Goodwood Gold Cup Trends.

Goodwood Tuesday 31st July 3.40pm (ITV)

2m Qatar Goodwood Cup Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Class 1) (3yo+)

Statistics since 2006

Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 4-7
Price – 6 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 10 winners were in the top 3 in the betting and all 12 were 8/1 or less
Last Run – 7/12 winners won on their last run. All 12 winners had their last run within the last 42 days
Previous Course Form – 6 from 12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Goodwood, 3 of them had at least 1 previous win at Goodwood
Previous Distance Form – 8 from 12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 16 furlongs, 6 from 12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 16 furlongs
Previous Flat Form – 10 of the last 12 winners had at least 9 previous flat runs, 9 of those winners had at least 4 previous flat wins
Rating – 8 of the last 12 winners had a rating of 110 or higher
Group Wins – 11 of the last 12 winners had at least 1 previous Group 1-3 win
Season Form – 9 of the last 12 winners had at least 2 previous runs that season, 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous win that season

 

Verdict

The race cut up badly at the 48 hour stage leaving just two with a live chance based on the above statistics they are Sagaro stakes winner and Ascot Gold Cup 3rd Torcedor and the Ascot Gold Cup winner Stradivarius who also won this race last year. Stradivarius is very easily the best stayer around and is likely to dominate in this division for years to come.

Selection

STRADIVARIUS 8/13

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