Mares Novices Hurdle tips 2023

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Mares Novices Hurdle TipsWhen is the Mares Novices Hurdle 2023?

Cheltenham Thursday 16th March 4.50pm

Festival Mares Novices Hurdle (Grade 2) (4yo+)

Distance: 2 miles 1 Furlongs

Weights: 10st 8lbs (4yo), 11st 2lbs (5yo+)

Penalties: 5 lb for winners of Class 1 wfa hurdle, 3 lb for winners of Class 2 wfa, 3 lb for winners of Class 1 handicap hurdle

The penultimate race on day three is registered as the Dawn Run Mares Novice Hurdle but now that Tattersalls is the sponsor the official title is “National Hunt Breeders Supported By Tattersalls Mares Novices Hurdle”, this was inaugurated in 2016 and it is a novice hurdle open to fillies and mares aged four years old or over.

It is run on the new course over a distance of about two miles and one furlong with eight hurdles to be jumped, winners of this will likely compete in the Mares Hurdle in future years.

Mares Novices Hurdle Trends and Statistics

6 Year Trends and Statistics 

  • Age – 4 of the 6 winners were aged 5, 2 were 6.
  • Trainer – Willie Mullins has won all 5 of the 6 renewals.
  • Country – 4 of the 6 winners were bred in France, and 2 in Ireland.
  • Colour – 4 of the last 6 winners were bay.
  • Starting Price (SP) – 5 of the 6 winners returned a SP of 5/1 or less. The exception was 50/1.
  • Starting Price Rank – 3 of the 6 winners started as favourite and 4 were in the first 3 in the betting.
  • Headgear – None of the 6 winners wore any headgear
  • Days Since Last Run – 5 of the 6 winners had run between 31 and 60 days ago. 
  • Last Run Form –3 of the 6 winners had won last time out. The other 3 were third.

Who are the Mares Novices Hurdle Leading Contenders?

Willie Mullins has won all but one of these renewals and ALLEGORIE DE VASSY can see the Closutton maestro back in the winners’ enclosure.

Useful in France prior to joining this yard the No Risk At All mare is 2-2 over hurdles since joining the Mullins operation, equipped with a tongue-tie for the first time when scoring impressively at Fairyhouse on New Years’ Day and easily following up when tried in a Grade Three contest at the same venue where she had stablemate Brandy Love beaten by some three lengths.

The runner-up didn’t jump particularly well and hung noticeably to her left throughout so will be better suited going this way round; but she has a bit to do with the selection on the back of that performance and she might do well to reverse the form.

The winner and tip the race did the job nicely, always travelling well and jumping fluently; while she showed a good burst of speed between the final two obstacles to put the race to bed. She’s sure to improve further and every chance she can maintain her perfect record for the Mullins team.

ANTE-POST SELECTION: ALLEGORIE DE VASSY

PRINCESS ZOE – Group 1 winner on the flat in France, as yet unraced over hurdles.

SHEWEARSITWELL – Unbeaten over hurdles including a Grade 3 at Tipperary in October

ROSEYS HOLLOW – Progressive over hurdles landed a Grade 3 at Fairyhouse last time.

ROYAL KAHALA – Runner up to ROSEYS HOLLOW at Fairyhouse giving weight away.

What’s Our Mares Novices Hurdle Tips for 2022?

An interesting race to be sure.  PRINCESS ZOE is an enigma and if she can jump the obstacles will be a shoo in. SEWEARSITWELL is trained by the maestro Willie Mullins who a;so handles 10 more of the entries, which ever ones remain on raceday merit consideration. ROSEYS HOLLOW may not be as good off level weights which gives a squeak to ROYAL KAHALA.

To be sure to find out who Keith selects on the morning of the race, join our VIP Club

On the day we told our VIP Members HOOK UP 16:15 Cheltenham 7/1 each way – Now in its sixth year Willie Mullins has won all 5 renewals of this race. He has a strong hand again today and HOOK UP is marginally preferred. Of the non-Mullins contenders ROYAL KAHALA and ROSEYS HOLLOW have to be respected.

How did we do? Hook Up was held up and always towards rear, never on terms finishing in 12th place.

Here is what Keith wrote about the 2020 Mares Novices Hurdle.

With this race having only been around for the last four years, we do not yet have the in-depth statistics and trends that I like to study and uncover the hidden gems, as I can with the other races at the Festival.

The claims of Willie Mullins are hard to ignore having won all four renewals, and he is likely to saddle the ex-French LAMARCKISE, who has won on her only start in Ireland.

There is a stronger contender likely to be lining up in the race though, the Henry De Bromhead trained MINELLA MELODY, who is three from three over hurdles, including the Grade 3 Solerina at Fairyhouse in January. Leading narrowly before the last, she extended her advantage on the run up to the line in the capable hands of Rachael Blackmore.

 

My selection for the Mares Novices Hurdle 2020 is: MINELLA MELODY 3/1 (NRNB).

How did his selection do? MINELLA MELODY went form traveling well to being eased right down after being headed before the last in the Mares Novices Hurdle. 

Mares Novices Hurdle Results

Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Dawn Run Mares Novices Hurdle) (GBB Race)
Distance: 2m1f (3699 yards) Prize (winner): £59084 Dir: Left Handed
Runners: 19    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 2    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 4 mins 8.26s   Avg OR: 87     Median OR: 120     Hurdles: 8

No Place Dist Bt Horse Age Weight OR Trainer Jockey (Claim) Odds
2 1st Love Envoi (IRE) 6 11-7 135 Fry, Harry Burke, Jonathan 15/2
travelled strongly, prominent early, chased leaders, steadied slightly towards outside 3rd, closed going well 2 out, led final bend, edged right flat, stayed on well BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 18.5 Owner: Noel Fehily Racing Syndicates Love Env
8 2nd 1.25 Ahorsewithnoname 7 11-2 121 Henderson, N J Boinville, Nico 50/1
mid-division, towards rear and pushed along before 2 out, headway and switched left after final bend, went 2nd from last, not able to challenge winner, stayed on BF IP MIN 1.55 BF IP MAX 630 Owner: Mr D J Burke & Mr P Alderson
12 3rd 1.5 Grangee (FR) 6 11-2 0 Mullins, W P Townend, P 13/2
held up in rear, headway when not clear run and switched right approaching last, ridden and went 3rd flat, stayed on BF IP MIN 2.02 BF IP MAX 1000 Owner: Syndicates Racing
19 4th 1.75 Nurse Susan (FR) 5 11-2 124 Skelton, Daniel Skelton, Harry 14/1
held up towards rear, closed from 3rd, went 2nd before last briefly, dropped to 4th flat, no extra towards finish BF IP MIN 5.6 BF IP MAX 1000 Owner: Mr Colm Donlon
9 5th 2.5 Braganza 7 11-2 0 Mullins, W P OKeeffe, Sean F 125/1
not always fluent in rear, headway after 2 out, switched left before last, held but stayed on same pace flat BF IP MIN 18 BF IP MAX 1000 Owner: Mrs Sharon Noonan
1 6th NSE Impervious (IRE) 6 11-7 139 Murphy, C A Hayes, Brian 22/1
prominent early, raced keenly, ridden after 2 out, held flat, stayed on same pace BF IP MIN 23 BF IP MAX 1000 Owner: Mr Paul McKeon
3 7th 2 Party Central (IRE) 6 11-7 141 Elliott, Gordon Kennedy, J W 11/2
chased leaders, not fluent 3 out, going well after 2 out, not much room final bend, weakened flat BF IP MIN 3.3 BF IP MAX 1000 Owner: Bective Stud
15 8th 2.25 Hors Piste (FR) 5 11-2 0 Mullins, W P Cooper, Bryan J 12/1
chased leaders, not fluent 1st, challenged 2 out, every chance final bend, fading before last BF IP MIN 6 BF IP MAX 1000 Owner: Mrs J Donnelly
11 9th 5.5 Dinoblue (FR) 5 11-2 0 Mullins, W P Walsh, M P 11/8 (Fav)
prominent, led 2nd, soon headed, led again 2 out, headed final bend, weakened before last BF IP MIN 2.4 BF IP MAX 1000 Owner: Mr John P McManus
4 10th 0.75 Statuaire (FR) 7 11-7 139 Mullins, W P Mullins, D E 28/1
towards rear, ridden after 2 out, never dangerous BF IP MIN 32 BF IP MAX 1000 Owner: M L Bloodstock Limited
14 11th HD Hidden Land (USA) 5 11-2 120 Kinirons, A Twiston-Davies, Sam 200/1
pulled hard early, held up towards rear, not fluent 1st, some headway before last, no impression BF IP MIN 500 BF IP MAX 1000 Owner: Mr P J Byrne
16 12th NK Mayhem Mya 5 11-2 117 Honour, Chris Carver, Bryan 125/1
prominent, awkward 1st, ridden after 2 out, lost place before last BF IP MIN 55 BF IP MAX 1000 Owner: Mr G Thompson
13 13th 3.5 Heia (FR) 5 11-2 0 Mullins, W P Blackmore, Rachael 33/1
chased leaders, dropped to mid-division 3rd, ridden and no impression from final bend BF IP MIN 40 BF IP MAX 1000 Owner: Mr K Alexander
6 14th NSE Nina The Terrier (IRE) 6 11-5 130 King, A Bellamy, Tom 50/1
held up in mid-division, mistake 3 out, well beaten from next BF IP MIN 80 BF IP MAX 490 Owner: Mr Charles Dingwall
7 15th 2.5 Tweed Skirt 5 11-5 119 Henderson, N J Bowen, James C 100/1
held up in in touch in mid-division, mistake 4th, no impression after 2 out BF IP MIN 200 BF IP MAX 1000 Owner: Just Four Men With Rose Tinted Glasses
5 16th 1.5 Choice Of Words 7 11-5 132 Brassil, Martin OKeeffe, Darragh 33/1
led until not fluent 2nd, chased leaders, outpaced before 2 out, soon weakened BF IP MIN 30 BF IP MAX 1000 Owner: Mrs Bernardine Mulryan/mrs Paul Shanah
17 17th 1.25 Mighty Blue (FR) 6 11-2 0 OBrien, Joseph Patrick Slevin, J J 16/1
took keen hold, chased leaders, led after 2nd, not fluent 4th, weakened after 2 out BF IP MIN 15 BF IP MAX 1000 Owner: Capel Street Syndicate
18 18th 15 Monishter Are Mwee (IRE) 6 11-2 123 Hearne, Jayne Power, I J 150/1
held up towards rear, not much room before bad mistake 2nd, headway on outside approaching 2 out, ridden and weakened after 2 out BF IP MIN 110 BF IP MAX 460 Owner: John Bermingham/d Hearne
21 PU The Player Queen (IRE) 6 11-2 117 Dobbin, Mrs R Nichol, Craig 150/1
chased leaders, lost place approaching 3rd, struggling before 3 out, soon behind, pulled up before last BF IP MIN 320 BF IP MAX 1000 Owner: Mr & Mrs Duncan Davidson

Non Runners
Say Goodbye (IRE) – 2022-03-17 16:27:02
Brandy Love (IRE) – 2022-03-17 10:27:02
Walk In Clover (IRE) – 2022-03-17 07:38:02

Parnell Properties Mares Novices Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Dawn Run Mares Novices Hurdle)
Distance: 2m1f (3699 yards) Prize (winner): £37982 Dir: Left Handed
Runners: 15    Going: Good To Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 2    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 4 mins 3.06s   Avg OR: 109     Median OR: 136

No Place Dist Bt Horse Age Trainer Jockey (Claim) Odds BF BFP
14 1st Telmesomethinggirl (IRE) 6 Bromhead, Henry De Blackmore, Rachael 5/1 8.02 2.89
held up towards rear, smooth headway on heels of leaders before 2 out, pushed along in 2nd travelling well between last 2, led before last, quickened clear run-in, impressive BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 8.2
8 2nd 5.5 Magic Daze (IRE) 5 Bromhead, Henry De Power, R M 22/1 28.00 7.20
pulled hard, tracked leader until led before 2nd, headed before last, stayed on same pace run-in, no chance with winner BF IP MIN 4 BF IP MAX 1000
10 3rd 2.25 Mighty Blue (FR) 5 OBrien, Joseph Patrick Slevin, J J 12/1 20.89 4.62
held up towards rear, closer out wide chasing leaders before 2 out, 3rd and one pace last BF IP MIN 2.66 BF IP MAX 1000
3 4th 1.5 Skyace (IRE) 6 Hanlon, John Joseph McGarvey, J S 28/1 36.93 10.75
mid-division, headway chasing leaders before 2 out, 4th and one pace run-in BF IP MIN 7.4 BF IP MAX 1000
15 5th 2.25 The Glancing Queen (IRE) 7 King, A Cannon, Tom J 9/1 12.33 4.28
mid-division, headway chasing leaders when hampered and lost place 2 out, rallied on long run before last, plugged on in 5th run-in BF IP MIN 9.6 BF IP MAX 1000
6 6th 1 Glens Of Antrim (IRE) 6 Mullins, W P ONeill, Jonjo (Jr) 8/1 10.26 3.59
led until before 2nd, chased leader until between last 2, chased leaders, lost modest 3rd last, weakened run-in BF IP MIN 5 BF IP MAX 1000
2 7th 0.75 Roseys Hollow (IRE) 7 Sweeney, Jonathan Walsh, M P 15/2 9.50 2.98
tracked leaders on inside, slightly outpaced 3 out, rallied before next, ridden and unable to quicken between last 2, weakening when dived at last BF IP MIN 4.4 BF IP MAX 500
9 8th 1.25 Martello Sky 5 Wadham, Mrs L Frost, Bryony 33/1 46.78 12.50
chased leaders until stumbled badly and lost place 2nd, soon in mid-division, towards rear and struggling 3 out, never on terms after BF IP MIN 40 BF IP MAX 1000
13 9th 2.25 Royal Kahala (IRE) 6 Fahey, Peter Sexton, K C 9/2 (Fav) 6.20 2.53
always towards rear, never on terms BF IP MIN 6 BF IP MAX 1000
12 10th 5.5 Pont Aval (FR) 8 Mullins, W P Hayes, Brian 50/1 57.85 14.23
held up towards rear, headway chasing leaders 4 out, pushed along and weakened before home turn BF IP MIN 19 BF IP MAX 1000
1 11th SH Gauloise (FR) 5 Mullins, W P Townend, P 8/1 12.00 4.03
chased leaders on inside, weakened between last 2 BF IP MIN 9.8 BF IP MAX 1000
7 12th 4 Hook Up (FR) 5 Mullins, W P Mullins, D E 13/2 7.00 3.05
held up and always towards rear, never on terms BF IP MIN 6 BF IP MAX 1000
5 13th 15 Allavina (IRE) 6 Murphy, Olly Coleman, A 40/1 65.00 16.50
soon lost place and in last pair, never a factor, tailed off, mistake last BF IP MIN 60 BF IP MAX 1000
11 PU Perfect Myth 7 King, N B Skelton, Harry 28/1 40.08 9.25
chased leaders, every chance 3 out, bad mistake 2 out, weakened quickly soon after, tailed off and pulled up before last BF IP MIN 16.5 BF IP MAX 1000
4 PU Will Victory (FR) 5 Mann, C J Sheehan, Gavin 150/1 300.00 60.91
always behind, tailed off and pulled up before last BF IP MIN 240 BF IP MAX 1000

Daylesford Mares Novices Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Dawn Run)
Distance: 2m1f (3699 yards) Prize (winner): £50643 Dir: Left Handed
Runners: 22    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 2    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 4 mins 9.02s   Avg OR: 114     Median OR: 132.5 

No Place Dist Bt Horse Age OR Trainer Jockey (Claim) Odds BF BFP
6 1st Concertista (FR) 6 141 Mullins, W P Jacob, Daryl 9/2 6.41 2.40
held up in mid-division, headway home bend, led before last, drew clear flat, impressive BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 13
7 2nd 12 Dolcita (FR) 5 133 Mullins, W P Power, R M 9/1 11.50 4.00
held up in mid-division, not fluent 2nd, headway 2 out, soon switched right, upsides winner off home bend, 2 1/2 lengths down when mistake last, well held flat BF IP MIN 2.1 BF IP MAX 1000
13 3rd 2.75 Raynas World (IRE) 5 122 Kirby, P A Dowson, Thomas 100/1 658.57 65.00
towards rear, pushed along after 4th, ridden after 3 out, headway approaching last, stayed on well flat, went 3rd towards finish, no chance with winner BF IP MIN 520 BF IP MAX 1000
19 4th 2 Yukon Lil 6 0 Mullins, W P Mullins, D E 20/1 21.38 6.49
held up towards rear, headway on outside after 2 out, switched right before last and unable to quicken, kept on flat BF IP MIN 5.2 BF IP MAX 1000
5 5th NK Colreevy (IRE) 7 135 Mullins, W P Townend, P 4/1 5.50 2.25
led until just after 2nd, prominent, led before last, soon headed, no extra towards finish BF IP MIN 4.9 BF IP MAX 1000
18 6th NSE Whitehotchillifili (IRE) 6 131 Fry, Harry Burke, Jonathan 25/1 65.00 12.28
mid-division, headway on outside 2 out, edged right flat, stayed on same pace BF IP MIN 5 BF IP MAX 1000
2 7th 1.25 Emmas Joy (IRE) 7 135 Skelton, Daniel Skelton, Harry 20/1 27.32 6.17
mid-division on outside, outpaced after 3 out, towards rear 2 out, rallied last, edged left and kept on flat BF IP MIN 26 BF IP MAX 1000
17 8th 1 Vienna Court (IRE) 5 131 Twiston-Davies, N A Twiston-Davies, Sam 50/1 75.00 15.50
held up towards rear, ridden and headway before last, no impression BF IP MIN 55 BF IP MAX 300
3 9th 3.25 Floressa (FR) 5 141 Henderson, N J Boinville, Nico 8/1 13.84 4.41
chased leaders on inside, not much room and lost place after 2 out, well beaten after BF IP MIN 11 BF IP MAX 950
12 10th 12 Mount Ida (IRE) 6 137 Elliott, Gordon Walsh, M P 25/1 34.77 7.60
chased leaders, ridden after 2 out, weakened before last BF IP MIN 24 BF IP MAX 1000
11 11th 2.5 La Feline (FR) 5 119 Nolan, Paul Cooper, Bryan J 100/1 322.81 41.76
held up in rear, pushed along after 3 out, some headway home bend, no impression, weakened BF IP MIN 250 BF IP MAX 1000
8 12th HD Fort Worth Texas (IRE) 6 127 Bowe, Colin ONeill, Mr B 100/1 242.97 25.74
chasing leaders 2nd, weakened from 2 out BF IP MIN 28 BF IP MAX 1000
16 13th NSE Timetochill (IRE) 7 134 Morgan, Miss Kelly Wedge, Adam 66/1 140.68 22.38
chasing leaders when not fluent 2nd, led home bend, headed before last, weakened BF IP MIN 11 BF IP MAX 1000
1 14th 1.75 Ard Abhainn (IRE) 6 137 Elliott, Gordon Russell, D N 11/1 13.79 4.10
mid-division, pushed along briefly after 3 out, headway home bend, hanging left and beaten when mistake last, weakened flat BF IP MIN 8 BF IP MAX 1000
10 15th NK Getaway Totherock (IRE) 7 136 Ralph, Alastair Treadwell, Liam 50/1 119.22 20.00
towards rear, not fluent and struggling 5th, well beaten before 2 out BF IP MIN 75 BF IP MAX 1000
15 16th HD Rosie And Millie (IRE) 7 132 Scudamore, M J Powell, Brendan 50/1 184.30 26.44
chased leaders, ridden after 2 out, weakened before last BF IP MIN 34 BF IP MAX 1000
14 17th 1.5 Rhythm Divine (IRE) 6 123 Gibney, Thomas OKeeffe, Darragh 100/1 280.00 35.65
prominent, losing place gradually from 4th, well beaten after 3 out BF IP MIN 200 BF IP MAX 1000
4 18th 8.5 Minella Melody (IRE) 6 143 Bromhead, Henry De Blackmore, Rachael 11/4 (Fav) 4.20 1.94
prominent, took keen hold, led just after 2nd, headed home bend, soon weakened, eased BF IP MIN 2.94 BF IP MAX 1000
9 19th 2 Full Of Surprises (FR) 5 0 Mulholland, N P Geraghty, B J 40/1 195.96 30.00
in rear, not fluent 1st, slow 3rd, well beaten after 3 out BF IP MIN 80 BF IP MAX 1000
20 20th 1 Midnights Gift 4 133 King, A Cannon, Tom J 80/1 137.04 23.00
mid-division, not fluent 2 out, soon weakened BF IP MIN 100 BF IP MAX 1000
21 PU Anna Bunina (FR) 4 0 McConnell, John C McInerney, Donal J 100/1 306.55 39.05
prominent, not fluent 2nd, lost place before 2 out, soon behind, pulled up before last BF IP MIN 80 BF IP MAX 1000
22 PU Red Archangel (IRE) 4 117 Spencer, Richard Bellamy, Tom 150/1 1000.00 389.85
always in rear, well behind 2 out, pulled up before last BF IP MIN 1000 BF IP MAX 1000

Mares Novices Hurdle Previous Winners

New Race in 2016

Date Going Runners Winner Stallion Age Jockey (Clm) Trainer Odds Weight OR Days
Soft 19 6 15/2 11-7 135 28d
Good To Soft 15 6 5/1 11-2 136 39d
Soft 22 6 9/2 11-2 141 39d
Good To Soft 22 5 50/1 11-2 0 180d
Soft 14 5 4/7 11-7 144 47d
Good 16 5 11/8 11-7 147 46d
Good 16 5 8/11 11-7 145 47d

 

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Cheltenham Festival Thursday

Race Schedule

START TIMES RACE DISTANCE TYPE
13:30 The Marsh Novices’ Chase (Grade 1) 2m abt 4f Chase
14:10 The Pertemps Network Final (A Handicap Hurdle Race) (Listed) Abt 3m Hurdle
14:50 The Ryanair Chase (Grade 1)
(feature race)
2m abt 5f Chase
15:30 The Paddy Power Stayers’ Hurdle (Grade 1) abt 3m Hurdle
16:10 The Craft Irish Whiskey Co Plate (A Handicap Steeple Chase) (Grade 3) 2m abt 5f Chase
16:50 The Daylesford Mares Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) 2m 1f Hurdle
17:30 The Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Handicap Steeple Chase (0-145) 3m abt 2f Chase

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