RSA Chase tips 2020
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View Keith’s tips for the RSA Chase
When is the RSA Chase 2020?
Cheltenham Wednesday 11th March 2.10pm
RSA Insurance Novices Steeple Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+)
Distance: 3 Miles ½ Furlong
Weights: 11st 2lb (5yo), 11st 4lb (6yo+), 7lb allowance for mares
Race two on day two is the RSA Chase, it is a grade one race for novice chasers run on the old course over a distance of three miles and 110 yards. It is open to horses aged five years old and older.
RSA Chase Trends and Statistics
Here are Cheltenham RSA Chase 12 Year Trends and Statistics.
- Age – Ten of the last twelve winners were aged seven.
- Starting Price – Ten of the last twelve winners started at 10/1 or less.
- Last Run – Eleven of the last twelve winners finished in the first two on their latest run. Ten of the last twelve winners last ran within 39 days.
- Course Form – Eleven of the last twelve winners had at least one previous run at Cheltenham. Seven of them had at least one previous win at Cheltenham.
- Distance Form – Eleven of the last twelve winners had at least two previous runs over 2m 7f – 3m 1f and at least 1 win over the distance.
- Hurdle Form – All of the last twelve winners had at least three previous runs over hurdles and least two wins over hurdles.
- Chase Form – All of the last twelve winners had at least two previous chase runs. Eleven of them had at least one previous chase win.
- Official Rating – All of the last twelve winners were rated 144 or higher.
- Graded Wins – Nine of the last twelve winners had previously won a Grade 3 race or higher.
- Season Form – Ten of the last twelve winners had at least three runs in the current season. Eleven of the last twelve winners had at least one win in the current season.
Who are the RSA Chase Leading Contenders?
Currently the leading contenders for the RSA Novices Chase 2020 are:
- CHAMP – Fell two fences from home when two lengths up and traveling well in the Dipper Chase here on New Years Day. Should bounce back and has won a Grade 1 hurdle of this longer trip so stamina is not a worry.
- MINELLA INDO – 50/1 winner of the Albert Bartlett Novice Hurdle last year. Landed a novice chase at Naas in January and is expected to come on for that experience.
- ALAHO -Finished behind MINELLA INDO in two Grade 1 hurdles last term. Won a beginners chase at Fairyhouse last time. May find it tough in this company.
- BATTLEOVERDOYAN – Was going the right way over fences winning his first three, then came his race at Leopardstown which was won by the mighty Faugheen he was beating a retreat in fourth place when falling at the last.
What are Keith’s RSA Chase Tips for 2020?
Here is Keith’s tip for the 2020 RSA Chase.
BATTLEOVERDOYAN is tough and has already won a Grade 1 Chase over 3 miles but found the pace too quick last time before falling. However this extra yardage is a positive, and he has place claims.
ALAHO wasn’t quite at the level of some of these over hurdles and may be found wanting. MINELLA INDO fits a lot of the stats and is going the right way over fences.
Finally we come to the favourite CHAMP who is older than the ideal profile for the winner of the RSA Chase and needs to bounce back from that fall last time which may have dented his confidence.
After weighing things up my pick for the race is the Henry De Bromhead trained MINELLA INDO.
My selection for the RSA Chase 2020 is: MINELLA INDO 6/1.
As this article is written in advance of the 2020 Cheltenham Festival, the likely contenders are expected to change as we get closer to Ladies Day. The picture also starts to get much clearer as we approach the festival, with trainers starting to show their cards in the weeks leading up to Day 2.
To get Keith’s very latest, up-to-date thoughts on the Day 2 card, and his final Day 2 tips, simply register as a FREE FRT member here, and Keith will email you the full Day 2 tips (including for this race) on the morning of Ladies Day.
What was Keith’s RSA Chase Tip for 2019?
FRT Tipster Keith’s wrote this for the 2019 RSA Novices Chase:
Contenders for the race include DELTA WORK who is more likely to compete in Tuesday’s 4 mile National Hunt Challenge Cup Chase, and SANTINI who heads the ante-post market at 3/1.
His trainer Nicky Henderson is also aiming ON THE BLIND SIDE at the race which is more of a value option.
Paul Nicholls’ TOPOFTHEGAME and the tough mare LA BAGUE AU ROI who is unbeaten over fences, but at 8 years old is slightly older than ideal. She has hit the ground running since being sent chasing wins include the Grade 1 Kauto Star Chase on Boxing Day when she claimed the scalps of both SANTINI and TOPOFTHEGAME and followed that up with a nice win in the Flogas at Leopardstown, sadly though connections are favouring Aintree over Cheltenham.
My selection for the race is LA BAGUE AU ROI 16/1 each way (make sure you get NRNB) but in case she doesn’t run which is looking like the case I am having a saver on LA BAGUE AU ROI 16/1 each way.
Result: LA BAGUE AU ROI was a non-runner. The 2019 winner was TOPOFTHEGAME, ridden by Harry Cobden, and trained by Paul Nicholls.
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RSA Chase Previous Winners
- 2008 Albertas Run 7 Tony McCoy Jonjo O’Neill
- 2009 Cooldine 7 Ruby Walsh Willie Mullins
- 2010 Weapon’s Amnesty 7 Davy Russell Charles Byrnes
- 2011 Bostons Angel 7 Robbie Power Jessica Harrington
- 2012 Bobs Worth 7 Barry Geraghty Nicky Henderson
- 2013 Lord Windermere 7 Davy Russell Jim Culloty
- 2014 O’Faolain’s Boy 7 Barry Geraghty Rebecca Curtis
- 2015 Don Poli 6 Bryan Cooper Willie Mullins
- 2016 Blaklion 7 Ryan Hatch Nigel Twiston-Davies
- 2017 Might Bite 8 Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson
- 2018 Presenting Percy 7 Davy Russell Patrick G Kelly
- 2019 Topofthegame 7 Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls
Who is FRT’s Cheltenham Day 2 Tipster?
Keith Bond is our resident pro tipster here at FRT Towers. Keith lives and breathes horse racing, having begun his love of horse racing over 40 years ago with a part time job at Catterick Racecourse, as one of three fourteen year-olds looking after two jumps and a hurdle.
Over the years, Keith has been a regular at the northern tracks attending countless race meetings and building up a network of contacts, and a portfolio of systems and strategies.
He was one of the co-founders of Free Racing Tips all the way back in 2008, and his free tips are now backed by more than seventy thousand FRT members every single day.
“Thanks Keith – It’s great to be part of an amazing group of people all after the same thing, passing on tips to beat the bookies”
Colin Parkinson, Harrow.
The FRT community love Keith’s attention to detail, knowledge of past races, and ability to pick horses…
“You offer some great tips, some fantastic outsiders tipped up as well. Most tipsters just put up favourites. Well done and keep up the good work”
John Woolley, Stockport
Look out for Keith's day two tips in your inbox on March the 11th*
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