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Festival Novices Chase tips 2021
(formerly the RSA Chase)

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View Keith's tips for the Festival Novices Chase

Festival Novices Chase tipsWhen is the Festival Novices Chase 2021?

Cheltenham Wednesday 17th March 2.10pm

Festival Novices Chase  formerly known as the RSA Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+)

Distance: 3 Miles ½ Furlong

Weights: 11st 2lb (5yo), 11st 4lb (6yo+), 7lb allowance for mares

Race two on day two is the Festival Novices Chase, it is a grade one race for novice chasers run on the old course over a distance of three miles and 110 yards. It is open to horses aged five years old and older.

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RSA Chase Records

Fastest Win: OFAOLAINS BOY 2011 ridden by Barry Geraghty trained by Rebecca Curtis finished in 360.32 s – 6 minutes 32 seconds

Leading jockey since 1946 (5 wins):

Pat Taaffe – Coneyburrow (1953), Solfen (1960), Grallagh Cnoc (1961), Arkle (1963), Proud Tarquin (1970)

Leading trainer since 1946 (4 wins):

Fulke Walwyn – Mountain Prince (1948, div. 2), On View (1951), Glenbeigh (1954), Mandarin (1957)
Willie Mullins – Florida Pearl (1998), Rule Supreme (2004), Cooldine (2009), Don Poli (2015)
Nicky Henderson – Trabolgan (2005), Bobs Worth (2012), Might Bite (2017), Champ (2020)

Festival Novices Chase Trends and Statistics

12 Year Trends and Statistics 

  • Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged 7.
  • Sex – All of the last 12 winners were geldings.
  • Trainer – Nicky Henderson and Willie Mullins have both saddled more than 1 winner in the last 12 years with 3 and 2 wins respectively .
  • Country – 10 of the last 12 winners were bred in Ireland and 2 in Great Britain.
  • Colour – 10 of the last 12 winners were bay..
  • Starting Price (SP) – 7 of the last 12 winners have returned a SP of 9/2 or less the other 5 were between 8/1 and 16/1.
  • Starting Price Rank – 4 of the last 12 winners started as favourite and 10 were in the first 5 in the betting.
  • Headgear – None of the last 12 winners wore any headgear
  • Days Since Last Run – 11 of the last 12 winners had run between 24 and 72 days ago. 
  • Last Run Form – 6 of the last 12 winners had won last time out, 11 finished in the first 3.
  • Official Rating – All of the last 12 winners had an official rating between 144 and 158.

Who are the Festival Novices Chase Leading Contenders?

MONKFISH – Albert Bartlett winner last season. Has been awesome over fences so far. 

ROYAL PAGAILLE – Progressive chaser notching up 3 from 3 since December including the Peter Marsh Chase.

LATEST EXHIBITION – Progressing well this term, has a bit to find with MONKFISH.

ENVOI ALLEN – Unbeaten in 12 races, a point to point and 11 under rules. Landed the Champion Bumper in 2019 and the Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle last year.

What are Keith’s Festival Novices Chase Tips for 2021?

With ENVOI ALLEN more likely to line up in the Marsh Chase and LATEST EXHIBITION needing to find a bit more on what he has shown so far we are left with MONKFISH who has earned the right to be favourite and ROYAILLE PAGAILLE who has shown plenty so far and will love it if the going turns up hock deep on the day.

Keith's shortlist and Antepost tips will appear here as soon as he has made his selections.  To be sure to find out who Keith selects on the morning of the race, join our VIP Club

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FRT Tipster Keith’s wrote this for the 2020 RSA Novices Chase:

BATTLEOVERDOYAN is tough and  has already won a Grade 1 Chase  over 3 miles but found the pace  too quick last time before falling.  However this extra yardage is a  positive, and he has place claims. 

ALAHO wasn’t quite at the level  of some of these over hurdles and  may be found wanting. MINELLA  INDO fits a lot of the stats and is  going the right way over fences. 

Finally we come to the favourite  CHAMP who is older than the ideal  profile for the winner of the RSA  Chase and needs to bounce back  from that fall last time which may  have dented his confidence. 

After weighing things up my  pick for the race is the Henry De  Bromhead trained MINELLA INDO.

Result: MINELLA INDO was leading going over the last in the RSA Chase but an awkward jump left the door open for CHAMP and he had to settle for the runners up spot.

What was Keith’s RSA Chase Tip for 2020?

RSA Chase Results 2020

RSA Insurance Novices Chase (Grade 1)
Distance: 3m½f (5360 yards) Prize (winner): £98472 Dir: Left Handed
Runners: 10    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 1    Age Restrictions: 5yo+
Winners Time: 6 mins 28.67s   Avg OR: 152     Median OR: 152.5

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
51stChamp (IRE)8153Henderson, N JGeraghty, B J4/16.002.24
not always fluent, held up towards rear, closed 12th, slow next (water), effort before 3 out, 3rd and outpaced home turn, pecked 2 out, 10 lengths off front pair last, stayed on well final 150 yards, led towards finish BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 600
82nd1Minella Indo (IRE)7147Bromhead, Henry DeBlackmore, Rachael3/14.981.78
raced keenly, led until after 1st, led next, headed 5th, stayed pressing leader, led after 2 out, mistake last, hung right and pressed flat, headed towards finish BF IP MIN 1.06 BF IP MAX 1000
13rd1Allaho (FR)6152Mullins, W PTownend, P5/2 (Fav)4.101.89
led after 1st, headed next, led 5th, not fluent and pecked 12th, headed after 2 out, every chance from last, 3rd and no extra close home BF IP MIN 2 BF IP MAX 1000
34th22Battleoverdoyen (IRE)7153Elliott, GordonRussell, D N7/17.922.90
mid-division on outside, headway from 10th, every chance 3 out, 4th and outpaced before 2 out, weakened before last BF IP MIN 3.5 BF IP MAX 1000
25th13Aye Right (IRE)7146Graham, Mrs H OBewley, Callum100/1221.3818.39
chased leaders, mistake 5th, pecked 12th, mistake and lost place 4 out, soon closed back up, weakened after 3 out BF IP MIN 50 BF IP MAX 1000
106th33Slate House (IRE)8155Tizzard, C LPower, R M20/138.137.65
held up towards rear on inside, not always fluent, headway 15th, lost place 3 out, soon weakened, hampered last, tailed off BF IP MIN 23 BF IP MAX 1000
6FCopperhead6155Tizzard, C LCobden, Harry6/19.302.49
chased leaders, pushed along after 4 out, outpaced after next, soon weakened, fell last BF IP MIN 7 BF IP MAX 1000
7FEasy Game (FR)6154Mullins, W PMullins, D E10/111.403.31
held up towards rear, headway 12th, outpaced after 4 out, weakened next, fell last BF IP MIN 11 BF IP MAX 1000
9PUPym (IRE)7152Henderson, N JBoinville, Nico33/155.008.20
chased leaders, dropped into mid-division from 2nd, lost place before 8th, mistake 11th, pulled up before 14th BF IP MIN 50 BF IP MAX 1000
4URCastlebawn West (IRE)7150Mullins, W PWalsh, M P50/160.2310.05
held up in rear, not fluent 12th, mistake and rider lost iron briefly 14th, headway approaching 3 out, ridden and beaten before home turn, 5th and well held when blundered and unseated rider 2 out BF IP MIN 12 BF IP MAX 1000
RSA Chase Previous Winners
DateGoingRunnersWinnerStallionAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOdds
Soft1084/1
Soft1274/1
Soft1075/2
Good To Soft1287/2
Good878/1
Good8613/8
Good15712/1
Good To Soft1178/1
Good979/2
Good12716/1
Good9710/1
Good To Soft1579/4
Good To Soft1174/1
Good To Soft1776/5
Good15514/1
Good975/1
Good10825/1
Good9715/2
Good To Soft19733/1
Good979/2
Good To Soft14716/1
Good10611/8
Good To Firm14813/2

 

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Who is FRT’s Cheltenham Day 2 Tipster?

Keith Bond is our resident pro tipster here at FRT Towers. Keith lives and breathes horse racing, having begun his love of horse racing over 40 years ago with a part time job at Catterick Racecourse, as one of three fourteen year-olds looking after two jumps and a hurdle.

Over the years, Keith has been a regular at the northern tracks attending countless race meetings and building up a network of contacts, and a portfolio of systems and strategies. 

He was one of the co-founders of Free Racing Tips all the way back in 2008, and his free tips are now backed by more than seventy thousand FRT members every single day.

“Thanks Keith – It’s great to be part of an amazing group of people all after the same thing, passing on tips to beat the bookies”

Colin Parkinson, Harrow.

The FRT community love Keith’s attention to detail, knowledge of past races, and ability to pick horses...

“You offer some great tips, some fantastic outsiders tipped up as well. Most tipsters just put up favourites. Well done and keep up the good work”

John Woolley, Stockport

Cheltenham Festival Wednesday

Race Schedule

START TIMESRACEDISTANCETYPE
13:30The Ballymore Novices' Hurdle Race2m abt 5fHurdle
14:10The Festival Novices’ Chase (RSA Chase) (Grade 1)3m abt ½ fChase
14:50The Coral Cup Hurdle (A Handicap Hurdle Race) (Grade 3)2m abt 5fHurdle
15:30The Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase (Grade 1)
(feature race)
Abt 2mChase
16:10The Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase3m 6fChase
16:50The Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Handicap Steeple Chase Challenge Cup (Grade 3)2m abt ½fChase
17.30The Weatherbys Champion Bumper (A Standard Open NH Flat Race) (Grade 1)2m abt ½fBumper

The Countdown to Cheltenham 2021

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