Commonwealth Cup Tips – Royal Ascot 2022

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When is the Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot?

Royal Ascot Friday 17th June at 3.40pm
The Commonwealth Cup (Group 1)
Age: 3yo
Distance: Six furlongs
Weights – 9st 3lb (3lb allowance for fillies)
Prize: £500,000

History of the Commonwealth Cup race at Royal Ascot
First run in 2015 The Commonwealth Cup was created to fit in with changes to the programme of sprint races across Europe. It’s the only Group 1 race held exclusively for 3 year olds and is run on the same course and distance as the Diamond Jubilee Stakes which was closed to 3 year olds to enter.

There are no stand out Trainers or Jockeys, with such a short history, each winning trainer and jockey have won only once, although the owner, Hamden Al Maktoum has had two successes with Muhaarar in the inaugral 2015 race and Eqtidaar in 2018.

Royal Ascot Commonwealth Cup Trends and Statistics
Here are the Commonwealth Cup 5 year Trends and Statistics:

  • Age – This race is for three-year-olds only.
  • Sex – Four of the five winners have been colts and the other a filly.
  • Country – Three of the five were bred in Great Britain, one in Ireland and one in the USA.
  • Colour – Four of the five winners have been bay (b) and the other was grey (gr).
  • Starting Price (SP) – Starting Price Rank -.
  • Headgear – Four of the five winners wore no headgear and the other was in first-time blinkers. 
  • Draw – All five winners have been drawn between 3 and 8
  • Last Run Form – Two of the five winners won on their last run.
  • Day’s since last run – All five winners ran between 20 and 48 days ago.
  • Course Form – Four of the five winners had previously run at Ascot although only one of them won.
  • Distance Form – All of the five winners had run at six furlongs at least three times and recorded at least one win at the trip. 
  • Flat Form – Four of the five winners had run at least four times and won at least three times.
  • Official Rating – Four of the five winners had an official rating of between 117 and 119
  • Current Season Form – All five winners had run at least once in the current season and three of them had recorded at least one win. 
Recent Winners of the Commonwealth Cup
DateGoingRunnersWinnerAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOddsDays
Heavy1535/1363d
Good To Soft1635/1265d
Good To Soft938/148d
Good To Firm22312/134d
Good To Firm1235/633d
Good To Soft1037/420d
Good To Firm18310/162d

 

 

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What's Our Commonwealth Cup Tips for Royal Ascot?

We've been studying the cards, form, stats, trends and more for the Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot, and here's our thoughts ahead of the race:

The Commonwealth Cup looks a tricky puzzle to solve at this stage with 53 runners currently having entries for the race. It’s currently a case of figuring out where the horses will go and what will be their main targets, either here or elsewhere.

Campanelle is the current market favourite at a best price of 7/1, and as this is their only entry at Royal Ascot we can be pretty sure that this is their targeted race for the meeting. He won the Queen Mary Stakes last year at Ascot as a 2-year-old in impressive fashion over five furlongs, since when further success in the Darley Prix Morny at Deauville over 6f last August in Group 1 company rightfully puts him towards the front of the market. A fourth place at Keeneland over a mile at the Breeders Cup meeting in November added to his reputation, but the sprint trips are definitely his optimum distance at present.

Alcohol Free is also entered in the Coronation Stakes over a mile as well as this race and it’s hard to make a case for the horse to win this renewal. Considering he went off at 5/2 favourite for the Guineas last week shows  faith in this horse over the longer trip, so the Coronation Stakes is likely to be the preferred option.

Supremacy would have been high on the agenda for this race and did start the Pavilion Stakes as 10/11 favourite at the end of April. However, a dead last finish followed by a subsequent revelation of a ‘less than perfect’ blood test result casts some doubt as to whether he will be 100% for this race in a month’s time.

One horse that does catch the eye is Dragon Symbol for Archie Watson. He is unbeaten in 4 starts after winning three times over six furlongs on the all-weather and won last time out on his turf debut at Hamilton over five furlongs. That last win was particularly impressive, pulling imperiously clear of the opposition in the final furlong and looking like a potential star of the sprinting division. Andrew McNamara was quoted after the race as saying ‘He’s going to win a big one very soon, hopefully. It’s not every day you get to ride one like that’. They are entered in the Kings Stand also, but the jockey did say they are more likely to go for the Commonwealth Cup which would probably be the best option, and give him excellent each way value at 10/1. 

Our Antepost Bet:

  • Dragon Symbol 1pt each way

On the day:

CAMPANELLE 3.40 – Ascot (7/2) – Won at the meeting last year. She then backed that up with an easy victory in Deaville before finding a mile a bit too far in a hot fillies’ group 1 at The Breeders Cup, behind the likes of 1000 Guineas winner ‘Mother Earth. She’s back over the 6f trip tomorrow and with Frankie booked, and from a much kinder draw in stall, she looks to have every chance of making it two from two.

A very wide-open renewal of this with 20 declared at the initial entry stage, how many of these will defect when the final declarations are announced remains to be seen. Mill Reef Stakes winner PIERRE LAPPIN heads the market and other leading contenders include GOLDEN HORDE, the American raider KIMARI, LOPE Y FERNANDES, WOODED, MUMS TIPPLE and 1000 Guineas flop MILLISLE who could well bounce back to form.

Keith's final choice

15:35 MILLISLE 10/1 each way – Dropped back to 6 furlongs after disappointing over a mile in the 1000 Guineas. Fully expected to bounce back to form.

How it fared

MILLISLE 5TH – Ran well from a bad position first home of the far side runners. GOLDEN HORDE took the race.

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This is what Keith said about the 2019 Commonwealth Cup:

Leading Contenders
CALYX 6/4 – Unbeaten colt. Quickened clear over course and distance in the Commonwealth Cup Trial. Will be hard to beat.
TEN SOVEREIGNS 4/1 – Dropping back to six furlongs after disappointing over a mile in the 2000 Guineas. A repeat of his win in the Middle Park Stakes last year will put him right there at the finish.
JASH 14/1 – Three wins from four. Only defeat was at the hands of TEN SOVEREIGNS in the Middle Park. Won over seven furlongs on return, may find this trip a bit on the sharp side now.
BULLETIN 14/1 – American raider. Won his first three races including a black type event at Keenland. Turned over at 1/10 last time at Churchill Downs.

Antepost Tip: This race revolves around CALYX 6/4 and he should win with some authority. This horse subsequently didn’t run in the Commonwealth Cup.

On the day Keith tipped TEN SOVEREIGNS to win, however the odds were very short.

Who is our Antepost Tipster for Royal Ascot?

Our Royal Ascot Antepost tips is brought to you by one of our panel of professional tipsters.  Meet Aaron Gibbons who runs the AG Tips service on Tipsterr.

Aaron is a professional horse racing tipster specialising mainly in UK and Irish horse racing. I use my own methods to price up horse races independently and compare those prices against the market to identify the best each way value. I launched my AG Tips service on Tipstrr back in June 2019, since when I have provided over 1400 selections that have produced an overall long-term profit of 335 units, equating to a 23.5% ROI.

What our members tipped in the Commonwealth Cup

Each day we ask our members to select their Pick 6, their NAP for each race of the day.  We then collate all the picks, and present the top selections to our VIP members.  Here's what our member's picked for the Commonwealth Cup:

Close call this but SUESA just about gets over the line with 41.2% of your selections.   

CAMPANELLE just behind with 35.3% and SACRED the only other one of interest with 11.8%.

It’s the French Peter Rabbit that leads the selection here, with Pierre Lapin getting 23% of the selections. Lope Y Fernandez back in 2nd place with 13.8% but it’s Dubai Station that has caught my eye with 12.6% of your selections.

Loads of you are hoping for a  Perfect Ten, with Ten Sovereigns massively leading the pack here with over 50% of the votes.  Jash on 13.5% and another Frankie ride, Advertise are up there too.

Royal Ascot Commonwealth Cup Results 

1 Campanelle 5/1
2 Dragon Symbol 4/1
3 Measure Of Magic 11/1
15 ran

1 Golden Horde 5/1
2 Kimari 5/1
3 Ventura Rebel 50/1
4 Royal Commando 250/1
16 ran

1 Advertise 8/1
2 Forever In Dreams 20/1
3 Hello Youmzain 6/1
9 ran; 1½l, hd

Well the favourite was turned over in this race by 8/1 shot Advertise which was a surprise to Keith, our members and all the other punters who backed Perfect Ten. Finishing 4th, Perfect Ten which set off as evens failed when asked to make the effort by Ryan Moore with 1 furlong to go, and remained in 4th place.

Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) (British Champions Series)
Distance: 6f (1320 yards) Prize (winner): £198485 Dir: Straight
Runners: 15    Going: Heavy    Class: Class 1 Group 1    Age Restrictions: 3yo
Winners Time: 1 mins 16.67s   Avg OR: 107     Median OR: 107     Stalls: Centre

NoPlaceDist BtStallHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
131stHD14Campanelle (IRE)3113Ward, WesleyDettori, L5/18.002.60
led, ridden and headed narrowly over 1f out, bumped approaching final furlong, carried right inside final furlong, just held (placed 1st ) BF IP MIN 1.1 BF IP MAX 1000
32nd18Dragon Symbol3111Watson, ArchieMurphy, Oisin4/15.062.26
close up, good headway 2f out, led narrowly over 1f out, edged right approaching final furlong, ran on gamely(placed 2nd) BF IP MIN 1.12 BF IP MAX 12
173rd516Measure Of Magic (IRE)3106Murtagh, J PCoen, Ben M11/113.504.12
in touch, headway and switched left 2f out, ran on BF IP MIN 7.4 BF IP MAX 1000
144th0.521Dandalla (IRE)3102Burke, K RCurtis, B A33/156.4611.63
in rear, pushed along 2f out, stayed on, nearest finish BF IP MIN 20 BF IP MAX 1000
65th1.7513Laws Of Indices (IRE)3107Condon, K JHayes, C D25/133.377.22
towards rear, ridden 2f out, ran on, nearest finish BF IP MIN 24 BF IP MAX 1000
196thNK1Mooneista (IRE)3102Davison, Jack WLordan, W M40/187.7815.50
close up, pushed along and every chance 2f out, kept on same pace BF IP MIN 32 BF IP MAX 1000
127th0.755The Lir Jet (IRE)3108Bell, M L WFallon, Cieren50/198.7424.35
dwelt in rear, pushed along 2f out, never nearer BF IP MIN 85 BF IP MAX 1000
218thHD8Suesa (IRE)3112Rohaut, FBuick, William9/4 (Fav)3.751.80
tracked leaders, ridden 2f out, weakened inside final furlong BF IP MIN 3 BF IP MAX 1000
169th0.510Isabella Giles (IRE)3107Cox, C GCrouch, Hector22/146.108.58
in touch, pushed along halfway, not trouble leaders BF IP MIN 36 BF IP MAX 1000
1510th1.257Happy Romance (IRE)3105Hannon (Jnr), RichardLevey, S M50/1100.0018.00
towards rear, never on terms BF IP MIN 30 BF IP MAX 1000
111th2.7515A Case Of You (IRE)3108McGuinness, AdrianWhelan, R P10/113.753.67
keen tracked leaders, ridden 2f out, weakened final furlong BF IP MIN 11 BF IP MAX 1000
512th0.7511Jumby (IRE)3104Houghton, Eve JohnsonBishop, Charles11/112.003.35
close up, ridden 2f out, weakened over 1f out BF IP MIN 11 BF IP MAX 1000
913thNK9Mighty Gurkha (IRE)3101Watson, ArchieDoyle, Hollie80/1195.2331.02
prominent, ridden and weakened approaching final furlong BF IP MIN 55 BF IP MAX 1000
714thNK12Lipizzaner (USA)3103OBrien, A PMoore, Ryan33/166.0111.19
tracked leaders, ridden 2f out, weakened final furlong BF IP MIN 30 BF IP MAX 1000
415th1.252Fivethousandtoone (IRE)3110Balding, A MSousa, Silvestre De14/123.005.81
towards rear, effort over 1f out, weakened final furlong BF IP MIN 21 BF IP MAX 1000

Commonwealth Cup (Group 1)
Distance: 6f (1320 yards) Prize (winner): £148000 Dir: Straight
Runners: 16    Going: Good To Soft    Class: Class 1 Group 1    Age Restrictions: 3yo
Winners Time: 1 mins 14.56s   Avg OR: 107     Median OR: 109     Stalls: Centre

NoPlaceDist BtStallHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
31st10Golden Horde (IRE)3114Cox, C GKirby, Adam5/18.202.50
raced stands side centre, prominent, led over 2f out, edged left over 1f out, ridden and ran on well inside final furlong BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 7.8
142nd1.511Kimari (USA)3108Ward, WesleyDettori, L5/16.132.58
awkward start, raced stands side centre, in touch, headway over 2f out, chased winner over 1f out, kept on, not able to challenge BF IP MIN 3.5 BF IP MAX 1000
123rd2.514Ventura Rebel3105Fahey, R AHamilton, Tony50/1114.4015.43
slowly into stride, raced stands side centre, held up in rear, headway over 2f out, kept on inside final furlong BF IP MIN 50 BF IP MAX 1000
84thHD13Royal Commando (IRE)3102Hills, CharlesShoemark, Kieran250/1300.0036.45
raced stands side centre, mid-division, ridden over 2f out, headway over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong BF IP MIN 110 BF IP MAX 1000
165th1.758Millisle (IRE)3115Harrington, Mrs JohnMarquand, Tom8/19.573.20
raced centre, chased leaders, pushed along over 3f out, hard ridden and switched right over 2f out, kept on inside final furlong BF IP MIN 7.4 BF IP MAX 1000
96thHD16Royal Crusade3110Appleby, CharlieBuick, William12/120.004.97
slowly into stride, raced stands side centre, held up towards rear, headway over 2f out, lost 3rd inside final furlong, no extra final 100 yards BF IP MIN 2.5 BF IP MAX 1000
117th1.2515Southern Hills (IRE)3101OBrien, A PSousa, Silvestre De40/137.769.64
raced stands side centre, chased leaders, ridden 2f out, stayed on same pace final furlong BF IP MIN 20 BF IP MAX 1000
78thNSE17Pistoletto (USA)3103OBrien, A PTudhope, Daniel80/150.6511.73
raced stands side centre, held up in rear, driven over 2f out, headway over 1f out, never dangerous BF IP MIN 60 BF IP MAX 1000
109th0.755Royal Lytham (FR)3111OBrien, A PCosgrave, Pat25/130.007.99
raced centre, prominent, ridden over 2f out, outpaced and no impression from over 1f out BF IP MIN 19.5 BF IP MAX 1000
1710th1.259Shadn (IRE)3106Balding, A MMurphy, Oisin33/143.299.39
raced stands side centre, held up in mid-division, effort over 2f out, one pace over 1f out BF IP MIN 24 BF IP MAX 1000
411thSH1Lope Y Fernandez (IRE)3107OBrien, A PMoore, Ryan100/30 (Fav)4.181.86
raced centre, mid-division, not much room and switched right over 2f out, no impression BF IP MIN 3.15 BF IP MAX 1000
212th0.53Dubai Station3109Burke, K RCurtis, B A40/169.6011.61
raced centre, held up in rear, effort over 2f out, no impression, well held from over 1f out BF IP MIN 32 BF IP MAX 990
1513thHD7Les Hogues (IRE)3100Baker, GeorgeKelly, Shane150/1413.1750.00
raced centre, held up in rear, not much room over 1f out, no impression BF IP MIN 210 BF IP MAX 1000
114thSH2Aberama Gold3100Dalgleish, KeithGray, S A250/1482.8349.46
raced centre, prominent, pushed along over 2f out, weakened inside final furlong BF IP MIN 210 BF IP MAX 1000
515th3.754Mums Tipple (IRE)3113Hannon (Jnr), RichardLevey, S M18/132.508.20
raced centre, led, headed over 2f out, weakened over 1f out BF IP MIN 10 BF IP MAX 1000
616th4.56Pierre Lapin (IRE)3110Varian, RogerAtzeni, Andrea7/25.942.20
raced centre, mid-division, pushed along and struggling over 2f out, last and eased over 1f out BF IP MIN 5.5 BF IP MAX 1000

Non Runners  Wooded (IRE)

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