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Ballymore Novice Hurdle tips 2021

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View Keith's tips for the Ballymore Novice Hurdle

Ballymore Novice Hurdle TipsWhen is the Ballymore Novice Hurdle 2021?

Cheltenham Wednesday 17th March 1.30pm

Ballymore Novices Hurdle (Grade 1) (4yo+)

Distance: 2 Miles 5 Furlongs

Weights: 10st 12lb (4yo), 11st 7lb (5yo+), 7lb allowance for fillies and mares

The first race on Ladies Day is the Ballymore Novices Hurdle, formally known as the Neptune Hurdle. It is a grade one race and open to horses aged four years old and older, run on the old course over a distance of about two miles and five furlongs putting the emphasis more on stamina than in the Supreme on Tuesday. There are ten hurdles to be negotiated.

Winners of the race have been known to dominate the hurdling ranks for years to come.

Recent winners include The New One in 2013 and Faugheen in 2014, who went on to win the Champion Hurdle the following year. Irish trained runners have won seven of the last twelve renewals, with four of them being trained by Willie Mullins.

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Ballymore Novices Hurdle Records

Leading jockey (4 wins):

Ruby Walsh – Fiveforthree (2008), Mikael d'Haguenet (2009), Faugheen (2014), Yorkhill (2016)

Leading trainer (4 wins):

Willie Mullins – Fiveforthree (2008), Mikael d'Haguenet (2009), Faugheen (2014), Yorkhill (2016)

Source: Wikipedia

Ballymore Novice Hurdle Trends and Statistics

12 Year Trends and Statistics 

  • Age – All of the last 12 winners were aged between 5 and 6.
  • Sex – All of the last 12 winners were geldings.
  • Trainer – Willie Mullins and Gordon Elliott are the only trainers to saddle more than 1 winner in the last 12 years with 3 and 2 wins respectively .
  • Country – 9 of the last 12 winners were bred in Ireland, 2 in France and 1 in Great Britain.
  • Colour – 7 of the last 12 winners were bay..
  • Weight Carried10st 12lb (4yo), 11st 7lb (5yo+), 7lb allowance for fillies and mares
  • Starting Price (SP) – All of the last 12 winners returned a SP of 14/1 or less, 7 were below 9/2.
  • Starting Price Rank – 5 of the last 12 winners started as favourite and 11 were in the first 4 in the betting.
  • Headgear – None of the last 12 winners wore any headgear
  • Days Since Last Run – 11 of the last 12 winners had run between 31 and 77 days ago. 
  • Last Run Form –10 of the last 12 winners had won last time out. The other 2 were second.

 

Who are the Ballymore Novices Hurdle Leading Contenders?

BRAVEMANSGAME – Top of his game, won the Grade 1 Challow Hurdle at Newbury

BOB OLINGER – Grade 1 winner at Naas in January on heavy going.

APRECIATE IT  –  Champion Bumper runner up in 2020, looked good when winning the Paddy Power futute champions at Leopardstown in December.

GAILLARD DU MESNIL – Plenty of scope, eased down when winning a Leopardstown Grade 1 last time.

What are Keith’s Ballymore Novices Hurdle Tips for 2021?

There are too many variable to come up with a solid selection at this moment in time, 120 horses are entered and a maximum of 22 will go to post.

All 4 horses in the leading contenders list merit consideration but at this stage I have a slight preference for GAILLARD DU MESNIL.

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What was Keith’s Ballymore Novices Hurdle Tip for 2020?

FRT Tipster Keith’s wrote this for the 2019 Ballymore Novices Hurdle Tips

A bigger question than what am  I tipping here is what is actually  going to run. 

Like many of these horses, ENVOI  ALLEN holds multiple entries  and even though he is ante-post  favourite for this race he is a viable  option for the Champion Hurdle,  a race trainer Gordon Elliott has  never won. That said, he has a  favourites chance here. 

ASTERION FORLONGE, although  bred for further, has never raced  beyond 2 miles and is more likely  to be aimed at the Supreme  Novices Hurdle. 

THE BIG BREAKAWAY stays this  far and may have place chances.  Lack of experience is likely to be  

the downfall of THE BIG GETAWAY  in this company. 

Proven over course and distance,  THYME HILL ticks plenty of boxes  in this race and has a big each  way shout. Let’s hope connections  send him here. If he does, however  go for the Albert Bartlett, then my  alternative is ENVOI ALLEN 5/4. 

Result: Day 2 at Cheltenham began in some style when ENVOI ALLEN recorded an easy win in the Ballymore Novices Hurdle.

 

Ultima Handicap Chase Results

Ultima Handicap Chase (Grade 3)
Distance: 3m1f (5500 yards) Prize (winner): £61897 Direction: Left Handed
Runners: 23    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 3    Age Restrictions: 5yo+
Winners Time: 6 mins 50.75s   Avg OR: 144     Median OR: 144    

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
171stThe Conditional (IRE)8139Bridgwater, D GPowell, Brendan15/29.572.78
tracked leaders, effort on inside when hit 2 out, soon ridden, stayed on to lead flat, all out towards finish, just held on BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 24
62ndNKKildisart (IRE)8150Pauling, BenJacob, Daryl10/116.663.32
tracked leaders, driven after 3 out, every chance last, ridden and stayed on to press winner towards finish, just held BF IP MIN 2.08 BF IP MAX 1000
73rd2.25Discorama (FR)7148Nolan, PaulCooper, Bryan J11/2 (JFav)6.352.54
held up behind, headway into mid-division after 9th, chased leaders before 3 out, soon ridden and one pace, rallied flat, took 3rd final strides, not quite reach front pair BF IP MIN 3.85 BF IP MAX 1000
14thNKVinndication (IRE)7159Bailey, K CBass, David11/2 (JFav)7.132.58
always prominent, challenged 3 out, led narrowly next, ridden and headed flat, no extra towards finish, lost 3rd final strides BF IP MIN 1.8 BF IP MAX 1000
165thNKBig River (IRE)10141Russell, Miss Lucinda VFox, Derek R20/135.175.36
mid-division, dropped towards rear 8th, headway under pressure 3 out, chased leaders next, ridden and rallied flat, not reach leaders BF IP MIN 2.42 BF IP MAX 1000
156th5.5Cobra De Mai (FR)8142Skelton, DanielSkelton, Harry20/127.815.79
mid-division on inside, driven after 3 out, ridden after next, kept on same pace, never threatened leaders BF IP MIN 10 BF IP MAX 1000
37th2Cepage (FR)8155Williams, Miss VenetiaDeutsch, Charlie14/117.504.40
in touch, headway to lead after 8th, headed narrowly 2 out, soon ridden, lost place after last, weakened closing stages BF IP MIN 2.54 BF IP MAX 1000
48th5Vintage Clouds (IRE)10151Smith, Mrs S JMania, Ryan28/148.007.46
prominent on outside, led 5th (water), headed after 8th, remained in touch, ridden after 3 out, outpaced and no impression before next BF IP MIN 14.5 BF IP MAX 1000
99th2Atlanta Ablaze9145Daly, H DOBrien, T J33/1100.0013.18
mid-division, ridden after 3 out, kept on same pace, never near leaders BF IP MIN 40 BF IP MAX 1000
2310th15Vivas (FR)9133Longsdon, C ESheehan, Gavin100/1562.1934.89
always behind BF IP MIN 410 BF IP MAX 1000
211th3.75Brave Eagle (IRE)8157Henderson, N JBoinville, Nico25/144.2411.00
always behind BF IP MIN 36 BF IP MAX 1000
1112th3.5Mulcahys Hill (IRE)8144Greatrex, W JHeskin, A P33/163.199.60
mid-division, pushed along 5 out, never near leaders, behind when went left and mistake 3 out BF IP MIN 38 BF IP MAX 1000
813th3.5Who Dares Wins (IRE)8147King, ACannon, Tom J10/113.003.63
mistake 1st, mid-division, chased leaders 10th, outpaced 3 out, weakened next BF IP MIN 7.6 BF IP MAX 1000
20BDQuarenta (FR)8137ONeill, JonjoCobden, Harry28/142.297.55
held up towards rear, brought down 4th BF IP MIN 44 BF IP MAX 1000
18FElwood (FR)6139Elliott, GordonDempsey, Luke18/123.005.01
mid-division, fell 4th BF IP MIN 21 BF IP MAX 1000
21FNo Comment9137Hobbs, P JColeman, A12/117.164.67
mid-division, fell heavily 8th BF IP MIN 12.5 BF IP MAX 1000
10PUActivial (FR)10145George, T RBurke, Jonathan33/1130.7910.85
led to after 1st, tracked leaders, lost place 12th, behind from next, lost touch when pulled up after 16th BF IP MIN 65 BF IP MAX 1000
12PUBurbank (IRE)8144Henderson, N JMcGrath, Jeremiah25/130.986.68
mid-division, lost place when mistake 15th, soon behind, tailed off when pulled up before 2 out BF IP MIN 25 BF IP MAX 1000
13PUCogry11143Twiston-Davies, N ATwiston-Davies, Sam25/143.206.80
led after 1st, headed 5th (water), chased leaders, lost place 9th, behind when pulled up before 11th BF IP MIN 36 BF IP MAX 1000
14PUTownshend (GER)9142Twiston-Davies, N ANeild, Jamie (7)40/1130.3919.07
towards rear on outside, headway 11th, weakened 3 out, tailed off when pulled up before last BF IP MIN 25 BF IP MAX 1000
19PUSoupy Soups (IRE)9138Mulholland, N PDunne, R T50/1182.4614.50
mid-division, chased leaders 10th, driven and outpaced 3 out, soon weakened, pulled up before next BF IP MIN 15.5 BF IP MAX 1000
5PUMister Malarky7151Tizzard, C LONeill, Jonjo (Jr)12/116.204.14
tracked leaders, driven before 3 out, soon ridden and weakened, behind when pulled up before next BF IP MIN 9.8 BF IP MAX 1000
24PUIce Cool Champs (IRE)9133Lee, Miss KerryWedge, Adam100/1177.8719.35
mid-division, in touch 8th, hit 5 out, lost place after next, behind 3 out, pulled up before 2 out BF IP MIN 25 BF IP MAX 1000

Non Runners  General Principle (IRE)

Ultima Handicap Chase (Grade 3)
Distance: 3m1f (5500 yards) Prize (winner): £61897 Direction: Left Handed
Runners: 24    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 3    Age Restrictions: 5yo+
Winners Time: 6 mins 39.40s   Avg OR: 147     Median OR: 147  

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
71stBeware The Bear (IRE)9151Henderson, N JMcGrath, Jeremiah10/114.004.21
held up towards rear, headway into mid-division on outside 4th, close up 9th, effort after 3 out, led last, clear when edged left flat, ridden out, held on towards finish BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 26
172nd1.25Vintage Clouds (IRE)9144Smith, Mrs S JCook, Danny16/121.004.72
led to 2nd, with leader, reminders before 3 out, led again next, headed last, ridden and one pace flat, rallied towards finish, not reach winner BF IP MIN 1.51 BF IP MAX 1000
13rd2Lake View Lad (IRE)9155Alexander, N WBrooke, Henry25/132.005.90
in touch, pushed along after 4 out, one pace 2 out, went 3rd and ridden after last, kept on, not reach front pair BF IP MIN 10.5 BF IP MAX 1000
244th3.25Big River (IRE)9140Russell, Miss Lucinda VFox, Derek R28/145.848.64
mistake 1st, in touch and not always fluent, dropped to mid-division 8th, behind from 16th, ridden after 2 out, stayed on under pressure from last, took 4th towards finish, never nearer BF IP MIN 42 BF IP MAX 950
205th0.5Flying Angel (IRE)8142Twiston-Davies, N ATwiston-Davies, Sam25/138.008.68
mid-division on inside, driven after 4 out, kept on under pressure from 2 out, never reached leaders BF IP MIN 10 BF IP MAX 370
56thHDActivial (FR)9151George, T RScudamore, Tom40/185.0015.00
led 2nd to 5th, remained prominent, driven after 3 out, kept on same pace from next, no impression BF IP MIN 13 BF IP MAX 1000
87th4Magic Of Light (IRE)8151Harrington, Mrs JohnPower, R M25/129.365.35
in touch, outpaced 3 out, never able to get on terms BF IP MIN 9 BF IP MAX 1000
148th3.75Up For Review (IRE)10146Mullins, W PTownend, P8/1 (CFav)12.003.67
mid-division, headway when hit 12th, every chance when mistake 3 out, outpaced next, weakened last BF IP MIN 2.08 BF IP MAX 1000
229th1.75Oldgrangewood8140Skelton, DanielAndrews, Bridget66/1170.0021.68
towards rear, struggling 16th, never a threat BF IP MIN 160 BF IP MAX 1000
1010thNSENoble Endeavor (IRE)10150Elliott, GordonRussell, D N14/116.004.50
mid-division, outpaced 3 out, never threatened leaders BF IP MIN 11 BF IP MAX 1000
1111th4.5Crucial Role7150Skelton, DanielSkelton, Harry16/121.005.17
mid-division, mistake 4th, ridden after 3 out, soon weakened BF IP MIN 18 BF IP MAX 950
312th1O O Seven (IRE)9152Henderson, N JBoinville, Nico50/184.9415.80
mid-division on outside, headway 4th, led next, driven and headed 2 out, weakened after last BF IP MIN 5 BF IP MAX 1000
1313th20Singlefarmpayment9146George, T RFehily, Noel10/114.503.88
always behind, weakened 3 out, hampered last, tailed off BF IP MIN 11 BF IP MAX 1000
15FGive Me A Copper (IRE)9145Nicholls, P FCobden, Harry9/113.434.30
mid-division, headway 16th, driven and outpaced after 3 out, never reached leaders, beaten when fell last BF IP MIN 9 BF IP MAX 1000
21PUShantou Village (IRE)9142Mulholland, N PDunne, R T40/142.3914.00
chased leaders on inside, lost place after 4 out, weakened next, behind when pulled up before next BF IP MIN 36 BF IP MAX 1000
6PUMister Whitaker (IRE)7151Channon, M RHughes, Brian8/1 (CFav)11.593.40
held up, always towards rear, weakened 3 out, pulled up before next BF IP MIN 11 BF IP MAX 1000
23PUCatamaran Du Seuil (FR)7140Newland, Dr R D PHammond, Charlie (5)50/180.0018.90
behind, headway into mid-division 12th, reminders after 16th, weakened before 3 out, behind when pulled up before next BF IP MIN 55 BF IP MAX 1000
9PURoyal Vacation (IRE)9151Tizzard, C LColeman, A33/150.008.34
towards rear of mid-division, behind from 10th, tailed off when pulled up before 4 out BF IP MIN 50 BF IP MAX 1000
12PUCalipto (FR)9148Williams, Miss VenetiaDeutsch, Charlie14/121.025.50
always behind, weakened 3 out, pulled up before next BF IP MIN 17.5 BF IP MAX 1000
16PUCoo Star Sivola (FR)7145Williams, NickKelly, Lizzie (3)8/1 (CFav)10.153.41
tracked leaders, lost place after 4 out, weakened after next, behind when pulled up before last BF IP MIN 7.2 BF IP MAX 580
18PUGeneral Principle (IRE)10144Elliott, GordonKennedy, J W14/118.004.52
in touch, blundered and lost place 15th, weakened after 3 out, behind when hampered and pulled up after last BF IP MIN 9.6 BF IP MAX 1000
2PUSizing Codelco (IRE)10154Tizzard, C LOBrien, T J66/1189.3222.49
mid-division, behind when jumped slowly 14th (water), tailed off when pulled up before 3 out BF IP MIN 190 BF IP MAX 1000
19PUWillie Boy (IRE)8144Longsdon, C EBurke, Jonathan50/1153.1416.93
in touch on outside, headway 15th, never reached leaders, weakened after 3 out, behind when pulled up before last BF IP MIN 25 BF IP MAX 1000
4PUMinella Rocco (IRE)9152ONeill, JonjoMcLernon, R P14/125.854.89
always towards rear, pulled up after 8th BF IP MIN 24 BF IP MAX 1000
Ballymore Novices Hurdle Previous Winners
DateGoingRunnersWinnerStallionAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOdds
Soft1264/7
Soft1668/1
Soft1468/11
Good To Soft15614/1
Good1163/1
Good1069/2
Good1566/4
Good To Soft857/2
Good1762/1
Good1267/1
Good1757/1
Good To Soft1455/2
Good To Soft1567/1
Good To Soft15620/1
Good17517/2
Good20517/2
Good15612/1
Good1966/1
Good To Soft27612/1
Good1465/4
Good To Soft1862/1
Good1872/1
Good To Firm1756/5

 

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Over the years, Keith has been a regular at the northern tracks attending countless race meetings and building up a network of contacts, and a portfolio of systems and strategies. 

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Cheltenham Festival Wednesday

Race Schedule

START TIMESRACEDISTANCETYPE
13:30The Ballymore Novices' Hurdle Race2m abt 5fHurdle
14:10The Festival Novices’ Chase (RSA Chase) (Grade 1)3m abt ½ fChase
14:50The Coral Cup Hurdle (A Handicap Hurdle Race) (Grade 3)2m abt 5fHurdle
15:30The Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase (Grade 1)
(feature race)
Abt 2mChase
16:10The Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase3m 6fChase
16:50The Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Handicap Steeple Chase Challenge Cup (Grade 3)2m abt ½fChase
17.30The Weatherbys Champion Bumper (A Standard Open NH Flat Race) (Grade 1)2m abt ½fBumper

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