Stable Plate tips 2022

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Stable Plate tipsWhen is the Stable Plate 2022?

Cheltenham Thursday 17th March 4.10pm

Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate (Grade 3) (5yo+)

Distance: 2 miles 5 Furlongs

Weights:  Handicap

The fifth race on day three is the Festival Plate,  or The Brown Advisory and Merriebelle Stable Plate to give it it’s full name. This race is a handicap chase over two miles and four and a half furlongs on the new course,  and there are 17 fences to be negotiated.

Big priced winners are common in this race with only one favourite having got home in front in the last 28 years.

This is a race I have a soft spot for, as I tipped Mr McGoldrick to win this in 2008 for the Sue Smith yard and it prevailed at 66/1 –  another win like that this year would be fantastic!


Stable Plate Records

Fastest Win: ROAD TO RESPECT 2017 ridden by Brian J Cooper trained by Noel Meade finished in 308.9s – 5 minutes 8.9 seconds

Most successful horse (2 wins):

The Tsarevich – 1985, 1986
Elfast – 1992, 1994

Leading jockey (3 wins):

Fred Winter – Slender (1951, dead-heat), Sy Oui (1953), Caesar's Helm (1958)

Leading trainer (4 wins):

Bobby Renton – Tudor Line (1954), Caesar's Helm (1958), Siracusa (1959), Merry Court (1968)
Nicky Henderson – The Tsarevich (1985, 1986), Liberthine (2005), Non So (2006)
Martin Pipe – Terao (1997), Majadou (1999), Dark Stranger (2000), Blowing Wind (2002)

Stable Plate Trends and Statistics

12 Year Trends and Statistics 

  • Age11 of the last 12 winners have been aged between 6 and 9.
  • Sex – All of the last 12 winners were geldings.
  • Trainer – David Pipe (3) and Venetia Williams 2 are the only trainers to saddle more than 1 winner in the last 12 years..
  • Country – 8 of the last 12 winners were bred in Ireland, 2 in France and 2 in Great Britain.
  • Colour – 9 of the last 12 winners were bay.
  • Weight Carried9 of the last 12 winners have carried between 10st 5lb and 10st 13lb
  • Starting Price (SP)Another race where we might see double figure odds as 7 of the last 12 winners have been 12/1 or higher.
  • Starting Price Rank – 3 of the last 12 winners started as favourite and 4 were in the first 2 in the betting.
  • Headgear – 11 of the last 12 winners wore any headgear
  • Days Since Last Run – 8 of the last 12 winners had run between 21 and 75 days ago. 
  • Last Run Form –5 of the last 12 winners had won last time out. 7 finished in the first 4.
  • Official Rating – 10 of the last 12 winners had an OR between 135 and 147.

Who are the Stable Plate Leading Contenders?

We are currently working through the Cheltenham hopefuls and will update this section as soon as we have made our shortlist of contenders

THE GLANCING QUEEN hasn’t done a lot wrong in three starts over fences and assuming Alan King’s charge takes the handicap route at the Festival then the Jeremy mare could prove to be well treated.

Already with three Festival runs under her belt she developed into a smart hurdler in seasons past and finished fifth behind Telmesomethinggirl in the Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle twelve months ago. She’s since won her first two chase starts this campaign, taking a Listed event at Warwick on her second outing before chasing home L’homme Presse in the Dipper here on New Years’ Day.

She had held every chance there until an awkward jump at the last obstacle gave the winner a definite advantage; but she still finished clear of the third and there’s every likelihood that she has further improvement still to come over fences.

This would be a fairly stiff task stepping into a handicap and taking on some seasoned campaigners; but a mark of 141 would likely prove very fair and she can make her presence felt if pitching her hat into the ring.


What’s Our Stable Plate Tips?

We told our members SMARTY WILD 15:40 Cheltenham 50/1 each way – Very consistent this season and there are no concerns about the drying ground. Expected to be staying on past tired horses in the closing stages. A massive each way chance off big odds.

SMARTY WILD ended up being a non-runner

Here is what Keith wrote for the 2020 Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate.

Another enigma of a race where, thanks to trainers keeping their cards close to their chests, we are very much in the dark regarding the potential runners and riders.

One horse that does fit the profile for the race is BEN DUNDEE, who has experience of these fences, and finished third in the Novices Handicap Chase at last year's festival. That experience is good enough for me to give him serious consideration.

Currently rated at 142, he is ideally weighted to be competitive in this. While disappointing over 2 miles last time (a trip that is too short for him), his previous run at Navan when ¾ length second over this sort of trip was very decent form indeed.

My selection for the Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate 2020 is: BEN DUNDEE 14/1 (NRNB).

As this article is written in advance of the 2020 Cheltenham Festival, the likely contenders are expected to change as we get closer to St Patricks Day Thursday. The picture also starts to get much clearer as we approach the festival, with trainers starting to show their cards in the weeks leading up to Day 3. 

On the day our runner in the Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate BEN DUNDEE was making good headway when hampered by fallers 2 fences out and fifth was the best he could manage.

Stable Plate Results

Paddy Power Plate Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race)
Distance: 2m5f (4527 yards +57 yards rails adjustment) Prize (winner): £46423 Dir: Left Handed
Runners: 21    Going: Good To Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 3    Age Restrictions: 5yo+
Winners Time: 5 mins 18.28s   Avg OR: 142     Median OR: 142 

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
141stThe Shunter (IRE)8Mullins, EmmetGainford, Mr J C (7)9/4 (Fav)3.852.17
led until 2nd, raced very handily after and travelled strongly, led before 2 out, stayed on well, ridden out BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 3.7
72nd3Farclas (FR)7Foster, Mrs DeniseKennedy, J W5/16.802.32
chased leaders, driven after 3 out, went 3rd last, stayed on and went 2nd flat, not able to trouble winner BF IP MIN 1.92 BF IP MAX 1000
13rd3.25Top Notch (FR)10Henderson, N JMorgan, Luca (7)50/184.659.80
chased leaders, driven after 3 out, 2nd from 2 out, unable to trouble winner and lost 2nd flat, just held onto 3rd BF IP MIN 4.7 BF IP MAX 1000
114thHDCoole Cody (IRE)10Williams, EvanOBrien, T J22/132.915.72
chased leaders, hit 11th, ridden after 3 out, kept on flat, closing on 3rd close home BF IP MIN 25 BF IP MAX 200
45th0.75Assemble7OBrien, Joseph PatrickBlackmore, Rachael20/124.726.36
chased leaders on outside when mistake 1st, soon mid-division, mistake 13th, closed 3 out, jumped left 2 out and last, held but kept on BF IP MIN 7.6 BF IP MAX 1000
56th5Huntsman Son (IRE)11Hales, A MWoods, K K40/150.008.33
held up in rear, headway on inside approaching 2 out, went 6th flat, stayed on, not trouble leaders BF IP MIN 30 BF IP MAX 1000
27th1Caribean Boy (FR)7Henderson, N JJacob, Daryl12/118.503.80
mid-division, not fluent and outpaced 4 out, struggling next, stayed on flat, unable to get on terms BF IP MIN 17.5 BF IP MAX 1000
178thNKSully Doc Aa (FR)7Honeyball, A JMcLernon, R P14/119.504.40
mid-division on inside, closed after 3 out, hit 2 out, no impression after BF IP MIN 8 BF IP MAX 940
159th0.75Kiltealy Briggs (IRE)7Snowden, JamieHeskin, A P40/151.0010.00
prominent, led 2nd, not fluent 10th, ridden and headed approaching 2 out, 6th and weakening last BF IP MIN 9.6 BF IP MAX 1000
610th0.75Oldgrangewood10Skelton, DanielSkelton, Harry25/142.006.80
mid-division, closed from 12th, 3rd 2 out, soon ridden, beaten last, weakened flat BF IP MIN 2.34 BF IP MAX 1000
811th4.5Happy Diva (IRE)10Lee, Miss KerryPatrick, Richard14/121.003.80
held up rear of mid-division, headway 2 out, no impression and weakened last BF IP MIN 21 BF IP MAX 170
2312thNKEamon An Cnoic (IRE)10Pipe, D ENoonan, David G40/163.569.20
held up rear of mid-division, headway when not fluent 3 out, no impression 2 out, weakened last BF IP MIN 46 BF IP MAX 860
2013th7The Unit (IRE)10King, ACannon, Tom J66/1110.0014.00
mid-division, some headway from 3 out but never threatened, weakened approaching last BF IP MIN 90 BF IP MAX 310
2214th1Dead Right9Mulholland, N PScudamore, Tom28/146.0010.31
held up in rear, struggling 3 out BF IP MIN 36 BF IP MAX 1000
1215th2.25A Wave Of The Sea (IRE)5OBrien, Joseph PatrickWalsh, M P8/112.013.64
held up rear of mid-division, not fluent 7th, bumped 9th, some headway on outside approaching 3 out, soon weakened BF IP MIN 11.5 BF IP MAX 1000
1316th1.75Two Taffs (IRE)11Twiston-Davies, N ATwiston-Davies, Sam80/1192.6320.84
prominent, outpaced after 3 out, weakened 2 out, mistake last BF IP MIN 22 BF IP MAX 1000
1617th2.25Paddys Poem10Gifford, N JDavies, James40/181.837.28
chased leaders, ridden after 3 out, weakened from 2 out, mistake last BF IP MIN 36 BF IP MAX 230
318th4.5Mister Whitaker (IRE)9Channon, M RBurke, Jonathan18/124.593.99
always in rear BF IP MIN 23 BF IP MAX 1000
1919th7Champagne Court (IRE)8Scott, JScholfield, Nick28/138.897.60
always towards rear BF IP MIN 34 BF IP MAX 500
9FFils Doudairies (FR)6OBrien, Joseph PatrickMeyler, D16/118.355.31
rear of mid-division, not fluent 7th, blundered 12th, hit next and 4 out, never got on terms, well beaten when fell last BF IP MIN 19 BF IP MAX 1000
21PUMaypole Class (IRE)7ONeill, JonjoSheehan, Gavin50/186.6910.00
in touch in mid-division, lost place after 4th, behind 9th, last when not fluent 4 out, pulled up before 2 out BF IP MIN 85 BF IP MAX 1000

Non Runners  Smarty Wild, Laskalin (FR)

Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate Handicap Chase (Grade 3)
Distance: 2m5f (4527 yards +38 yards rails adjustment) Prize (winner): £61897 Dir: Left Handed
Runners: 23    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 3    Age Restrictions: 5yo+
Winners Time: 5 mins 26.08s   Avg OR: 147     Median OR: 147  

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
61stSimply The Betts (IRE)7149Whittington, HSheehan, Gavin100/30 (Fav)5.041.88
tracked leader, challenged on inside after 3 out, left in narrow lead next, ridden and hit last, soon headed, rallied to regain lead flat, stayed on well towards finish BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 13
82nd1.25Happy Diva (IRE)9149Lee, Miss KerryPatrick, Richard (3)20/128.006.60
in touch on inside, headway 3 out, challenging when left 2nd next, led after last, ridden and headed flat, kept on, no extra towards finish BF IP MIN 1.4 BF IP MAX 1000
23rd1.75Mister Whitaker (IRE)8152Channon, M RHeskin, A P22/129.825.43
hit 1st, in touch, driven to chase leaders when left 3rd 2 out, ridden and kept on under pressure flat, not reach front pair BF IP MIN 4.3 BF IP MAX 1000
144th0.5Oldgrangewood9147Skelton, DanielSkelton, Harry11/118.884.28
held up towards rear, headway after 4 out, chased leaders 2 out, soon ridden, stayed on to press for 3rd flat, no impression with front pair BF IP MIN 12 BF IP MAX 1000
135th2Ben Dundee (IRE)8147Elliott, GordonRussell, D N10/114.513.35
mid-division, hampered 10th, headway before 3 out, chased leaders when hampered next, soon one pace, ridden and kept on flat, no impression BF IP MIN 4 BF IP MAX 1000
76thSHSpiritofthegames (IRE)8149Skelton, DanielAndrews, Bridget16/129.294.90
behind, headway under pressure 3 out, ridden and kept on after last, never reached leaders BF IP MIN 27 BF IP MAX 1000
177th5Louis Vac Pouch (IRE)8144Kirby, P ADowson, Thomas50/157.499.66
mid-division, headway under pressure 3 out, chased leaders when hampered next, one pace and no impression when blundered last BF IP MIN 15.5 BF IP MAX 1000
188th2Livelovelaugh (IRE)10144Mullins, W PHayes, Brian33/181.7911.06
in touch, hampered and lost place 10th, headway after 4 out, chased leaders on outside 2 out, never on terms, weakened flat BF IP MIN 10.5 BF IP MAX 1000
229th1Springtown Lake (IRE)8142Hobbs, P JOBrien, T J12/118.004.64
tracked leaders, driven and lost place after 4 out, soon outpaced, weakened before last BF IP MIN 16 BF IP MAX 1000
310th1.75Death Duty (IRE)9151Elliott, GordonBrouder, Gavin (7)8/110.954.49
in touch on outside, mistake 3rd, tracked leaders 3 out, driven and one pace before next, soon ridden and no impression, weakened after last BF IP MIN 2.8 BF IP MAX 1000
111th0.5Snow Falcon (IRE)10157Meade, NoelWalsh, E (7)33/148.008.58
soon mid-division, pushed along before 3 out, ridden before next, never reached leaders, weakened flat BF IP MIN 34 BF IP MAX 1000
512th8Robin Des Foret (IRE)10150Mullins, W PTownend, P12/116.504.40
always behind BF IP MIN 15.5 BF IP MAX 1000
1213th1Vision Des Flos (FR)7147Tizzard, C LPower, R M20/126.957.80
never better than mid-division, weakened after 3 out BF IP MIN 24 BF IP MAX 1000
1114th0.5Kauto Riko (FR)9147Gretton, T RNoonan, David G50/1290.0019.68
always behind BF IP MIN 200 BF IP MAX 1000
2115th1.5Blazer (FR)9143Mullins, W PWalsh, M P11/114.764.47
mid-division, hampered and dropped towards rear 8th, struggling 12th, never able to get involved BF IP MIN 10 BF IP MAX 1000
2016th4.75Highway One O One (IRE)8143Gordon, CWedge, Adam50/172.3710.50
prominent, pushed along before 3 out, soon lost place, weakened next BF IP MIN 20 BF IP MAX 1000
1617th11Deyrann de Carjac (FR)7145King, ACannon, Tom J14/121.534.46
mid-division on inside, blundered 5th, headway 12th, blundered 4 out, soon lost place, weakened after next BF IP MIN 18 BF IP MAX 1000
15FImperial Presence (IRE)9145Hobbs, P JBest, J A66/1219.2726.97
tracked leaders, effort after 3 out, ridden and disputing 4th when fell next BF IP MIN 38 BF IP MAX 1000
4FSiruh Du Lac (FR)7150Williams, NickKelly, Lizzie (3)14/122.385.02
led, driven when hard pressed after 3 out, narrow advantage when fell heavily next BF IP MIN 5.3 BF IP MAX 1000
23FRoyal Village (IRE)8141Williams, IanScudamore, Tom80/1378.6935.38
mid-division on outside, fell 8th BF IP MIN 210 BF IP MAX 1000
19PUCharmant (FR)8143Ewart, J P LORegan, Denis33/188.6614.53
towards rear on outside, headway into mid-division 8th, lost place 4 out, tailed off when mistake next, pulled up before 2 out BF IP MIN 85 BF IP MAX 1000
24PUNot Another Muddle9140Moore, G LMoore, Jamie20/131.026.00
mistake 2nd, towards rear, hampered 8th, struggling before 3 out, tailed off when pulled up before last BF IP MIN 30 BF IP MAX 1000
9URLa Bague Au Roi (FR)9149Greatrex, W JJohnson, Richard16/122.325.24
tracked leaders, close up when blundered badly and unseated rider 10th BF IP MIN 12 BF IP MAX 1000

Non Runners  Clondaw Castle (IRE)

Stable Plate Previous Winners

DateGoingRunnersWinnerStallionAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOddsWeightORNC(F)Days
Good To Soft2189/410-51404(0)12d
Good To Soft2269/210-81411(0)47d
Good To Soft22950/110-51367(0)42d
Good To Soft23833/110-71391(1)28d
Good To Soft221166/111-71456(3)12d
Good To Soft23812/110-71360(0)26d
Good To Soft21925/110-91383(1)39d
Good To Soft1857/411-01410(0)40d
Good To Firm131120/110-71290(0)18d


Who is FRT’s Cheltenham Day 3 Tipster?

Our Cheltenham Tipster Neil

This year, our Cheltenham ante-post tipster is Neil.

He’s one of the best at finding consistent value and runs his own tipping service – “Cheek Pieces”.

Since becoming a professional tipster last year, Neil has delivered a 24.6% strike rate, 15.86% ROI, and returned over 100 points profit for all his followers.

Check out Neil’s full results and join his service.

Neil tells us:

“I got hooked on racing after a visit to Goodwood to see Ardross in 1980.

“As a father of three in the 90s, I couldn’t afford to lose money betting and drifted in and out of the sport. 

“The next 20 years was a learning curve, including losing my ‘betting bank’ several times over and having to save enough to start again. I spent the downtime reading numerous books and articles on betting strategies. 

“But since about 2011, I’ve made a second income from betting while working full-time as an accountant, a career I hated but it paid the bills and taught me some financial disciplines. 

“Last year, I finally resigned and became a professional horse racing tipster.

“My modus operandi is quite simple…regular winners at above market prices. Interested in winning? Join my service here.”

Cheltenham Festival Thursday

Race Schedule

13:30The Marsh Novices’ Chase (Grade 1)2m abt 4fChase
14:10The Pertemps Network Final (A Handicap Hurdle Race) (Listed)Abt 3mHurdle
14:50The Ryanair Chase (Grade 1)
(feature race)
2m abt 5fChase
15:30The Paddy Power Stayers’ Hurdle (Grade 1)abt 3mHurdle
16:10The Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate (A Handicap Steeple Chase) (Grade 3)2m abt 5fChase
16:50The Daylesford Mares Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2)2m 1fHurdle
17:30The Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Handicap Steeple Chase (0-145)3m abt 2fChase

The Countdown to Cheltenham 2022








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