Hardwicke Stakes Tips – Royal Ascot 2022

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Hardwicke Stakes tips

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When is the Hardwicke Stakes at Royal Ascot?

Royal Ascot Saturday 18th June 3.40pm
The Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2)
Age: 4yo+
Distance: One mile four furlongs
Weights – 9st 0lbs (3lbs allowance for fillies & mares)
Prize: £225,000

History of the Hardwicke Stakes race at Royal Ascot
First run in 1879 and named after the 5th Earl of Hardwicke. Horses that run well in this race often return to Ascot in July to run in the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes. The first horse to do the double was Aureole in 1954, and the most recent was Harbinger in 2010.

Leading jockeys both with seven wins are Lester Piggott and Pat Eddery.

The most successful trainer with an amazing eleven wins to date is Sir Michael Stoute who first saddled the winner in 1986 and his most recent was Crystal Ocean in 2018.

Royal Ascot Hardwicke Stakes Trends and Statistics
Here are the Hardwicke Stakes 12 year Trends and Statistics:

  • Age – Eleven of the last twelve winners were aged four the other one was five.
  • Sex – Eleven of the last twelve winners were colts and the other winner a gelding. Mini angle: those colt wins have come from 49 runners a stike rate of 22.45% and a SP profit of £12.59 to level £1 stakes a ROI of 125..69%.
  • Country – Six of the last twelve winners were bred in Great Britain, four in Ireland and two in the USA.
  • Colour – Nine of the last twelve winners were bay (b), two ere brown (br) and one brown/grey (br/gr).
  • Starting Price (SP) – Ten of the last twelve winners have returned a SP of 8/1 or less.
  • Starting Price Rank – Seven of the last twelve winners were the SP favourite and eleven came from the first four in the betting.
  • Headgear – None of the last twelve winners wore any headgear.
  • Draw – All of the last twelve winners have been drawn between stalls 2 and nine.
  • Last Run Form – Eleven of the last twelve winners finished in the first three on their latest run, seven of them won. 
  • Day’s Since Last Run – All of the last twelve winners had their last run within 49 days.
  • Course Form – Six of the last twelve winners had at least one previous run at Ascot, just two of them had a previous win at Ascot.
  • Distance Form – Ten of the last twelve winners had at least two previous runs over one mile four furlongs and at least one win over the distance.
  • Flat Form – Eleven of the last twelve winners had at least seven flat runs. Ten of the last twelve winners had at least three previous flat wins.
  • Official Rating – All of the last twelve winners had a rating of 111 or higher.
  • Group Wins – All of the last twelve winners had at least one win in a Group race.
  • Current Season Form – All of the last twelve winners had at least one run in the current season, nine of them had at least 1 win that season.
Recent Winners of Hardwicke Stakes
DateGoingRunnersWinnerAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOddsDays
Soft1045/1245d
Soft9417/212d
Good8511/422d
Good To Firm544/735d
Good To Firm1249/222d
Good To Soft9410/143d
Good To Firm7412/136d
Good To Firm1047/444d
Good To Firm848/142d
Good To Soft1243/128d
Soft944/644d
Good To Firm1148/1143d
Good To Firm948/149d
Good To Firm9411/815d
Good To Soft76100/3022d
Good To Firm859/244d
Firm6610/115d
Firm646/515d
Firm9514/125d
Good To Firm764/115d
Good To Firm7412/134d
Good To Firm959/2335d
Good To Firm8412/114d
Good To Soft7615/214d
Good1046/124d

 

 

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What's Our Hardwicke Stakes Tips for Royal Ascot?

We've been studying the cards, form, stats, trends and more for the Hardwicke Stakes at Royal Ascot, and here's our thoughts ahead of the race:

Eight of the last 12 winners of this race began the day in the top three of the betting and Hukum is likely to start as the favourite for this year’s renewal.
He was very impressive in the Tapster Stakes and also has previous Royal Ascot winning form. He was successful in the King George V Stakes which is competed over the same distance.

After suffering a barren 2020, Aidan O’Brien’s Japan got off the mark for 2021 in the Ormonde Stakes at Chester.

However, stablemate Mogul could be worth backing having impressed abroad. He was successful at Sha Tin in Hong Kong and was successful in a Group 1 at Longchamp last season. 

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On the day:

ILARAAB 3.40 – Ascot (7/1) – Has been highly progressive in 2020, winning 5 times. Then he picked up where he left off to land Jorvik Handicap on return at York last month and made his record 6 wins from the last 7. Likely more to come again and is a serious player.

This field absolutely oozes quality with last years Derby winner and FRT tip ANTHONY VAN DYKE heading the betting. My favourite horse in training ELARQAM also lines up and other leading contenders are DEFOE and FANNY LOGAN.

Keith's final choice

15:00 ANTHONY VAN DYCK 3/1 – What a race in prospect. It is hard to dismiss anything and as you know I just love ELARQAM but this trip is unknown (although I will be having a bet on him too for old times sake). MORANDO has popped out of the notebook, more about that below. FANNY LOGAN is smart but may be found wanting against the boys. Last years winner DEFOE could well bounce right back to form. My selection though is last year's Derby winner ANTHONY VAN DYCK who ran well when second in the Coronation Cup two weeks ago and should be teed up for this race.

How it fared

ANTHONY VAN DYCK 5th – ADV managed to get a slightly boxed in by Ryan Moore then had a bit of argie bargie when DEFOE who finished third shut the door. Take nothing away from FANNY LOGAN she won well under a fine ride by Frankie Dettori.

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This is what Keith said about the 2019 Hardwicke Stakes:

Leading Contenders
CRYSTAL OCEAN 6/4 – Very classy. Has never finished out of the frame in thirteen starts. Won this race last year.
ENABLE 6/1 – Every superlative known to man has been used to describe this superstar of the turf. She has won eight of her nine races including the Oaks, a King George VI AND Queen Elizabeth Stakes, two Arcs and a Breeders Cup.
SOUTHERN FRANCE 6/1 – Third in last years St Leger and took a significant step forward when runner up to STRADIVARIOUS at York. May find this trip a little on the sharp side.
MASAR 6/1 – Not seen since winning last year’s Derby , but is reportedly working well at home. Will need to be at his best if all of these turn up for the race.

This is what Keith tipped at Ante Post: Last years winner CRYSTAL OCEAN has been installed favourite and could well win again but despite his amazing record he has always been found wanting against top class opposition. I am hoping that ENABLE 6/1 will take up this engagement and she is the one for me.

On the day Keith looked for value and tipped a 14/1 each way shout in the form of SANDS OF MALI

What our members tipped in the 2019 Hardwicke Stakes
Each day we ask our members to select their Pick 6, their NAP for each race of the day.  We then collate all the picks, and present the top selections to our VIP members.  Here's how it went for the Hardwicke Stakes 2019:

Frankie Dettori’s ride Lah Ti Dar is now a non runner and a fair bit of support for it with 21.4%.  It’s between Defoe and Masar now with Defoe just edging it with 24% of the selections.

Royal Ascot Hardwicke Stakes Results

1 Wonderful Tonight 5/1
2 Broome 9/4F
3 Hukum 8/1
10 ran

1 Fanny Logan 17/2
2 Alounak 40/1
3 Defoe 6/1
9 ran NR: Desert Encounter, Spanish Mission
Distances: 2½l, 1¾l, ½l Time: 2m 34.49s (slow by 5.99s)

1 Defoe 11/4F
2 Nagano Gold 25/1
3 Mirage Dancer 6/1
8 ran NR: Lah Ti Dar Distances: ½l, 1l, 3l
Time: 2m 31.09s (slow by 2.59s)

Our Verdict

The gamble for Keith didn’t pay off, it’s always tricky when you go against the favourite to find value. Our members chose the favourite and the winner DEFOE though 11/4 is quite short, Nagano Gold nearly managed to beat the favourite, and was beaten by just half a length.

Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2)
Distance: 1m4f (2631 yards) Prize (winner): £90736 Dir: Right Handed
Runners: 10    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Group 2    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 2 mins 35.31s   Avg OR: 113     Median OR: 113.5     Stalls: Inside

NoPlaceDist BtStallHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
151st11Wonderful Tonight (FR)4117Menuisier, DavidBuick, William5/17.002.49
raced keenly tracking leaders, smooth headway out wide and bumped over 2f out, led 2f out, ridden quickened and went clear over 1f out, stayed on strongly BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 16
22nd1.59Broome (IRE)5115OBrien, A PMoore, Ryan9/4 (Fav)3.851.68
raced out wide in mid-division, pushed along over 3f out, headway out wide chasing leaders over 2f out, went 2nd final 110 yards and stayed on, never going pace to reach winner BF IP MIN 3.55 BF IP MAX 1000
53rd1.56Hukum (IRE)4114Burrows, OwenCrowley, Jim8/110.503.00
tracked leaders on inside, led approaching final 2f until 2f out, chased winner, one pace and well held when lost 2nd final 110 yards, plugged on in 3rd BF IP MIN 4 BF IP MAX 1000
124th2.514Thunderous (IRE)4109Johnston, MKingscote, Richard40/149.4610.50
pressed leader, until ridden over 2f out, plugged on final furlong BF IP MIN 21 BF IP MAX 1000
145th0.52Albaflora4113Beckett, R MDoyle, James13/27.602.70
mid-division, headway on inside chasing leaders and pushed along over 2f out, plugged on final furlong BF IP MIN 6.2 BF IP MAX 1000
76th1.2512Japan5117OBrien, A PLordan, W M11/114.043.65
held up towards rear, headway out wide and hung right over 2f out, weakened inside final 2f BF IP MIN 3.5 BF IP MAX 1000
117thNSE5Sir Ron Priestley5116Johnston, MNorton, Francis14/117.004.30
led but pressed, ridden and headed approaching final furlong, weakened final furlong BF IP MIN 9 BF IP MAX 1000
68th0.510Ilaraab (IRE)4111Haggas, W JMarquand, Tom4/15.601.90
held up towards rear on inside, headway over 2f out, weakened inside final 2f BF IP MIN 5.3 BF IP MAX 1000
49th2.758Highest Ground (IRE)4109Stoute, Sir MichaelMurphy, Oisin22/133.938.40
slowly into stride, held up in last pair, never on terms BF IP MIN 16 BF IP MAX 1000
310th267Deja (FR)6108Chapple-Hyam, P WEgan, David80/1116.3116.57
always in rear, never a factor, tailed off BF IP MIN 75 BF IP MAX 1000

Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2)
Distance: 1m4f (2631 yards) Prize (winner): £74000 Dir: Right Handed
Runners: 9    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Group 2    Age Restrictions: 4yo+
Winners Time: 2 mins 34.49s   Avg OR: 114     Median OR: 114     Stalls: Inside

NoPlaceDist BtStallHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
111st8Fanny Logan (IRE)4109Gosden, John and ThadyDettori, L17/211.083.05
raced quite keenly, held up towards rear, headway on outside over 2f out, led over 1f out, edged right, clear inside final furlong, pushed out BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 26
12nd2.51Alounak (FR)5110Balding, A MMurphy, Oisin40/154.5911.50
chased leader until over 3f out, not clear run and switched right over 2f out, squeezed through on inside over 1f out, went 2nd inside final furlong, kept on, no impression on winner BF IP MIN 12 BF IP MAX 1000
43rd1.755Defoe (IRE)6117Varian, RogerAtzeni, Andrea6/18.002.24
mid-division, pushed along to close over 3f out, edged right and held in rival over 2f out, hung right over 1f out, went 3rd well inside final furlong, kept on BF IP MIN 4 BF IP MAX 1000
84th0.59Hamish4108Haggas, W JDoyle, James6/18.372.31
held up in rear, pushed along 3f out, switched right and headway inside final furlong, stayed on, never nearer BF IP MIN 5.5 BF IP MAX 1000
25thHD6Anthony Van Dyck (IRE)4121OBrien, A PMoore, Ryan9/4 (Fav)3.571.63
chased leaders on inside, held in by rival over 2f out, not able to quicken over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong, no impression BF IP MIN 3.1 BF IP MAX 1000
76thSH7Elarqam5120Johnston, MCrowley, Jim11/44.201.71
chased leaders, went 2nd over 3f out, led over 2f out, headed over 1f out, fading inside final 100 yards BF IP MIN 2.12 BF IP MAX 1000
97th0.511Morando (FR)7116Balding, A MSousa, Silvestre De7/19.292.54
held up towards rear, pushed along 4f out, headway and switched left over 2f out, headway over 1f out, stayed on same pace inside final furlong BF IP MIN 7.6 BF IP MAX 1000
38th510Communique (IRE)5115Johnston, MFanning, Joe40/160.009.71
led, headed over 2f out, not much room over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong BF IP MIN 30 BF IP MAX 1000
69th113Eagles By Day (IRE)4108Bell, M L WTudhope, Daniel80/1138.0517.00
last to break, held up towards rear, some headway on inside over 3f out, soon ridden, no impression final 2f BF IP MIN 50 BF IP MAX 1000

Non Runners  Desert Encounter (IRE), Spanish Mission (USA)

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