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Mares Novices Hurdle tips 2021

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Mares Novices Hurdle TipsWhen is the Mares Novices Hurdle 2021?

Cheltenham Thursday 18th March 4.50pm

Festival Mares Novices Hurdle (Grade 2) (4yo+)

Distance: 2 miles 1 Furlongs

Weights: 10st 8lbs (4yo), 11st 2lbs (5yo+)

Penalties: 5 lb for winners of Class 1 wfa hurdle, 3 lb for winners of Class 2 wfa, 3 lb for winners of Class 1 handicap hurdle

The penultimate race on day three is registered as the Dawn Run Mares Novice Hurdle but now that Tattersalls is the sponsor the official title is “National Hunt Breeders Supported By Tattersalls Mares Novices Hurdle”, this was inaugurated in 2016 and it is a novice hurdle open to fillies and mares aged four years old or over.

It is run on the new course over a distance of about two miles and one furlong with eight hurdles to be jumped, winners of this will likely compete in the Mares Hurdle in future years.

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Mares Novices Hurdle Trends and Statistics

5 Year Trends and Statistics 

  • Age – 4l of the 5 winners were aged 5.
  • Trainer – Willie Mullins has won all 5 renewals.
  • Country – 4 of the 5 winners were bred in France, and 1 in Ireland.
  • Colour – 3 of the last 5 winners were bay..
  • Starting Price (SP) – 4 of the 5 winners returned a SP of 9/2 or less. The exception was 50/1.
  • Starting Price Rank – 3 of the 5 winners started as favourite and 4 were in the first 3 in the betting.
  • Headgear – None of the 5 winners wore any headgear
  • Days Since Last Run – 4 of the 5 winners had run between 39 and 47 days ago. 
  • Last Run Form –3 of the 5 winners had won last time out. The other 2 were third.
Who are the Mares Novices Hurdle Leading Contenders?

PRINCESS ZOE – Group 1 winner on the flat in France, as yet unraced over hurdles.

SHEWEARSITWELL – Unbeaten over hurdles including a Grade 3 at Tipperary in October

ROSEYS HOLLOW – Progressive over hurdles landed a Grade 3 at Fairyhouse last time.

ROYAL KAHALA – Runner up to ROSEYS HOLLOW at Fairyhouse giving weight away.

What’s Keith’s Mares Novices Hurdle Tips for 2020?

An interesting race to be sure.  PRINCESS ZOE is an enigma and if she can jump the obstacles will be a shoo in. SEWEARSITWELL is trained by the maestro Willie Mullins who a;so handles 10 more of the entries, which ever ones remain on raceday merit consideration. ROSEYS HOLLOW may not be as good off level weights which gives a squeak to ROYAL KAHALA.

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What was Keith’s Mares Novices Hurdle Tip for 20202?

Here is what Keith wrote about the 2020 Mares Novices Hurdle.

With this race having only been around for the last four years, we do not yet have the in-depth statistics and trends that I like to study and uncover the hidden gems, as I can with the other races at the Festival.

The claims of Willie Mullins are hard to ignore having won all four renewals, and he is likely to saddle the ex-French LAMARCKISE, who has won on her only start in Ireland.

There is a stronger contender likely to be lining up in the race though, the Henry De Bromhead trained MINELLA MELODY, who is three from three over hurdles, including the Grade 3 Solerina at Fairyhouse in January. Leading narrowly before the last, she extended her advantage on the run up to the line in the capable hands of Rachael Blackmore.

 

My selection for the Mares Novices Hurdle 2020 is: MINELLA MELODY 3/1 (NRNB).

How did his selection do? MINELLA MELODY went form traveling well to being eased right down after being headed before the last in the Mares Novices Hurdle. 

Mares Novices Hurdle Results

Daylesford Mares Novices Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Dawn Run)
Distance: 2m1f (3699 yards) Prize (winner): £50643 Dir: Left Handed
Runners: 22    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 2    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 4 mins 9.02s   Avg OR: 114     Median OR: 132.5 

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
61stConcertista (FR)6141Mullins, W PJacob, Daryl9/26.412.40
held up in mid-division, headway home bend, led before last, drew clear flat, impressive BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 13
72nd12Dolcita (FR)5133Mullins, W PPower, R M9/111.504.00
held up in mid-division, not fluent 2nd, headway 2 out, soon switched right, upsides winner off home bend, 2 1/2 lengths down when mistake last, well held flat BF IP MIN 2.1 BF IP MAX 1000
133rd2.75Raynas World (IRE)5122Kirby, P ADowson, Thomas100/1658.5765.00
towards rear, pushed along after 4th, ridden after 3 out, headway approaching last, stayed on well flat, went 3rd towards finish, no chance with winner BF IP MIN 520 BF IP MAX 1000
194th2Yukon Lil60Mullins, W PMullins, D E20/121.386.49
held up towards rear, headway on outside after 2 out, switched right before last and unable to quicken, kept on flat BF IP MIN 5.2 BF IP MAX 1000
55thNKColreevy (IRE)7135Mullins, W PTownend, P4/15.502.25
led until just after 2nd, prominent, led before last, soon headed, no extra towards finish BF IP MIN 4.9 BF IP MAX 1000
186thNSEWhitehotchillifili (IRE)6131Fry, HarryBurke, Jonathan25/165.0012.28
mid-division, headway on outside 2 out, edged right flat, stayed on same pace BF IP MIN 5 BF IP MAX 1000
27th1.25Emmas Joy (IRE)7135Skelton, DanielSkelton, Harry20/127.326.17
mid-division on outside, outpaced after 3 out, towards rear 2 out, rallied last, edged left and kept on flat BF IP MIN 26 BF IP MAX 1000
178th1Vienna Court (IRE)5131Twiston-Davies, N ATwiston-Davies, Sam50/175.0015.50
held up towards rear, ridden and headway before last, no impression BF IP MIN 55 BF IP MAX 300
39th3.25Floressa (FR)5141Henderson, N JBoinville, Nico8/113.844.41
chased leaders on inside, not much room and lost place after 2 out, well beaten after BF IP MIN 11 BF IP MAX 950
1210th12Mount Ida (IRE)6137Elliott, GordonWalsh, M P25/134.777.60
chased leaders, ridden after 2 out, weakened before last BF IP MIN 24 BF IP MAX 1000
1111th2.5La Feline (FR)5119Nolan, PaulCooper, Bryan J100/1322.8141.76
held up in rear, pushed along after 3 out, some headway home bend, no impression, weakened BF IP MIN 250 BF IP MAX 1000
812thHDFort Worth Texas (IRE)6127Bowe, ColinONeill, Mr B100/1242.9725.74
chasing leaders 2nd, weakened from 2 out BF IP MIN 28 BF IP MAX 1000
1613thNSETimetochill (IRE)7134Morgan, Miss KellyWedge, Adam66/1140.6822.38
chasing leaders when not fluent 2nd, led home bend, headed before last, weakened BF IP MIN 11 BF IP MAX 1000
114th1.75Ard Abhainn (IRE)6137Elliott, GordonRussell, D N11/113.794.10
mid-division, pushed along briefly after 3 out, headway home bend, hanging left and beaten when mistake last, weakened flat BF IP MIN 8 BF IP MAX 1000
1015thNKGetaway Totherock (IRE)7136Ralph, AlastairTreadwell, Liam50/1119.2220.00
towards rear, not fluent and struggling 5th, well beaten before 2 out BF IP MIN 75 BF IP MAX 1000
1516thHDRosie And Millie (IRE)7132Scudamore, M JPowell, Brendan50/1184.3026.44
chased leaders, ridden after 2 out, weakened before last BF IP MIN 34 BF IP MAX 1000
1417th1.5Rhythm Divine (IRE)6123Gibney, ThomasOKeeffe, Darragh100/1280.0035.65
prominent, losing place gradually from 4th, well beaten after 3 out BF IP MIN 200 BF IP MAX 1000
418th8.5Minella Melody (IRE)6143Bromhead, Henry DeBlackmore, Rachael11/4 (Fav)4.201.94
prominent, took keen hold, led just after 2nd, headed home bend, soon weakened, eased BF IP MIN 2.94 BF IP MAX 1000
919th2Full Of Surprises (FR)50Mulholland, N PGeraghty, B J40/1195.9630.00
in rear, not fluent 1st, slow 3rd, well beaten after 3 out BF IP MIN 80 BF IP MAX 1000
2020th1Midnights Gift4133King, ACannon, Tom J80/1137.0423.00
mid-division, not fluent 2 out, soon weakened BF IP MIN 100 BF IP MAX 1000
21PUAnna Bunina (FR)40McConnell, John CMcInerney, Donal J100/1306.5539.05
prominent, not fluent 2nd, lost place before 2 out, soon behind, pulled up before last BF IP MIN 80 BF IP MAX 1000
22PURed Archangel (IRE)4117Spencer, RichardBellamy, Tom150/11000.00389.85
always in rear, well behind 2 out, pulled up before last BF IP MIN 1000 BF IP MAX 1000
Mares Novices Hurdle Previous Winners

New Race in 2016

DateGoingRunnersWinnerStallionAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOdds
Soft226

9/2

Good To Soft22550/1
Soft1454/7
Good16511/8
Good1658/11

 

Who is FRT’s Cheltenham Day 3 Tipster?

Keith Bond is our resident pro tipster here at FRT Towers. Keith lives and breathes horse racing, having begun his love of horse racing over 40 years ago with a part time job at Catterick Racecourse, as one of three fourteen year-olds looking after two jumps and a hurdle.

Over the years, Keith has been a regular at the northern tracks attending countless race meetings and building up a network of contacts, and a portfolio of systems and strategies. 

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Cheltenham Festival Thursday

Race Schedule

START TIMESRACEDISTANCETYPE
13:30The Marsh Novices’ Chase (Grade 1)2m abt 4fChase
14:10The Pertemps Network Final (A Handicap Hurdle Race) (Listed)Abt 3mHurdle
14:50The Ryanair Chase (Grade 1)
(feature race)
2m abt 5fChase
15:30The Paddy Power Stayers’ Hurdle (Grade 1)abt 3mHurdle
16:10The Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate (A Handicap Steeple Chase) (Grade 3)2m abt 5fChase
16:50The Daylesford Mares Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2)2m 1fHurdle
17:30The Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Handicap Steeple Chase (0-145)3m abt 2fChase

The Countdown to Cheltenham 2021

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