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Stayers Hurdle tips 2021

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Stayers Hurdle TipsWhen is the Stayers Hurdle 2021?

Cheltenham Thursday 18th March 3.30pm

Stayers Hurdle (Grade 1) (4yo+)

Distance: 3 miles

Weights:  11st 0lbs (4yo), 11st 10lbs (5yo+), 7lb allowance for fillies and mares

The feature race on Thursday, the third day of the festival is the Stayers Hurdle, run over three miles of the new course where they must clear 12 hurdles. Formally known as the World Hurdle, this is the pinnacle event for staying hurdlers and often produces a dramatic finish up the hill.

It is a genuine staying event and all the contenders will know they’ve had a race by the end of it.

 

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Stayers Hurdle Records

Fastest Win: Bacchanal 2000 ridden by Mick Fitzgerald trained by Nicky Henderson finished in 336.6s – 5 minutes 36.60 seconds

Most successful horse since 1972 (4 wins):

Big Buck's – 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012

Leading jockey since 1972 (5 wins):

Ruby Walsh – Big Buck's (2009, 2010, 2011, 2012), Nichols Canyon (2017)

Leading trainer since 1972 (4 wins):

Paul Nicholls– Big Buck's (2009, 2010, 2011, 2012)

Leading owner since 1972 (4 wins):

The Stewart Family – Big Buck's (2009, 2010, 2011, 2012)
Andrea & Graham Wylie – Inglis Drever (2005, 2007, 2008), Nichols Canyon (2017)

Stayers Hurdle Trends and Statistics

12 Year Trends and Statistics 

  • Age – All of the last 12 winners were aged between 6 and 9. 5 of them were aged 7.
  • Sex – All of the last 12 winners were geldings. Only 6 mares have run and just 2 of them were placed.
  • Trainer – Paul Nichols 4 and Willie Mullins 2 are the only trainers to win more than 1 Stayers Hurdle in the last 12 years.
  • Horse – Big Buck's (2009, 2010, 2011, 2012) is the only horse to win the race more than once in the last 12 years. 
  • Country – 5 of the last 12 winners were bred in France, 4 in Ireland and 3 in Great Britain.
  • Colour – 7 of the last 12 winners were bay.
  • Weight Carried – Geldings carry 11st 10lb and mares 11st 3lb.
  • Starting Price (SP) – 5 of the last 12 winners returned a SP of 13/8 or less. The other 7 were between 6/1 and 14/1.
  • Starting Price Rank – 5 of the last 12 winners started as favourite and 9 were in the first 4 in the betting.
  • Headgear – None of the last 12 winners wore any headgear.
  • Days Since Last Run – 11 of the last 12 winners had run between 47 and 89 days ago. 
  • Last Run Form –8 of the last 12 winners had won last time out, 11 of them finished in the first 4 last time.
  • Official Rating – 11 of the last 12 winners had an official rating of 153 or higher.

Who are the Stayers Hurdle Leading Contenders?

PAISLEY PARK – Winner of this race in 2019 but struggled in last year's renewal when seventh, he lost 2 shoes during the race which could explain the poor run. Back to his best when winning the Long Walk hurdle last time staying on well.

THYME HILL – Has some decent form at Cheltenham and beat PAISLEY PARK at Newbury before going down by a neck to that rival last time.

SIRE DU BERLAIS – Dual festival winner of the Pertemps Final Network Handicap Hurdle. Won a Grade 2 in November.

BENIE DES DIEUX – Runner up in last year’s Mares Hurdle. 

What’s Keith’s Stayers Hurdle Tips for 2021?

BENIE DES DIEUX is immediately crossed out due to the poor record of mares in the race, also she is more likely to run in the Mares Hurdle again. SIRE DU BERLAIS has earned the right to a crack at this race but may find one or two too good. 

Basically this race could boil down to a match between THYME HILL and PAISLEY PARK who are honours even this season with a win apiece. My trusty pin is hovering over THYME HILL as my ante-post selection, his younger legs may just prevail from the late challenge of PAISLEY PARK up that Cheltenham Hill. 

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What was Keith’s Stayers Hurdle Tip for 2020?

Here is what Keith wrote for the 2020 Stayers Hurdle.

With CHAMP expected to continue chasing and be aimed at the RSA Insurance Novices Chase and BENIE DES DIEUX likely to try and regain her Mares Hurdle Crown this race is going to cut up badly.

It is a shame really as to my mind BENIE DES DIEUX is the one most likely to get close to PAISLEY PARK.

CITY ISLAND would have to show a remarkable return to form to be competitive here and SUMMERVILLE BOY is held by PAISLEY PARK on their January meeting.

My selection for the Stayers Hurdle 2020 is:  PAISLEY PARK 10/11 (NRNB) who is as near to a festival banker as you are likely to see.

As this article is written in advance of the 2020 Cheltenham Festival, the likely contenders are expected to change as we get closer to St Patricks Day. The picture also starts to get much clearer as we approach the festival, with trainers starting to show their cards in the weeks leading up to Day 3. 

On the day, Keith chose Paisley Park, however, we saw another odds on favourite turned over when PAISLEY PARK was unable to produce his trademark late run, it was reported he had lost two shoes during the race.

Stayers Hurdle Results

Paddy Power Stayers Hurdle (Grade 1)
Distance: 3m (5273 yards) Prize (winner): £182878 Dir: Left Handed
Runners: 15    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 1    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 6 mins 3.20s   Avg OR: 153     Median OR: 153

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
71stLisnagar Oscar (IRE)7146Curtis, Miss RebeccaWedge, Adam50/1120.0012.04
mid-division, headway before 7th, led coming off home bend, stayed on well flat, asserting inside final 100 yards BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 450
102nd2Ronald Pump7156Smith, Matthew JCooper, Bryan J20/153.736.37
held up in rear, mistake 7th, headway before 3 out, not clear run after home bend, soon switched left then right, went 2nd before mistake last, stayed on, held inside final 100 yards BF IP MIN 1.76 BF IP MAX 1000
23rd3Bacardys (FR)9157Mullins, W PMullins, Mr P W33/174.769.80
held up in rear, headway on outside going well home bend, went 3rd last, hung left briefly, stayed on but no impression on front pair BF IP MIN 2.24 BF IP MAX 1000
54th0.75Emitom (IRE)6153Greatrex, W JSheehan, Gavin10/116.153.40
held up in mid-division, not fluent 9th, not much room when untidy 2 out, soon closed up, hung left after last, kept on and edged right inside final 100 yards BF IP MIN 8.8 BF IP MAX 1000
115th0.5Summerville Boy (IRE)8156George, T RBurke, Jonathan10/115.502.89
chased leaders, went 2nd when hit 2 out, every chance home bend, unable to quicken before last, no impression but kept on flat BF IP MIN 6 BF IP MAX 1000
136th1.75Tobefair10153Hamer, Mrs D ABellamy, Tom50/1141.1913.00
mid-division, headway under pressure after 2 out, chasing leaders before last, kept on same pace flat until no extra towards finish BF IP MIN 40 BF IP MAX 1000
87th6.5Paisley Park (IRE)8169Lavelle, Miss E CColeman, A4/6 (Fav)1.791.34
mid-division, headway before 7th, pushed along briefly after 3 out, hit 2 out, unable to quicken when hampered home bend, weakened final 100 yards BF IP MIN 1.62 BF IP MAX 1000
158th3Apples Jade (FR)8157Elliott, GordonJohnson, Richard7/18.803.20
jumped right, led, clear before 4th until before 2 out, headed coming off last bend and soon weakened BF IP MIN 3.6 BF IP MAX 1000
129th18The Jam Man (IRE)7150McNally, Ronan M PFlanagan, S W50/1100.0613.00
held up in rear, not fluent 8th, well beaten before 2 out BF IP MIN 65 BF IP MAX 1000
110th0.5Ask Dillon (IRE)7141OBrien, FergalONeill, Jonjo (Jr)66/193.0711.50
raced in 3rd, went 2nd after 4th behind clear leader, pushed along after 3 out, lost 2nd when mistake 2 out, soon weakened BF IP MIN 42 BF IP MAX 1000
9PUPenhill9156Mullins, W PTownend, P10/114.222.92
held up in last, mistake 3rd and soon pulled up BF IP MIN 13.5 BF IP MAX 1000
14PUWest Approach10149Tizzard, C LCobden, Harry100/1406.3830.00
mid-division, pushed along and lost place before mistake 9th, well behind after 3 out, pulled up before last BF IP MIN 290 BF IP MAX 1000
3PUCity Island (IRE)7153Brassil, MartinWalsh, M P14/117.553.78
held up in mid-division, headway going ok when not much room after 2 out, weakened and pulled up before last BF IP MIN 14.5 BF IP MAX 1000
4PUDonnas Diamond (IRE)11145Grant, CDowson, Thomas100/1673.1550.00
chased leader until after 4th, mistake 6th, lost place before 9th, behind 3 out, pulled up before last BF IP MIN 430 BF IP MAX 1000
6PULami Serge (IRE)10155Henderson, N JJacob, Daryl50/1167.8216.50
held up towards rear, ridden after 2 out, soon weakened, pulled up before last BF IP MIN 100 BF IP MAX 1000
Stayers Hurdle Previous Winners
DateGoingRunnersWinnerStallionAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOdds
Soft15750/1
Good To Soft18711/8
Soft15712/1
Good12710/1
Good128Evens
Good16614/1
Good10615/2
Good To Soft13917/2
Good1195/6
Good13810/11
Good1475/6
Good To Soft1466/1
Good To Soft17911/8
Good To Soft1485/1
Good2068/1
Good1265/1
Good1079/2
Good1189/4
Good16713/8
Good To Firm10611/2
Good To Soft12840/1
Good9716/1
Good17720/1

 

Who is FRT’s Cheltenham Day 3 Tipster?

Keith Bond is our resident pro tipster here at FRT Towers. Keith lives and breathes horse racing, having begun his love of horse racing over 40 years ago with a part time job at Catterick Racecourse, as one of three fourteen year-olds looking after two jumps and a hurdle.

Over the years, Keith has been a regular at the northern tracks attending countless race meetings and building up a network of contacts, and a portfolio of systems and strategies. 

He was one of the co-founders of Free Racing Tips all the way back in 2008, and his free tips are now backed by more than seventy thousand FRT members every single day.

“Thanks Keith – It’s great to be part of an amazing group of people all after the same thing, passing on tips to beat the bookies”

Colin Parkinson, Harrow.

The FRT community love Keith’s attention to detail, knowledge of past races, and ability to pick horses...

“You offer some great tips, some fantastic outsiders tipped up as well. Most tipsters just put up favourites. Well done and keep up the good work”

John Woolley, Stockport

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Cheltenham Festival Thursday

Race Schedule

START TIMESRACEDISTANCETYPE
13:30The Marsh Novices’ Chase (Grade 1)2m abt 4fChase
14:10The Pertemps Network Final (A Handicap Hurdle Race) (Listed)Abt 3mHurdle
14:50The Ryanair Chase (Grade 1)
(feature race)
2m abt 5fChase
15:30The Paddy Power Stayers’ Hurdle (Grade 1)abt 3mHurdle
16:10The Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate (A Handicap Steeple Chase) (Grade 3)2m abt 5fChase
16:50The Daylesford Mares Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2)2m 1fHurdle
17:30The Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Handicap Steeple Chase (0-145)3m abt 2fChase

The Countdown to Cheltenham 2021

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