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Stable Plate tips 2021

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Stable Plate tipsWhen is the Stable Plate 2021?

Cheltenham Thursday 18th March 4.10pm

Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate (Grade 3) (5yo+)

Distance: 2 miles 5 Furlongs

Weights:  Handicap

The fifth race on day three is the Festival Plate,  or The Brown Advisory and Merriebelle Stable Plate to give it it’s full name. This race is a handicap chase over two miles and four and a half furlongs on the new course,  and there are 17 fences to be negotiated.

Big priced winners are common in this race with only one favourite having got home in front in the last 28 years.

This is a race I have a soft spot for, as I tipped Mr McGoldrick to win this in 2008 for the Sue Smith yard and it prevailed at 66/1 –  another win like that this year would be fantastic!

 

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Stable Plate Records

Fastest Win: ROAD TO RESPECT 2017 ridden by Brian J Cooper trained by Noel Meade finished in 308.9s – 5 minutes 8.9 seconds

Most successful horse (2 wins):

The Tsarevich – 1985, 1986
Elfast – 1992, 1994

Leading jockey (3 wins):

Fred Winter – Slender (1951, dead-heat), Sy Oui (1953), Caesar's Helm (1958)

Leading trainer (4 wins):

Bobby Renton – Tudor Line (1954), Caesar's Helm (1958), Siracusa (1959), Merry Court (1968)
Nicky Henderson – The Tsarevich (1985, 1986), Liberthine (2005), Non So (2006)
Martin Pipe – Terao (1997), Majadou (1999), Dark Stranger (2000), Blowing Wind (2002)

Stable Plate Trends and Statistics

12 Year Trends and Statistics 

  • Age11 of the last 12 winners have been aged between 6 and 9.
  • Sex – All of the last 12 winners were geldings.
  • Trainer – David Pipe (3) and Venetia Williams 2 are the only trainers to saddle more than 1 winner in the last 12 years..
  • Country – 7 of the last 12 winners were bred in Ireland, 3 in France and 2 in Great Britain.
  • Colour – 9 of the last 12 winners were bay..
  • Weight Carried9 of the last 12 winners have carried between 10st 5lb and 10st 13lb
  • Starting Price (SP)Another race where we might see double figure odds as 8 of the last 12 winners have been 12/1 or higher.
  • Starting Price Rank – 3 of the last 12 winners started as favourite and 4 were in the first 2 in the betting.
  • Headgear – None of the last 12 winners wore any headgear
  • Days Since Last Run – 9 of the last 12 winners had run between 21 and 75 days ago. 
  • Last Run Form –4 of the last 12 winners had won last time out. 7 finished in the first 4.
  • Official Rating – 10 of the last 12 winners had an OR between 135 and 147.

Who are the Stable Plate Leading Contenders?

Keith is currently working through the Cheltenham hopefuls and will update this section as soon as he has made his shortlist of contenders

What’s Keith’s Stable Plate Tips for 2020?

Keith's shortlist and Antepost tips will appear here as soon as he has made his selections.  To be sure to find out who Keith selects on the morning of the race, join our VIP Club

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What was Keith’s Stable Plate Tip for 2020?

Here is what Keith wrote for the 2020 Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate.

Another enigma of a race where, thanks to trainers keeping their cards close to their chests, we are very much in the dark regarding the potential runners and riders.

One horse that does fit the profile for the race is BEN DUNDEE, who has experience of these fences, and finished third in the Novices Handicap Chase at last year's festival. That experience is good enough for me to give him serious consideration.

Currently rated at 142, he is ideally weighted to be competitive in this. While disappointing over 2 miles last time (a trip that is too short for him), his previous run at Navan when ¾ length second over this sort of trip was very decent form indeed.

My selection for the Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate 2020 is: BEN DUNDEE 14/1 (NRNB).

As this article is written in advance of the 2020 Cheltenham Festival, the likely contenders are expected to change as we get closer to St Patricks Day Thursday. The picture also starts to get much clearer as we approach the festival, with trainers starting to show their cards in the weeks leading up to Day 3. 

On the day our runner in the Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate BEN DUNDEE was making good headway when hampered by fallers 2 fences out and fifth was the best he could manage.

Stable Plate Results

Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate Handicap Chase (Grade 3)
Distance: 2m5f (4527 yards +38 yards rails adjustment) Prize (winner): £61897 Dir: Left Handed
Runners: 23    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 3    Age Restrictions: 5yo+
Winners Time: 5 mins 26.08s   Avg OR: 147     Median OR: 147  

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
61stSimply The Betts (IRE)7149Whittington, HSheehan, Gavin100/30 (Fav)5.041.88
tracked leader, challenged on inside after 3 out, left in narrow lead next, ridden and hit last, soon headed, rallied to regain lead flat, stayed on well towards finish BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 13
82nd1.25Happy Diva (IRE)9149Lee, Miss KerryPatrick, Richard (3)20/128.006.60
in touch on inside, headway 3 out, challenging when left 2nd next, led after last, ridden and headed flat, kept on, no extra towards finish BF IP MIN 1.4 BF IP MAX 1000
23rd1.75Mister Whitaker (IRE)8152Channon, M RHeskin, A P22/129.825.43
hit 1st, in touch, driven to chase leaders when left 3rd 2 out, ridden and kept on under pressure flat, not reach front pair BF IP MIN 4.3 BF IP MAX 1000
144th0.5Oldgrangewood9147Skelton, DanielSkelton, Harry11/118.884.28
held up towards rear, headway after 4 out, chased leaders 2 out, soon ridden, stayed on to press for 3rd flat, no impression with front pair BF IP MIN 12 BF IP MAX 1000
135th2Ben Dundee (IRE)8147Elliott, GordonRussell, D N10/114.513.35
mid-division, hampered 10th, headway before 3 out, chased leaders when hampered next, soon one pace, ridden and kept on flat, no impression BF IP MIN 4 BF IP MAX 1000
76thSHSpiritofthegames (IRE)8149Skelton, DanielAndrews, Bridget16/129.294.90
behind, headway under pressure 3 out, ridden and kept on after last, never reached leaders BF IP MIN 27 BF IP MAX 1000
177th5Louis Vac Pouch (IRE)8144Kirby, P ADowson, Thomas50/157.499.66
mid-division, headway under pressure 3 out, chased leaders when hampered next, one pace and no impression when blundered last BF IP MIN 15.5 BF IP MAX 1000
188th2Livelovelaugh (IRE)10144Mullins, W PHayes, Brian33/181.7911.06
in touch, hampered and lost place 10th, headway after 4 out, chased leaders on outside 2 out, never on terms, weakened flat BF IP MIN 10.5 BF IP MAX 1000
229th1Springtown Lake (IRE)8142Hobbs, P JOBrien, T J12/118.004.64
tracked leaders, driven and lost place after 4 out, soon outpaced, weakened before last BF IP MIN 16 BF IP MAX 1000
310th1.75Death Duty (IRE)9151Elliott, GordonBrouder, Gavin (7)8/110.954.49
in touch on outside, mistake 3rd, tracked leaders 3 out, driven and one pace before next, soon ridden and no impression, weakened after last BF IP MIN 2.8 BF IP MAX 1000
111th0.5Snow Falcon (IRE)10157Meade, NoelWalsh, E (7)33/148.008.58
soon mid-division, pushed along before 3 out, ridden before next, never reached leaders, weakened flat BF IP MIN 34 BF IP MAX 1000
512th8Robin Des Foret (IRE)10150Mullins, W PTownend, P12/116.504.40
always behind BF IP MIN 15.5 BF IP MAX 1000
1213th1Vision Des Flos (FR)7147Tizzard, C LPower, R M20/126.957.80
never better than mid-division, weakened after 3 out BF IP MIN 24 BF IP MAX 1000
1114th0.5Kauto Riko (FR)9147Gretton, T RNoonan, David G50/1290.0019.68
always behind BF IP MIN 200 BF IP MAX 1000
2115th1.5Blazer (FR)9143Mullins, W PWalsh, M P11/114.764.47
mid-division, hampered and dropped towards rear 8th, struggling 12th, never able to get involved BF IP MIN 10 BF IP MAX 1000
2016th4.75Highway One O One (IRE)8143Gordon, CWedge, Adam50/172.3710.50
prominent, pushed along before 3 out, soon lost place, weakened next BF IP MIN 20 BF IP MAX 1000
1617th11Deyrann de Carjac (FR)7145King, ACannon, Tom J14/121.534.46
mid-division on inside, blundered 5th, headway 12th, blundered 4 out, soon lost place, weakened after next BF IP MIN 18 BF IP MAX 1000
15FImperial Presence (IRE)9145Hobbs, P JBest, J A66/1219.2726.97
tracked leaders, effort after 3 out, ridden and disputing 4th when fell next BF IP MIN 38 BF IP MAX 1000
4FSiruh Du Lac (FR)7150Williams, NickKelly, Lizzie (3)14/122.385.02
led, driven when hard pressed after 3 out, narrow advantage when fell heavily next BF IP MIN 5.3 BF IP MAX 1000
23FRoyal Village (IRE)8141Williams, IanScudamore, Tom80/1378.6935.38
mid-division on outside, fell 8th BF IP MIN 210 BF IP MAX 1000
19PUCharmant (FR)8143Ewart, J P LORegan, Denis33/188.6614.53
towards rear on outside, headway into mid-division 8th, lost place 4 out, tailed off when mistake next, pulled up before 2 out BF IP MIN 85 BF IP MAX 1000
24PUNot Another Muddle9140Moore, G LMoore, Jamie20/131.026.00
mistake 2nd, towards rear, hampered 8th, struggling before 3 out, tailed off when pulled up before last BF IP MIN 30 BF IP MAX 1000
9URLa Bague Au Roi (FR)9149Greatrex, W JJohnson, Richard16/122.325.24
tracked leaders, close up when blundered badly and unseated rider 10th BF IP MIN 12 BF IP MAX 1000

Non Runners  Clondaw Castle (IRE)

Stable Plate Previous Winners
DateGoingRunnersWinnerStallionAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOdds
Soft237100/30
Good To Soft2269/2
Soft2275/1
Good24614/1
Good22916/1
Good23933/1
Good23812/1
Good To Soft22950/1
Good2279/2
Good201025/1
Good24618/1
Good To Soft23833/1
Good To Soft221166/1
Good To Soft23812/1
Good24814/1
Good22625/1
Good16712/1
Good191016/1
Good To Soft21925/1
Good18914/1
Good To Soft1857/4
Good14107/1
Good To Firm131120/1

 

Who is FRT’s Cheltenham Day 3 Tipster?

Keith Bond is our resident pro tipster here at FRT Towers. Keith lives and breathes horse racing, having begun his love of horse racing over 40 years ago with a part time job at Catterick Racecourse, as one of three fourteen year-olds looking after two jumps and a hurdle.

Over the years, Keith has been a regular at the northern tracks attending countless race meetings and building up a network of contacts, and a portfolio of systems and strategies. 

He was one of the co-founders of Free Racing Tips all the way back in 2008, and his free tips are now backed by more than seventy thousand FRT members every single day.

“Thanks Keith – It’s great to be part of an amazing group of people all after the same thing, passing on tips to beat the bookies”

Colin Parkinson, Harrow.

The FRT community love Keith’s attention to detail, knowledge of past races, and ability to pick horses...

“You offer some great tips, some fantastic outsiders tipped up as well. Most tipsters just put up favourites. Well done and keep up the good work”

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Cheltenham Festival Thursday

Race Schedule

START TIMESRACEDISTANCETYPE
13:30The Marsh Novices’ Chase (Grade 1)2m abt 4fChase
14:10The Pertemps Network Final (A Handicap Hurdle Race) (Listed)Abt 3mHurdle
14:50The Ryanair Chase (Grade 1)
(feature race)
2m abt 5fChase
15:30The Paddy Power Stayers’ Hurdle (Grade 1)abt 3mHurdle
16:10The Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate (A Handicap Steeple Chase) (Grade 3)2m abt 5fChase
16:50The Daylesford Mares Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2)2m 1fHurdle
17:30The Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Handicap Steeple Chase (0-145)3m abt 2fChase

The Countdown to Cheltenham 2021

Day(s)

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