Festival Novices Chase tips 2021
(formerly the RSA Chase)
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View Keith's tips for the Festival Novices Chase
When is the Festival Novices Chase 2021?
Cheltenham Wednesday 17th March 2.10pm
Festival Novices Chase formerly known as the RSA Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+)
Distance: 3 Miles ½ Furlong
Weights: 11st 2lb (5yo), 11st 4lb (6yo+), 7lb allowance for mares
Race two on day two is the Festival Novices Chase, it is a grade one race for novice chasers run on the old course over a distance of three miles and 110 yards. It is open to horses aged five years old and older.
RSA Chase Records
Fastest Win: OFAOLAINS BOY 2011 ridden by Barry Geraghty trained by Rebecca Curtis finished in 360.32 s – 6 minutes 32 seconds
Leading jockey since 1946 (5 wins):
Pat Taaffe – Coneyburrow (1953), Solfen (1960), Grallagh Cnoc (1961), Arkle (1963), Proud Tarquin (1970)
Leading trainer since 1946 (4 wins):
Fulke Walwyn – Mountain Prince (1948, div. 2), On View (1951), Glenbeigh (1954), Mandarin (1957)
Willie Mullins – Florida Pearl (1998), Rule Supreme (2004), Cooldine (2009), Don Poli (2015)
Nicky Henderson – Trabolgan (2005), Bobs Worth (2012), Might Bite (2017), Champ (2020)
Festival Novices Chase Trends and Statistics
12 Year Trends and Statistics
- Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged 7.
- Sex – All of the last 12 winners were geldings.
- Trainer – Nicky Henderson and Willie Mullins have both saddled more than 1 winner in the last 12 years with 3 and 2 wins respectively .
- Country – 10 of the last 12 winners were bred in Ireland and 2 in Great Britain.
- Colour – 10 of the last 12 winners were bay..
- Starting Price (SP) – 7 of the last 12 winners have returned a SP of 9/2 or less the other 5 were between 8/1 and 16/1.
- Starting Price Rank – 4 of the last 12 winners started as favourite and 10 were in the first 5 in the betting.
- Headgear – None of the last 12 winners wore any headgear
- Days Since Last Run – 11 of the last 12 winners had run between 24 and 72 days ago.
- Last Run Form – 6 of the last 12 winners had won last time out, 11 finished in the first 3.
- Official Rating – All of the last 12 winners had an official rating between 144 and 158.
Who are the Festival Novices Chase Leading Contenders?
Here's what Keith wrote ahead of the race:
MONKFISH – Albert Bartlett winner last season. Has been awesome over fences so far.
ROYAL PAGAILLE – Progressive chaser notching up 3 from 3 since December including the Peter Marsh Chase.
LATEST EXHIBITION – Progressing well this term, has a bit to find with MONKFISH.
ENVOI ALLEN – Unbeaten in 12 races, a point to point and 11 under rules. Landed the Champion Bumper in 2019 and the Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle last year.
What are Keith’s Festival Novices Chase Tips?
With ENVOI ALLEN more likely to line up in the Marsh Chase and LATEST EXHIBITION needing to find a bit more on what he has shown so far we are left with MONKFISH who has earned the right to be favourite and ROYAILLE PAGAILLE who has shown plenty so far and will love it if the going turns up hock deep on the day.
On the day, Keith told our members:
MONKFISH 13:55 Cheltenham 4/11 – A lot of peoples festival nap and the odds reflect it. Expected to win on the bridle.
How did he do?
MONKFISH – another race, another winner for our tips! Monkfish led, slow 2nd, not fluent and headed 8th, led 4 out, soon headed, led again 3 out, 3 1/2 lengths ahead of 2nd but had loose horse just in front when mistake last, stayed on well, comfortably winning by 6.5 lengths.
FRT Tipster Keith’s wrote this for the 2020 RSA Novices Chase:
BATTLEOVERDOYAN is tough and has already won a Grade 1 Chase over 3 miles but found the pace too quick last time before falling. However this extra yardage is a positive, and he has place claims.
ALAHO wasn’t quite at the level of some of these over hurdles and may be found wanting. MINELLA INDO fits a lot of the stats and is going the right way over fences.
Finally we come to the favourite CHAMP who is older than the ideal profile for the winner of the RSA Chase and needs to bounce back from that fall last time which may have dented his confidence.
After weighing things up my pick for the race is the Henry De Bromhead trained MINELLA INDO.
Result: MINELLA INDO was leading going over the last in the RSA Chase but an awkward jump left the door open for CHAMP and he had to settle for the runners up spot.
RSA Chase Results 2020
Brown Advisory Novices Chase (Registered As The Broadway Novices Chase) (Grade 1) (GBB Race)
Distance: 3m½f (5360 yards) Prize (winner): £73854 Dir: Left Handed
Runners: 6 Going: Good To Soft Class: Class 1 Grade 1 Age Restrictions: 5yo+
Winners Time: 6 mins 11.08s Avg OR: 151 Median OR: 149.5
|No||Place||Dist Bt||Horse||Age||Weight||OR||Trainer||Jockey (Claim)||Odds||BF||BFP|
|4||1st||Monkfish (IRE)||7||11-4||164||Mullins, W P||Townend, P||1/4 (Fav)|
|led, slow 2nd, not fluent and headed 8th, led 4 out, soon headed, led again 3 out, 3 1/2 lengths ahead of 2nd but had loose horse just in front when mistake last, stayed on well, comfortably|
|3||2nd||6.5||Fiddlerontheroof (IRE)||7||11-4||148||Tizzard, C L||Power, R M||40/1|
|held up behind leaders, left 3rd 12th, not fluent 15th, ridden to chase winner before 2 out, 3 1/2 lengths down last, no impression, stayed on|
|6||3rd||11||The Big Breakaway (IRE)||6||11-4||148||Tizzard, C L||Cobden, Harry||12/1|
|tracked winner, led 8th, headed 4 out, soon led again, mistake and headed 3 out, lost 2nd before 2 out, no extra last|
|1||4th||41||Dickie Diver (IRE)||8||11-4||142||Henderson, N J||Coleman, A||33/1|
|did not jump with fluency, held up in last, ridden and behind 15th, left 4th 2 out|
|5||F||Sporting John (IRE)||6||11-4||153||Hobbs, P J||Johnson, Richard||16/1|
|held up behind leaders, bad mistake and lost ground on rivals 11th, left 4th next, weakened before 3 out, fell 2 out|
|2||UR||Eklat De Rire (FR)||7||11-4||151||Bromhead, Henry De||Blackmore, Rachael||10/1|
|chased front pair, not much room 8th, mistake and unseated rider 12th|
RSA Insurance Novices Chase (Grade 1)
Distance: 3m½f (5360 yards) Prize (winner): £98472 Dir: Left Handed
Runners: 10 Going: Soft Class: Class 1 Grade 1 Age Restrictions: 5yo+
Winners Time: 6 mins 28.67s Avg OR: 152 Median OR: 152.5
|No||Place||Dist Bt||Horse||Age||OR||Trainer||Jockey (Claim)||Odds||BF||BFP|
|5||1st||Champ (IRE)||8||153||Henderson, N J||Geraghty, B J||4/1||6.00||2.24|
|not always fluent, held up towards rear, closed 12th, slow next (water), effort before 3 out, 3rd and outpaced home turn, pecked 2 out, 10 lengths off front pair last, stayed on well final 150 yards, led towards finish BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 600|
|8||2nd||1||Minella Indo (IRE)||7||147||Bromhead, Henry De||Blackmore, Rachael||3/1||4.98||1.78|
|raced keenly, led until after 1st, led next, headed 5th, stayed pressing leader, led after 2 out, mistake last, hung right and pressed flat, headed towards finish BF IP MIN 1.06 BF IP MAX 1000|
|1||3rd||1||Allaho (FR)||6||152||Mullins, W P||Townend, P||5/2 (Fav)||4.10||1.89|
|led after 1st, headed next, led 5th, not fluent and pecked 12th, headed after 2 out, every chance from last, 3rd and no extra close home BF IP MIN 2 BF IP MAX 1000|
|3||4th||22||Battleoverdoyen (IRE)||7||153||Elliott, Gordon||Russell, D N||7/1||7.92||2.90|
|mid-division on outside, headway from 10th, every chance 3 out, 4th and outpaced before 2 out, weakened before last BF IP MIN 3.5 BF IP MAX 1000|
|2||5th||13||Aye Right (IRE)||7||146||Graham, Mrs H O||Bewley, Callum||100/1||221.38||18.39|
|chased leaders, mistake 5th, pecked 12th, mistake and lost place 4 out, soon closed back up, weakened after 3 out BF IP MIN 50 BF IP MAX 1000|
|10||6th||33||Slate House (IRE)||8||155||Tizzard, C L||Power, R M||20/1||38.13||7.65|
|held up towards rear on inside, not always fluent, headway 15th, lost place 3 out, soon weakened, hampered last, tailed off BF IP MIN 23 BF IP MAX 1000|
|6||F||Copperhead||6||155||Tizzard, C L||Cobden, Harry||6/1||9.30||2.49|
|chased leaders, pushed along after 4 out, outpaced after next, soon weakened, fell last BF IP MIN 7 BF IP MAX 1000|
|7||F||Easy Game (FR)||6||154||Mullins, W P||Mullins, D E||10/1||11.40||3.31|
|held up towards rear, headway 12th, outpaced after 4 out, weakened next, fell last BF IP MIN 11 BF IP MAX 1000|
|9||PU||Pym (IRE)||7||152||Henderson, N J||Boinville, Nico||33/1||55.00||8.20|
|chased leaders, dropped into mid-division from 2nd, lost place before 8th, mistake 11th, pulled up before 14th BF IP MIN 50 BF IP MAX 1000|
|4||UR||Castlebawn West (IRE)||7||150||Mullins, W P||Walsh, M P||50/1||60.23||10.05|
|held up in rear, not fluent 12th, mistake and rider lost iron briefly 14th, headway approaching 3 out, ridden and beaten before home turn, 5th and well held when blundered and unseated rider 2 out BF IP MIN 12 BF IP MAX 1000|
|17.03.2021||Good To Soft||6||Monkfish (IRE)||Stowaway||7||Townend, P||Mullins, W P||1/4||11-4||164||38d|
|11.03.2020||Soft||10||Champ (IRE)||Kings Theatre (IRE)||8||Geraghty, B J||Henderson, N J||4/1||11-4||153||70d|
|13.03.2019||Soft||12||Topofthegame (IRE)||Flemensfirth (USA)||7||Cobden, Harry||Nicholls, P F||4/1||11-4||155||77d|
|14.03.2018||Soft||10||Presenting Percy||Sir Percy||7||Russell, D N||Kelly, Patrick G||5/2||11-4||158||25d|
|15.03.2017||Good To Soft||12||Might Bite (IRE)||Scorpion (IRE)||8||Boinville, Nico||Henderson, N J||7/2||11-4||154||34d|
|16.03.2016||Good||8||Blaklion||Kayf Tara||7||Hatch, R||Twiston-Davies, N A||8/1||11-4||150||39d|
|11.03.2015||Good||8||Don Poli (IRE)||Poliglote||6||Cooper, Bryan J||Mullins, W P||13/8||11-4||156||72d|
|12.03.2014||Good||15||Ofaolains Boy (IRE)||Oscar (IRE)||7||Geraghty, B J||Curtis, Miss Rebecca||12/1||11-4||144||25d|
|13.03.2013||Good To Soft||11||Lord Windermere (IRE)||Oscar (IRE)||7||Russell, D N||Culloty, J H||8/1||11-4||145||32d|
|14.03.2012||Good||9||Bobs Worth (IRE)||Bob Back (USA)||7||Geraghty, B J||Henderson, N J||9/2||11-4||151||25d|
|16.03.2011||Good||12||Bostons Angel (IRE)||Winged Love (IRE)||7||Power, R M||Harrington, Mrs John||16/1||11-4||146||32d|
|17.03.2010||Good||9||Weapons Amnesty (IRE)||Presenting||7||Russell, D N||Byrnes, C||10/1||11-4||152||38d|
|11.03.2009||Good To Soft||15||Cooldine (IRE)||Beneficial||7||Walsh, R||Mullins, W P||9/4||11-4||155||24d|
|13.03.2008||Good To Soft||11||Albertas Run (IRE)||Accordion (IRE)||7||McCoy, A P||ONeill, Jonjo||4/1||11-4||149||26d|
|14.03.2007||Good To Soft||17||Denman (IRE)||Presenting||7||Walsh, R||Nicholls, P F||6/5||11-4||0||32d|
|15.03.2006||Good||15||Star De Mohaison (FR)||Beyssac (FR)||5||Geraghty, B J||Nicholls, P F||14/1||10-8||143||47d|
|16.03.2005||Good||9||Trabolgan (IRE)||Kings Ride (IRE)||7||Fitzgerald, Mick||Henderson, N J||5/1||11-4||0||53d|
|17.03.2004||Good||10||Rule Supreme (IRE)||Supreme Leader||8||Casey, D J||Mullins, W P||25/1||11-4||0||45d|
|12.03.2003||Good||9||One Knight (IRE)||Roselier (FR)||7||Johnson, Richard||Hobbs, P J||15/2||11-4||0||44d|
|13.03.2002||Good To Soft||19||Hussard Collonges (FR)||Video Rock (FR)||7||Garritty, Russ||Beaumont, P||33/1||11-4||129||34d|
|15.03.2000||Good||9||Lord Noelie (IRE)||Lord Americo (IRE)||7||Culloty, J||Knight, Miss H C||9/2||11-4||0||53d|
|17.03.1999||Good To Soft||14||Looks Like Trouble (IRE)||Zaffaran (USA)||7||Carberry, P||Chance, Noel T||16/1||11-4||115||27d|
|18.03.1998||Good||10||Florida Pearl (IRE)||Florida Son||6||Dunwoody, R||Mullins, W P||11/8||11-4||0||38d|
|12.03.1997||Good To Firm||14||Hanakham (IRE)||Phardante (FR)||8||Dunwoody, R||Hodges, R J||13/2||11-4||0||20d|
Keith Bond is our resident pro tipster here at FRT Towers. Keith lives and breathes horse racing, having begun his love of horse racing over 40 years ago with a part time job at Catterick Racecourse, as one of three fourteen year-olds looking after two jumps and a hurdle.
Over the years, Keith has been a regular at the northern tracks attending countless race meetings and building up a network of contacts, and a portfolio of systems and strategies.
He was one of the co-founders of Free Racing Tips all the way back in 2008, and his free tips are now backed by more than seventy thousand FRT members every single day.
“Thanks Keith – It’s great to be part of an amazing group of people all after the same thing, passing on tips to beat the bookies”
Colin Parkinson, Harrow.
The FRT community love Keith’s attention to detail, knowledge of past races, and ability to pick horses...
“You offer some great tips, some fantastic outsiders tipped up as well. Most tipsters just put up favourites. Well done and keep up the good work”
John Woolley, Stockport
Cheltenham Festival Wednesday
|13:30||The Ballymore Novices' Hurdle Race||2m abt 5f||Hurdle|
|14:10||The Festival Novices’ Chase (RSA Chase) (Grade 1)||3m abt ½ f||Chase|
|14:50||The Coral Cup Hurdle (A Handicap Hurdle Race) (Grade 3)||2m abt 5f||Hurdle|
|15:30||The Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase (Grade 1)|
|16:10||The Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase||3m 6f||Chase|
|16:50||The Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Handicap Steeple Chase Challenge Cup (Grade 3)||2m abt ½f||Chase|
|17.30||The Weatherbys Champion Bumper (A Standard Open NH Flat Race) (Grade 1)||2m abt ½f||Bumper|
The Countdown to Cheltenham 2021