Chesham Stakes Tips – Royal Ascot 2021

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Chesham Stakes tips

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When is the Chesham Stakes at Royal Ascot 2021?

Royal Ascot Saturday 19th June at 2.30pm
The Chesham Stakes (Listed)
Age: 2yo
Distance: Seven furlongs
Prize: £90,000

History of the Chesham Stakes race at Royal Ascot
First run in 1919 and named after the 3rd Baron Chesham. The race has an unusual restriction, being open only to horses sired by stallions who won over ten furlongs or more. The race is restricted to two-year-olds only, with a 5 lb allowance for any fillies who are entered.

Leading jockey since 1986 with four wins is Frankie Dettori whose most recent winner in the race was Tha'ir in 2012.

Leading trainers since 1986 with four wins have been Paul Cole and Aidan O'Brien.

Royal Ascot Chesham Stakes Trends and Statistics

Here are the Chesham Stakes 12 year Trends and Statistics 2009 – 2020

  • Age – This race is for two-year-olds only.
  • Sex – Ten of the last twelve winners were colts and the other two fillies.
  • Country – Seven of the last twelve winners were bred in Ireland, two in Great Britain, one in France and two in the USA.
  • Colour – Ten of the last twelve winners were bay (b), one bay/brown (b/br) and one chestnut (ch).
  • Starting Price (SP) –Nine of the last twelve winners returned an SP of 10/1 or less.
  • Starting Price Rank – Nine of the last twelve winners came from the first four in the betting, four started the race as favourite.
  • Headgear – Eleven of the last twelve winners wore no headgear, one had on a first-time hood.
  • Draw – Eleven of the last twelve winners were drawn in stalls 1 to 8.
  • Last Run Form – All of the last twelve were placed in the first four on their most recent run, seven of them had won their previous race. 
  • Day’s Since Last Run – Eleven of the last twelve runners last ran between 10 and 49 days ago.
Recent Winners of Chesham Stakes
DateGoingRunnersWinnerAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOddsDays
Soft10210/1117d
Soft8211/410d
Good1423/122d
Good To Firm11213/229d
Good To Firm15211/816d
Good To Soft1328/1127d
Good To Firm12214/1
Good To Firm14210/121d
Good To Firm19216/136d
Good To Soft1429/217d
Soft1625/238d
Good To Firm1227/149d
Good To Firm16222/121d
Good To Firm1127/219d
Good12211/221d
Good To Firm1127/235d
Good To Firm1224/131d
Firm1127/110d
Good To Firm13211/1025d
Good To Firm12225/120d
Good To Firm1123/133d
Good To Firm15215/819d
Good To Firm725/228d
Soft1026/129d
Good1227/113d

 

 

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What's Our Chesham Stakes Tips for Royal Ascot?

We've been studying the cards, form, stats, trends and more for the Chesham Stakes at Royal Ascot, and here's his thoughts ahead of the race:

This 7f listed contest takes place on the final day of Royal Ascot and it is a race which has favoured the market leaders in recent years.

Each of the last five (and seven of the last ten) winners of this race have started the day in the top three of the betting and Aidan O’Brien’s two-year old Point Lonsdale will be expected to continue that trend. He was superb at the Curragh, streaking clear by five and a half lengths in a decent-looking maiden at the start of June and although he is a little inexperienced, this talented colt could be hard to peg back.

Although his victory may not have been quite as convincing, New Science undoubtedly caught the eye at Yarmouth and Charlie Appleby looks to have another decent prospect on his hands.

Masekela’s victory at Goodwood puts him firmly in the mix, however, Richard Hannon’s Al Shibli looks a smart performer and was only beaten by two previous winners on debut.
He followed it up with a victory at Chester and could be the answer to this tricky puzzle. 

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On the day:

POINT LONSDALE 2.30 – Ascot (3/2) – Ran out an impressive winner on his first start at Curragh 17 days back, and is brother to the high-class BROOME. Holds good claims with lots more to come.

Key stats: Eleven of the last twelve winners wore no headgear, the other one had on a first-time hood. Draw – Eleven of the last twelve winners were drawn in stalls 1 to 8.

Winners of this race often turn out to be a bit special PINATUBO took it last year. MODERN NEWS, BATTLEGROUND and BRIGHT DEVIL look like the three to concentrate on.

Keith's final choice

MODERN NEWS 15:00 Ascot 100/30 – Kept on well to score over 6 furlongs on debut and should have no worries with this extra furlong. Connections won this last year with Pinatubo. The Irish vibe is that BATTLEGROUND has been laid out for this but my belief is that GOLDEN FLAME is the bigger danger to our selection.

How it fared

MODERN NEWS 5TH – Never really picked up probably more down to the going than the trip. BATTLEGROUND won really well as he pleased.

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His selection for this race was PINATUBO which was advised at 7/2 to win.

What our members tipped in the Chesham Stakes

Each day we ask our members to select their Pick 6, their NAP for each race of the day.  We then collate all the picks, and present the top selections to our VIP members.  Here's how our members voted for the Chesham Stakes:

Ryan Moore is in the thick of it here again with just over 30% of the selections on Battleground. Modern News, Golden Flame and First Prophet also in the thick of it, but Modern News edges it with 21.3% of the selections here.

Plenty of support for Ryan Moore’s Lope Y Fernendez in the first race, with over 35% of the selections.  Pinatubo gets 22.9% of the votes, whilst Raul Da Silva’s ride, Highland Chief receives just over 10%

Royal Ascot Chesham Stakes Results 2019

1 Point Lonsdale 10/11F
2 Reach For The Moon 11/1
3 Great Max 15/2
10 ran

1 Battleground 11/4

2 March Law 18/1

3 Seattle Rock 8/1

1 Pinatubo 3/1
2 Lope Y Fernandez 5/4F
3 Highland Chief 14/1
14 ran NR: Dark Kris, Joker On Jack, Mohican Heights
Distances: 3¼l, 1¼l, 2¼l
Our Verdict:

 

Keith was bang on with his selection, winning by over 3 lengths, PINATUBO turned over the favourite Lope Y Fernendez which was favoured by our members too. An impressive finish as it leaves Lope Y Fernendez behind to take the second spot. A good result for Keith, a good result for those who followed him, and a good result for Jamie Doyle and Godolphin too!

Chesham Stakes (Listed)
Distance: 7f (1540 yards) Prize (winner): £38480 Dir: Straight
Runners: 10    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Listed Race    Age Restrictions: 2yo
Winners Time: 1 mins 30.46s   Avg OR: 0     Median OR: 0     Stalls: Centre

NoPlaceDist BtStallHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
41st7Point Lonsdale (IRE)20OBrien, A PMoore, Ryan10/11 (Fav)1.961.26
chased leaders in centre, challenged approaching final furlong, hung badly left and ridden inside final furlong, stayed on to lead towards finish BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 6.2
52nd0.52Reach For The Moon20Gosden, John and ThadyDettori, L11/115.753.65
wore hood to post, led duo towards far side, well on terms, led narrowly approaching final furlong, ridden and hung right inside final furlong, headed and no extra towards finish BF IP MIN 2.06 BF IP MAX 1000
13rd3.255Great Max (IRE)20Bell, M L WDoyle, James15/28.782.21
held up, headway chasing leaders over 2f out, ridden and hung left over 1f out, stayed on inside final furlong, went 3rd post, never going pace to challenge BF IP MIN 6.2 BF IP MAX 1000
74thHD6Sweeping20Watson, ArchieDoyle, Hollie16/121.734.00
raced keenly, overall leader in centre, ridden and headed approaching final furlong, kept on same pace in well held 3rd, lost that placing post BF IP MIN 2.06 BF IP MAX 1000
25th2.51Masekela (IRE)20Balding, A MMurphy, Oisin6/18.382.28
tracked leader in duo towards far side, ridden and outpaced over 2f out, never dangerous after BF IP MIN 7.2 BF IP MAX 1000
86th3.53Withering20Osborne, J AEgan, David50/191.0310.07
slowly into stride, soon recovered chasing leaders, weakened over 2f out BF IP MIN 50 BF IP MAX 1000
37th0.754New Science20Appleby, CharlieBuick, William13/28.402.12
tracked leader in centre, pushed along challenging over 2f out, ridden and weakened over 1f out BF IP MIN 4 BF IP MAX 1000
98th2.759Out In Yorkshire20Johnston, MCurtis, B A40/145.628.20
chased leaders, ridden and weakened inside final 2f BF IP MIN 42 BF IP MAX 1000
109th310Radio Caroline20Channon, M RBishop, Charles50/1172.7914.97
held up in rear, headway over 2f out, ridden and weakened over 2f out BF IP MIN 100 BF IP MAX 1000
610th0.58Sharp Combo (IRE)20Johnston, MNorton, Francis80/1270.0025.00
chased leaders near side of group, weakened inside final 3f BF IP MIN 220 BF IP MAX 1000

Chesham Stakes (Listed)
Distance: 7f (1540 yards) Prize (winner): £23680 Dir: Straight
Runners: 8    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Listed Race    Age Restrictions: 2yo
Winners Time: 1 mins 30.62s   Avg OR: 0     Median OR: 0     Stalls: Centre

NoPlaceDist BtStallHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
11st6Battleground (USA)20OBrien, A PMoore, Ryan11/4 (Fav)3.881.77
chased leaders, shaken up and effort over 2f out, led over 1f out, edged left entering final furlong, stayed on strongly BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 6
62nd2.58March Law (IRE)20Johnston, MSousa, Silvestre De18/122.004.63
led, ridden 2f out, edged left and headed over 1f out, no impression on winner inside final furlong, stayed on BF IP MIN 3.2 BF IP MAX 1000
93rd1.753Seattle Rock20Kirk, SEgan, David80/194.4214.68
held up in rear, headway 2f out, went 3rd inside final furlong, hung badly right to far rail, no impression on winner BF IP MIN 10 BF IP MAX 1000
54th1.255Golden Flame (IRE)20Johnston, MDettori, L5/17.202.27
chased leader, driven 2f out, lost 2nd over 1f out, stayed on same pace inside final furlong BF IP MIN 6 BF IP MAX 1000
75th12Modern News20Appleby, CharlieBuick, William4/15.451.91
chased leaders, ridden 2f out, beaten 1f out, well held inside final 150 yards BF IP MIN 5.1 BF IP MAX 1000
26thSH1Bright Devil (IRE)20Balding, A MMurphy, Oisin7/110.502.62
last to break, held up, headway and switched right 2f out, driven and beaten over 1f out, well held inside final furlong BF IP MIN 3.6 BF IP MAX 1000
37th2.757Clarendon Cross20Hannon (Jnr), RichardDobbs, Pat14/115.953.55
chased leaders, outpaced over 2f out, soon weakened BF IP MIN 7 BF IP MAX 1000
48th6.59First Prophet (IRE)20Fellowes, CharlieDoyle, James7/24.651.72
soon restrained towards rear, shaken up and hanging left over 2f out, no impression, well beaten over 1f out BF IP MIN 4.6 BF IP MAX 1000

Non Runners  Concessions

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