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Duke of Cambridge Stakes Tips – Royal Ascot 2021

FREE professional horse racing tips for  Royal Ascot 2021.

Get Professional Tipster Keith Bond's FREE Royal Ascot Tips For All 36 Races.

Get Professional Tipster Keith Bond's FREE Royal Ascot Tips For All 36 Races.

Duke of Cambridge Stakes Tips

View Keith's tips for the Duke of Cambridge Stakes

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When is the Duke of Cambridge Stakes at Royal Ascot 2020?

Royal Ascot Tuesday 16th June 4.10pm
The Duke of Cambridge Stakes (Group 2)
Age: 4yo+ fillies & mares
Distance: One mile
Weights – 9st 0lbs Penalties – 5lbs for Group 1 winners, 3lbs for Group 2 winners
Prize: £175,000

Crystal Ocean winning the 2019 Prince Of Wales' Stakes at Royal Ascot

History of the Duke of Cambridge Stakes race at Royal Ascot

Originally the Windsor Forest Stakes, this race was established in 2004 for older fillies and mares as an incentive to keep them racing. In 2014, the race was renamed the Duke of Cambridge Stakes in honour of Prince William, Duke of Cambridge.

In its relatively short history, the Duke of Cambridge Stakes has heralded three jockeys who have won the race twice each, Wayne Lordan, Ryan Moore, and William Buick.

The Leading Trainer is Sir Michael Stoute with four wins the most recent being INTEGRAL in 2014 under Ryan Moore.

Royal Ascot Duke of Cambridge Stakes Trends and Statistics

Here are the Duke of Cambridge Stakes 12 year Trends and Statistics 2009 – 2020.

  • Age – Eleven of the last twelve winners were aged four the other one was five.
  • Sex – Restricted to fillies and mares, there have been eleven winning fillies in the last twelve years.
  • Country – Over the last twelve years, seven horses bred in Great Britain and five bred in Ireland have won.
  • Colour – Domination again by bays (b) who have won nine of the twelve renewals the other three winners were two greys (gr) and a chestnut (ch).
  • Starting Price (SP) – Seven of the last twelve winners returned a SP of 9/2 or less and the other five were between 9/1 and 25/1.
  • Starting Price Rank – Six of the last twelve winners were in the top two in the betting but all of them came from the top six in the betting.
  • Headgear – Ten of the last ten winners wore no headgear. One winner wore blinkers and the other one a hood. 
  • Draw – No winner has been drawn higher than 11 in the last twelve years.
  • Last Run Form – All of the last twelve winners finished in the first three on their last run.
  • Days since last run – Eleven of them had run between 11 and 54 days ago
  • Course Form – Nine of the last twelve winners had at least one previous run at Ascot. Three of the last twelve winners had at least one previous win at Ascot.
  • Distance Form – All of the last twelve winners had at least two previous runs over one mile, ten of them had at least one previous win over one mile.
  • Flat Form – All of the last twelve winners had at least six previous flat runs and ten of them at least three previous flat wins.
  • Official Rating – All of the last twelve winners had a rating of between 104 and 117 with six of them rated 112 or higher.
  • Group Wins – Eleven of the last twelve winners had at least one previous win in a group race.
  • Current Season Form – Eleven of the last twelve winners had at least one run during the current season, six of them had won at least once during the season.

Recent Winners of The Duke of Cambridge Stakes

The runners in the Duke of Cambridge Stakes

NoHorseAgeLR2LR3LRSPDHRSFRNOdds
8Nazeef4115989580224173/1
7Miss O Connor (IRE)5106959276203959/2
2Agincourt (IRE)577104111821439133/1
5Jubiloso461998487213584/1
10Queen Power (IRE)487639080213457/1
1Magic Lily5757391861434210/1
9Posted490828181434133/1
4Invitational497886275733216/1
6Lavenders Blue (IRE)4791004283133216/1
3Iconic Choice4745655819277100/1
11Wasmya (FR)40000038/1

What's Keith's Duke of Cambridge Stakes Tips for Royal Ascot 2020?

Keith Bond is our resident pro tipster here at FRT Towers.  He's been studying the cards, form, stats, trends and more for the Duke of Cambridge Stakes at Royal Ascot, and here's his thoughts ahead of the race:

Horses at the head of the market tend to shine in this race and the ones to concentrate on are Newcastle Listed winner NAZEEF, JUBILOSO who has Group 3 placed form, Miss O'CONNOR Group 2 winner last Autumn and LAVENDERS BLUE.
Keith's final choice

16:10 NAZEEF 100/30 – My initial selection for this race was going to be MISS O CONNOR but she was scratched this morning so I had to have a rethink. I narrowed it down to JUBILOSO and NAZEEF but plumped for the latter because of the good recent win which was cosier than the bare result suggests.

How it fared

NAZEEF Won – Swooped late got up on the line but the photograph was just a formality the result was never in doubt.

To be certain of getting Keith's final thoughts on every Royal Ascot race, make sure you have joined the FRT VIP Club.

This is what Keith said about the 2019 Duke of Cambridge Stakes:

 Leading Contenders

I CAN FLY 3/1  – Second to ROARING LION in the Queen Elizabeth II on Champions Day in October that was on soft going. Only win this season has come on the All Weather at Dundalk. Struggled in top company since both in Meydan and at Newmarket in the Lochinge. Will be better if there is rain.

VERACIOUS 3/1  – Group 3 winner last season. Shaped up like she needed the run first time out this season in the Dahlia Stakes at Newmarket. Will strip fitter for the run and should be involved.

RAWDAA 7/2  – Was handicapping last season but has stepped up to Class 1 races this year. Gave LAH TI DAH a scare when chasing her home in the Group 2 Middleton at York. Further progression will put her right on the premises in this.

PRETTY BABY 6/1  – Has won back to back Group 3 races over seven furlongs. Goes on any going. Every chance if handling this extra furlong.

Despite the lack of a Group race win the stand out filly in this race for me is RAWDAA 7/2. She is sure to improve again after that fine run behind LAH TI DAH at York.

What our members tipped in the Duke of Cambridge Stakes

Each day we ask our members to select their Pick 6, their NAP for each race of the day.  We then collate all the picks, and present the top selections to our VIP members.  This is our member's selection for the Duke of Cambridge Stakes:

The final race of our Pick 6, and the penultimate of the day, sees quite a mixed bag of selections, but Jim Crowley’s ride Nazeef gets the nod here with 23.7%. Jubiloso and Magic Lily pretty much neck & neck for 2nd and 3rd place with 15% of the selections each.

21% of our members believed I Can Fly can fly during this race and pipped Rawdaa (17.4%) and Pretty Baby (16.3%).

Royal Ascot Duke of Cambridge Stakes Results

1 Nazeef 10/3
2 Agincourt 28/1
3 Queen Power 3/1JF
10 ran NR: Miss O Connor Distances: hd, 2½l, 2½l
Time: 1m 40.57s (slow by 1.97s

1 Move Swiftly 9/1
2 Rawdaa 4/1
3 I Can Fly 7/2F
4 Veracious 8/1
17 ran Distances: nk, 1¾l, 1l
Time: 1m 42.63s (slow by 4.03s)

Our Verdict:

Favourite, I Can Fly stayed at the rear of the field but left itself too much to do come the finish line. Move Swiftly made a claim for the race 7 furlongs out, and fiercely fought for the win in the race from Keith's tip Rawdaa who came a very close second. I Can Fly finished in third, but was well beaten. Our members favoured I Can Fly, so was left disappointed by Ryan Moore’s ride which could have seen a different outcome, if not seemingly held up at the back for so long.

Watch Move Swiftly battle for first place in the Duke Of Cambridge Stakes at Royal Ascot in 2019:

 

NoPlaceDist BtStallHorseAgeWeightHeadgearORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
81st5Nazeef49-0105Gosden, J H MCrowley, Jim100/304.81.89
in touch, pushed along and headway 2f out, ridden and ran on to lead close home
22ndHD6Agincourt (IRE)59-0100OMeara, DTudhope, Daniel28/134.26.56
towards rear, pushed along and headway 2f out, ridden to lead approaching final furlong, headed close home
103rd2.54Queen Power (IRE)49-0107Stoute, Sir MichaelSousa, Silvestre De3/1 (JFav)4.661.69
in touch, headway 2f out, kept on one pace final furlong
34th2.53Iconic Choice49-0CkPc95Dascombe, TomMurphy, Oisin125/1192.4128.22
towards rear, pushed along and headway over 1f out, kept on same pace
95th2.7510Posted49-097Hannon (Jnr), RichardLevey, S M66/18511.82
taken to post early, slowly away in rear, ridden over 1f out, never nearer
116th0.57Wasmya (FR)49-0TT101Graffard, F-HDettori, L10/113.843.47
slowly away, towards rear, ridden 2f out, never nearer
67thNSE2Lavenders Blue (IRE)49-0110Perrett, Mrs A JHavlin, Robert11/26.72.29
close up, ridden 2f out, weakened inside final furlong
48th0.59Invitational49-098Varian, RogerAtzeni, Andrea66/186.4213.5
led, 3 lengths clear 3f out, ridden and headed approaching final furlong, soon weakened
19th4.251Magic Lily59-3110Appleby, CharlieBuick, William17/210.882.96
prominent, pushed along over 2f out, weakened over 1f out
510th5.511Jubiloso49-0110Stoute, Sir MichaelMoore, Ryan3/1 (JFav)4.511.98
tracked leaders, pushed along over 2f out, soon weakened

Countdown to Royal Ascot 2021

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