Prince of Wales’ Stakes Tips – Royal Ascot 2022

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When is the Prince of Wales’ Stakes at Royal Ascot 2022?

Royal Ascot Wednesday 15th June at 4.20pm
The Prince of Wales’ Stakes (Group 1)
Age: 4yo+
Distance: One mile two furlongs
Weights – 9st 0lbs (3lb allowance for fillies and mares, 1lb allowance for S Hemisphere 4yo)
Prize: £750,000

Crystal Ocean winning the 2019 Prince Of Wales' Stakes at Royal Ascot
History of the Prince of Wales’ Stakes race at Royal Ascot
The Prince of Wales’ Stakes was established in 1862 and named in honour of the then Prince of Wales who later became King Edward VII. The original race was over one mile and five furlongs and restricted to three-year-olds. Interestingly, there was no race from 1940 to 1967, due to there not being a Prince of Wales, and it was only to return in 1968 when Prince Charles’ investiture to the title of Prince of Wales.

Originally open to 3-year-olds +, and run over 1m5f, the race was reduced to 1m2f in 1968. The Prince of Wales’ Stakes was restricted to 4-year-olds and upgraded to Group 1 status in 2000 when Dubai Millennium was to win the first outing as a Group 1 race.

Since the changes in 2000, Frankie Dettori has been the most successful jockey with four wins. Training honours go to Saeed Bin Suroor and Sir Michael Stoute with four wins apiece.

Royal Ascot Prince of Wales’ Stakes Trends and Statistics

Here are the Prince of Wales' Stakes 12 year Trends and Statistics 2009 – 2020

  • Age – Eleven of the last twelve winners were aged either four or five.
  • Sex – The male sex has dominated this race in the last twelve years with five colts, five horses, one gelding and just one mare winning. That mare win, however, came from just three runners.
  • Country – Five Irish bred horses and five horses bred in Great Britain have won in the last twelve years the other races were won by a French-bred and a New Zealand bred.
  • Colour – Ten have the last twelve winners have been bay (b) one has been bay/brown (b/br) and the other one chestnut.
  • Starting Price (SP) – Ten of the last twelve winners have returned a SP of 11/2 or less.
  • Starting Price Rank – Eleven of the last twelve winners have been in the first three in the betting market.
  • Headgear – None of the last twelve winners wore any headgear. 
  • Draw – Eleven of the last twelve winners have been drawn in stall 7 or lower the most popular stalls being 6 and 7 with three wins apiece.
  • Last Run Form – Eight of the last twelve winners won on their most recent run. 
  • Days Since Last Run – Eleven of the last twelve winners ran between 10 and 81 days ago
  • Distance Form – Ten of the last twelve winners had at least one win over one mile two furlongs.
  • Flat Form – Ten of the last twelve winners had at least 8 previous flat runs and at least 4 previous flat wins.
  • Official Rating – Eleven of he last twelve winners had an official rating of between 117 and 125. All of those eleven were ranked in top four ratings for the race. 
  • Group Wins –  All twelve winners had at least 1 previous win in a Group race, with seven of them having won a Group 1.
  • Current Season Form – Eleven of the last twelve winners had at least one run in the current season, ten of them had won at least once during the season.
Recent Winners of The Prince of Wales’ Stakes

 

DateGoingRunnersWinnerAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOddsDays
Good To Firm6411/10300d
Good745/110d
Soft853/132d
Good To Firm7511/227d
Good To Firm859/419d
Soft6416/154d
Good To Firm945/2242d
Good To Firm8511/2284d
Good To Firm11511/424d
Good1164/524d
Good7417/2277d
Good To Firm1245/2
Good To Firm844/1
Good To Firm124Evens24d
Good6515/862d
Good To Firm758/119d
Good To Firm8411/824d
Good To Firm1053/1242d
Good To Firm1055/1302d
Good To Firm1244/1270d
Good To Firm95100/3024d
Good To Firm645/4269d
Good To Firm8420/110d
Good To Soft8411/226d
Good644/1121d

 

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What's Our Prince of Wales’ Stakes Tips for Royal Ascot?

We've been studying the cards, form, stats, trends and more for the Prince of Wales' Stakes at Royal Ascot, and here's our thoughts ahead of the race:

John and Thady Gosden and Aiden O’Brien have won 4 of the last 10 renewals of this race and they both have a strong hand with Lord North and Love heading up the ante-post market. Lord North is the current market favourite at a best price of 9/4 and won the race last year in impressive fashion, beating Addeybb by four lengths. They have gone on to win a huge prize at the Dubai World Cup in March, winning a Group 1 over 1m 1f fairly comfortably as well and rightfully sit at the top of the market this time around. Love does hold an entry in the Queen Anne also, but they are much shorter for this race so it looks like we will get a match-up between the two stable stars. Love is the superstar filly for Aiden O'Brien's yard now that Magical is retired and the potential for this 4-year-old is huge after her achievements so far. After an unbeaten season last year. winning the Guineas, the Oaks and the Yorkshire Oaks, it’s going to be fascinating to see how she does now as a 4-year-old.

These two horses are particularly difficult to oppose and from a betting perspective they are not really appealing at the prices.Alternative value might be found further down the market and another Aiden O’Brien mount perhaps makes some each way appeal. Over ten furlongs Broome is unbeaten in five starts and deserves some respect in this race and certainly makes some appeal at a best price of 14/1. They are targeting the Tattersalls Gold Cup at the Curragh and the Coronation Cup at Epsom before this race, so it’s worth following progress as that price could shorten with a decent showing in those races.

Our Antepost Bet:

  • Broome 0.5pts each way 14/1

On the day:

LOVE 4.20 – Ascot (4/5) – Has developed into a high-class filly last season, unbeaten in the 1000 Guineas, Oaks and Yorkshire Oaks. After a 10-month absence there’s an obvious concern, but she still has the most class in this field.

The way the betting market is shaping up Aiden O'Brien's JAPAN is the likeliest favourite, his Juddmont International win and fourth place in the Prix de L'Arc de Triumph brings solid Group 1 form to the table. Godolphin have BARNEY ROY in the race but despite a pair of Group race wins in Meydan in the spring he may find this company too hot and the 1m 2f too far. HEADMAN is another in with a shout his winning form in a pair of French Group 2's is pretty robust but he is held by the O'Brien second string MAGICAL who trounced him in the Irish Champion Stakes. Finally, I have to mention last year's Wolferton Stakes winner ADDEYBB who landed a pair of Group 1's on his Australian raid in March and April and will have every chance if the going is softer than ideal.

Keith's final choice

JAPAN 15:00 Ascot 5/4 – My bet of the week, I can't believe he is available at 5/4 when he is odds on in my book. Equine royalty who just failed in last years Derby before winning the King Edward VII here then went on to Group 1 Glory at Longchamp and York. ADDEYBB will probably be best of the rest in the conditions forecast.

How it fared

JAPAN 4th started slowly and used a bit of energy getting in touch. Every chance 2f out, ridden and unable to quicken over 1f out, weakened towards finish .

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This is what Keith said about the 2019 Prince of Wales' Stakes:

 

Leading Contenders

ENABLE 9/4 – Every superlative known to man has been used to describe this superstar of the turf. She has won eight of her nine races including the Oaks, a King George VI AND Queen Elizabeth Stakes, two Arcs and a Breeders Cup. Needs further than this one mile two furlongs and is more likely to be routed to the Hardwicke later in the week. 

SEA OF CLASS 3/1 – Dual Group 1 winner last season including the Irish Oaks. Very narrowly beaten by ENABLE in the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe in October. 

MAGICAL 5/1 – Leading player won the Fillies and Mares here on Champion’s day. Not far behind Enable in the Breeders Cup. Has got this year’s campaign off to a good start winning a pair of Irish Group races over this trip. 

CRYSTAL OCEAN 6/1 – Very classy has never finished out of the frame in thirteen starts. Won the Hardwicke Stakes at last year’s Royal Meeting but always seems to find one too good for her at Group 1 level.  

My selection for this race is SEA OF CLASS 3/1. Top class filly who will be a force to be reckoned with in all the major middle-distance races this year.

Who is our Antepost Tipster for Royal Ascot?

Our Royal Ascot Antepost tips is brought to you by one of our panel of professional tipsters.  Meet Aaron Gibbons who runs the AG Tips service on Tipsterr.

Aaron is a professional horse racing tipster specialising mainly in UK and Irish horse racing. I use my own methods to price up horse races independently and compare those prices against the market to identify the best each way value. I launched my AG Tips service on Tipstrr back in June 2019, since when I have provided over 1400 selections that have produced an overall long-term profit of 335 units, equating to a 23.5% ROI.

What our members tipped in the Prince of Wales’ Stakes

Each day we ask our members to select their Pick 6, their NAP for each race of the day.  We then collate all the picks, and present the top selections to our VIP members.  Here's how it went for the Prince of Wales’ Stakes:

Lord North was leading the selections early on but with now being withdrawn, it's all eyes on LOVE here with 42.5% on Pick 6.

Armory the next best with 9.6% and both Sangarius & Audarya on 5.5%.

Won the King Edward VII Stakes here at Royal Ascot last year and it’s Japan that gets well over 50% of the selections. Addeybb the next best with 17% and especially as he likes the soft ground.

Huge race this and pretty much between the three horses – Magical, Crystal Ocean & Sea of Class.  It’s Magical though leading the pack with almost 40% of the vote and hopefully a Magical afternoon!   Crystal Ocean in 2nd and Sea of Class in 3rd.

Royal Ascot Prince of Wales’ Stakes Results

1 Love 11/10F
2 Audarya 10/1
3 Armory 5/2
6 ran

1 Lord North 5/1
2. Addeybb 7/2
3 Barney Roy 8/1
7 ran

1 Crystal Ocean 3/1
2 Magical 13/8F
3 Waldgeist 4/1
8 ran Distances: 1¼l, 3¼l, 2l

 

Our Verdict:

Crystal Ocean under Frankie Dettori remained ahead of Magical throughout the race, and found a strong finish saw it beat Magical by over a length much to the punters regret. Keith’s Sea of Class just didn’t like the conditions at Royal Ascot, the pouring rain saw a 5th place finish, but was never amongst it.

Prince Of Waless Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series)
Distance: 1m2f (2192 yards +11 yards rails adjustment) Prize (winner): £396970 Dir: Right Handed
Runners: 6    Going: Good To Firm    Class: Class 1 Group 1    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 2 mins 6.86s   Avg OR: 116     Median OR: 115.5     Stalls: Inside

NoPlaceDist BtStallHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
71st6Love (IRE)4122OBrien, A PMoore, Ryan11/10 (Fav)2.321.60
made all, set steady pace until pushed along and quickened over 2f out, ridden and strongly pressed 1f out, stayed on gamely, driven out BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 5.4
62nd0.751Audarya (FR)5117Fanshawe, J RBuick, William10/113.504.50
tracked leaders on inside and bit keen, switched left and headway out wide 3f out, went 2nd 2f out ridden and stayed on gamely final furlong, just held BF IP MIN 2.52 BF IP MAX 1000
13rd0.753Armory (IRE)4120OBrien, A PHeffernan, J A5/23.601.82
steadied start, held up 5th and bit keen, headway chasing leaders over 2f out, went 3rd inside final 2f, ridden and and one pace over 1f out, stayed on but not pace to challenge BF IP MIN 1.5 BF IP MAX 1000
44th1.755My Oberon (IRE)4114Haggas, W JMarquand, Tom17/211.004.10
tracked winner until pushed along over 2f out, soon unable to quicken, plugged on in 4th BF IP MIN 7 BF IP MAX 1000
25th1.252Desert Encounter (IRE)9111Simcock, D MAtzeni, Andrea25/133.9910.00
held up last, pushed along over 2f out, switched left and plugged on in modest 5th from over 1f out, never a threat BF IP MIN 32 BF IP MAX 1000
56th5.57Sangarius5112Stoute, Sir MichaelKeane, C T9/110.684.00
tracked leading pair, went 2nd over 2f out until 2f out, lost 3rd inside final 2f, weakened over 1f out BF IP MIN 5 BF IP MAX 1000

Prince Of Waless Stakes (Group 1)
Distance: 1m2f (2192 yards +11 yards rails adjustment) Prize (winner): £148000 Dir: Right Handed
Runners: 7    Going: Good    Class: Class 1 Group 1    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 2 mins 5.63s   Avg OR: 116     Median OR: 115     Stalls: Inside

NoPlaceDist BtStallHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
61st7Lord North (IRE)4112Gosden, John and ThadyDoyle, James5/16.602.75
raced keenly, held up in last pair, headway when not clear run and switched left over 2f out, chased leaders over 1f out, quickened to lead inside final furlong, soon clear BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 7.6
12nd3.756Addeybb (IRE)6122Haggas, W JMarquand, Tom7/25.002.49
tracked leader, challenged 2f out, ridden to lead over 1f out, headed entering final furlong, soon outpaced and no chance with winner BF IP MIN 2.24 BF IP MAX 1000
33rd1.251Barney Roy6116Appleby, CharlieBuick, William8/111.054.60
wore hood to post, held up and bit keen tracking leaders, pushed along 3f out, headway on outside over 2f out, soon ridden not quicken and wandered, stayed on into 3rd towards finish BF IP MIN 7.6 BF IP MAX 1000
54th0.55Japan4122OBrien, A PMoore, Ryan6/4 (Fav)2.721.83
dwelt, soon tracking leaders on outside, pushed along to challenge 2f out, ridden and unable to quicken over 1f out, weakened towards finish BF IP MIN 2.72 BF IP MAX 1000
25thNSE2Bangkok (IRE)4114Balding, A MSousa, Silvestre De25/126.9910.00
led, joined 2f out, headed over 1f out, chased leaders, weakened towards finish BF IP MIN 5.1 BF IP MAX 1000
76thNK4Mehdaayih4113Gosden, John and ThadyDettori, L11/112.305.00
wore hood to post, raced keenly in 5th on inside, bit closer halfway, switched left chasing leaders over 2f out, ridden and not quicken over 1f out, weakened towards finish BF IP MIN 3 BF IP MAX 1000
47th4.253Headman4115Charlton, RWatson, Jason9/111.504.60
pulled hard early, soon held up in rear, headway on wide outside over 2f out, weakened over 1f out BF IP MIN 7 BF IP MAX 1000
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