF IP MIN 5 BF IP MAX 1000
93rd0.5Itchy Feet (FR)5142Murphy, OllySheehan, Gavin25/134.008.40
mid-division, outpaced 2 out, rallied between last 2, went left and hit last, soon ridden, stayed on to press for 2nd flat, no impression with winner BF IP MIN 6 BF IP MAX 1000
184th6Fakir Doudairies (FR)4150OBrien, Joseph PatrickSlevin, J J9/2 (JFav)6.002.82
tracked leaders on inside, driven and outpaced 2 out, soon ridden and no impression, stayed on under pressure flat, snatched well held 4th final strides BF IP MIN 4 BF IP MAX 1000
75thNSEFelix Desjy (FR)6147Elliott, GordonFlanagan, S W11/114.185.22
behind, headway into mid-division on outside after 2nd, went 2nd approaching 2 out, ridden between last 2, one pace and no impression when mistake last, soon lost place, well held flat, lost 4th final stride BF IP MIN 2.5 BF IP MAX 1000
36thHDAramon (GER)6154Mullins, W PTownend, P8/110.504.20
towards rear, headway to chase leaders 3 out, 3rd turning in, one pace before last, soon lost place, well held flat BF IP MIN 3 BF IP MAX 1000
27th11Angels Breath (IRE)5150Henderson, N JBoinville, Nico6/18.202.58
raced keenly, in touch on inside, lost place when short of room after 4 out, outpaced before next, well held from 2 out BF IP MIN 7.4 BF IP MAX 1000
118th1.25Mister Fisher (IRE)5145Henderson, N JBowen, James C14/122.006.40
in touch, driven 2 out, kept on same pace, never able to challenge BF IP MIN 10 BF IP MAX 1000
179th5Vision DHonneur (FR)5147Elliott, GordonKennedy, J W12/115.004.38
mid-division, chased leaders before 2 out, soon ridden and no impression, weakened approaching last BF IP MIN 9 BF IP MAX 1000
110th5Al Dancer (FR)6152Twiston-Davies, N ATwiston-Davies, Sam9/2 (JFav)6.402.40
in touch, pressed winner after 4 out, lost place approaching 2 out, soon outpaced, weakened between last 2 BF IP MIN 5.5 BF IP MAX 1000
811th1.5Grand Sancy (FR)5152Nicholls, P FCobden, Harry14/124.265.43
in touch on outside, lost place 2 out, soon beaten BF IP MIN 19.5 BF IP MAX 1000
1312th8The Big Bite (IRE)6145George, T RFehily, Noel25/132.0010.50
prominent, driven and lost place before 2 out, soon weakened BF IP MIN 25 BF IP MAX 900
1413th6The Flying Sofa (FR)6126Moore, G LMoore, Jamie125/1330.5850.00
always behind, struggling after 4 out BF IP MIN 260 BF IP MAX 1000
4PUBeaufort West (IRE)5129Tizzard, C LPower, R M66/1156.9634.00
slowly away, always behind, tailed off when pulled up before last BF IP MIN 110 BF IP MAX 1000
5PUBrandon Castle7139King, N BFrost, Bryony25/144.0012.50
led, clear to after 2nd, headed 4 out, lost place before next, soon weakened, behind when pulled up before last BF IP MIN 22 BF IP MAX 1000
12PUNormal Norman5128Ryan, JBrennan, P J100/1500.0059.54
never better than mid-division, behind from 4 out, pulled up before next BF IP MIN 250 BF IP MAX 1000

Sky Bet Supreme Novices Hurdle (Grade 1)
Distance: 2m½f (3607 yards) Prize (winner): £71188 Direction: Left Handed
Runners: 19    Going: Heavy    Class: Class 1 Grade 1    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 4 mins 5.00s   Avg OR: 132     Median OR: 142

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
151stSummerville Boy (IRE)6150George, T RFehily, Noel9/112.503.04
held up mid-division, steady headway 4 out, tracked leaders next, slightly outpaced when blundered 2 out, ridden and rallied between last 2, close up in 3rd when not fluent last, stayed on well to lead towards finish BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 44
62ndNKKalashnikov (IRE)5154Murphy, AmyQuinlan, Jack5/16.372.44
always prominent, joined leader 3 out, led approaching next, ridden between last 2, kept on when hard pressed from last, narrowly headed and no extra towards finish BF IP MIN 1.13 BF IP MAX 780
83rd1.75Mengli Khan (IRE)5148Elliott, GordonKennedy, J W14/117.395.19
tracked leaders, went 2nd after 2 out, ridden to challenge and every chance last, kept on until no extra in 3rd final 100 yards BF IP MIN 3 BF IP MAX 1000
94th1Paloma Blue (IRE)6142Bromhead, Henry DeRussell, D N14/116.923.99
tracked leaders, driven to chase front pair after 2 out, one pace in 4th last, soon ridden, kept on under pressure final 100 yards, always held BF IP MIN 8 BF IP MAX 1000
15th2.25Claimantakinforgan (FR)6144Henderson, N JBoinville, Nico16/121.866.31
mid-division on inside, ridden after 2 out, headway under pressure before last, stayed on flat, not pace to threaten leaders BF IP MIN 16 BF IP MAX 1000
186th2.25Western Ryder (IRE)6145Greatrex, W JJohnson, Richard20/128.246.50
mid-division, outpaced when hampered and carried right 2 out, ridden and stayed on under pressure flat, not reach leaders BF IP MIN 20 BF IP MAX 1000
77th0.75Lostintranslation (IRE)6134Tizzard, C LPower, R M40/162.7725.00
held up towards rear, headway after 4 out, chased leaders when hampered next, ridden and outpaced between last 2, no impression after BF IP MIN 11 BF IP MAX 1000
118th2.25Sharjah (FR)5148Mullins, W PTownend, P20/129.007.49
mid-division on inside, headway 2 out, driven and one pace between last 2, never reached leaders, ridden and gradually weakened flat BF IP MIN 10 BF IP MAX 1000
29th1.75Debuchet (FR)50Mullins, Ms MargaretMullins, D E20/122.578.87
led to after 1st, in touch on inside, ridden to chase leaders after 2 out, never on terms, weakened from last BF IP MIN 15.5 BF IP MAX 1000
1310th22Simply The Betts (IRE)5133Whittington, HBowen, Sean P40/150.0015.65
held up, always towards rear, struggling after 4th, tailed off BF IP MIN 46 BF IP MAX 1000
411th9Getabird (IRE)6152Mullins, W PWalsh, R7/4 (Fav)3.151.61
raced keenly, led after 1st, headed approaching 2 out, dropped away quickly soon after, weakened before last, tailed off BF IP MIN 2.98 BF IP MAX 1000
1712th19Us And Them (IRE)5136OBrien, Joseph PatrickSlevin, J J28/155.0012.90
in touch, pushed along before 3 out, weakened after next, tailed off BF IP MIN 29 BF IP MAX 1000
2013th0.5Khudha (IRE)4112Fleming, AORegan, Denis200/11000.00143.93
always in rear, tailed off 2 out BF IP MIN 1000 BF IP MAX 1000
1014th1Saxo Jack (FR)8120Leech, Mrs SHoulihan, Sean M200/11000.00122.56
always behind, tailed off 2 out BF IP MIN 1000 BF IP MAX 1000
515th2.25Golden Jeffrey (SWI)5130Jardine, IOFarrell, C150/1494.7485.00
always behind, tailed off 2 out BF IP MIN 400 BF IP MAX 1000
14FSlate House (IRE)6143Tizzard, C LCobden, Harry20/128.699.20
mid-division, headway after 4 out, chased leaders 2 out, ridden and one pace between last 2, well held when fell last BF IP MIN 18.5 BF IP MAX 1000
12PUShoal Bay (IRE)5132Tizzard, C LScudamore, Tom80/1256.08100.00
in touch on outside, lost place 4th, behind 4 out, pulled up before next BF IP MIN 180 BF IP MAX 1000
19PUDame Rose (FR)5140Hobson, RichardBurke, Jonathan40/151.8616.50
chased leaders to after 4th, soon struggling and behind, mistake 2 out, pulled up before last BF IP MIN 46 BF IP MAX 1000
3PUFirst Flow (IRE)6144Bailey, K CBass, David12/114.503.75
prominent, hit 2nd, pressed leader before next, went right 4 out, lost place 3 out, weakening when mistake next, behind and pulled up before last BF IP MIN 11 BF IP MAX 1000

Non Runners  Trainwreck (IRE)

Supreme Novices Hurdle Previous Winners
DateGoingRunnersWinnerStallionAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOddsWeightORDays
Soft878/1111-715337d
Soft1566/111-715333d
Soft1656/111-715437d
Heavy1969/111-715066d
Good To Soft14625/111-714416d
Good To Soft1464/111-715580d
Good To Soft1252/111-715559d
Good To Soft1857/211-715530d
Soft1265/111-714831d
Good19510/111-714252d
Good15610/111-714231d
Good To Soft18512/111-714724d
Good To Soft20612/111-713916d
Good To Soft22717/211-7142115d
Soft22640/111-7040d
Good To Soft2056/111-713830d
Good20520/111-713631d
Good1967/211-7037d
Good1963/111-8020d
Good To Soft2887/411-3030d
Good15614/111-8044d
Good To Soft2049/211-0045d
Good30510/111-3065d
Good1665/111-8031d

 

Who is FRT’s Cheltenham Day 1 Tipster?

Keith Bond is our resident pro tipster here at FRT Towers. Keith lives and breathes horse racing, having begun his love of horse racing over 40 years ago with a part time job at Catterick Racecourse, as one of three fourteen year-olds looking after two jumps and a hurdle.

Over the years, Keith has been a regular at the northern tracks attending countless race meetings and building up a network of contacts, and a portfolio of systems and strategies. 

He was one of the co-founders of Free Racing Tips all the way back in 2008, and his free tips are now backed by more than seventy thousand FRT members every single day.

“Thanks Keith – It’s great to be part of an amazing group of people all after the same thing, passing on tips to beat the bookies”

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The FRT community love Keith’s attention to detail, knowledge of past races, and ability to pick horses...

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Cheltenham Festival Tuesday

Race Schedule

START TIMESRACEDISTANCETYPE
13:30The Sky Bet Supreme Novices’ Hurdle Race2m abt ½fHurdle
14:10The Sporting Life Arkle Challenge Trophy Steeple Chaseabt 2mChase
14:50The Ultima Handicap Steeple Chase3m abt 1fChase
15:30The Unibet Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy
(feature race)
2m abt ½fHurdle
16:10The Close Brothers Mares’ Hurdle Race2m abt 4fHurdle
16:50The Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle Race (Grade 3)2m abt 4½fChase
17:30The National Hunt Steeple Chase Challenge Cup (Amateur Riders’ Novices’ Steeple Chase) (Grade 2)3m abt 6fChase

 

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