Coronation Stakes Tips – Royal Ascot 2022

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When is the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot?

Royal Ascot Friday 18th June at 4.20pm
The Coronation Stakes (Group 1)
Age: 3yo fillies
Distance: One mile
Weights – 9st 0lbs
Prize: £500,000

History of the Coronation Stakes race at Royal Ascot
First run in 1840. Created to commemorate the coronation of Queen Victoria, two years earlier. The Coronation Stakes is run on Ascot’s Old Mile course.

Nat Jackman and Morney Cannon share the honours of leading jockey in the race with five wins apiece, Jackman between 1844 and 1851 and Cannon between 1892 and 1898.

The most successful trainer to date has been John Porter with six wins between 1883 and 1898.

Royal Ascot Coronation Stakes Trends and Statistics
Here are the Coronation Stakes 12 year Trends and Statistics:

  • Age – This race is for three-year-olds only.
  • Sex – Race restricted to fillies.
  • Country – Seven of the last twelve winners were bred in Ireland, two in Great Britain, two in France and one in the USA. Mini angle: The two French winners came from just six runners and returned a SP profit of £19 to level £1 stakes a ROI of 417%.
  • Colour – Eight of the last twelve winners were bay (b), one was bay/brown (b/br), two were grey (gr) and one grey/roan (gr/ro).
  • Starting Price (SP) –  Eight of the last twelve winners returned at a SP of 11/2 or less.
  • Starting Price Rank – Eight of the last twelve winners were in the first three in the betting, five started as a favourite.
  • Headgear – None of the last twelve winners wore headgear. 
  • Draw – Nine of the last twelve winners were drawn in stalls 7 to 11.
  • Last Run Form – Six of the last twelve winners won on their latest run. 
  • Days Since Last Run – All of the last twelve winners had run within the last 47 days.
  • Course Form – Nine of the last twelve winners were making their Ascot debut. 
  • Distance Form – Nine of the last twelve winners had at least one previous win over one mile.
  • Flat Form – Eleven of the last twelve winners had run at least four times. All of the last twelve winners had won at least twice.
  • Official Rating – Ten of the last twelve winners had an official rating between 108 and 118.
  • Group Wins – Eleven of the last twelve had at least one win in a Group race, six of them had won a Group 1. 
  • Current Season Form – All of the last twelve winners had at least one runs in the current season. Ten of the last twelve winners had at least one win during the current season.
Recent Winners of The Coronation Stakes
DateGoingRunnersWinnerAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOddsDays
Heavy11311/247d
Good To Soft739/2302d
Good9320/1
Good To Firm12311/426d
Good To Firm734/926d
Good To Soft1336/1
Good To Firm933/1
Good To Firm12311/247d
Good To Firm1739/247d
Soft10312/141d
Good To Soft1238/1
Good To Firm1337/226d
Good To Firm1032/147d
Firm1135/114d
Good To Soft1338/147d
Good To Firm1536/147d
Good To Firm1039/226d
Firm1136/426d
Good To Firm934/747d
Good To Firm11311/2262d
Good To Firm1334/1
Good To Firm934/126d
Good To Firm9316/127d
Good935/145d
Good To Firm6325/145d

 

 

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What's Our Coronation Stakes Tips for Royal Ascot?

We've been studying the cards, form, stats, trends and more for the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot, and here's our thoughts ahead of the race:

The fillies go to post for the Coronation Stakes and the form lines to follow generally for this race is the English and Irish 1,000 Guineas.

Mother Earth heads up the market at 4/1 after having won the 1,000 Guineas at Newmarket last week. She was given a fantastic ride by Frankie Dettori on the day, but going off at an SP of 10/1 she was definitely Aiden O’Brien’s second string behind the much fancied Santa Barbara, who went to post as 5/2 joint favourite.

Santa Barbara is next in the market at 5/1 and given how well she was supported last time you would have to favour this horse going forward. They ran a little green in the closing stages of the Guineas and will definitely learn a lot as it was only their second ever racecourse appearance.

Pretty Gorgeous is next at 7/1 best price and hasn’t been seen since beating Mother Earth back in October last year at Newmarket in the Bet365 Fillies Mile. She was entered in the 1000 Guineas but unfortunately pulled out due to an unsatisfactory scope. Her 2-year-old career has brought three successes on soft ground but she finished twice on better ground, and all of those combined factors would appear to count against her at the current prices.

Saffron Beach has to be respected at a current best price of 8/1, given her second place in the Guineas and she finished the race really well too. It was her first try over a mile and her pedigree indicates she’s a miler, so there should be more to come at this distance.

Fev Rover has to be given a mention after finishing third in the Guineas, but ultimately she was held by the front two and did start the race at an SP of 22/1. Producing a similar run in the Coronation seems a stretch reduces even her eachway appeal at her current price of 12/2. Joan of Arc has also been recently backed after winning the Irish 1000 Guineas trial at Leopardstown on Sunday. Some firms have gone as short as 5/1 which is arguably an overreaction, and Aiden O’Brien definitely has stronger fancies in this race in Mother Earth and Santa Barbara.

Snow Lantern was impressive winning over a mile in April at Newbury and Richard Hannon is very excited about this filly. She is the daughter of Sky Lantern, who won the 1,000 Guineas and the Coronation Stakes back in 2013 so the pedigree is definitely there.

At the prices, Santa Barbara still carries each way value at 5/1, and she should come on for the run in the Guineas, giving her more potential than perhaps any other horse in the race. Saffron Beach also appeals at 8/1 each way, also on the basis of her strong performance in the Guineas when she kept on really well towards the end. That was her first start over a mile and she should progress further, too.

Snow Lantern could be a lively contender, but judgement should perhaps be reserved until we see how she gets on at York this week first before getting involved.

Our Antepost Bet: 

  • 1pt each way Santa Barbara
  • 1pt each way Saffron Beach

On the day:

ALCOHOL FREE 4.20 – Ascot (10/1 each way) – A generally progressive filly who landed the Cheveley Park last year. Only fifth to Mother Earth in the 1000 Guineas last time and no obvious reason to think she'll reverse the form.

A proper quality race is in prospect with 1000 Guineas 3rd QUATRILATERAL heading the market. RUN WILD and CLOAK OF SPIRITS and SHARING are also fancied.

Keith's final choice

14:25 CLOAK OF SPIRITS 13/2 – Finished ahead of today favourite QUADRILLATERAL when they bumped to something special in the 1000 Guineas and is the value option in the race.

How it fared

CLOAK OF SPIRITS 5TH – Tracked leader, led two furlongs from home, weakened inside the final furlong when headed.

To be certain of getting Keith's final thoughts on every Royal Ascot race, make sure you have joined the FRT VIP Club.

This is what Keith said about the 2019 Coronation Stakes:

Leading Contenders
QABALA 4/1 – Won the Nell Gwyn at Newmarket over seven furlongs in April but was found wanting in the 1000 Guineas when finishing fourth behind HERMOSA.
HERMOSA 5/1 – Won the 1000 Guineas on first start this season. May need further in time.
JUBILOSO 7/1 – Unraced at two but has made up for lost time winning twice including an impressive seven length victory over seven furlongs.
CASTLE LADY 8/1 – Godolphin owned French raider. Unbeaten in three starts but may find conditions too quick at Ascot.

This race looks ideal for the progressive JUBILOSO 7/1 each way. This mile trip will be well within her scope.

Who is our Antepost Tipster for Royal Ascot?

Our Royal Ascot Antepost tips is brought to you by one of our panel of professional tipsters.  Meet Aaron Gibbons who runs the AG Tips service on Tipsterr.

Aaron is a professional horse racing tipster specialising mainly in UK and Irish horse racing. I use my own methods to price up horse races independently and compare those prices against the market to identify the best each way value. I launched my AG Tips service on Tipstrr back in June 2019, since when I have provided over 1400 selections that have produced an overall long-term profit of 335 units, equating to a 23.5% ROI.

What our members tipped in the Coronation Stakes

Each day we ask our members to select their Pick 6, their NAP for each race of the day.  We then collate all the picks, and present the top selections to our VIP members.  Here's how it went for the Coronation Stakes:

It's MOTHER EARTH that's out there in front here with 33.3% of your selections.  
PRETTY GORGEOUS the next best with 16.7% and the only other worthy mention is ALCOHOL FREE.

Ryan Moore gets the nod here on More Beautiful with a big 30% of the selections. Campanelle the best of the rest with 13.9% and Sacred way back in third with 8.7% of the selections.

AP O’Brien and Ryan Moore look all set to claim the Coronation Stakes with Hermosa and that’s who almost 60% have gone with!   Real mixed bag behind Hermosa, with only Jubiloso standing out.

Royal Ascot Coronation Stakes Results 2019

1 Alcohol Free 11/2
2 Snow Lantern 14/1
3 Mother Earth 9/2
11 ran

1 Alpine Star 9/2
2 Sharing 16/5
3 Quadrilateral 2/1F
7 ran

1 Watch Me 20/1
2 Hermosa 1/1F
3 Jubiloso 9/2
9 ran NR: Mot Juste Distances: 1½l, 1l, 1l

Our Verdict:

An impressive finish by 20/1 outsider WATCH ME meant that the evens favourite, and our members favourite HERMOSA was denied victory by a length and a half. Keith’s pick, JUBILOSO finished up a length adrift for 3rd place, taking the each way for some profit, only if you caught the price when advised at 7/1 as Jubiloso shortened into 9/2 and the each way value disappeared.

Coronation Stakes (Fillies Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Rnd)
Distance: 1m (1753 yards) Prize (winner): £242081 Dir: Right Handed
Runners: 11    Going: Heavy    Class: Class 1 Group 1    Age Restrictions: 3yo
Winners Time: 1 mins 43.13s   Avg OR: 107     Median OR: 109     Stalls: Inside

NoPlaceDist BtStallHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
11st10Alcohol Free (IRE)3110Balding, A MMurphy, Oisin11/26.402.76
in touch, headway 2f out, ridden to lead inside final furlong, ran on BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 15.5
132nd1.52Snow Lantern397Hannon (Jnr), RichardLevey, S M14/119.114.76
held up, headway over 1f out, not clear run and switched left inside final furlong, ran on, went 2nd close home BF IP MIN 9.8 BF IP MAX 1000
63rdNK8Mother Earth (IRE)3111OBrien, A PMoore, Ryan9/27.402.38
towards rear, ridden and headway over 1f out, chased winner inside final furlong, lost 2nd close home BF IP MIN 2.12 BF IP MAX 1000
74th0.51Novemba (GER)3115Schiergen, PEgan, David15/210.212.96
led after 1f, pushed along 2f out, ridden and headed inside final furlong, kept on BF IP MIN 1.51 BF IP MAX 950
105th2.55Pretty Gorgeous (FR)3112OBrien, Joseph PatrickDettori, L4/1 (Fav)5.302.10
keen tracked leaders, pushed along over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, no extra inside final furlong BF IP MIN 1.75 BF IP MAX 1000
36th2.511Fev Rover (IRE)3108Fahey, R AHanagan, Paul18/122.036.80
in rear, pushed along and outpaced over 2f out, stayed on inside final furlong BF IP MIN 16 BF IP MAX 1000
47th1.756Flirting Bridge (IRE)3101Bromhead, Henry DeLordan, W M50/195.0021.55
led 1f, tracked leader, tracked leader, ridden 2f out, weakened inside final furlong BF IP MIN 22 BF IP MAX 1000
28th1.254Empress Josephine (IRE)3109OBrien, A PHeffernan, J A6/17.312.62
keen close up, ridden 2f out, weakened entering final furlong BF IP MIN 5.7 BF IP MAX 1000
99th0.757Potapova3100Stoute, Sir MichaelKingscote, Richard14/118.674.89
held up, pushed along 2f out, ridden and weakened entering final furlong BF IP MIN 17.5 BF IP MAX 1000
1210th2.2513Shale (IRE)3112Obrien, DonnachaRyan, Gavin17/211.773.69
close up, pushed along over 2f out, weakened entering final furlong BF IP MIN 7.2 BF IP MAX 1000
511th0.7512Lullaby Moon3104Beckett, R MDoyle, James22/127.407.88
held up, ridden and headway 2f out, weakened entering final furlong BF IP MIN 20 BF IP MAX 1000

Coronation Stakes (Fillies Group 1)
Distance: 1m (1753 yards) Prize (winner): £148000 Dir: Right Handed
Runners: 7    Going: Good To Soft    Class: Class 1 Group 1    Age Restrictions: 3yo
Winners Time: 1 mins 42.21s   Avg OR: 109     Median OR: 109     Stalls: Inside

NoPlaceDist BtStallHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
11st2Alpine Star (IRE)3108Harrington, Mrs JohnDettori, L9/26.403.70
tracked leaders on inside, switched left over 2f out, soon switched back right to rail, led over 1f out, ridden and stayed on strongly final furlong BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 55
62nd4.257Sharing (USA)3114Motion, HMurphy, Oisin3/14.402.18
ponied to post, held up in last pair, headway between horses over 2f out, edged right and unable to quicken over 1f out, ridden and went 2nd inside final furlong, no chance with winner BF IP MIN 4 BF IP MAX 1000
43rd1.754Quadrilateral3114Charlton, RWatson, Jason2/1 (Fav)3.151.83
held up in 5th on inside, switched off rail and closer in 4th over 3f out, went 2nd over 2f out, every chance 2f out until ridden over 1f out, no extra in 3rd inside final furlong BF IP MIN 1.5 BF IP MAX 1000
74th0.755So Wonderful (USA)3108OBrien, A PMoore, Ryan12/116.705.89
held up last, headway on rail inside final furlong, never on terms BF IP MIN 11 BF IP MAX 1000
25th1.256Cloak Of Spirits (IRE)3109Hannon (Jnr), RichardAtzeni, Andrea11/114.715.22
raced keenly tracking leader, led over 2f out, ridden and strongly pressed 2f out, headed over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong BF IP MIN 4.3 BF IP MAX 1000
36thNK3Love Locket (IRE)3102OBrien, A PBuick, William22/129.009.10
tracked leading trio, pushed along after halfway, wide on home turn and outpaced, hung right and plugged on inside final furlong BF IP MIN 21 BF IP MAX 1000
57th411Run Wild (GER)3109Gosden, John and ThadyDoyle, James5/17.603.25
wore hood to post, led, ridden and headed over 2f out, weakened rapidly and eased final 2f, tailed off BF IP MIN 3.4 BF IP MAX 1000

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