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National Hunt Challenge Cup tips 2021

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View Keith's tips for the National Hunt Challenge Cup

National Hunt Chase Challenge Cup TipsWhen is the National Hunt Challenge Cup 2021?

Cheltenham Tuesday 16th March 5.30pm

National Hunt Challenge Cup Chase (Grade 2) (5yo+)

Distance: 4 miles

Weights – 11st 4lbs (5yo), 11st 6lbs (6yo+), 7lb allowance for mares

The final race on day one is the National Hunt Challenge Cup for amateur riders, it is a novice chase over four miles, and they jump 25 fences.

It is a true test of stamina and it takes a lot of these staying chasers out of their comfort zones.

As the race is confined to amateur riders and Cheltenham is a tricky track to ride, it is worth siding with riders who have a bit of experience on their side.

Despite the competitive nature of the race, no winner has returned at higher than 16/1 in the last twelve years.

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National Hunt Challenge Cup Trends and Statistics

12 Year Trends and Statistics 

  • Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged between 6 and 8.
  • Sex – All of the last 12 winners were geldings.
  • Trainer – Gordon Elliott and Willie Mullins are the only trainers to saddle more than 1 winner in the last 12 years with 4 and 2 wins respectively.
  • Country – 7 of the last 12 winners were bred in Ireland, 2 in France, 2 in Great Britain and 1 in the USA..
  • Colour – 8 of the last 12 winners were bay..
  • Weight CarriedEleven of the last of the last twelve winners carried 11st 6lbs.
  • Starting Price (SP) – 11 of the last 12 winners returned a SP of between 9/2 and 16/1.
  • Starting Price Rank – 3 of the last 12 winners started as favourite and 10 were in the first 5 in the betting.
  • Headgear – Only 9 of the last 12 winners were without headgear
  • Days Since Last Run – 9 of the last 12 winners had run between 30 and 78 days ago. 
  • Last Run Form –4 of the last 12 winners had won last time out. 10 finished in the first 5.
  • Official Rating – 11 of the last 12 winners had an OR between 139 and 152

Who are the National Hunt Challenge Cup Leading Contenders?

GALVIN – Gordon Elliot trained, unbeaten since finishing runner up to Imperial Aura in the Listed Novices Handicap Chase at last years festival.

LATEST EXHIBITION – Runner up in the Albert Bartlet Novices hurdle in 2020, Has taken well to fences.

ROYALE PAGAAILLE – Won his last 3 chases including the Grade 2 Peter Marsh at Haydock.

NEXT DESINATION – Grade 1 winning hurdler for Willie Mullins who has notched up a pair of Grade 2 chases since joining Paul Nicholls.

What’s Keith’s National Hunt Challenge Cup Tips for 2021?

59 entered at this stage and a mazimum of 16 will line up on the day. Gordon Elliott's GALVIN ticks plenty of boxes and has to go on the short list. LATEST EXHIBITION has stamina to prove. ROYALE PAGILLE will love it if the going turns up heavy but he has a full book of Cheltenham entries and connections may have other targets in mind. NEXT DESTINATION is progressing well and joins GALVIN on the shortlist.

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What was Keith’s National Hunt Challenge Cup Tip for 2020?

FRT Tipster Keith’s wrote this for the 2020 Narional Hunt Challege Cup Chase:

Try as I might I can’t get away from the ante-post favourite CAREFULLY SELECTED for this race. His trainer, Willie Mullins knows exactly what is needed to win this race, having won it four times – twice as a trainer, and twice as a jockey.

First of all I will eliminate his rivals. CHAMPAGNE CLASSIC is passed over on being too old at nine and lacks a recent run, whilst DANNY WHIZZBANG is inexperienced having only run twice over fences. BATTLEOVERDOYAN was struggling and beaten when falling last time. SAM BROWN is likely to find this trip too far. TWO FOR GOLD possibly definitely (hedging my bets there!) has place claims based on the way he refused to give up last time and he should see the trip out.  So as you can see I’ve carefully selected (see what I did there?) my tip for this race and CAREFULLY SELECTED is the stand out choice – he is likely to be even better than he has shown before he stepped up to this marathon trip.

Result: CAREFULLY SELECTED looked like getting at least a place in the National Hunt Challenge Cup when unseating at the last.

National Hunt Challenge Cup Results

National Hunt Challenge Cup Amateur Riders Novices Chase (Grade 2)
Distance: 3m6f (6581 yards) Prize (winner): £74125 Direction: Left Handed
Runners: 14    Going: Soft    Class: Class 1 Grade 2    Age Restrictions: 5yo+
Winners Time: 8 mins 25.16s   Avg OR: 137     Median OR: 137
   

NoPlaceDist BtHorseAgeORTrainerJockey (Claim)OddsBFBFP
91stRavenhill (IRE)10142Elliott, GordonCodd, Mr J J12/117.003.74
held up towards rear of mid-division, headway on outside 17th (water), went 2nd going well 3 out, driven and almost upsides next, led last, ridden out flat, kept on well BF IP MIN 1.01 BF IP MAX 27
62nd2.25Lord Du Mesnil (FR)7153Hobson, RichardWaley-Cohen, Mr S11/28.072.24
with leader, led 3rd, went right 12th, hard pressed 2 out, hit and headed last, ridden and kept on under pressure flat, not quite able to get back on terms, held towards finish BF IP MIN 2 BF IP MAX 1000
53rd28Lamanver Pippin7132Tizzard, C LBiddick, Mr W33/195.0012.50
mid-division, tracked leaders 9th, blundered when left 2nd briefly 16th, ridden and outpaced after 3 out, well held when left modest 3rd at last BF IP MIN 28 BF IP MAX 1000
44th3Forza Milan (IRE)8138Nash, J AOConnor, Derek12/112.023.32
mid-division, hampered and carried right by loose horse approaching 18th, driven 3 out, never reached leaders, left modest 4th at last BF IP MIN 11 BF IP MAX 1000
115th13Smoking Gun (IRE)7136OBrien, Joseph PatrickHamilton, Mr T20/122.625.62
in touch, dropped to mid-division 10th, headway 17th (water), driven and unable to go with leaders before 3 out, soon ridden and weakened BF IP MIN 20 BF IP MAX 1000
76th39Newtide (IRE)7144Bailey, K CONeill, Mr B12/114.933.60
in touch, went 2nd before 17th (water), driven and lost place 3 out, weakened next, tailed off BF IP MIN 5.2 BF IP MAX 1000
12PUSome Can Dance (IRE)7122Drinkwater, S WDunne, H D100/1781.6556.25
not fluent 2nd, behind most of way, jumped slowly 18th, struggling when blundered 4 out, pulled up before next BF IP MIN 450 BF IP MAX 1000
14PUThe Hollow Ginge (IRE)7144Twiston-Davies, N ABaker, Mr Z25/144.007.95
in touch, hit and dropped to mid-division 9th, hit 11th, struggling in rear when carried right and slow jump 18th, quickly pulled up after BF IP MIN 21 BF IP MAX 1000
3PUClondaw Cian (IRE)10120Leech, Mrs SBarry, Mr J C100/1485.5138.00
always behind, lost touch when jumped right 18th, tailed off when pulled up before 4 out BF IP MIN 5.4 BF IP MAX 1000
8PUOcean Cove (IRE)8135OBrien, FergalONeill, Ms Lisa33/147.537.20
tracked leaders, blundered 13th, hampered 16th, lost place 18th, weakened after 4 out, tailed off when pulled up before 2 out BF IP MIN 42 BF IP MAX 1000
10PURedzor (IRE)7133Skelton, DanielAndrews, Jack66/189.3812.07
mid-division, blundered and dropped towards rear 11th, no danger after, tailed off when pulled up before 2 out BF IP MIN 85 BF IP MAX 1000
13URSpringfield Fox7142George, T RGeorge, Mr N7/111.002.70
hit 1st, led to 3rd, pressed leader, carried right 12th, blundered and unseated rider 16th BF IP MIN 8.6 BF IP MAX 1000
1URAnteros (IRE)12122Leech, Mrs SSkehan, Mr D100/1427.8444.00
held up behind, unseated rider when hampered and jinked right 18th BF IP MIN 23 BF IP MAX 1000
2URCarefully Selected (IRE)8152Mullins, W PMullins, Mr P W10/11 (Fav)2.121.44
held up mid-division, headway before 3 out, driven and outpaced by front pair turning in, ridden after next, never on terms, well held in narrow 3rd when blundered and unseated rider last BF IP MIN 1.55 BF IP MAX 1000
National Hunt Challenge Cup Previous Winners
DateGoingRunnersWinnerStallionAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOddsORDays
Soft141012/1142107d
Soft18714/114552d
Soft16109/215037d
Good To Soft18716/1152134d
Good To Soft2068/114324d
Good To Soft1778/114647d
Good To Soft1598/113931d
Good To Soft1689/415075d
Good1985/114618d
Good1685/115178d
Good18714/112730d
Good To Soft19611/112946d
Good To Soft2079/113033d
Good To Soft19733/112396d
Good22733/112039d
Good20740/1032d
Good2285/113639d
Good24825/113419d
Good To Soft261010/111519d
Good2188/1025d
Good To Soft21713/2038d
Good24910/10114d
Good To Firm231133/1032d

 

Who is FRT’s Cheltenham Day 1 Tipster?

Keith Bond is our resident pro tipster here at FRT Towers. Keith lives and breathes horse racing, having begun his love of horse racing over 40 years ago with a part time job at Catterick Racecourse, as one of three fourteen year-olds looking after two jumps and a hurdle.

Over the years, Keith has been a regular at the northern tracks attending countless race meetings and building up a network of contacts, and a portfolio of systems and strategies. 

He was one of the co-founders of Free Racing Tips all the way back in 2008, and his free tips are now backed by more than seventy thousand FRT members every single day.

“Thanks Keith – It’s great to be part of an amazing group of people all after the same thing, passing on tips to beat the bookies”

Colin Parkinson, Harrow.

The FRT community love Keith’s attention to detail, knowledge of past races, and ability to pick horses...

“You offer some great tips, some fantastic outsiders tipped up as well. Most tipsters just put up favourites. Well done and keep up the good work”

John Woolley, Stockport

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Cheltenham Festival Tuesday

Race Schedule

START TIMESRACEDISTANCETYPE
13:30The Sky Bet Supreme Novices’ Hurdle Race2m abt ½fHurdle
14:10The Sporting Life Arkle Challenge Trophy Steeple Chaseabt 2mChase
14:50The Ultima Handicap Steeple Chase3m abt 1fChase
15:30The Unibet Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy
(feature race)
2m abt ½fHurdle
16:10The Close Brothers Mares’ Hurdle Race2m abt 4fHurdle
16:50The Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle Race (Grade 3)2m abt 4½fChase
17:30The National Hunt Steeple Chase Challenge Cup (Amateur Riders’ Novices’ Steeple Chase) (Grade 2)3m abt 6fChase

 

The Countdown to Cheltenham 2021

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