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Keith's Notebook Horses 2nd September 2020

We have 10 new horses for the Notebook this week, it has taken a while to get them together as when there is a lot of soft / heavy going around especially on the flat the form is not reliable unless you happen to spot something special so I am always cautious when conditions are poor. Consequently less hoses end up in the book. 

One of the new horses is Ocean Wind who won the maiden at Lingfield. A dual bumper winner who put me in mind of a horse called COLLIER HILL who some of you may remember. Collier Hill was trained not far from me by the late Alan Swinbank. His first race was a NHF at Catterick which he won then he switched codes to the flat and slowly rose through the ranks from lowly plating races right to Group 1 level, with the Irish St Leger and the Hong Kong Vase among his victories. I'm not saying OCEAN WIND is another COLLIER HILL but certainly one to keep an eye on.

Notebook runners since last time.

We have had 15 notebook runners since the last edition and 5 of them have won the best of which was Fujaira Prince 11/2 in the Ebor Handicap. The other winners were Snowy Owl 6/4, Lone Eagle 8/15, Lost In Space 9/2 and Kitty's Cove 4/1. Kiity's Cove dead-heated so we only got returns on half the stake which equated to a 6/4 winner. Backing all 15 of these to level 1 point stakes gave us a profit of 3.53 points.

New Notebook Horses

These are the horses that caught my eye since last time.

As You LikeOnly just held, kept on well, will win a race of this nature before too long.
Crystal PegasusVery easy scorer over 1m 2f at Bath plenty more to come.
ElixsoftNeck second at Ripon keeping on well, better going is needed.
Flying VerseSecond every chance three out but hit 2 out hard, recovered and stayed on well just failed.
Naval CrownImpressive when winning his maiden at York , Group Class at least.
Ocean WindBumper winner that landed this flat maiden with some authority beating the useful John Locke. Could have a glittering career on the level.
ShecandooUnlucky when 2 necks back in third at Chelmsford. No clear run but ran on well once clear.
SpycatcherYork second behind Gear up kept on well just lost the race in the final strides.
Ten Thousand StarsHampered when challenging in the juvenile hurdle at Sedgefield lost a shoe as well, finished third, unlucky loser .

Current Notebook List

There are currently 36 horses in my Notebook and Keith's Inner Circle will be informed when they next run.

As You LikeOnly just held, kept on well, will win a race of this nature before too long.
Captain GuinnessWas badly hampered 3 out in the Supreme Novices Hurdle, recovered well and was challenging 2 out when brought down, surely would have been at least placed.
Champagne At Tara[Close third at 16/1 in a 2m 1f Listed Handicap Chase at Ascot. Has been eased 1lb since that run and is now on a dangerous handicap mark.]
Chosen HourLeft previous form behind when very easy winner of a begginers chase at Punchestown. Led after 2 out and drew clear by 29 lengths.
Column Of FireWas cruising into contention in the Martin Pipe when falling at the last and surely would have won. One for Punchestown.
ConcertistaWon and won well by 12 lengths in the Mares Novice Hurdle, expect her to be seen at Punchestown if it is on.
CorvairMissed the break for the second race in a row, over 7f at Goodwood, ran on well to take 5th just 2½ lengths adrift of the winner . Will be a lot closer when he gets a good start out of the stall
Crystal PegasusVery easy scorer over 1m 2f at Bath plenty more to come.
Dream Of DreamsSpreadeagled the field in the Group 2 Hungerford Stakes at Newbury clear by over 7 lengths. The Sprint Cup at Haydock in September could be the next target.
ElixsoftNeck second at Ripon keeping on well, better going is needed.
Envoi AllenHis Ballymore Novices Hurdle comfortable win puts him firmly in the picture for the 2021 Champion Hurdle, he ran the perfect race about 6 lengths behind the leaders then once Davy Russell pressed the
Flying VerseSecond every chance three out but hit 2 out hard, recovered and stayed on well just failed.
Forever Des LongKept on for ½ length second giving away 9lb to the winner will win a race like this before too long.
GoshenWould have won the Triumph hurdle by a fair old margin but for an unfortunate unseat at the last. Will win big races in time.
Highway One O TwoBack on the list after an impressive Grade 2 Novice Hurdle win, did it from the front and he gave the impression that there was plenty more in the tank.
IrreverentVery close third at Haydock despite ducking right at the start. Kept on well, just held.
Jewel In My Crown25/1 third on debut at Haydock, slowly away but ran on well. Will progress for the run.
John LockeLooked the likely winner when caught late on by Faisal, was 8½ lengths ahead of the third home.
KataraNoteboook runner who won well over 1m 4f at Newmarket clear by four lengths. It still will be no surprise to see her over 1m 6f before the end of the season.
Lady Of The NightWould have made a winning hurdle debut at Huntingdon but for a mistake two from home. Will have learned from the experience and is likely to score next time.
Le PrezienExcellent run in the Welsh Champion Hurdle at Ffos Las (2m Soft) giving away 16lb, only beaten a short head and this was on the back of 7 months off. Will strip fitter for the run and should be hard t
Mr LuptonKept on for a close third in a blanket finish at Ripon in the St Wilfrid where the first 10 home were only covered by 2 lengths.
MythicalWas travelling well when short of room at the home turn over 1m 4f at Leopardstown. Made up the lost ground in the closing stages keeping on well into third.
Naval CrownImpressive when winning his maiden at York , Group Class at least.
Ocean Star11 lengths clear unchallenged at Chepstow, this is a filly that is going places.
Ocean WindBumper winner that landed this flat maiden with some authority beating the useful John Locke. Could have a glittering career on the level.
RaaedBacked right into odds on favouritism and nearly blew it with an awkward start. Took the initiative 1 furlong out and went on to win as he pleased. How far could it have been if he had got out of the
Raging RascalSlow start on debut at Goodwood (7f) but one the penny dropped made up loads of ground to take second in the final stride keeping on well. Will improve for the run.
Red FascinatorWould have won at Ripon but became unbalanced 2 furlongs out and lost action, battled back just failed.
Royal Air ForceBeat a couple of useful types on debut forging clear by 7 lengths over 7 furlongs at Yarmouth. Expect to see a lot more of this well-bred colt.
ShecandooUnlucky when 2 necks back in third at Chelmsford. No clear run but ran on well once clear.
SpycatcherYork second behind Gear up kept on well just lost the race in the final strides.
Ten Thousand StarsHampered when challenging in the juvenile hurdle at Sedgefield lost a shoe as well, finished third, unlucky loser .
Uncle Jerry[Took a step forward when dropped in trip to 6 furlongs at Chemsford, kept on well and only beaten ½ length only up 1lb for the run. Will take all the beating next time if kept at this trip.]
Wait For The LordNice filly runner up the Market Rasen bumper had a fair bit in hand over the third home.
XeresVery close third behind the odds on Ontario and Snowy Owl over the extended mile at Galway. Will win at Group level before the end of this season.

Yours in racing

Keith

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What is Keith’s Notebook?

Keith’s Notebook is a weekly horse tracker blog from Keith Bond – the resident professional horse racing tipster here at Free Racing Tips.

Sent out via email to all registered FRT members free every Wednesday afternoon, Keith’s Notebook details Keith’s thoughts and opinions from the last seven days of racing.

You’ll discover:

  • Which horses have caught Keith’s eye, and why.
  • Keith’s shortlist of “ones to watch” next time they race.
  • Keith’s updated thoughts on past Notebook horses.

How should I use Keith’s Notebook?

It’s important to note that the horses mentioned in Keith’s Notebook are NOT tips.

Keith has spotted something in these horses during a race that has made his spidey-senses tingle. If they run again at a certain course, or over a certain distance, or in a certain type of race, then Keith will want to take a closer look, before deciding whether they are worthy of being an official Notebook tip.
Some months, you can count the number of actual Notebook tips on one hand. That’s why the strike rate is so high. Keith very much prefers quality over quantity when it comes to his Notebook Horses!

Most people add Keith’s Notebook Horses to a horse tracker app, which will notify them when those horses are due to run again. (This is exactly what Keith does!)

Keith’s VIP Club members are also notified by email when any of his Notebook Horses turn into an official tip.

What’s the best horse tracker app?

The easiest way to keep track of all my notebook horses (plus any horses you’re tracking yourself) is via bet365’s ‘My Horses’ horse track app, which allows you to create a portfolio of your favourite horses.

You’ll get reminders when they are due to run, and can keep track of their performance by adding your own notes and thoughts to each horse

Click here to see how My Horses works, and try it out for yourself.”

“Well done Keith. Shows the benefit of keeping a notebook. Excellent tipping as usual ”

Danny May, Southampton

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